Race 7 - # 7 Private Marini (Final Odds 1.60*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 7 Matter of Luck (0.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - The Jess Jackson Juvenile - # 6 Artie B Good (0.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - # 2 Fiery Lady (1.80*) - "A" Selection
Sunday's Late Pick Four was pretty much the epitome of a chalk fest, as the public had it right in each of the final four contests on the Santa Rosa card. Fortunately for me, Sunday also proved to be a fine example of why it's a good idea to press your top selections.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other three runners to which I would have cashed in the finale:
# 3 Dreamy Gal (8.20) - $55.70 Finish: 4th
# 4 The Incident (14.50) - $119.55 Finish: 7th
# 6 Beautiful Becca (3.10) - $30.45 Finish: 5th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Late Pick Four sequence of 7 / 7 / 6 / 2 which paid $20.80 for a fifty cent wager. Since I had it three times, I collect $62.40. That makes for a profit of $21.40 on the initial $41 investment, or approximate odds of 0.52-1; which, while not as profitable as if I had just put it all on my big ticket single, Matter of Luck, to Win, is still profit; and is therefore greatly appreciated.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Showing posts with label Santa Rosa. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Santa Rosa. Show all posts
Sunday, August 13, 2017
8/13/17 Santa Rosa Late Pick Four - Preview
Two year olds highlight Sunday's card at The Sonoma County Fair at Santa Rosa, with the $50k Jess Jackson Juvenile serving as the featured race. I'll be looking at that contest below, but before I do I want to look ahead just a bit to next weekend. Saturday, September 19 is Pacific Classic Day at Del Mar; so, good Lord willing, I'll be focusing my efforts next weekend on the southern California racetrack. So with that let's return back to today's action, as I take another run at Wine Country Racing's Late Pick Four at Santa Rosa.
RACE 7 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Weyand (Morning Line 3-1)
# 7 Private Marini (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Tough Timber (ML 4-1)
# 3 Brave Julian (ML 20-1)
# 4 Tribal Again (ML 9-2)
# 8 Nevadan (ML 12-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 2 Wise Tale (ML 8-1) and # 5 Monsajem Accrete (ML 8-1)
Weyand took the Place at this class level last time out, and will be going second off the claim for Trainer Rene Asescua, who tends to do well with such. Private Marini could be the speed of the speed in this field, and will be going first off the claim for Trainer Jonathan Wong, who has frequent success with such.
Tough Timber missed the Winner's Circle by less than a length at this class level last time out. Brave Julian ships in from downstate; perhaps he'll appreciate the change of scenery. Tribal Again could be the one running best late. Nevadan is on the ticket because everyone else is.
RACE 8 - (F) Alw 4000s - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 Matter of Luck (ML 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Foreverinsummer (ML 7-2)
# 6 Shez a Griller (ML 8-1)
# 9 Croix Du Soleil (ML 3-1)
Scratch # 8 Panshir (ML 10-1)
Note for future reference that, unlike many Starter Allowances run in California, this event has no lifetime Win restrictions for entry. So any filly or mare that has started for a claiming price of $4k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.
Matter of Luck took the Place at this class level in front of a next out winner last time out. Foreverinsummer fits well here on class; but Foreverinsummer may be better suited to longer distances.
Shez a Griller closed well sprinting on the turf course just ten days ago. Croix Du Soleil goes first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such.
RACE 9 - The Jess Jackson Juvenile $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Artie B Good (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Walk On Water (ML 6-1)
# 4 Holy Yodeler (ML 10-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 3 Jacks Masterpiece (ML 2-1)
Artie B Good won by daylight in his debut last time out, and looks to be at least on par with many of those running here. Walk On Water and Holy Yodeler are two that can contend, if they can rebound off their respective performance in the Everett Nevin and return to the form they displayed when graduating.
RACE 10 - (F) OC 25k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Fiery Lady (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 3 Dreamy Gal (Ire) (ML 9-2)
# 4 The Incident (ML 12-1)
# 6 Hal's Buddy (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Fiery Lady was victorious at this approximate class level last time over the Golden Gate turf course. Dreamy Gal (Ire) could improve with the return to grass, and should certainly be forwardly placed early.
