Race 5 - # 7 Dianka (Final Odds 7.50) - via DQ* - "B" Selection
Race 6 - # 3 Zambora (2.20) - "C" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Meet'n On High (0.40*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Most Determined (2.00) - "B" Selection
* # 6 Stella Malone (0.70*) crossed under the wire first in Race 5 but was disqualified and placed 2nd
The bright spot in Sunday's preview was that I was correct in predicting that the nightcap would devolve into a chaos race, as the winner was 15-1 on the Morning Line. However, the contest wasn't nearly as confusing to the betting public as it was to me, as that 15-1 longshot on the Morning Line was bet down to 2-1. Be that as it may, when all was said and done, had "B" Selection and Show finisher # 7 Arizona Ry (3.30) gotten to the line a half length quicker in Race 6, the play would have been a winner. But he didn't; and for that and other reasons Sunday was a day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 7 / 3 / 6 / 1 were rewarded with a payout of $192.30 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Showing posts with label Turf Paradise. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Turf Paradise. Show all posts
Sunday, December 23, 2018
12/23/18 Turf Paradise Late Pick Four - Preview
It's Sunday; it's Christmas Eve Eve; and that's all I've got by way of introduction. So let's just get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Turf Paradise.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $15k N2L - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Stella Malone (Morning Line 2-1)
B’s
# 3 Dawn Traveler (Ire) (ML 5-2)
# 7 Dianka (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Shy (ML 8-1)
# 2 Put It On Ice (ML 15-1)
# 4 Cherokee Louise (ML 10-1)
# 5 Miss Shirley C (ML 3-1)
There are no Arizona breds in this contest; but if there were, you would have to pay and extra five grand to claim them.
This one looks like Stella Malone early and either Dawn Traveler (Ire) or Dianka late. Stella Malone is quick enough where it's certainly tempting to just make her a big ticket single and hope that she doesn't get caught. But Miss Shirley C looks like she could hang with Stella Malone early and soften her up for the late comers. So I'm going three deep on the big ticket here, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 6 - Md $8k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Parking Permit (ML 1-1)
B's
# 7 Arizona Ry (ML 8-1)
C's
# 1 Havasu Caution (ML 20-1)
# 2 Dimera (ML 12-1)
# 3 Zambora (ML 9-5)
# 4 Mr Dejavu (ML 20-1)
# 5 Rogelio (ML 10-1)
# 6 Gypsy's Goal (ML 12-1)
Arizona breds cost more in this contest; so if you want to claim Dimera, Mr Dejavu, or Arizona Ry, you'll have to pay $10k instead of the $8k that the others are in for.
Zambora ships into Arizona after making his debut last time out at Golden Gate; and if it wouldn't blow up the budget, I'd probably would put Zambora on the big ticket because of the class drop. On the other hand, if I wanted to save even more money, I could just make Parking Permit a big ticket single. But Arizona Ry has shown some good early speed against classier competition; so onto the big ticket Arizona Ry goes. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $3.5k N2L - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Meet'n On High (ML 6-5)
B’s
# 7 No One Told Me (ML 3-1)
C's
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $15k N2L - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Stella Malone (Morning Line 2-1)
B’s
# 3 Dawn Traveler (Ire) (ML 5-2)
# 7 Dianka (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Shy (ML 8-1)
# 2 Put It On Ice (ML 15-1)
# 4 Cherokee Louise (ML 10-1)
# 5 Miss Shirley C (ML 3-1)
There are no Arizona breds in this contest; but if there were, you would have to pay and extra five grand to claim them.
This one looks like Stella Malone early and either Dawn Traveler (Ire) or Dianka late. Stella Malone is quick enough where it's certainly tempting to just make her a big ticket single and hope that she doesn't get caught. But Miss Shirley C looks like she could hang with Stella Malone early and soften her up for the late comers. So I'm going three deep on the big ticket here, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 6 - Md $8k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Parking Permit (ML 1-1)
B's
# 7 Arizona Ry (ML 8-1)
C's
# 1 Havasu Caution (ML 20-1)
# 2 Dimera (ML 12-1)
# 3 Zambora (ML 9-5)
# 4 Mr Dejavu (ML 20-1)
# 5 Rogelio (ML 10-1)
# 6 Gypsy's Goal (ML 12-1)
Arizona breds cost more in this contest; so if you want to claim Dimera, Mr Dejavu, or Arizona Ry, you'll have to pay $10k instead of the $8k that the others are in for.
Zambora ships into Arizona after making his debut last time out at Golden Gate; and if it wouldn't blow up the budget, I'd probably would put Zambora on the big ticket because of the class drop. On the other hand, if I wanted to save even more money, I could just make Parking Permit a big ticket single. But Arizona Ry has shown some good early speed against classier competition; so onto the big ticket Arizona Ry goes. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $3.5k N2L - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Meet'n On High (ML 6-5)
B’s
# 7 No One Told Me (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 P. Sue (ML 20-1)
# 2 S S Taylor (ML 8-1)
# 2 S S Taylor (ML 8-1)
# 3 Blazin On By (ML 5-2)
# 4 Hit'n Time (ML 12-1)
# 5 End Zone Embrace (ML 20-1)
# 8 My Last Penny (ML 30-1)
# 4 Hit'n Time (ML 12-1)
# 5 End Zone Embrace (ML 20-1)
# 8 My Last Penny (ML 30-1)
No extra money needed to claim an Arizona bred in this contest; so if you're looking to purchase Hit'n Time, it'll cost you the same $3.5k that all the other entrants cost.
Meet'n On High won by daylight last time out in her first start outside California. No One Told Me won by the length of the stretch in her debut two starts back, and seems to have been working well for her return to competition. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - Clm $8.5k N2Y - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Chaska (ML 2-1)
B's
# 1 Most Determined (ML 15-1)
# 2 Seeking Bea (ML 20-1)
# 3 Oldtimers Vision (ML 10-1)
# 4 Ride Hard Kowboy (ML 9-5)
# 4 Ride Hard Kowboy (ML 9-5)
# 6 Dreamcatcher (ML 10-1)
# 7 Oh Newman (ML 6-1)
# 8 Dare to Enter (ML 4-1)
# 7 Oh Newman (ML 6-1)
# 8 Dare to Enter (ML 4-1)
C's
None
This contest is restricted to horses that have either not won two races since June 23, 2018 or which have never won four races in their career. Note that races where the claiming price was $2.5k or less don't count towards either total. For the record, Most Determined, Seeking Bea, and Dare to Enter are the three runners in this field with fewer than four victories. Also note that Arizona breds would cost an extra $1.5k to claim if there were any in the field; but there aren't.
Chaska won at this level last time out, and it would be quite understandable if one was to make Chaska a big ticket single here. However, I decided to go in the opposite direction. I think that Chaska is going to face a lot more early pressure today than he did last time out; and while he might still win, I think that the probability of an early pace meltdown is high enough to go with the possibility that this could turn into a chaos race. So everyone into the pool!
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 8 with 6 with 5 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,6,7 with 7,8 with 6,7 with ALL $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,4,5 with 8 with 6 with 5 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 1,2,3,4,5,6 with 6 with 5 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 8 with 1,2,3,4,5,8 with 5 $3.00
Total: $57.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 4:44 EST / 1:44 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, December 22, 2018
12/22/18 Turf Paradise Late Pick Four - Results
Race 5 - # 2 Kalsa (Final Odds 0.40*) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 1 Dynamic Response (0.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 4 Highsnobity (5.50) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 4 Wally's Got Class (4.00) - "C" Selection
Did I come close to catching The Late Pick Four Saturday? Well, perhaps; if you use a very generous definition of close. Had my "A" Selection in either the third or fourth leg come through, then, yes, I would have cashed instead of trashed my tickets. But while both of my "A" Selections took the Place in their respective contests, neither one really threatened the winner at the wire; as the two finished a combined nine lengths in back of the victor.
Oh well; onto the next race.
For the record, here is the $0.50 Will Pay for the runner to which I would have cashed in the nightcap:
# 3 Toccet's Charm (2.90*) - $43.75 Finish: 2nd
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 2 / 1 / 4 / 4 were rewarded with a payout of $49.20 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 6 - # 1 Dynamic Response (0.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 4 Highsnobity (5.50) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 4 Wally's Got Class (4.00) - "C" Selection
Did I come close to catching The Late Pick Four Saturday? Well, perhaps; if you use a very generous definition of close. Had my "A" Selection in either the third or fourth leg come through, then, yes, I would have cashed instead of trashed my tickets. But while both of my "A" Selections took the Place in their respective contests, neither one really threatened the winner at the wire; as the two finished a combined nine lengths in back of the victor.
Oh well; onto the next race.
For the record, here is the $0.50 Will Pay for the runner to which I would have cashed in the nightcap:
# 3 Toccet's Charm (2.90*) - $43.75 Finish: 2nd
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 2 / 1 / 4 / 4 were rewarded with a payout of $49.20 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/22/18 Turf Paradise Late Pick Four - Preview
It's the weekend before Christmas, and there's no thoroughbred racing in California. And I was certainly tempted to just give myself a weekend off; but what fun is that? So as I did last weekend, I'm taking my action to Arizona, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Turf Paradise.
RACE 5 - (F) Md $5k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Kalsa (Morning Line 4-5)
B's
# 7 Windi's Moment (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Misterkaplan (ML 4-1)
# 3 Sister Sienna (ML 6-1)
# 4 Scott for Her (ML 20-1)
# 5 Faith in Excess (ML 20-1)
# 6 Grinanbareit (ML 20-1)
# 8 Miss Dilly Dally (ML 20-1)
Note that the claiming price for Arizona breds in this contest is $6.25k. At least, it would be if there were any Arizona breds in this contest.
