Race 6 - # 2 Cash Driven (Final Odds 4.80) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 7 Game Star (3.80) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 3 Easter Dream (3.20) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 8 Darkstream (0.60*) - "A" Selection
In the second leg, "B" Selection # 3 Pepper Sings (4.00) was a head too slow in getting under the wire; and that head was all the difference Sunday between collecting and contributing, as the other three winners were all to be found on the big ticket.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 2 / 7 / 3 / 8 were rewarded with a payout of $235.25 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Showing posts with label Oak Tree. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Oak Tree. Show all posts
Sunday, July 8, 2018
7/8/18 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Late Pick Four - Preview
It's Sunday, the final day of the racing meet at the Alameda County Fairgrounds; well, at least until Autumn. For those of you with your eyes on the jackpot pools, keep in mind that, even though this is the final day of the meet, there is no mandatory payout today. Any jackpot not scooped Sunday will carryover to the State Fair at Sacramento, where racing begins on Friday the 13th. Anyway, all that is merely a public service announcement for those interested; so with that out of the way let's just get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 6 - Clm $4k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Borden County (Morning Line 7-2)
B’s
# 2 Cash Driven (ML 4-1)
# 8 Singaprayer (ML 5-1)
C's
# 6 Atticism (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 5 Gone My Way (ML 5-1)
Border County and Singaprayer filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta last time out while running with a higher price tag on their heads. Cash Driven took the Place at this class level last time out. Atticism took the Place at this class level two and three starts back.
RACE 7 - Md $8k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Dominate Warrior (ML 2-1)
B's
# 3 Pepper Sings (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Ur Not My President (ML 15-1)
# 2 Wild Rival (ML 12-1)
# 5 Nevada Wild Cat (ML 6-1)
# 7 Game Star (ML 8-1)
# 8 Starting Lineup (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 6 King of Leon (Arg) (ML 5-1)
Dominate Warrior disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of his last two starts, taking the Place both times; perhaps the third time is the charm. Pepper Sings took the Show at this class level last time out while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $16k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Sharona Sunset (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Clean Living (ML 4-1)
# 3 Easter Dream (ML 3-1)
# 4 Hub Cap (ML 12-1)
# 5 Swanee (ML 9-2)
# 6 Mariposa Brava (ML 5-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 7 Sunset Melody (ML 6-1)
Note for future reference that, while this contest was carded for open company, all entrants are California bred.
Sharona Sunset took the Show at this class level last time out. Clean Living could improve going second off the layoff. Easter Dream could move up with the class drop and the added equipment. Hub Cap could be the one running best late.
Swanee showed good early speed against more expensive stock last time out. Mariposa Brava set all the fractions while winning her debut last time out. Yeah, that all of them; so the "ALL" button it is.
RACE 9 - (F) Md $25k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Darkstream (ML 3-1)
B's
# 2 Admonition (ML 4-1)
# 3 Tribal Finale (ML 7-2)
C's
# 5 Bellaasario (ML 10-1)
# 6 Fire Command (ML 9-2)
# 7 Oursensationalgirl (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 1 Night of Idiots (ML 12-1) and # 4 Girlinexcess (ML 6-1)
Darkstream took the Place at this class level last time out. Admonition took the Show against non-claiming maidens over this track last time out; however, last time out was last September, and the drop into the maiden claiming ranks after the long layoff is a bit of a red flag.
Tribal Finale and Fire Command filled out the final two rungs of the Trifecta against California bred company last time out. Bellasario is on the tickets because everyone else is. Oursensationalgirl drops in for a tag for the first time.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 1 with 4 with 2 with 8 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,8 with 3,4 with ALL with 2,3,8 $54.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 6 with 4 with 2 with 8 $0.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 1,2,5,7,8 with 2 with 8 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4 with 2 with 5,6,7 $1.50
Total: $59.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:15 EDT / 4:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - Clm $4k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Borden County (Morning Line 7-2)
B’s
# 2 Cash Driven (ML 4-1)
# 8 Singaprayer (ML 5-1)
C's
# 6 Atticism (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 5 Gone My Way (ML 5-1)
Border County and Singaprayer filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta last time out while running with a higher price tag on their heads. Cash Driven took the Place at this class level last time out. Atticism took the Place at this class level two and three starts back.