The Incident's only prior grass experience was navigating the Santa Anita hill; perhaps she'll prefer the flats. Hal's Buddy fits well here on class, though her time away from the Winner's Circle is a concern.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6,7 with 7 with 6 with 2 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: ALL with 7 with 1,4,6 with 2,3,4,6 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 6,7 with 2,6,9 with 6 with 2 $3.00
Total: $41.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 7 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Weyand (Morning Line 3-1)
# 7 Private Marini (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Tough Timber (ML 4-1)
# 3 Brave Julian (ML 20-1)
# 4 Tribal Again (ML 9-2)
# 8 Nevadan (ML 12-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 2 Wise Tale (ML 8-1) and # 5 Monsajem Accrete (ML 8-1)
Weyand took the Place at this class level last time out, and will be going second off the claim for Trainer Rene Asescua, who tends to do well with such. Private Marini could be the speed of the speed in this field, and will be going first off the claim for Trainer Jonathan Wong, who has frequent success with such.
Tough Timber missed the Winner's Circle by less than a length at this class level last time out. Brave Julian ships in from downstate; perhaps he'll appreciate the change of scenery. Tribal Again could be the one running best late. Nevadan is on the ticket because everyone else is.
RACE 8 - (F) Alw 4000s - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 Matter of Luck (ML 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Foreverinsummer (ML 7-2)
# 6 Shez a Griller (ML 8-1)
# 9 Croix Du Soleil (ML 3-1)
Scratch # 8 Panshir (ML 10-1)
Note for future reference that, unlike many Starter Allowances run in California, this event has no lifetime Win restrictions for entry. So any filly or mare that has started for a claiming price of $4k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.
Matter of Luck took the Place at this class level in front of a next out winner last time out. Foreverinsummer fits well here on class; but Foreverinsummer may be better suited to longer distances.
Shez a Griller closed well sprinting on the turf course just ten days ago. Croix Du Soleil goes first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such.
RACE 9 - The Jess Jackson Juvenile $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Artie B Good (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Walk On Water (ML 6-1)
# 4 Holy Yodeler (ML 10-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 3 Jacks Masterpiece (ML 2-1)
Artie B Good won by daylight in his debut last time out, and looks to be at least on par with many of those running here. Walk On Water and Holy Yodeler are two that can contend, if they can rebound off their respective performance in the Everett Nevin and return to the form they displayed when graduating.
RACE 10 - (F) OC 25k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Fiery Lady (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 3 Dreamy Gal (Ire) (ML 9-2)
# 4 The Incident (ML 12-1)
# 6 Hal's Buddy (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Fiery Lady was victorious at this approximate class level last time over the Golden Gate turf course. Dreamy Gal (Ire) could improve with the return to grass, and should certainly be forwardly placed early.
The Incident's only prior grass experience was navigating the Santa Anita hill; perhaps she'll prefer the flats. Hal's Buddy fits well here on class, though her time away from the Winner's Circle is a concern.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6,7 with 7 with 6 with 2 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: ALL with 7 with 1,4,6 with 2,3,4,6 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 6,7 with 2,6,9 with 6 with 2 $3.00
Total: $41.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, August 12, 2017
8/12/17 Santa Rosa Late Pick Four - Results
Race 7 - # 4 Mini Bar (Final Odds 2.20*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 2 Hidden Zensation (1.40*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - The Joseph T Grace - # 4 Street Lad (4.90) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 5 Magik Pepper (1.20) - "A" Selection
Needless to say, I picked the wrong race to hit the "ALL" button; as having everybody in the second leg proved to be rather silly, as Hidden Zensation ran away and hid from the rest of the field, winning by as many as he wanted. Meanwhile, neither of my two "A" Selections in the featured race, # 7 G. G. Ryder (3.30) and # 8 A Red Tie Day (1.90*), were able to find their way into the Exacta, let alone the Winner's Circle; and for that reason, Saturday was a day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 4 / 2 / 4 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $82.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 8 - # 2 Hidden Zensation (1.40*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - The Joseph T Grace - # 4 Street Lad (4.90) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 5 Magik Pepper (1.20) - "A" Selection
Needless to say, I picked the wrong race to hit the "ALL" button; as having everybody in the second leg proved to be rather silly, as Hidden Zensation ran away and hid from the rest of the field, winning by as many as he wanted. Meanwhile, neither of my two "A" Selections in the featured race, # 7 G. G. Ryder (3.30) and # 8 A Red Tie Day (1.90*), were able to find their way into the Exacta, let alone the Winner's Circle; and for that reason, Saturday was a day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 4 / 2 / 4 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $82.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
8/12/17 Santa Rosa Late Pick Four - Preview
Thoroughbred racing continues at The Sonoma County Fair at Santa Rosa Saturday, with The Joseph T Grace Handicap serving as the featured race. I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take another run at Wine Country Racing's Late Pick Four at Santa Rosa.