Kalsa took the Show last time out in her first race outside Southern California. Windi's Moment took the Show at this class level last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 6 - Alw 3500s - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Dynamic Response (ML 6-5)
B’s
# 3 Kickenit (ML 5-1)
# 5 Passed Due (ML 12-1)
# 6 Norm's Place (ML 9-2)
C's
# 2 Packy's Out (ML 6-1)
# 4 Brilliant Mike (ML 15-1)
# 7 McCallum (ML 5-1)
# 8 Cheap O Charlie (ML 15-1)
This is almost a typical Starter Allowance, as any runner that has started for a claiming price of $3.5k or less either this year or last is eligible to run here. But there is a catch: a runner must be winless on the grass in order to be entered in this contest. All these entrants are turf maidens.
Dynamic Response was within a length of the winner at the wire on this turf course at this class level last time out, with Kickenit taking the Show behind him. Passed Due and Norm's Place were also in that contest; and while Passed Due and Norm's Place both finished well back last time out, they have both run well on the turf in the past. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $3.5k N2L - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Wacky Jackie (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 10 Heartofthetemple (ML 5-2)
C's
# 2 Jazz Night (ML 15-1)
# 4 Highsnobity (ML 12-1)
# 5 Kolocha (ML 10-1)
# 7 Nang Noi (ML 5-1)
# 8 Offended (ML 30-1)
# 9 Show Me Bofum (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 6 One Hot Navigator (ML 6-1)
EDIT: Also scratch # 1 Lunar Party (ML 15-1)
No higher price tag in this race for Arizona breds. Wacky Jackie and Heartofthetemple both disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in separate contests while taking the Place at this class level last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 8 - Clm $3k N2Y - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Toccet's Charm (ML 4-1)
B's
# 6 Sir Matador (ML 6-1)
# 10 Three Padres (ML 10-1)
C's
# 1 Deputy Command (ML 20-1)
# 4 Wally's Got Class (ML 6-1)
# 5 Fort Cady (ML 5-1)
# 7 Take a Risk (ML 20-1)
# 8 Purple Sky (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 2 Hat in the Ring (ML 20-1) and # 9 American League (ML 3-1)
This contest is restricted to horses that have not won two races since June 22, 2018; but races where the claiming price was $2.5k or less don't count. Also note that, as with Race 7 above, Arizona breds are up for sale for the same claiming price as all the other entrants.
Toccet's Charm and Sir Matador filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. Three Padres could rebound to a better effort going third off the layoff. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2 with 1 with 3 with 3 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,7 with 1,3,5,6 with 3,10 with 3,6,10 $24.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,3,4,5,6,8 with 1 with 3 with 3 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 2,4,7,8 with 3 with 3 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 1 with 2,4,5,7,8,9 with 3 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 1 with 3 with 1,4,5,7,8 $2.50
Total: $35.50
Post Time for Race 5 is 4:44 EST / 1:44 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 5 - (F) Md $5k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Kalsa (Morning Line 4-5)
B's
# 7 Windi's Moment (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Misterkaplan (ML 4-1)
# 3 Sister Sienna (ML 6-1)
# 4 Scott for Her (ML 20-1)
# 5 Faith in Excess (ML 20-1)
# 6 Grinanbareit (ML 20-1)
# 8 Miss Dilly Dally (ML 20-1)
Note that the claiming price for Arizona breds in this contest is $6.25k. At least, it would be if there were any Arizona breds in this contest.
Kalsa took the Show last time out in her first race outside Southern California. Windi's Moment took the Show at this class level last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 6 - Alw 3500s - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Dynamic Response (ML 6-5)
B’s
# 3 Kickenit (ML 5-1)
# 5 Passed Due (ML 12-1)
# 6 Norm's Place (ML 9-2)
C's
# 2 Packy's Out (ML 6-1)
# 4 Brilliant Mike (ML 15-1)
# 7 McCallum (ML 5-1)
# 8 Cheap O Charlie (ML 15-1)
This is almost a typical Starter Allowance, as any runner that has started for a claiming price of $3.5k or less either this year or last is eligible to run here. But there is a catch: a runner must be winless on the grass in order to be entered in this contest. All these entrants are turf maidens.
Dynamic Response was within a length of the winner at the wire on this turf course at this class level last time out, with Kickenit taking the Show behind him. Passed Due and Norm's Place were also in that contest; and while Passed Due and Norm's Place both finished well back last time out, they have both run well on the turf in the past. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $3.5k N2L - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Wacky Jackie (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 10 Heartofthetemple (ML 5-2)
C's
# 2 Jazz Night (ML 15-1)
# 4 Highsnobity (ML 12-1)
# 5 Kolocha (ML 10-1)
# 7 Nang Noi (ML 5-1)
# 8 Offended (ML 30-1)
# 9 Show Me Bofum (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 6 One Hot Navigator (ML 6-1)
EDIT: Also scratch # 1 Lunar Party (ML 15-1)
No higher price tag in this race for Arizona breds. Wacky Jackie and Heartofthetemple both disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in separate contests while taking the Place at this class level last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 8 - Clm $3k N2Y - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Toccet's Charm (ML 4-1)
B's
# 6 Sir Matador (ML 6-1)
# 10 Three Padres (ML 10-1)
C's
# 1 Deputy Command (ML 20-1)
# 4 Wally's Got Class (ML 6-1)
# 5 Fort Cady (ML 5-1)
# 7 Take a Risk (ML 20-1)
# 8 Purple Sky (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 2 Hat in the Ring (ML 20-1) and # 9 American League (ML 3-1)
This contest is restricted to horses that have not won two races since June 22, 2018; but races where the claiming price was $2.5k or less don't count. Also note that, as with Race 7 above, Arizona breds are up for sale for the same claiming price as all the other entrants.
Toccet's Charm and Sir Matador filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. Three Padres could rebound to a better effort going third off the layoff. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2 with 1 with 3 with 3 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,7 with 1,3,5,6 with 3,10 with 3,6,10 $24.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,3,4,5,6,8 with 1 with 3 with 3 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 2,4,7,8 with 3 with 3 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 1 with 2,4,5,7,8,9 with 3 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 1 with 3 with 1,4,5,7,8 $2.50
Total: $35.50
Post Time for Race 5 is 4:44 EST / 1:44 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, December 16, 2018
12/16/18 Turf Paradise Late Pick Four - Results
Race 5 - # 1 All Trumped Up (Final Odds 1.20*) - "B" Selection
Race 6 - # 4 Maddymax (1.80) - "C" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Appellant (4.10) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Pete's Stew (2.20*) - "A" Selection
I was right to be cautious about # 7 Play Nice (1.60*) in the second leg, as evidenced by her seventh place finish; so good for me. However, not including Maddymax on the big ticket in that same leg was a terrible blunder, as Maddymax fit a well known pattern of finishing in the Trifecta off a layoff, regressing in her second start off said layoff, and then rebounding Sunday in her third start off the vacation. So I made a mistake and it cost me, as Sunday became a day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 1 / 4 / 6 / 1 were rewarded with a payout of $93.30 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 6 - # 4 Maddymax (1.80) - "C" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Appellant (4.10) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Pete's Stew (2.20*) - "A" Selection
I was right to be cautious about # 7 Play Nice (1.60*) in the second leg, as evidenced by her seventh place finish; so good for me. However, not including Maddymax on the big ticket in that same leg was a terrible blunder, as Maddymax fit a well known pattern of finishing in the Trifecta off a layoff, regressing in her second start off said layoff, and then rebounding Sunday in her third start off the vacation. So I made a mistake and it cost me, as Sunday became a day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 1 / 4 / 6 / 1 were rewarded with a payout of $93.30 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/16/18 Turf Paradise Late Pick Four - Preview
It's Sunday, and unlike yesterday a distaff contest has made its way into the final four races in Arizona. And that's all I have by way of introduction. So let's just get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Turf Paradise.
RACE 5 - Clm $8.5k N3L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Gee for Three (Morning Line 9-2)
B’s
# 1 All Trumped Up (ML 8-5)
# 7 Thorny Issue (ML 3-1)
C's
# 4 Sneaky Meek (ML 10-1)
# 5 A. F. Indy (ML 6-1)
# 6 His Way (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 2 Giro Candito (ML 5-1)
An interesting note is that it costs an extra fifteen hundred dollars to claim All Trumped Up in this contest, because he's an Arizona bred. Gee for Three and the aforementioned All Trumped Up filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. Thorny Issue missed the winner's circle by a neck at this class level last time out, albeit on the grass. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $4k B - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Play Nice (ML 6-5)
B's
# 5 Heartwrecker (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Right to the Point (ML 10-1)
# 2 Tinderette (ML 6-1)
# 3 Aikaman's Girl (ML 12-1)
# 4 Maddymax (ML 4-1)
# 6 Coastal Curves (ML 15-1)
# 8 Red Storm Rising (ML 30-1)
This contest is restricted to fillies or mares which have either:
1) Not won a race since September 16, 2018; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
Excepting claiming races for $3k or less; they don't count.
So as long as a filly or mare has fewer than four career Wins, she's eligible to run in this race. If a filly or mare has four career Wins or more, than none of those Wins could have been since 9/16/2018 in order for her to be entered here. For the record, Red Storm Rising is the only entrant here that has visited the winner's circle fewer than four times. Oh, and the claiming price for Arizona breds in this contest is five grand rather than four; but since there are no Arizona breds running in this race, that really doesn't matter.
Play Nice should probably be a big ticket single here; but I tend to be cautious when a runner is switching barns to a trainer with a lower winning percentage. So I'm doubling the cost of my big ticket by including Heartwrecker, who took the Place at this class level last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - Clm $15k N3L - Seven and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Kona Dreams (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 6 Appellant (ML 4-1)
# 7 So Be It (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Peacock Cowboy (ML 5-1)
# 3 First to the Wire (ML 15-1)
# 4 C C Express (ML 6-1)
# 5 Hustle and Bustle (ML 8-1)
The conditions allow that you can trade claiming price for weight; every two pounds shed will lower the price tag on your runner by twenty-five hundred; but you can't go lower than a claiming price of ten grand. First to the Wire is the only entrant here to take that option; so First to the Wire will carry 118 pounds in exchange for being on the market for $10k. Oh, and the claiming price for Arizona breds is $20k here; but there are no Arizona breds here.