RACE 7 - Md $8k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Dominate Warrior (ML 2-1)
B's
# 3 Pepper Sings (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Ur Not My President (ML 15-1)
# 2 Wild Rival (ML 12-1)
# 5 Nevada Wild Cat (ML 6-1)
# 7 Game Star (ML 8-1)
# 8 Starting Lineup (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 6 King of Leon (Arg) (ML 5-1)
Dominate Warrior disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of his last two starts, taking the Place both times; perhaps the third time is the charm. Pepper Sings took the Show at this class level last time out while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $16k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Sharona Sunset (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Clean Living (ML 4-1)
# 3 Easter Dream (ML 3-1)
# 4 Hub Cap (ML 12-1)
# 5 Swanee (ML 9-2)
# 6 Mariposa Brava (ML 5-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 7 Sunset Melody (ML 6-1)
Note for future reference that, while this contest was carded for open company, all entrants are California bred.
Sharona Sunset took the Show at this class level last time out. Clean Living could improve going second off the layoff. Easter Dream could move up with the class drop and the added equipment. Hub Cap could be the one running best late.
Swanee showed good early speed against more expensive stock last time out. Mariposa Brava set all the fractions while winning her debut last time out. Yeah, that all of them; so the "ALL" button it is.
RACE 9 - (F) Md $25k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Darkstream (ML 3-1)
B's
# 2 Admonition (ML 4-1)
# 3 Tribal Finale (ML 7-2)
C's
# 5 Bellaasario (ML 10-1)
# 6 Fire Command (ML 9-2)
# 7 Oursensationalgirl (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 1 Night of Idiots (ML 12-1) and # 4 Girlinexcess (ML 6-1)
Darkstream took the Place at this class level last time out. Admonition took the Show against non-claiming maidens over this track last time out; however, last time out was last September, and the drop into the maiden claiming ranks after the long layoff is a bit of a red flag.
Tribal Finale and Fire Command filled out the final two rungs of the Trifecta against California bred company last time out. Bellasario is on the tickets because everyone else is. Oursensationalgirl drops in for a tag for the first time.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 1 with 4 with 2 with 8 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,8 with 3,4 with ALL with 2,3,8 $54.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 6 with 4 with 2 with 8 $0.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 1,2,5,7,8 with 2 with 8 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4 with 2 with 5,6,7 $1.50
Total: $59.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:15 EDT / 4:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, July 7, 2018
7/7/18 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 7 Daddysprize (Final Odds 0.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 3 Belligerent (3.10) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - The Everett Nevin - # 7 Luck's Royal Flush (9.70) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 4 Uncle Hal (3.40) - "B" Selection
Among the many features that handicapping shares with chess is that, even when you win, you could have done better. Saturday, I could have done much better.
My initial inclination when putting my play together was to single Daddysprize on the big ticket ("All A and All B Selections") in the opening leg. Instead, I chose to hedge and include # 3 La Waun (5.40) as well. La Waun took the Show.
# 9 Excentra (11.20) in the second leg, originally intended to be a backup "C" Selection, was a late addition to the big ticket. I thought Excentra could return to the form that she showed two starts back. Instead Excentra did very little running, and finished 7th.
# 1 Ride Into the Sky (7.10) in the nightcap was another late addition to the big ticket. This one was a tough call, for while Ride Into the Sky was dropping in for the lowest claiming price of his career, Ride Into the Sky really hadn't shown much in his four races since graduating back in April. As it turned out Ride Into the Sky, who had broken well in each of his last three starts against more expensive stock, had no speed Saturday and finished fourth.
Of course, it's always going to be much easier to know which horses should be tossed after the race is run than it is prior to them crossing under the wire. But the point is that, even when you win, there are still lessons to be learned.