RACE 7 - Md $25k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Cedar Rapids (ML 9-2)
B's
# 1 Girls and Guts (ML 15-1)
# 4 Mini Bar (ML 6-1)
# 6 The Ice Box Kid (ML 5-1)
C's
# 3 Day 'n Night (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 7 Six Cider (ML 8-5)
Cedar Rapids goes first time for the barn of Trainer Jonathan Wong, who tends to do well with such. Girls and Guts took the Show the only prior time that he ran with a price tag on his head. Mini Bar took the Show each of the last three times that he competed in a turf route.
The Ice Box Kid took the Place the last time that he competed around two turns on the grass for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer. Day 'n Night, trained by Neil Drysdale, is a first time starter that shows a good turf pedigree; though the gaps in the published works are a concern.
RACE 8 - Clm $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Hidden Zensation (ML 2-1)
# 5 Eddie and the King (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 3 Presidentsky (ML 4-1)
# 4 King Budrick (ML 9-2)
# 6 Drouillard (ML 5-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 1 Zorrito (ML 12-1)
Hidden Zensation wired the field against more expensive last time out, defeating a next out winner in the process. The drop after a win could be a concern, but it could also be a sign that the connections would prefer not to pay the shipping costs as the circuit moves on to its next stop.
Eddie and the King, trained by Steve Sherman, looks ready to move up in class after defeating $10k claimers last time out. Presidentsky goes first off the claim for Quinn Howey, and might appreciate the return to upstate California. King Burdrick will have the hood off today; Trainer Jeff Bonde tends to do well with runners making that equipment change. Drouillard is on the ticket because everyone else is.
RACE 9 - The Joseph T Grace $50k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 G. G. Ryder (ML 5-2)
# 8 A Red Tie Day (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Squidward (ML 12-1)
# 6 Anythingscookin (ML 6-1)
G. G. Ryder defeated class competition on the synthetic surface at Gulfstream Park two starts back. A Red Tie Day gets some much needed class relief, as well as a reduction in real estate. Anythingscookin and Squidward filled out the Exacta in an OC $62.5k/N2X last time out, and could be the front running pair that the others will have to catch in order to win.
RACE 10 - Md $5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Bobby Magic (ML 4-5)
# 5 Magik Pepper (ML 9-5)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Mookie's Wish (ML 5-1)
Bobby Magic has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last two starts. Magik Pepper, trained by Steve Sherman, has finished behind Bobby Magic in each of his last two starts; but Magik Pepper could improve with the rider switch. Mookie's Wish took the Show against more expensive two starts back.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 2,5 with 7,8 with 1,5 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,4,5,6 with ALL with 7,8 with 1,5 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2,5 with 7,8 with 1,5 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 2,5 with 1,6 with 1,5 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 2,5 with 7,8 with 2 $2.00
Total: $58.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 7 - Md $25k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Cedar Rapids (ML 9-2)
B's
# 1 Girls and Guts (ML 15-1)
# 4 Mini Bar (ML 6-1)
# 6 The Ice Box Kid (ML 5-1)
C's
# 3 Day 'n Night (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 7 Six Cider (ML 8-5)
Cedar Rapids goes first time for the barn of Trainer Jonathan Wong, who tends to do well with such. Girls and Guts took the Show the only prior time that he ran with a price tag on his head. Mini Bar took the Show each of the last three times that he competed in a turf route.
The Ice Box Kid took the Place the last time that he competed around two turns on the grass for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer. Day 'n Night, trained by Neil Drysdale, is a first time starter that shows a good turf pedigree; though the gaps in the published works are a concern.
RACE 8 - Clm $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Hidden Zensation (ML 2-1)
# 5 Eddie and the King (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 3 Presidentsky (ML 4-1)
# 4 King Budrick (ML 9-2)
# 6 Drouillard (ML 5-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 1 Zorrito (ML 12-1)
Hidden Zensation wired the field against more expensive last time out, defeating a next out winner in the process. The drop after a win could be a concern, but it could also be a sign that the connections would prefer not to pay the shipping costs as the circuit moves on to its next stop.