Kona Dreams ships in from California and should appreciate the class relief. Jockeys Scott Stevens and Francisco Arrieta look to be the most successful turf riders on this circuit; so their runners (Appellant and So Be It, respectively) go on the big ticket as well. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $3k B - Four and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Pete's Slew (ML 3-1)
B's
# 7 Unbridled Venture (ML 4-1)
# 9 Hidden Gun (ML 6-1)
# 10 Rosat (ML 9-2)
C's
# 2 K L S Forty Three (ML 8-1)
# 3 Nicolas Cajun (ML 20-1)
# 6 Valentine Party (ML 15-1)
# 8 Bases Loaded (ML 10-1)
# 11 Mo Rock (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 4 Tale of Beaucette (ML 7-2); # 5 Duplicate Copy (ML 20-1); and # 12 Triunfo (ML 20-1). Bring in Mo Rock off the Also Eligible List.
This contest is restricted to runners which have either:
1) Not won a race since June 16, 2018; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
Excepting claiming races for $2.5k or less; they don't count.
So as long as a horse has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race. If a horse has four career Wins or more, than none of those Wins could have been since 6/16/2018 in order for him to be entered here. For the record, Nicolas Cajun and Rosat are the only entrants here that have visited the winner's circle fewer than four times. Oh, and the claiming price for Arizona breds in this contest is the same as it is for everyone else; so if you want to buy Arizona breds Hidden Gun or Mo Rock, it will cost you the same three grand that all the other entrants cost.
Pete's Slew could move up with the class drop. Unbridled Venture fits well here on class, though Unbridled Venture may need a race off the layoff. Conversely, Hidden Gun could be ready to roll off the extended vacation, as Trainer Edward Kereluk tends to do well with such.
Rosat is trying to make it two in a row while moving up in class; Trainer Eliazar Salas is often successful when placing his last out winners. All other entrants are being used as backup "C" Selections.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3 with 7 with 2 with 1 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,3,7 with 5,7 with 2,6,7 with 1,7,9,10 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,5,6 with 7 with 2 with 1 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 1,2,3,4,6,8 with 2 with 1 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 7 with 1,3,4,5 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 7 with 2 with 2,3,6,8,11 $2.50
Total: $46.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 4:40 EST / 1:40 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 5 - Clm $8.5k N3L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Gee for Three (Morning Line 9-2)
B’s
# 1 All Trumped Up (ML 8-5)
# 7 Thorny Issue (ML 3-1)
C's
# 4 Sneaky Meek (ML 10-1)
# 5 A. F. Indy (ML 6-1)
# 6 His Way (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 2 Giro Candito (ML 5-1)
An interesting note is that it costs an extra fifteen hundred dollars to claim All Trumped Up in this contest, because he's an Arizona bred. Gee for Three and the aforementioned All Trumped Up filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. Thorny Issue missed the winner's circle by a neck at this class level last time out, albeit on the grass. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $4k B - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Play Nice (ML 6-5)
B's
# 5 Heartwrecker (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Right to the Point (ML 10-1)
# 2 Tinderette (ML 6-1)
# 3 Aikaman's Girl (ML 12-1)
# 4 Maddymax (ML 4-1)
# 6 Coastal Curves (ML 15-1)
# 8 Red Storm Rising (ML 30-1)
This contest is restricted to fillies or mares which have either:
1) Not won a race since September 16, 2018; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
Excepting claiming races for $3k or less; they don't count.
So as long as a filly or mare has fewer than four career Wins, she's eligible to run in this race. If a filly or mare has four career Wins or more, than none of those Wins could have been since 9/16/2018 in order for her to be entered here. For the record, Red Storm Rising is the only entrant here that has visited the winner's circle fewer than four times. Oh, and the claiming price for Arizona breds in this contest is five grand rather than four; but since there are no Arizona breds running in this race, that really doesn't matter.
Play Nice should probably be a big ticket single here; but I tend to be cautious when a runner is switching barns to a trainer with a lower winning percentage. So I'm doubling the cost of my big ticket by including Heartwrecker, who took the Place at this class level last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - Clm $15k N3L - Seven and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Kona Dreams (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 6 Appellant (ML 4-1)
# 7 So Be It (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Peacock Cowboy (ML 5-1)
# 3 First to the Wire (ML 15-1)
# 4 C C Express (ML 6-1)
# 5 Hustle and Bustle (ML 8-1)
The conditions allow that you can trade claiming price for weight; every two pounds shed will lower the price tag on your runner by twenty-five hundred; but you can't go lower than a claiming price of ten grand. First to the Wire is the only entrant here to take that option; so First to the Wire will carry 118 pounds in exchange for being on the market for $10k. Oh, and the claiming price for Arizona breds is $20k here; but there are no Arizona breds here.
Kona Dreams ships in from California and should appreciate the class relief. Jockeys Scott Stevens and Francisco Arrieta look to be the most successful turf riders on this circuit; so their runners (Appellant and So Be It, respectively) go on the big ticket as well. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $3k B - Four and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Pete's Slew (ML 3-1)
B's
# 7 Unbridled Venture (ML 4-1)
# 9 Hidden Gun (ML 6-1)
# 10 Rosat (ML 9-2)
C's
# 2 K L S Forty Three (ML 8-1)
# 3 Nicolas Cajun (ML 20-1)
# 6 Valentine Party (ML 15-1)
# 8 Bases Loaded (ML 10-1)
# 11 Mo Rock (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 4 Tale of Beaucette (ML 7-2); # 5 Duplicate Copy (ML 20-1); and # 12 Triunfo (ML 20-1). Bring in Mo Rock off the Also Eligible List.
This contest is restricted to runners which have either:
1) Not won a race since June 16, 2018; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
Excepting claiming races for $2.5k or less; they don't count.
So as long as a horse has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race. If a horse has four career Wins or more, than none of those Wins could have been since 6/16/2018 in order for him to be entered here. For the record, Nicolas Cajun and Rosat are the only entrants here that have visited the winner's circle fewer than four times. Oh, and the claiming price for Arizona breds in this contest is the same as it is for everyone else; so if you want to buy Arizona breds Hidden Gun or Mo Rock, it will cost you the same three grand that all the other entrants cost.
Pete's Slew could move up with the class drop. Unbridled Venture fits well here on class, though Unbridled Venture may need a race off the layoff. Conversely, Hidden Gun could be ready to roll off the extended vacation, as Trainer Edward Kereluk tends to do well with such.
Rosat is trying to make it two in a row while moving up in class; Trainer Eliazar Salas is often successful when placing his last out winners. All other entrants are being used as backup "C" Selections.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3 with 7 with 2 with 1 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,3,7 with 5,7 with 2,6,7 with 1,7,9,10 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,5,6 with 7 with 2 with 1 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 1,2,3,4,6,8 with 2 with 1 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 7 with 1,3,4,5 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 7 with 2 with 2,3,6,8,11 $2.50
Total: $46.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 4:40 EST / 1:40 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, December 15, 2018
12/15/18 Turf Paradise Late Pick Four - Results
Race 5 - # 2 Levitation (Final Odds 0.90*) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 10 Batti Man (Arg) (4.30) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 7 Cleanup Hitter (11.70) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 4 Put Your Pants On (3.90) - "B" Selection
In the third leg, "A" Selection # 1 Bourque (3.40) out-battled "B" Selection # 6 Wise Curlin (2.70*) through the early going to obtain a solid two and a half length lead in the stretch; but Bourque's defense wasn't solid enough, as he couldn't keep Cleanup Hitter from getting past him and scoring the win in Race 7.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 2 / 10 / 7 / 4 were rewarded with a payout of $465.30 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 6 - # 10 Batti Man (Arg) (4.30) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 7 Cleanup Hitter (11.70) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 4 Put Your Pants On (3.90) - "B" Selection
In the third leg, "A" Selection # 1 Bourque (3.40) out-battled "B" Selection # 6 Wise Curlin (2.70*) through the early going to obtain a solid two and a half length lead in the stretch; but Bourque's defense wasn't solid enough, as he couldn't keep Cleanup Hitter from getting past him and scoring the win in Race 7.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 2 / 10 / 7 / 4 were rewarded with a payout of $465.30 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/15/18 Turf Paradise Late Pick Four - Preview
So Golden Gate is done until Boxing Day, and I'm still priced out of Los Alamitos. So what to do? Well, a nice rest is certainly a very tempting possibility; and I may choose to explore that option next weekend. But for the next two days I decided to shift my action one time zone to the east. So with that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at Turf Paradise.
RACE 5 - OC 16k/N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Levitation (Morning Line 2-1)
B’s
# 7 Satellite Storm (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Fire the Trainer (ML 5-1)
# 3 La Waun (ML 7-2)
# 4 London Legacy (ML 5-2)
# 5 Blow My Mind (ML 12-1)
# 6 Sure Sweet (ML 12-1)
Levitation could improve with the return to the main track, and there should be enough pace here for Levitation to chase. Satellite Storm ran quite well in his contest over this main track last time out, and Satellite Storm projects to be forwardly placed.
London Legacy certainly deserves consideration here; but ultimately I decided that his effort last time out combined with his most recent works suggest that London Legacy may not be in top form, and perhaps could use a bit of a freshening. Sure Sweet is another that I gave some thought to including on the big ticket; but I didn't like Sure Sweet's most recent efforts when going beyond five and a half furlongs. So if you've got the budget, you might want to give either or both of those runners more prominence in your play; but for me, I'll be using them along with the rest of this field as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 6 - Clm $3k N2Y - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Bold Charmat (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 8 The Natural (ML 3-1)
# 10 Batti Man (Arg) (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 McCallum (ML 5-1)
# 2 He's Very Rare (ML 9-2)
# 3 Senor Grits (ML 15-1)
# 4 Stax on Stacks (ML 20-1)
# 5 Ton Eighty (ML 10-1)
# 6 My Majesty (ML 15-1)
# 7 Karaoke Cat (ML 20-1)
The cutoff date to qualify for this contest is July 15, 2018. So as long as your runner hasn't won two races since July 15, 2018 (excepting claiming races for $2.5k or less; they don't count, so you could've won as many of those as you wanted) you're good to go.