Of course, it's always going to be much easier to know which horses should be tossed after the race is run than it is prior to them crossing under the wire. But the point is that, even when you win, there are still lessons to be learned.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other four runners to which I would have cashed in the nightcap:
# 1 Ride Into the Sky (7.10) - $331.40 Finish: 4th
# 2 Sierra Dance (12.70) - $846.15 Finish: 6th
# 5 Zucchini (10.40) - $337.40 Finish: 3rd
# 7 Jimmythisnjimthat (2.10) - $107.80 Finish: 5th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Late Pick Four sequence of 7 / 3 / 7 / 4 which paid $220.90 for a fifty cent wager. That makes for a profit of $111.90 on my initial $109 investment, or approximate odds of 1.03-1.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/7/18 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Late Pick Four - Preview
The $100k Everett Nevin for Cal breds juveniles is Saturday's featured race at the Alameda County Fairgrounds. I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 6 - OC 40k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Daddysprize (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 3 La Waun (ML 3-1)
C's
# 3 Tiz Proof (ML 15-1)
RACE 6 - OC 40k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Daddysprize (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 3 La Waun (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Rewired (ML 10-1)
# 4 Irish Sky (ML 4-1)
# 6 Royal Charm (ML 6-1)
Daddysprize and La Waun were last out winners at this class level last time out. I give the edge today to Daddysprize, as I think La Waun will be hard pressed to stay up on the pace today.
Rewired took the Show behind Daddysprize two starts back. Irish Sky could improve getting off the grass. Royal Charm could be the one running best late.
RACE 7 - (F) Md $8k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Say Your Grace (ML 6-1)
B's
# 2 Blazin On By (ML 6-1)
# 3 Belligerent (ML 3-1)
# 4 Ruled by Girls (ML 2-1)
# 9 Excentra (ML 8-1)
# 9 Excentra (ML 8-1)
C's
# 5 Storming Reese (ML 12-1)
Say Your Grace took the Place at this class level last time out, and might be quickest here. Belligerent and Blazin On By filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out.
Ruled by Girls goes first time for the barn of Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such. Excentra took the Place against a next out winner at this class level two starts back. Storming Reese may have needed one over the track.
RACE 8 - [S] The Everett Nevin $100k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Cozze Kid (ML 3-1)
# 5 Mr Paytience (ML 2-1)
# 5 Mr Paytience (ML 2-1)
B's
# 3 Carnivorous (ML 4-1)
# 7 Luck's Royal Flush (ML 9-2)
C's
# 2 Leadville (ML 12-1)
# 6 Call Waiting (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 4 Amity Harbor (ML 15-1)
Cozze Kid beat the boys in her debut last time out, and there's no reason why she can't do it again today. Mr Paytience won by as many as he wanted for Trainer Doug O'Neill in his debut last time out.
Carnivorous and Luck's Royal Flush were just a neck apart at the wire while filling out the Exacta back in May at Santa Anita. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else. These are juveniles, and it's only July; so they all have a lot of growing up to do, and some of them may do it during the running of this race.
RACE 9 - Clm $16k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Jimmythisnjimthat (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Ride Into the Sky (ML 8-1)
# 2 Sierra Dance (ML 10-1)
# 4 Uncle Hal (ML 6-1)
# 5 Zucchini (ML 5-1)
# 4 Uncle Hal (ML 6-1)
# 5 Zucchini (ML 5-1)
C's
# 3 Tiz Proof (ML 15-1)
# 6 Stormin G A (ML 4-1)
Scratch # 8 Jacks Masterpiece (ML 5-2)
Jimmythisnjimthat and Ride Into the Sky are two taking a tumble down the class ladder. Sierra Dance, Uncle Hal, and Zucchini all ran well while graduating last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 7 with 6 with 1,5 with 7 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,7 with 2,3,4,6,9 with 1,3,5,7 with 1,2,4,5,7 $100.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,4,6 with 6 with 1,5 with 7 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 5 with 1,5 with 7 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 6 with 2,6 with 7 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 6 with 1,5 with 3,6 $2.00
Total: $109.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:15 EDT / 4:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Wednesday, July 4, 2018
7/4/18 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 6 Special Season (Final Odds 1.10*) - "C" Selection
Race 7 - # 1 Sir Vronski (2.80) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Oak Tree Sprint - # 2 Annie's Candy (7.10) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 6 Acrimonius (2.10*) - "B" Selection