Eddie and the King, trained by Steve Sherman, looks ready to move up in class after defeating $10k claimers last time out. Presidentsky goes first off the claim for Quinn Howey, and might appreciate the return to upstate California. King Burdrick will have the hood off today; Trainer Jeff Bonde tends to do well with runners making that equipment change. Drouillard is on the ticket because everyone else is.
RACE 9 - The Joseph T Grace $50k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 G. G. Ryder (ML 5-2)
# 8 A Red Tie Day (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Squidward (ML 12-1)
# 6 Anythingscookin (ML 6-1)
G. G. Ryder defeated class competition on the synthetic surface at Gulfstream Park two starts back. A Red Tie Day gets some much needed class relief, as well as a reduction in real estate. Anythingscookin and Squidward filled out the Exacta in an OC $62.5k/N2X last time out, and could be the front running pair that the others will have to catch in order to win.
RACE 10 - Md $5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Bobby Magic (ML 4-5)
# 5 Magik Pepper (ML 9-5)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Mookie's Wish (ML 5-1)
Bobby Magic has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last two starts. Magik Pepper, trained by Steve Sherman, has finished behind Bobby Magic in each of his last two starts; but Magik Pepper could improve with the rider switch. Mookie's Wish took the Show against more expensive two starts back.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 2,5 with 7,8 with 1,5 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,4,5,6 with ALL with 7,8 with 1,5 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2,5 with 7,8 with 1,5 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 2,5 with 1,6 with 1,5 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 2,5 with 7,8 with 2 $2.00
Total: $58.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, August 6, 2017
8/6/17 Santa Rosa Late Pick Four - Results
Race 7 - # 6 Solomon Bay (Final Odds 4.30) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 3 Warrens Goldnugget (3.50) - No Selection
Race 9 - The Robert Dupret Derby - # 3 Summersimage (3.30) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 2 Lucky Lucciana (2.30*) - "A" Selection
Needless to say, when you completely whiff on half the events, you did not have a good day of handicapping. Adding insult to injury was seeing the Post Time Favorite in the nightcap grab the victory in a contest where I had punched the "ALL" button.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 6 / 3 / 3 / 2 were rewarded with a payout of $289.10 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 8 - # 3 Warrens Goldnugget (3.50) - No Selection
Race 9 - The Robert Dupret Derby - # 3 Summersimage (3.30) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 2 Lucky Lucciana (2.30*) - "A" Selection
Needless to say, when you completely whiff on half the events, you did not have a good day of handicapping. Adding insult to injury was seeing the Post Time Favorite in the nightcap grab the victory in a contest where I had punched the "ALL" button.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 6 / 3 / 3 / 2 were rewarded with a payout of $289.10 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
8/6/17 Santa Rosa Late Pick Four - Preview
The Robert Dupret Derby is Sunday's featured race at The Sonoma County Fair at Santa Rosa; and that's about all I have by way of introduction. So let's get to it, as I take a run at Wine Country Racing's Late Pick Four at Santa Rosa.
RACE 7 - Clm $8k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Sizzlin' Joe (Morning Line 4-1)
B’s
# 1 Danas Best (Aus) (ML 7-2)
# 6 Solomon Bay (ML 3-1)
C's
# 3 Nahem (ML 6-1)
# 4 American Aristocat (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 5 Press Baron (GB) (ML 10-1)
Sizzlin' Joe was victorious last time out for a higher price tag; though with so many other class droppers in this field, I would consider this to be a lateral class move for Sizzlin' Joe. Danas Best (Aus) goes first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such. Solomon Bay should improve with the move back to the grass.
Nahem and Danas Best have taken turns finishing in front of each other lately; but Nahem appears to need the early lead to win, and he may have problems getting to the front today. American Aristocat could move up with the return to the turf.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Exactamente (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 5 Optimism and Hope (ML 2-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 4 Bow Tie Belle (ML 8-1)
Exactamente wired the field against more expensive last time out, and looks to be the quickest in this field. Optimism and Hope disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of her last two starts; but perhaps Optimism and Hope can move up in her first try over the main track, as Trainer John Martin tends to do well when moving his runners from the turf to the dirt.