RACE 5 - OC 16k/N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Levitation (Morning Line 2-1)
B’s
# 7 Satellite Storm (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Fire the Trainer (ML 5-1)
# 3 La Waun (ML 7-2)
# 4 London Legacy (ML 5-2)
# 5 Blow My Mind (ML 12-1)
# 6 Sure Sweet (ML 12-1)
Levitation could improve with the return to the main track, and there should be enough pace here for Levitation to chase. Satellite Storm ran quite well in his contest over this main track last time out, and Satellite Storm projects to be forwardly placed.
London Legacy certainly deserves consideration here; but ultimately I decided that his effort last time out combined with his most recent works suggest that London Legacy may not be in top form, and perhaps could use a bit of a freshening. Sure Sweet is another that I gave some thought to including on the big ticket; but I didn't like Sure Sweet's most recent efforts when going beyond five and a half furlongs. So if you've got the budget, you might want to give either or both of those runners more prominence in your play; but for me, I'll be using them along with the rest of this field as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 6 - Clm $3k N2Y - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Bold Charmat (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 8 The Natural (ML 3-1)
# 10 Batti Man (Arg) (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 McCallum (ML 5-1)
# 2 He's Very Rare (ML 9-2)
# 3 Senor Grits (ML 15-1)
# 4 Stax on Stacks (ML 20-1)
# 5 Ton Eighty (ML 10-1)
# 6 My Majesty (ML 15-1)
# 7 Karaoke Cat (ML 20-1)
The cutoff date to qualify for this contest is July 15, 2018. So as long as your runner hasn't won two races since July 15, 2018 (excepting claiming races for $2.5k or less; they don't count, so you could've won as many of those as you wanted) you're good to go.
Bold Charmat enters this contest having won three of his last four races, albeit against lesser competition. The Natural disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out, and could benefit from the class relief. Batti Man (Arg) ran well in his return last time out, and Batti Man's work on 12/4 suggests that he's ready to do it again. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - OC 10k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Bourque (ML 9-2)
B’s
# 6 Wise Curlin (ML 7-2)
# 8 Hot Bobby (ML 3-1)
# 9 Union Riches (ML 5-1)
C's
# 2 Pulpits Power (ML 15-1)
# 4 Cross Creek (ML 10-1)
# 5 One Stop Shop (ML 6-1)
# 5 One Stop Shop (ML 6-1)
# 7 Cleanup Hitter (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 3 Gato Guapo (ML 6-1); but don't bring in # 10 Fritz Johansen (ML 5-2) off the Also Eligible List, because he's scratched too.
Bourque has run well in each of his last three turf routes, and Bourque was within a length of the winner at the wire at this class level last time out. Wise Curlin was victorious in his first try over this turf course last time out, and Wise Curlin could improve on that effort with the added distance.
Hot Bobby took the Show at this class level last time out. Union Riches could improve going third off the freshening; though it would be understandable if you chose to drop Union Riches from your main ticket, as it seems that Hot Bobby has Union Riches' number. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - Clm $4k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Oil (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 4 Put Your Pants On (ML 7-2)
# 6 Brave Action (ML 20-1)
C's
# 1 Runn'n Rebel (ML 12-1)
# 2 Awesome E K (ML 5-1)
# 3 Last One Standing (ML 6-1)
# 2 Awesome E K (ML 5-1)
# 3 Last One Standing (ML 6-1)
# 5 Oopper Wallah (ML 10-1)
# 7 Natural Marina (ML 15-1)
# 9 No EZ Money (ML 20-1)
# 10 Unleash the Beast (ML 20-1)
# 11 Mark Ye Well (ML 9-2)
# 11 Mark Ye Well (ML 9-2)
Oil is getting some significant class relief here, and Oil could prove to be the speed of the speed in this field. Put Your Pants On and Brave Action filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this approximate class level last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2 with 9 with 1 with 8 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,7 with 8,9,10 with 1,6,8,9 with 4,6,8 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,3,4,5,6 with 9 with 1 with 8 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 2 with 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 with 1 with 8 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 2 with 9 with 2,4,5,7 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 9 with 1 with 1,2,3,5,7,9,10,11 $4.00
Total: $49.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 4:40 EST / 1:40 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, January 8, 2017
1/8/17 Turf Paradise Pick Five - Results
Race 4 - # 9 Angelnaule (Final Odds 2.20) - "C" Selection
Race 5 - # 6 Carson's Start (58.20) - No Selection
Race 6 - # 7 Lookin Awesome (4.90) - No Selection
Race 7 - # 3 Profound Visionary (1.00*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 7 Velocita (2.30*) - "A" Selection
Excluding his turn at Quarter Horsing on December 3, Carson's Start had finished 8th, 6th, 8th, and 7th in his four most recent races prior to today, all at today's class level. It's therefore understandable that we would overlook him when filling out our tickets. It's somewhat more difficult to justify not using Lookin Awesome in our play, as Lookin Awesome had taken the Show in his most recent race prior to today, at today's class level; and finishing in the Trifecta at today's class level in their most recent start is an angle that we love to use.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Five sequence of 9 / 6 / 7 / 3 / 7 were non-existent. Nobody had the correct Pick Five sequence today, making for a carryover of $3,419 into Monday's Pick Five Pool. Those who correctly picked four out of five were rewarded with a payout of $59.95 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 5 - # 6 Carson's Start (58.20) - No Selection
Race 6 - # 7 Lookin Awesome (4.90) - No Selection
Race 7 - # 3 Profound Visionary (1.00*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 7 Velocita (2.30*) - "A" Selection
Excluding his turn at Quarter Horsing on December 3, Carson's Start had finished 8th, 6th, 8th, and 7th in his four most recent races prior to today, all at today's class level. It's therefore understandable that we would overlook him when filling out our tickets. It's somewhat more difficult to justify not using Lookin Awesome in our play, as Lookin Awesome had taken the Show in his most recent race prior to today, at today's class level; and finishing in the Trifecta at today's class level in their most recent start is an angle that we love to use.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Five sequence of 9 / 6 / 7 / 3 / 7 were non-existent. Nobody had the correct Pick Five sequence today, making for a carryover of $3,419 into Monday's Pick Five Pool. Those who correctly picked four out of five were rewarded with a payout of $59.95 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
1/8/17 Turf Paradise Pick Five - Preview
I decided to give the surface at Santa Anita another day to dry out; and, based upon the defections from Sunday's Grade 2 Santa Ynez (among them Noted and Quoted) it appears that I'm not the only one with serious concerns regarding how that track will play. So with that, let's keep our action in Phoenix, as we take another run at The Pick Five at Turf Paradise.
RACE 4 - (F) Md $5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Daddy Please (Morning Line 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Flashy Gold (ML 9-2)
# 9 Angelnaule (ML 5-2)
Daddy Please ships in from SoCal to make her first start for Owner/Trainer Val Brienkerhoff, who tends to do well with such. Flashy Gold has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last two starts. Angelnaule drops in class while stretching out to two turns on the main track for the first time.
RACE 5 - Clm $3k N2Y - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Five Star Bert (ML 3-1)
# 3 Hush My Mouth (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 1 Another Bumper (ML 20-1)
# 7 Zoe's Cajun (ML 6-1)
# 9 Airborne Mark (ML 5-2)
# 11 Anillo (ML 7-2)
C's
# 8 Mr Red R (ML 12-1)
The cutoff date to qualify for this contest is July 8, 2016. So as long as you haven't won two races since July 8, 2016 (excepting claiming races for $2.5k or less; they don't count, so you could've won as many of those as you wanted) you're good to go.
Five Star Bert took the Show at this class level last time out, disappointing as the Post Time Favorite. Hush My Mouth made a nice move forward last time out, and Trainer Stetson Rushton tends to do well when placing his last out winners.
Another Bumper and Zoe's Cajun took the Place and Show (respectively) at this class level over this main track last month. Airborne Mark moves up in class after winning by as many as he wanted last time out. Anillo took the Show at this class level last time out, and beat Airborne Mark to the wire by three lengths two starts back. Mr Red R could improve going second off the layoff.
RACE 6 - Clm $3.5k N3L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Awesome Addback (ML 5-2)
B's
# 6 Tavern Law (ML 4-1)
# 10 Grand Sunset (ML 3-1)
C's
# 8 Roll Westward (ML 20-1)
# 9 Significat (ML 5-1)
Awesome Addback moves up in class after winning by daylight for Trainer Robertino Diodoro last time out. Tavern Law and Grand Sunset dead heated for the Place at this class level last time out.
Roll Westward could have things all his own way during the early stages of this contest. Significat may or may not have been injured last time out. If Significat is in his usual form, then he fits well with the contenders here.
RACE 7 - Clm $3k B - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Profound Visionary (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 6 Joint Tenant (ML 7-2)
# 7 My T Quick (ML 8-1)
This contest is restricted to runners which have either:
1) Not won a race since July 8, 2016; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
Excepting claiming races for $2.5k or less; they don't count.
So as long as a horse has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race. If a horse has four career Wins or more, than none of those Wins could have been since 7/8/2016 in order for the horse to be entered here.
Profound Visionary made a big move forward last time out in his first try over this main track for Trainer Robertino Diodoro. Joint Tenant has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last three starts. My T Quick gets some class relief, as well as a change in rider.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $3k N1Y - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Velocita (ML 8-1)
B’s
# 4 Sour Girl (ML 6-1)
# 5 No Slippahs (ML 6-1)
# 9 Surf Queen (ML 30-1)
C's
# 2 Lostinthismoment (ML 3-1)
# 3 Key Affair (ML 4-1)
# 8 Just After Sunset (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 11 Thunder Citation (ML 30-1)
The cutoff date to qualify for this contest is December 31, 2015. So as long as you haven't won a race so far this year, and didn't win one last year (excepting claiming races for $2.5k or less; they don't count, so you could've won as many of those as you wanted) you're good to go.