RACE 9 - The Robert Dupret Derby $50k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Grecian Fire (ML 3-1)
B's
# 6 Alsatian (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Golden Doughnut (ML 10-1)
# 4 Harvest a Storm (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 2 Singaprayer (ML 20-1) and # 9 Perfect Come Back (ML 8-1)
Grecian Fire, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, has done well in the past when shipping in from downstate for a listed stake. Alsatian, trained by Neil Drysdale, has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in exactly half of his eight career races. The talent is certainly there for Alsatian; perhaps the change of scenery will spur him to move up today.
Golden Doughnut and Harvest a Storm have taken turns finishing in front of each other of late. While I don't think either is of the same class as Grecian Fire or Alsatian, I do think that either Golden Doughnut or Harvest a Storm could get the win today with the proper pace setup (Harvest a Storm early or Golden Doughnut late).
RACE 10 - Md $8k - Six Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Lucky Lucciana (ML 2-1)
# 4 Song for the Crowd (ML 4-1)
# 5 Cheap O Charlie (ML 12-1)
B's
# 1 Genuwine Wine (ML 15-1)
# 6 A J's Hope (ML 7-2)
# 7 Atsina Warrior (ML 6-1)
# 8 Reuben James (ML 6-1)
# 9 Mister Fancy Bean (ML 20-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 3 Tiz Jims (ML 15-1)
Lucky Lucciana took the Place against more expensive two starts back, and could move up with the return to one turn racing. Song for the Crowd took the Show at this class level last time out.
Cheap O Charlie returns from an extended vacation after taking the Place against more expensive last time out. Cheap O Charlie appears to be working well for this; though the published workout of July 11 at Sacramento of three furlongs in over forty-two seconds is a bit of a head scratcher. Not sure if the clocker punched in the wrong number, or if Cheap O Charlie stopped midway through the work to sign some autographs before continuing on.
The "B" Selections are everyone else in the field. This one looks to be wide open to me, and if I make it this far in my play I don't want to lose out because I eliminated the wrong long shot from my big ticket.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 8 with 6 with 8 with 2,4,5 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,6,8 with 5,6 with 6,8 with ALL $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,4 with 6 with 8 with 2,4,5 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 6 with 1,4 with 2,4,5 $3.00
Total: $57.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 7 - Clm $8k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Sizzlin' Joe (Morning Line 4-1)
B’s
# 1 Danas Best (Aus) (ML 7-2)
# 6 Solomon Bay (ML 3-1)
C's
# 3 Nahem (ML 6-1)
# 4 American Aristocat (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 5 Press Baron (GB) (ML 10-1)
Sizzlin' Joe was victorious last time out for a higher price tag; though with so many other class droppers in this field, I would consider this to be a lateral class move for Sizzlin' Joe. Danas Best (Aus) goes first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such. Solomon Bay should improve with the move back to the grass.
Nahem and Danas Best have taken turns finishing in front of each other lately; but Nahem appears to need the early lead to win, and he may have problems getting to the front today. American Aristocat could move up with the return to the turf.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Exactamente (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 5 Optimism and Hope (ML 2-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 4 Bow Tie Belle (ML 8-1)
Exactamente wired the field against more expensive last time out, and looks to be the quickest in this field. Optimism and Hope disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of her last two starts; but perhaps Optimism and Hope can move up in her first try over the main track, as Trainer John Martin tends to do well when moving his runners from the turf to the dirt.
RACE 9 - The Robert Dupret Derby $50k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Grecian Fire (ML 3-1)
B's
# 6 Alsatian (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Golden Doughnut (ML 10-1)
# 4 Harvest a Storm (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 2 Singaprayer (ML 20-1) and # 9 Perfect Come Back (ML 8-1)
Grecian Fire, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, has done well in the past when shipping in from downstate for a listed stake. Alsatian, trained by Neil Drysdale, has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in exactly half of his eight career races. The talent is certainly there for Alsatian; perhaps the change of scenery will spur him to move up today.
Golden Doughnut and Harvest a Storm have taken turns finishing in front of each other of late. While I don't think either is of the same class as Grecian Fire or Alsatian, I do think that either Golden Doughnut or Harvest a Storm could get the win today with the proper pace setup (Harvest a Storm early or Golden Doughnut late).
RACE 10 - Md $8k - Six Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Lucky Lucciana (ML 2-1)
# 4 Song for the Crowd (ML 4-1)
# 5 Cheap O Charlie (ML 12-1)
B's
# 1 Genuwine Wine (ML 15-1)
# 6 A J's Hope (ML 7-2)
# 7 Atsina Warrior (ML 6-1)
# 8 Reuben James (ML 6-1)
# 9 Mister Fancy Bean (ML 20-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 3 Tiz Jims (ML 15-1)
Lucky Lucciana took the Place against more expensive two starts back, and could move up with the return to one turn racing. Song for the Crowd took the Show at this class level last time out.
Cheap O Charlie returns from an extended vacation after taking the Place against more expensive last time out. Cheap O Charlie appears to be working well for this; though the published workout of July 11 at Sacramento of three furlongs in over forty-two seconds is a bit of a head scratcher. Not sure if the clocker punched in the wrong number, or if Cheap O Charlie stopped midway through the work to sign some autographs before continuing on.
The "B" Selections are everyone else in the field. This one looks to be wide open to me, and if I make it this far in my play I don't want to lose out because I eliminated the wrong long shot from my big ticket.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 8 with 6 with 8 with 2,4,5 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,6,8 with 5,6 with 6,8 with ALL $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,4 with 6 with 8 with 2,4,5 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 6 with 1,4 with 2,4,5 $3.00
Total: $57.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, August 5, 2017
8/5/17 Santa Rosa Late Pick Four - Results
Race 7 - # 6 Urban Bourbon (Final Odds 5.70) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 3 Small Town Shuffle (3.50) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - The Luther Burbank - # 2 Lady Valeur (Ire) (1.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - # 10 Tune to Win (9.70) - "A" Selection
You've seen this enough times to know how this works: had 'em all, but not all on any one ticket. Perhaps Urban Bourbon deserved better consideration in the opening leg; but how to justify including Urban Bourbon on the big ticket without also including # 1 Call Saul (3.90), the horse who had crossed the wire in front of him last time out? Of course, leaving that leg alone but upgrading Small Town Shuffle from a "B" Selection to an "A" Selection in the next contest would have had the same effect of turning a losing play into a winning one. But all these "what ifs" do nothing to change history, which will record that this was a day to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 6 / 3 / 2 / 10 were rewarded with a payout of $348.40 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 8 - # 3 Small Town Shuffle (3.50) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - The Luther Burbank - # 2 Lady Valeur (Ire) (1.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - # 10 Tune to Win (9.70) - "A" Selection
You've seen this enough times to know how this works: had 'em all, but not all on any one ticket. Perhaps Urban Bourbon deserved better consideration in the opening leg; but how to justify including Urban Bourbon on the big ticket without also including # 1 Call Saul (3.90), the horse who had crossed the wire in front of him last time out? Of course, leaving that leg alone but upgrading Small Town Shuffle from a "B" Selection to an "A" Selection in the next contest would have had the same effect of turning a losing play into a winning one. But all these "what ifs" do nothing to change history, which will record that this was a day to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 6 / 3 / 2 / 10 were rewarded with a payout of $348.40 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
8/5/17 Santa Rosa Late Pick Four - Preview
The California Fair Circuit makes its way to Sonoma County; but note that (correcting what I wrote last weekend) the Gold Rush Pick Six does not travel with it. Sonoma County / Santa Rosa has a standard two dollar Pick Six; not a twenty cent jackpot. So the $22,085 currently sitting in the pool will rest easy for the next three weeks, until racing moves onto Humbolt County / Ferndale.
So, with no jackpot to shoot for, and a Pick Six minimum wager that would destroy my budget, I'll be taking a semi-vacation this weekend and focusing my energies on The Late Pick Four. And, quite frankly, it's not a bad little Pick Four at that. Turf racing is back, as seventy-five percent of the final four races will be run on some California grass, including The Luther Burbank Handicap. So with all that let's get to it, as I take a run at Wine Country Racing's Late Pick Four at Santa Rosa.
RACE 7 - Clm $16k N2X - Eight and a Half furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Thirty Pepperonis (Morning Line 9-5)
B’s
# 7 Carville (ML 9-2)
C's
# 1 Call Saul (ML 3-1)
# 5 Undeniable U (ML 6-1)
# 6 Urban Bourbon (ML 5-1)
Thirty Pepperonis won by daylight two starts back, the last time that he competed on the lawn. Thirty Pepperonis will also be going first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such.
Carville should move up with the return to turf. Call Saul and Urban Bourbon filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta last time out over the Gold Gate turf against slightly cheaper company. Undeniable U fits well here on class, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.