Velocita could move up with the increase in distance. Sour Girl took the Show at this class level last time out. No Slippahs has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last two starts on the main track, and could be the one running best late.
Surf Queen could move forward with a decent trip. Lostinthismoment has proven to be competitive at this class level. Key Affair could be the early leader if she gets a good break. Just After Sunset may be able to carry her early speed longer today.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P5: 7 with 2,3 with 3 with 3 with 7 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P5: 7 with 1,2,3,7,9,11 with 3,6,10 with 3 with 4,5,7,9 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P5: 2,9 with 2,3 with 3 with 3 with 7 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 7 with 8 with 3 with 3 with 7 $0.50
$0.50 P5: 7 with 2,3 with 8,9 with 3 with 7 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 7 with 2,3 with 3 with 6,7 with 7 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 7 with 2,3 with 3 with 3 with 2,3,8 $3.00
Total: $47.50
Post Time for Race 4 is 4:12 EST / 1:12 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 4 - (F) Md $5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Daddy Please (Morning Line 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Flashy Gold (ML 9-2)
# 9 Angelnaule (ML 5-2)
Daddy Please ships in from SoCal to make her first start for Owner/Trainer Val Brienkerhoff, who tends to do well with such. Flashy Gold has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last two starts. Angelnaule drops in class while stretching out to two turns on the main track for the first time.
RACE 5 - Clm $3k N2Y - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Five Star Bert (ML 3-1)
# 3 Hush My Mouth (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 1 Another Bumper (ML 20-1)
# 7 Zoe's Cajun (ML 6-1)
# 9 Airborne Mark (ML 5-2)
# 11 Anillo (ML 7-2)
C's
# 8 Mr Red R (ML 12-1)
The cutoff date to qualify for this contest is July 8, 2016. So as long as you haven't won two races since July 8, 2016 (excepting claiming races for $2.5k or less; they don't count, so you could've won as many of those as you wanted) you're good to go.
Five Star Bert took the Show at this class level last time out, disappointing as the Post Time Favorite. Hush My Mouth made a nice move forward last time out, and Trainer Stetson Rushton tends to do well when placing his last out winners.
Another Bumper and Zoe's Cajun took the Place and Show (respectively) at this class level over this main track last month. Airborne Mark moves up in class after winning by as many as he wanted last time out. Anillo took the Show at this class level last time out, and beat Airborne Mark to the wire by three lengths two starts back. Mr Red R could improve going second off the layoff.
RACE 6 - Clm $3.5k N3L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Awesome Addback (ML 5-2)
B's
# 6 Tavern Law (ML 4-1)
# 10 Grand Sunset (ML 3-1)
C's
# 8 Roll Westward (ML 20-1)
# 9 Significat (ML 5-1)
Awesome Addback moves up in class after winning by daylight for Trainer Robertino Diodoro last time out. Tavern Law and Grand Sunset dead heated for the Place at this class level last time out.
Roll Westward could have things all his own way during the early stages of this contest. Significat may or may not have been injured last time out. If Significat is in his usual form, then he fits well with the contenders here.
RACE 7 - Clm $3k B - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Profound Visionary (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 6 Joint Tenant (ML 7-2)
# 7 My T Quick (ML 8-1)
This contest is restricted to runners which have either:
1) Not won a race since July 8, 2016; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
Excepting claiming races for $2.5k or less; they don't count.
So as long as a horse has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race. If a horse has four career Wins or more, than none of those Wins could have been since 7/8/2016 in order for the horse to be entered here.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $3k N1Y - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Velocita (ML 8-1)
B’s
# 4 Sour Girl (ML 6-1)
# 5 No Slippahs (ML 6-1)
# 9 Surf Queen (ML 30-1)
C's
# 2 Lostinthismoment (ML 3-1)
# 3 Key Affair (ML 4-1)
# 8 Just After Sunset (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 11 Thunder Citation (ML 30-1)
The cutoff date to qualify for this contest is December 31, 2015. So as long as you haven't won a race so far this year, and didn't win one last year (excepting claiming races for $2.5k or less; they don't count, so you could've won as many of those as you wanted) you're good to go.
Velocita could move up with the increase in distance. Sour Girl took the Show at this class level last time out. No Slippahs has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last two starts on the main track, and could be the one running best late.
Surf Queen could move forward with a decent trip. Lostinthismoment has proven to be competitive at this class level. Key Affair could be the early leader if she gets a good break. Just After Sunset may be able to carry her early speed longer today.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P5: 7 with 2,3 with 3 with 3 with 7 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P5: 7 with 1,2,3,7,9,11 with 3,6,10 with 3 with 4,5,7,9 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P5: 2,9 with 2,3 with 3 with 3 with 7 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 7 with 8 with 3 with 3 with 7 $0.50
$0.50 P5: 7 with 2,3 with 8,9 with 3 with 7 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 7 with 2,3 with 3 with 6,7 with 7 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 7 with 2,3 with 3 with 3 with 2,3,8 $3.00
Total: $47.50
Post Time for Race 4 is 4:12 EST / 1:12 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, January 7, 2017
1/7/17 Turf Paradise Pick Five - Results
Race 4 - # 7 Blazonry's Song (Final Odds 6.30) - No Selection
Race 5 - # 1 Barn Party (2.60) - "B" Selection
Race 6 - # 3 Bullicious (1.70) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 8 Shrewd Move (2.70) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 9 Dance Floor Maniac (3.00*) - No Selection
We had the right idea in the opening leg, as we played against the odds-on Favorite, # 5 Inexcess Time (0.80*), by leaving him off our big ticket. Unfortunately, we played against him with the wrong selections, as we had no part of the winner in that contest.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Five sequence of 7 / 1 / 3 / 8 / 9 were rewarded with a payout of $1,069.70 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 5 - # 1 Barn Party (2.60) - "B" Selection
Race 6 - # 3 Bullicious (1.70) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 8 Shrewd Move (2.70) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 9 Dance Floor Maniac (3.00*) - No Selection
We had the right idea in the opening leg, as we played against the odds-on Favorite, # 5 Inexcess Time (0.80*), by leaving him off our big ticket. Unfortunately, we played against him with the wrong selections, as we had no part of the winner in that contest.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Five sequence of 7 / 1 / 3 / 8 / 9 were rewarded with a payout of $1,069.70 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
1/7/17 Turf Paradise Pick Five - Preview
It's a big day of racing at Santa Anita Saturday, with three Graded Stakes. Unfortunately, the rains have made a mess of the track, making playing the card in Arcadia unappealing (at least, to me). So for that reason we're going to shift our Saturday action to the east; but not too far east, as we take a run at The Pick Five at Turf Paradise.
RACE 4 - Clm $4k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Boozin Time (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 8 No Ez Money (ML 6-1)
C's
# 4 Cozy Bar (ML 4-1)
# 5 Inexcess Time (ML 8-5)
Boozin Time was within a length of the winner at the wire at this class level last time out, and could benefit from the reduction in real estate. No Ez Money has shown good early speed on the fake stuff in his last two races; that early speed should transfer well to a real dirt track.
Cozy Bar will be going for his third win in a row; and while he's in top form, it's fair to question how Cozy Bar will handle the stretchout combined with the move up in class. Inexcess Time has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of his last three races, and his form seems to be declining as he makes his way down the class ladder in search of victory. Still, Inexcess Time cannot be totally dismissed, as a return to the form that he showed in the Fall would make him a top contender here.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $5k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Wild Fibs (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 1 Barn Party (ML 5-2)
C's
# 6 Champion Risk (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 4 Copy Begone (ML 10-1)
Wild Fibs has finished in the Trifecta nine of the previous ten times that she has competed over this main track. Barn Party was victorious at this class level last time out. Champion Risk could move up on the class drop.
RACE 6 - (F) ALW N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 3 Bullicious (ML 5-2)
B's
# 9 Don't Tell Judy (ML 2-1)
C's
# 5 Entitled Star (ML 3-1)
# 8 Formal Choice (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 6 Starry Cielo (ML 20-1) and # 7 Bottle Dance (ML 6-1)
Bullicious has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last two starts. Don't Tell Judy tries winners for the first time after graduating by daylight last time out in her Turf Paradise debut.
Entitled Star could move forward in her return to one turn racing coupled with her first start on a Fast dirt track. Formal Choice could improve in her second start off the freshening.
RACE 7 - ALW NC - Five Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 3 Rockin Home (ML 2-1)
# 4 Castletown (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Alpine Luck (ML 5-2)
# 6 Mr Wild Kitty (ML 30-1)
# 8 Shrewd Move (ML 4-1)
Over at Turf Paradise's website it is noted that this contest is referred to as The Tom Metzen Classic Sprint Memorial. It is named in honor of the late President of the Arizona Horsemen’s Benevolent and Protective Association (HBPA), who also served in a similar HBPA capacity at Canterbury Park.
Rockin Home has finished in the Exacta against stakes competition in each of his last two starts. Castletown has won three of the four times that he has competed over this main track, and Trainer Robertino Diodoro tends to do well with runners returning from an extended vacation.
Alpine Luck, as trained by Diodoro, is a perfect three-for-three over this main track. Mr Wild Kitty could be the one running best late. Shrewd Move, shipping in from Kentucky, has done well in the past over this main track, and the sharp work on 12/17 suggests that he may be ready to do so again.
RACE 8 - Clm $6.25k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Luz Atticus (ML 15-1)
B’s
# 4 Marv (ML 20-1)
# 5 Timber Faller (ML 15-1)
# 8 Northern Contract (ML 5-1)
C's
# 3 Compete Everyday (ML 6-1)
# 12 Corsa Di Cavalli (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 10 Coastal Breeze (ML 4-1)
Luz Atticus took the Show against more expensive two starts back. Marv gets some much needed class relief. Timber Faller was a winner against more expensive up at Emerald Downs the last time that he competed on real dirt.