RACE 8 - Clm $6.25k N1Y - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 North Pacific (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 3 Small Town Shuffle (ML 7-2)
# 4 Outlook (ML 4-1)
C's
# 5 Royal Alexei (ML 5-2)
# 6 Jet Seeker (ML 6-1)
This contest is for three year olds and upward that have not won a race in 2017, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming, and Starter contests for $5k or less.
North Pacific took the Place against open (no conditions) $6.25k claimers last time out. Small Town Shuffle missed the Winner's Circle by just a nose last time out against $6.25k N2Y company, with Outlook taking the Show behind him.
Royal Alexei is expected to be a pace presence early, and could be tough to catch if he gets loose on the lead. Jet Seeker ships in from downstate, and may appreciate the change of scenery.
RACE 9 - (F) The Luther Burbank $50k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Lady Valeur (Ire) (ML 2-1)
B's
# 1 Elegant Bel (ML 10-1)
# 3 Laseen (Ire) (ML 5-2)
# 8 Charming Starlet (ML 10-1)
# 9 Central Heat (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Lady Valeur (Ire) has demonstrated the ability to win at this level in the past, and is getting some serious class relief over her more recent starts. Elegant Bel and Central Heat are past winners of this event, in 2016 and 2015, respectively.
Laseen (Ire) fits well here on class, though she may need more distance to display her best. Charming Starlet appears to be in top form, and could be the one running best late.
RACE 10 - Md $25k - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Into Kings (ML 4-1)
# 4 River House (ML 7-2)
# 10 Tune to Win (ML 10-1)
B's
# 9 Patience Ofa Saint (ML 5-2)
C's
# 2 Cocktails At Six (ML 20-1)
# 3 Reno Johnny (ML 8-1)
Into Kings joins the barn of Trainer Jonathan Wong after taking the Show in each of his last two starts, both against classier competition downstate. River House, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, took the Place at this class level on the dirt last time out.
Tune to Win took the Place at this class level on the dirt last time out. Patience Ofa Saint fits well with the contenders here; but Patience Ofa Saint may need more distance to show her best. Cocktails At Six and Reno Johnny are a pair of first time starters whose breeding suggests that they should handle the turf well.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 1,4,10 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,7 with 2,3,4 with 1,2,3,8,9 with 1,4,9,10 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,5,6 with 2 with 2 with 1,4,10 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 5,6 with 2 with 1,4,10 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 2,3 $1.00
Total: $71.50
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
So, with no jackpot to shoot for, and a Pick Six minimum wager that would destroy my budget, I'll be taking a semi-vacation this weekend and focusing my energies on The Late Pick Four. And, quite frankly, it's not a bad little Pick Four at that. Turf racing is back, as seventy-five percent of the final four races will be run on some California grass, including The Luther Burbank Handicap. So with all that let's get to it, as I take a run at Wine Country Racing's Late Pick Four at Santa Rosa.
RACE 7 - Clm $16k N2X - Eight and a Half furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Thirty Pepperonis (Morning Line 9-5)
B’s
# 7 Carville (ML 9-2)
C's
# 1 Call Saul (ML 3-1)
# 5 Undeniable U (ML 6-1)
# 6 Urban Bourbon (ML 5-1)
Thirty Pepperonis won by daylight two starts back, the last time that he competed on the lawn. Thirty Pepperonis will also be going first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such.
Carville should move up with the return to turf. Call Saul and Urban Bourbon filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta last time out over the Gold Gate turf against slightly cheaper company. Undeniable U fits well here on class, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.
RACE 8 - Clm $6.25k N1Y - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 North Pacific (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 3 Small Town Shuffle (ML 7-2)
# 4 Outlook (ML 4-1)
C's
# 5 Royal Alexei (ML 5-2)
# 6 Jet Seeker (ML 6-1)
This contest is for three year olds and upward that have not won a race in 2017, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming, and Starter contests for $5k or less.
North Pacific took the Place against open (no conditions) $6.25k claimers last time out. Small Town Shuffle missed the Winner's Circle by just a nose last time out against $6.25k N2Y company, with Outlook taking the Show behind him.
Royal Alexei is expected to be a pace presence early, and could be tough to catch if he gets loose on the lead. Jet Seeker ships in from downstate, and may appreciate the change of scenery.
RACE 9 - (F) The Luther Burbank $50k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Lady Valeur (Ire) (ML 2-1)
B's
# 1 Elegant Bel (ML 10-1)
# 3 Laseen (Ire) (ML 5-2)
# 8 Charming Starlet (ML 10-1)
# 9 Central Heat (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Lady Valeur (Ire) has demonstrated the ability to win at this level in the past, and is getting some serious class relief over her more recent starts. Elegant Bel and Central Heat are past winners of this event, in 2016 and 2015, respectively.
Laseen (Ire) fits well here on class, though she may need more distance to display her best. Charming Starlet appears to be in top form, and could be the one running best late.
RACE 10 - Md $25k - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Into Kings (ML 4-1)
# 4 River House (ML 7-2)
# 10 Tune to Win (ML 10-1)
B's
# 9 Patience Ofa Saint (ML 5-2)
C's
# 2 Cocktails At Six (ML 20-1)
# 3 Reno Johnny (ML 8-1)
Into Kings joins the barn of Trainer Jonathan Wong after taking the Show in each of his last two starts, both against classier competition downstate. River House, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, took the Place at this class level on the dirt last time out.
Tune to Win took the Place at this class level on the dirt last time out. Patience Ofa Saint fits well with the contenders here; but Patience Ofa Saint may need more distance to show her best. Cocktails At Six and Reno Johnny are a pair of first time starters whose breeding suggests that they should handle the turf well.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 1,4,10 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,7 with 2,3,4 with 1,2,3,8,9 with 1,4,9,10 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,5,6 with 2 with 2 with 1,4,10 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 5,6 with 2 with 1,4,10 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 2,3 $1.00
Total: $71.50
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Thursday, September 6, 2012
7/26/12 SR Race 6 - Key Race - Update
Key Race 7/26/12 SR Race 6, first noted here August 15, has now come back in full:
Lady's Plan - 4th 8/24/12 GG Race 1
Spiced Latte - WIN 9/2/12 GG Race 8
Tribal Delight - PLACE 8/9/12 SR Race 7
Hill of Tara - WIN 8/9/12 SR Race 7
Sahha - 4th 8/19/12 GG Race 2
Hey Maria - 6th 8/9/12 SR Race 7
Crantini - 7th 9/2/12 GG Race 8
Beezaroo - SHOW 9/2/12 GG Race 8
Que Classico - 5th 8/25/12 GG Race 5
Atticus' Ghost - WIN 8/11/12 SR Race 8
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Lady's Plan - 4th 8/24/12 GG Race 1
Spiced Latte - WIN 9/2/12 GG Race 8
Tribal Delight - PLACE 8/9/12 SR Race 7
Hill of Tara - WIN 8/9/12 SR Race 7
Sahha - 4th 8/19/12 GG Race 2
Hey Maria - 6th 8/9/12 SR Race 7
Crantini - 7th 9/2/12 GG Race 8
Beezaroo - SHOW 9/2/12 GG Race 8
Que Classico - 5th 8/25/12 GG Race 5
Atticus' Ghost - WIN 8/11/12 SR Race 8
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Wednesday, August 15, 2012
7/26/12 SR Race 6 - Key Race
Atticus' Ghost, a three year old filly out of a Stephen Got Even mare, won Race 8 Saturday at Santa Rosa as the lukewarm 5-2 favorite, after having finished dead last in her prior race, the sixth at Santa Rosa on July 26. The fourth place horse in that July 26 contest, Hill of Tara, was first under the wire in the last race at Santa Rosa on August 9; thus conferring key race status upon the July 26 affair.
Tribal Delight, the Show horse in the key race, and Hey Maria, the sixth place finisher on July 26, both competed against Hill of Tara in her August 9 victory, with Tribal Delight taking the Place, while Hey Maria again finished sixth. As near as I can determine, the remainder of the field has yet to come back; including the key race Exacta of Lady's Plan and Spiced Latte.
The other key race runners, in their respective order of finish on July 26, are: Sahha; Crantini; Beezaroo; and Que Classico.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Tribal Delight, the Show horse in the key race, and Hey Maria, the sixth place finisher on July 26, both competed against Hill of Tara in her August 9 victory, with Tribal Delight taking the Place, while Hey Maria again finished sixth. As near as I can determine, the remainder of the field has yet to come back; including the key race Exacta of Lady's Plan and Spiced Latte.
The other key race runners, in their respective order of finish on July 26, are: Sahha; Crantini; Beezaroo; and Que Classico.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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