Northern Contract was within a length of the winner at the wire against more expensive last time out; but the added real estate Northern Contract has to cover today is a concern.
Compete Everyday was a winner at this class level last time out, albeit on the grass. Corsa Di Cavalli could move up in his second start off the layoff.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P5: 1 with 5 with 3 with 3,4 with 1 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P5: 1,8 with 1,5 with 3,9 with 3,4 with 1,4,5,8 $32.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P5: 4,5 with 5 with 3 with 3,4 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 1 with 6 with 3 with 3,4 with 1 $1.00
$0.50 P5: 1 with 5 with 5,8 with 3,4 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 1 with 5 with 3 with 2,6,8 with 1 $1.50
$0.50 P5: 1 with 5 with 3 with 3,4 with 3,12 $2.00
Total: $42.50
Post Time for Race 4 is 4:09 EST / 1:09 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 4 - Clm $4k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Boozin Time (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 8 No Ez Money (ML 6-1)
C's
# 4 Cozy Bar (ML 4-1)
# 5 Inexcess Time (ML 8-5)
Boozin Time was within a length of the winner at the wire at this class level last time out, and could benefit from the reduction in real estate. No Ez Money has shown good early speed on the fake stuff in his last two races; that early speed should transfer well to a real dirt track.
Cozy Bar will be going for his third win in a row; and while he's in top form, it's fair to question how Cozy Bar will handle the stretchout combined with the move up in class. Inexcess Time has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of his last three races, and his form seems to be declining as he makes his way down the class ladder in search of victory. Still, Inexcess Time cannot be totally dismissed, as a return to the form that he showed in the Fall would make him a top contender here.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $5k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Wild Fibs (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 1 Barn Party (ML 5-2)
C's
# 6 Champion Risk (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 4 Copy Begone (ML 10-1)
Wild Fibs has finished in the Trifecta nine of the previous ten times that she has competed over this main track. Barn Party was victorious at this class level last time out. Champion Risk could move up on the class drop.
RACE 6 - (F) ALW N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 3 Bullicious (ML 5-2)
B's
# 9 Don't Tell Judy (ML 2-1)
C's
# 5 Entitled Star (ML 3-1)
# 8 Formal Choice (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 6 Starry Cielo (ML 20-1) and # 7 Bottle Dance (ML 6-1)
Bullicious has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last two starts. Don't Tell Judy tries winners for the first time after graduating by daylight last time out in her Turf Paradise debut.
Entitled Star could move forward in her return to one turn racing coupled with her first start on a Fast dirt track. Formal Choice could improve in her second start off the freshening.
RACE 7 - ALW NC - Five Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 3 Rockin Home (ML 2-1)
# 4 Castletown (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Alpine Luck (ML 5-2)
# 6 Mr Wild Kitty (ML 30-1)
# 8 Shrewd Move (ML 4-1)
Over at Turf Paradise's website it is noted that this contest is referred to as The Tom Metzen Classic Sprint Memorial. It is named in honor of the late President of the Arizona Horsemen’s Benevolent and Protective Association (HBPA), who also served in a similar HBPA capacity at Canterbury Park.
Rockin Home has finished in the Exacta against stakes competition in each of his last two starts. Castletown has won three of the four times that he has competed over this main track, and Trainer Robertino Diodoro tends to do well with runners returning from an extended vacation.
Alpine Luck, as trained by Diodoro, is a perfect three-for-three over this main track. Mr Wild Kitty could be the one running best late. Shrewd Move, shipping in from Kentucky, has done well in the past over this main track, and the sharp work on 12/17 suggests that he may be ready to do so again.
RACE 8 - Clm $6.25k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Luz Atticus (ML 15-1)
B’s
# 4 Marv (ML 20-1)
# 5 Timber Faller (ML 15-1)
# 8 Northern Contract (ML 5-1)
C's
# 3 Compete Everyday (ML 6-1)
# 12 Corsa Di Cavalli (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 10 Coastal Breeze (ML 4-1)
Luz Atticus took the Show against more expensive two starts back. Marv gets some much needed class relief. Timber Faller was a winner against more expensive up at Emerald Downs the last time that he competed on real dirt.
Northern Contract was within a length of the winner at the wire against more expensive last time out; but the added real estate Northern Contract has to cover today is a concern.
Compete Everyday was a winner at this class level last time out, albeit on the grass. Corsa Di Cavalli could move up in his second start off the layoff.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P5: 1 with 5 with 3 with 3,4 with 1 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P5: 1,8 with 1,5 with 3,9 with 3,4 with 1,4,5,8 $32.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P5: 4,5 with 5 with 3 with 3,4 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 1 with 6 with 3 with 3,4 with 1 $1.00
$0.50 P5: 1 with 5 with 5,8 with 3,4 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 1 with 5 with 3 with 2,6,8 with 1 $1.50
$0.50 P5: 1 with 5 with 3 with 3,4 with 3,12 $2.00
Total: $42.50
Post Time for Race 4 is 4:09 EST / 1:09 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, March 6, 2016
3/6/16 Turf Paradise Pick Five - Results
Race 4 - # 2 Bruno's Wager (Final Odds 2.80) - "C" Selection
Race 5 - # 7 Kahuna Cat (7.50) - "B" Selection
Race 6 - # 5 Sherry Cagan (2.60) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 8 Blum Blim (1.70*) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 5 G T El Gato (0.70*) - "A" Selection
The public proved themselves much smarter than I in Race 7, betting as they did Blum Blim down to the Post Time Favorite from her Morning Line Odds of 9-2, while I couldn't find room for her anywhere on our tickets. But it was a moot point anyway, as we were already eliminated by that point due to my decision to use Bruno's Wager in the opening leg as a "C" Selection rather than as a "B" or an "A".
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Five sequence of 2 / 7 / 5 / 8 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $921.10 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 5 - # 7 Kahuna Cat (7.50) - "B" Selection
Race 6 - # 5 Sherry Cagan (2.60) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 8 Blum Blim (1.70*) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 5 G T El Gato (0.70*) - "A" Selection
The public proved themselves much smarter than I in Race 7, betting as they did Blum Blim down to the Post Time Favorite from her Morning Line Odds of 9-2, while I couldn't find room for her anywhere on our tickets. But it was a moot point anyway, as we were already eliminated by that point due to my decision to use Bruno's Wager in the opening leg as a "C" Selection rather than as a "B" or an "A".
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Five sequence of 2 / 7 / 5 / 8 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $921.10 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
3/6/16 Turf Paradise Pick Five - Preview
Long story short: rather than deal with the potential California rain storms Sunday, I thought I'd do something a little different and move my action a bit to the east and ride the excitement by taking a run at The Pick Five at Turf Paradise.
RACE 4 - Alw 3000s - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Sorullo (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 4 Zooks (ML 4-1)
C's
# 2 Bruno's Wager (ML 2-1)
Scratch # 3 Crown King (ML 9-2).
Note that there are no restrictions on this contest regarding career Wins; therefore, any horse who has started for $3k or less either this year or last is eligible to enter.
Sorullo missed the Winner's Circle at this class level last time out by just a head. Zooks enters this contest having won three of his last four starts, and Zooks' speed figures show a steadily increasing form. Bruno's Wager was victorious at this approximate class level two starts back.
RACE 5 - Md $5k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Aperitif (ML 8-1)
# 3 Tulsa Thunder (ML 5-2)
B's
# 2 Storm Survivor (ML 8-1)
# 6 Conspirator (ML 8-5)
# 7 Kahuna Cat (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Aperitif is a first time starter sired by Interactif, who won his debut back in July, 2009. Tulsa Thunder missed victory by less than two lengths at this class level back in January.
Storm Survivor is a first time starter who shows a steady workout pattern leading into this contest. Conspirator has the superior speed figures in this field, but a concern is that Conspirator has already had quite a few chances at this class level without getting the job done. Kahuna Cat showed good early speed last time out, and may benefit by having to cover less real estate today.
RACE 6 - (F) MOC 30k - Seven and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Foreststone (ML 5-2)
# 5 Sherry Cagan (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 7 Cruz'n Free (ML 12-1)
# 8 Suddenly Single (ML 10-1)
C's
RACE 4 - Alw 3000s - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Sorullo (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 4 Zooks (ML 4-1)
C's
# 2 Bruno's Wager (ML 2-1)
Scratch # 3 Crown King (ML 9-2).
Note that there are no restrictions on this contest regarding career Wins; therefore, any horse who has started for $3k or less either this year or last is eligible to enter.
Sorullo missed the Winner's Circle at this class level last time out by just a head. Zooks enters this contest having won three of his last four starts, and Zooks' speed figures show a steadily increasing form. Bruno's Wager was victorious at this approximate class level two starts back.
RACE 5 - Md $5k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Aperitif (ML 8-1)
# 3 Tulsa Thunder (ML 5-2)
B's
# 2 Storm Survivor (ML 8-1)
# 6 Conspirator (ML 8-5)
# 7 Kahuna Cat (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Aperitif is a first time starter sired by Interactif, who won his debut back in July, 2009. Tulsa Thunder missed victory by less than two lengths at this class level back in January.
Storm Survivor is a first time starter who shows a steady workout pattern leading into this contest. Conspirator has the superior speed figures in this field, but a concern is that Conspirator has already had quite a few chances at this class level without getting the job done. Kahuna Cat showed good early speed last time out, and may benefit by having to cover less real estate today.
RACE 6 - (F) MOC 30k - Seven and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Foreststone (ML 5-2)
# 5 Sherry Cagan (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 7 Cruz'n Free (ML 12-1)
# 8 Suddenly Single (ML 10-1)
C's
# 2 Chelokee's Gem (ML 2-1)
Scratch # 1 Our Lady of Knock (ML 8-1) and # 6 Petra's Bolt (ML 6-1).
Foreststone took the Place at this class level in her turf debut last time out. Sherry Cagan took the Show in each of her last two starts, both against non-claiming maidens.
Cruz'n Free showed good early speed on the turf last time out, and may benefit from today's shortened distance. Suddenly Single took the Show at this class level in her only prior turf start. Chelokee's Gem has proven to be competitive at this class level, but has also shown a propensity for settling for minor awards.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $3k N2Y - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Worthy Grapes (ML 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 3 Faith Under Fire (ML 5-1)
# 6 A P Pepper (ML 8-1)
# 7 Nervous Teller (ML 10-1)
This contest is for fillies and mares which have not won two races since September 6, 2015.
Worthy Grapes won by daylight the last time that she competed on a fast dirt track. Worthy Grapes has finished in the Exacta six of the ten times that she has competed on this main track.
Faith Under Fire took the Show at this class level last time out. A P Pepper may benefit from a nice stalking trip behind the early leaders. Nervous Teller projects to be the speed of the speed in this contest.
RACE 8 - Clm $8.5k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 G T El Gato (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 3 Funny Boy (ML 9-2)
C's
# 2 Rincon (ML 15-1)
# 4 Sondrio (ML 4-1)
# 6 Awesome Auggie (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 7 Wannablikegrandpa (ML 7-2)
G T El Gato took the Place at this class level last time out. Funny Boy returns to a more realistic class level. Rincon took the Place the last time that he competed at this class level.
Sondrio took the Show against more expensive two starts back. Awesome Auggie gets some much needed class relief.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P5: 7 with 1,3 with 4,5 with 2 with 5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P5: 4,7 with 1,2,3,6,7 with 4,5,7,8 with 2 with 3,5 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P5: 2 with 1,3 with 4,5 with 2 with 5 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 7 with 1,3 with 2 with 2 with 5 $1.00
$0.50 P5: 7 with 1,3 with 4,5 with 3,6,7 with 5 $6.00
$0.50 P5: 7 with 1,3 with 4,5 with 2 with 2,4,6 $6.00
Total: $59.00
Post Time for Race 4 is 4:54 EST / 1:54 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Wednesday, April 22, 2015
4/22/15 Turf Paradise Pick Five - Results
Race 4 - # 1 Mt. Rainbeau Girl (Final Odds 8.00) - No Selection
Race 5 - # 5 Truckin (3.00) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 2 I Am Awesome (1.50*) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Northern Poptart (6.60) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Mr. Goodfellow (14.20) - No Selection
We got our single home in Race 5; and he wasn't the Favorite to boot! That's an accomplishment worth dwelling on, as it was pretty much the only thing that went our way in this sequence. We lost photos in Race 4 and Race 7, as # 7 Tamka (0.30*) couldn't hold on in the former; while # 1 My Best Bet (1.00*) couldn't get there fast enough in the latter; and we had absolutely no part of the clear winner in the finale. So today was our day to contribute rather than collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Five sequence of 1 / 5 / 2 / 6 / 1 were non-existent, as nobody had the correct Pick Five sequence today. There will therefore be a carryover into Saturday's Pick Five pool of $17,249.01. Those who were able to correctly pick four of the five winners in the sequence were rewarded with a payout of $194.10 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 5 - # 5 Truckin (3.00) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 2 I Am Awesome (1.50*) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Northern Poptart (6.60) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Mr. Goodfellow (14.20) - No Selection
We got our single home in Race 5; and he wasn't the Favorite to boot! That's an accomplishment worth dwelling on, as it was pretty much the only thing that went our way in this sequence. We lost photos in Race 4 and Race 7, as # 7 Tamka (0.30*) couldn't hold on in the former; while # 1 My Best Bet (1.00*) couldn't get there fast enough in the latter; and we had absolutely no part of the clear winner in the finale. So today was our day to contribute rather than collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Five sequence of 1 / 5 / 2 / 6 / 1 were non-existent, as nobody had the correct Pick Five sequence today. There will therefore be a carryover into Saturday's Pick Five pool of $17,249.01. Those who were able to correctly pick four of the five winners in the sequence were rewarded with a payout of $194.10 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
4/22/15 Turf Paradise Pick Five - Preview
I've got a bunch of free time on my hands as I sit here watching paint dry (well, actually I'm waiting for some silicone to cure; but it's the same thing) so I figure let's have a mid-week special and take a run at The Pick Five at Turf Paradise.
RACE 4 - (F) Md $5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Cat's Reality Star (Morning Line 7-2)
# 7 Tamka (ML 6-5)
B's
None
RACE 4 - (F) Md $5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Cat's Reality Star (Morning Line 7-2)
# 7 Tamka (ML 6-5)
B's
None
Cat's Reality Star seems to settle for a lot of minor awards, a definite red flag; but she has proven to be competitive at both this class level and at today's distance. In addition, Cat's Reality Star has a late running style that may suit her well in this field that is saturated with early speed.
Tamka should probably be a single here; but the fact that her lowest lifetime Beyer Speed Figure (excluding her debut as a two year old) was earned the only prior time that she tried two turns suggests some caution here.
RACE 5 - Clm $3k N2Y - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Truckin (ML 5-2)
B's
None
This contest is restricted to horses that have not won two races since October 22, 2014. But races where the claiming price was $2.5k or less don't count; that's why # 7 At Last a Wildcat (ML 8-1), with two Wins in 2015, is eligible to enter this race; as his victory on February 8 came when he was running for a tag of $1.75k.
Truckin missed by just a neck over this main track at this class level last time out. Truckin is a lifetime four-for-fourteen at today's distance.
RACE 6 - Clm $6.25k - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Coach Royal (ML 5-2)
B's
# 2 I Am Awesome (ML 2-1)
# 5 Juniper Pass (ML 4-1)
Coach Royal has finished in the money at this class level in each of his last three starts. Coach Royal has finished in the money in each of his two tries at today's distance on the grass.
I Am Awesome was a clear winner on the main track last time out, earning a Beyer Speed Figure in the process that would probably win today if carried over to the turf. Juniper. winner of the Grade 2 San Juan Capistrano back in 2011, may still have enough gas in the tank to get the job done at this class level.
RACE 7 - Alw 3500s - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 My Best Bet (ML 2-1)
# 3 Relatively Correct (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 8 Elusive Moment (ML 7-2)
# 4 Inclined to Win (ML 10-1) has been scratched.
My Best Bet has finished in the money against open $10k claimers each of his last two times out. Relatively Correct was less than a length behind My Best Bet at the wire last time out. Elusive Moment enters today's contest with a two race winning streak.
RACE 8 - Clm $3k B - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Macias (ML 5-2)
# 7 Lord Calezaar (ML 9-5)
B's
# 6 Warren's Jeff G. (ML 8-1)
# 8 Jims Midnight Slew (ML 12-1)
# 9 Allen's Crown (ML 4-1)
This contest is restricted to runners which have either:
1) Not won a race since December 22, 2014; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
So as long as a horse has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race. If a horse has four career Wins or more, than none of those Wins could have been since 12/22/14 in order for the horse to be entered here.
Marcias took the Place at this class level last time out. Lord Calezaar earned the best last out Beyer Speed Figure in this field, albeit on the grass. Lord Calezaar is a lifetime two-for-three on the Turf Paradise main track.
Warren's Jeff G. missed by a length of winning at this class level three starts back. Allen's Crown took the Show at this class level two starts back. Jims Midnight Slew is on the ticket because there's just no way that I'm losing a Pick Five in the final leg because I didn't cover a horse called Jims Midnight Slew.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in the abbreviated Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$0.50 P5: 6,7 with 5 with 3 with 1,3 with 5,7 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P5: 6,7 with 5 with 2,3,5 with 1,3,8 with 5,6,7,8,9 $45.00
Total: $49.00
Post Time for Race 4 is 5:48 EDT / 2:48 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Tuesday, February 24, 2015
2/24/15 Turf Paradise Pick Five - Results
Race 4 - # 2 Galehorn (Final Odds 0.80*) - "B" Selection
Race 5 - # 3 Canducharlie (4.00) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 6 Shoeless Jackson (6.00) - No Selection
Race 7 - # 10 Benergy (3.50) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 5 Titled Lady (1.30*) - "B" Selection
# 1 Worldly Pirate (1.60*) broke well and was over a length in front in the stretch in Race 6; but she couldn't hold the rail, and that allowed Shoeless Jackson to come through on the inside to win by three quarters of a length. And that three quarters of a length was the difference between us cashing and trashing, as we had all the other winners on our main ticket.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Five sequence of 2 / 3 / 6 / 10 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $761.00 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
2/24/15 Turf Paradise Pick Five - Preview
Got myself another day away from the office; I suspect these will soon be scarce. But for now let's enjoy this one, as we set our sights on Arizona and take a shot at the Pick Five at Turf Paradise.
RACE 4 - (F) Clm $8k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Peppermint Gal (Morning Line 5-2)
B's
# 2 Galehorn (ML 9-5)
C’s
None
Peppermint Gal won her debut by over three lengths last time out, earning the best last out Beyer Speed Figure in this field in the process. Galehorn transfers in from SoCal to the barn of Mike Chambers; note that Chambers wins more than a third of the time runners go for the first time under his tutelage. The concern is that Galehorn seems to prefer synthetics and grass to real dirt tracks; but the bullet work over this main track on the 17th suggests that this might be about to change.
RACE 5 - ALW N2L - Six and a half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 3 Canducharlie (ML 5-1)
B's
# 5 Intuitive Nature (ML 7-2)
# 6 Bad Behavior (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Canducharlie has finished in the money in all three tries on this main track. Canducharlie should appreciate the return to real dirt. Intuitive Nature tries real dirt for the first time; if his turf form holds, he should be right in the mix at the wire. Bad Behavior won in his first try on this main track last time out after transferring in from SoCal. The Beyer Speed Figure that Bad Behavior earned while graduating last time out is the best last out figure in this field.
RACE 6 - (F) Md $5k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Worldly Pirate (ML 2-1)
# 4 My Mom's Carol (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C’s
None
Worldly Pirate and My Mom's Carol have each finished in the money at this class level in each of their last three races. I expect these two to just duel each other from gate to wire; hopefully they both won't conk out before they cross the line.
RACE 7 - Clm $6.25k N3L - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 Angel de Amour (ML 5-2)
B's
# 9 Right Idea (ML 8-1)
# 10 Benergy (ML 3-1)
C’s
None
# 2 Busta Twist (ML 15-1) and # 3 Double Nickel (ML 6-1) have been scratched. # 11 Gentleman Rick (ML 12-1) does not draw in off the Also Eligible list, but # 12 Full Consent (ML 7-2) does.
Angel de Amour has been steadily dropping in class in an attempt to find a level at which he can win. Angel de Amour took the Place two starts back over this turf course at today's distance against more expensive.
Right Idea has finished in the money at this class level in each of his last two races. Benergy should appreciate the class relief that he's getting here.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $3.5k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Roxie Hart (ML 4-1)
B's
# 5 Tilted Lady (ML 5-2)
# 6 Just a Love (ML 3-1)
C’s
None
This one looks like it favors someone coming off the pace; if it does, then Roxie Hart looks like the one who will be running best late. Tilted Lady took the Place against more expensive last time out, while Just a Love took the Show at this level last time out. The concern for both Tilted Lady and Just a Love is that they may get caught up in the pace burnout and not last until the wire.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in the abbreviated Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.50 P5: 5 with 3 with 1,4 with 7 with 8 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P5: 2,5 with 3,5,6 with 1,4 with 7,9,10 with 5,6,8 $54.00
Total: $57.00
Post Time for Race 4 is 4:27 EST / 1:27 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Tuesday, February 3, 2015
2/3/15 Turf Paradise Pick Five - Results
Race 4 - # 6 Mesa Brute (Final Odds 2.70) - "B" Selection
Race 5 - # 4 Cowgirl Queenie (1.70) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 5 Northern Choice (5.80) - No Selection
Race 7 - # 4 Runaway Cal (1.50*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 8 Peppermint Gal (3.30) - "C" Selection
The sequence began and ended with debut runners finding their way to the Winner's Circle; and while both were on our tickets, neither was an "A" Selection for us. Perhaps that was just as well, as we totally whiffed on the winner of the race in the middle, Northern Choice; indeed, we didn't have any of the Trifecta horses in that contest on our tickets; not the Place horse # 8 Rebel My Man (19.90), nor the Show horse # 3 Cookie's From Tony (12.70). So no matter what we had done with our selections in the other four legs, there was no way we were hitting that one in middle. Not really sure if that should be a cause for concern or a source of comfort; but regardless, the bottom line is that today was our day to contribute and not collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Five sequence of 6 / 4 / 5 / 4 / 8 were rewarded with a payout of $427.30 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 5 - # 4 Cowgirl Queenie (1.70) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 5 Northern Choice (5.80) - No Selection
Race 7 - # 4 Runaway Cal (1.50*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 8 Peppermint Gal (3.30) - "C" Selection
The sequence began and ended with debut runners finding their way to the Winner's Circle; and while both were on our tickets, neither was an "A" Selection for us. Perhaps that was just as well, as we totally whiffed on the winner of the race in the middle, Northern Choice; indeed, we didn't have any of the Trifecta horses in that contest on our tickets; not the Place horse # 8 Rebel My Man (19.90), nor the Show horse # 3 Cookie's From Tony (12.70). So no matter what we had done with our selections in the other four legs, there was no way we were hitting that one in middle. Not really sure if that should be a cause for concern or a source of comfort; but regardless, the bottom line is that today was our day to contribute and not collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Five sequence of 6 / 4 / 5 / 4 / 8 were rewarded with a payout of $427.30 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
2/3/15 Turf Paradise Pick Five - Preview
Another day away from the office, another chance for a mid-week special. Today is Tuesday, meaning that California is dark while Arizona is running; so let's move our action to Turf Paradise and take a shot at their Pick Five.
RACE 4 - Md OC $30k - Seven and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Our Brother B. A. (Morning Line 9-5)
B’s
# 6 Mesa Brute (ML 2-1)
C's
# 3 Ready Set Jet (ML 8-1)
Our Brother B. A. has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last three races. Mesa Brute is a first time time starter; note that Trainer Robertino Diodoro wins with approximately 20% of such. Also note that there are no noticeable gaps in Mesa Brute's workouts from December 7 onward. Ready Set Jet showed some early speed in his debut last time out, and may appreciate the surface switch.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $3k B - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Sharp Bella (ML 7-5)
# 4 Cowgirl Queenie (ML 1-1)
B's
None
C’s
# 5 Super Amazing (ML 5-1)
Per the conditions, the cutoff date from which entrants cannot have two Wins is May 6, 2014. Inclined to Win just missed defeating open (non-conditioned) claimers three starts back. Willing Warrior crossed the wire first last time out under these conditions, but was DQ'd back into Place. Causeithertz is taking a massive class drop, but is also competing on real dirt for the first time in his career.
RACE 7 - Clm $6.25k N3L - Seven and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 10 Sir Searsucker (ML 5-1)
B's
# 2 Cavour (ML 6-1)
# 4 Runaway Cal (ML 9-2)
C’s
# 6 Mr. Cactus (ML 7-2)
# 11 Run Stormy Run (ML 15-1) does not draw in from the Also Eligible List, and therefore gets to spend another day recovering from various Super Bowl parties.
Sir Searsucker took the Show against more expensive two starts back, his last contest on grass. Cavour has finished in the Trifecta in five of his six career tries on the Turf Paradise grass. Cavour will also be running with the lowest price tag of his career on his head. Runaway Cal missed winning by less than a length last time out at this class level. Mr. Cactus should appreciate the turn back in distance.
RACE 8 - (F) Md $5k - Four and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Worldly Pirate (ML 5-2)
B's
# 4 Fu Peggi Sue (ML 2-1)
# 6 Street Candy (ML 8-1)
C’s
# 2 Champ Cynda (ML 20-1)
# 8 Peppermint Gal (ML 3-1)
# 3 Dixie's Lil Dandy (ML 10-1) has been scratched.
RACE 4 - Md OC $30k - Seven and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Our Brother B. A. (Morning Line 9-5)
B’s
# 6 Mesa Brute (ML 2-1)
C's
# 3 Ready Set Jet (ML 8-1)
Our Brother B. A. has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last three races. Mesa Brute is a first time time starter; note that Trainer Robertino Diodoro wins with approximately 20% of such. Also note that there are no noticeable gaps in Mesa Brute's workouts from December 7 onward. Ready Set Jet showed some early speed in his debut last time out, and may appreciate the surface switch.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $3k B - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Sharp Bella (ML 7-5)
# 4 Cowgirl Queenie (ML 1-1)
B's
None
C’s
# 5 Super Amazing (ML 5-1)
The conditions for this one limit it to runners that have not won a race since Oct 3, 2014, OR which have never won four races in their career. Cowgirl Queenie missed winning by less than a length at this class level at today's distance last time out, with Sharp Bella just a neck behind her. Super Amazing stretches out for Trainer Jay Kruljac, who wins with a third of such (in a very small sample size).
Sharp Bella and Super Amazing are eligible for this contest due to having only three career victories each, while Cowgirl Queenie, with six career wins, makes it to the gate due to her last trip to the Winner's Circle coming on Sept 14, 2014.
RACE 6 - Clm $3k N2Y - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Causeithertz (ML 8-5)
B's
# 1 Inclined to Win (ML 8-1)
# 4 Willing Warrior (ML 7-2)
# 4 Willing Warrior (ML 7-2)
C’s
None
Per the conditions, the cutoff date from which entrants cannot have two Wins is May 6, 2014. Inclined to Win just missed defeating open (non-conditioned) claimers three starts back. Willing Warrior crossed the wire first last time out under these conditions, but was DQ'd back into Place. Causeithertz is taking a massive class drop, but is also competing on real dirt for the first time in his career.
RACE 7 - Clm $6.25k N3L - Seven and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 10 Sir Searsucker (ML 5-1)
B's
# 2 Cavour (ML 6-1)
# 4 Runaway Cal (ML 9-2)
C’s
# 6 Mr. Cactus (ML 7-2)
# 11 Run Stormy Run (ML 15-1) does not draw in from the Also Eligible List, and therefore gets to spend another day recovering from various Super Bowl parties.
Sir Searsucker took the Show against more expensive two starts back, his last contest on grass. Cavour has finished in the Trifecta in five of his six career tries on the Turf Paradise grass. Cavour will also be running with the lowest price tag of his career on his head. Runaway Cal missed winning by less than a length last time out at this class level. Mr. Cactus should appreciate the turn back in distance.
RACE 8 - (F) Md $5k - Four and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Worldly Pirate (ML 5-2)
B's
# 4 Fu Peggi Sue (ML 2-1)
# 6 Street Candy (ML 8-1)
C’s
# 2 Champ Cynda (ML 20-1)
# 8 Peppermint Gal (ML 3-1)
# 3 Dixie's Lil Dandy (ML 10-1) has been scratched.
Worldly Pirate has finished in the money in each of her last two tries at this class level. Fu Peggie Sue has finished in the money against more expensive. Street Candy was within two lengths of the winner two starts back at this class level.
Champ Cynda showed some brief early speed in her debut last time out. Peppermint Gal, a home bred making her debut, has the best Tomlinson Rating for today's distance in the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in the abbreviated Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P5: 2 with 2,4 with 6 with 10 with 9 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P5: 2,6 with 2,4 with 1,4,6 with 2,4,10 with 4,6,9 $54.00
A's with One C
$0.50 pick P5: 3 with 2,4 with 6 with 10 with 9 $1.00
$0.50 pick P5: 2 with 5 with 6 with 10 with 9 $0.50
$0.50 pick P5: 2 with 2,4 with 6 with 6 with 9 $1.00
$0.50 pick P5: 2 with 2,4 with 6 with 10 with 2,8 $2.00
Total: $60.50
Post Time for Race 4 is 4:24 EST / 1:24 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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