In the featured 8th race, my big ticket single, #3 My Friend Emma (0.80*) crossed under the wire first, well clear of Annie's Candy. Unfortunately, My Friend Emma did so while riderless, having tossed Jockey Ricardo Gonzalez off his back shortly after the break (fortunately, Gonzalez popped right back up on his feet after the incident, and all indications are horse and rider are okay). It was just one of those racing luck things that you can't do anything about, other than shrugging your shoulders and saying,
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 6 / 1 / 2 / 6 were rewarded with a payout of $165.80 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 1 Sir Vronski (2.80) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Oak Tree Sprint - # 2 Annie's Candy (7.10) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 6 Acrimonius (2.10*) - "B" Selection
In the featured 8th race, my big ticket single, #3 My Friend Emma (0.80*) crossed under the wire first, well clear of Annie's Candy. Unfortunately, My Friend Emma did so while riderless, having tossed Jockey Ricardo Gonzalez off his back shortly after the break (fortunately, Gonzalez popped right back up on his feet after the incident, and all indications are horse and rider are okay). It was just one of those racing luck things that you can't do anything about, other than shrugging your shoulders and saying,
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 6 / 1 / 2 / 6 were rewarded with a payout of $165.80 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/4/18 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Late Pick Four - Preview
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. - The Declaration of Independence
Happy Birthday USA! Here's hoping that all Americans, as well as all freedom-loving people everywhere throughout the world, spend the day enjoying life and liberty while pursuing happiness. For me, the pursuit of happiness leads me to Wednesday's races at the Alameda County Fairgrounds, where the Oak Tree Sprint is the featured event on the card. So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 6 - Clm $3.2k N2X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Night's Watch (Morning Line 8-1)
# 4 Burger and Fries (Fr) (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Capes Hot Rocket (ML 10-1)
# 7 Sojurn (ML 9-2)
C's
# 3 Forever the Chief (ML 12-1)
# 5 At Ease (ML 4-1)
# 6 Special Season (GB) (ML 2-1)
Night's Watch has finished in the Trifecta six of the twelve times that he has raced over a Fast dirt track, and is the only entrant in the field with a victory while competing over real dirt. Burger and Fries (Fr) was within a length of the winner at the wire last time out over this main track.
Capes Hot Rocket and Sojurn appear on paper to be over matched; but these two are a combined three-for-eleven lifetime, demonstrating an ability to find the Winner's Circle in relatively few tries; unlike many others here that seem to go all out to avoid getting their picture taken. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - Clm $40k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Sir Vronski (ML 8-5)
# 2 Awhitesportscoat (ML 10-1)
B’s
# 4 Awesome Anywhere (ML 5-1)
# 5 Karma King (ML 8-1)
C's
# 3 Pure Comedy (ML 4-1)
Sir Vronski, winner of half of his eight career starts over a Fast Dirt track, misses by just a length of entering this contest with an eight race winning streak, going back to last Fall. Awhitesportscoat took the show in the $50k Albany last time out, and could move up with the change of surface.
Awesome Anywhere has finished in the Exacta all three times that he has competed on a Fast dirt track. Karma King, two lengths back of Sir Vronski at the wire last time out, goes first off the claim for Trainer Samuel Calvario, who tends to do well with such. Pure Comedy has been a notch below a couple of these of late; perhaps that will change with the surface switch.
RACE 8 - The Oak Tree Sprint $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 My Friend Emma (ML 8-5)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Taima the Hawk (ML 8-1)
# 2 Annie's Candy (ML 3-1)
# 4 Tribal Storm (ML 7-2)
# 5 Run Away (ML 5-2)
My Friend Emma, winner of The Albany on the turf last time out, has run well in the past over this track. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else, as it's a very small field.
RACE 9 - Md $12.5k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Pepperino (ML 4-1)
B's
# 2 Gold and Guns (ML 30-1)
# 3 Mon Camo (ML 12-1)
# 6 Acrimonious (ML 9-2)
# 8 Soul Obsession (ML 6-1)
# 10 Kona Breeze (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Scene Enuf (ML 10-1)
# 5 El Nino Fable (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 4 Burn thewhiteflag (ML 8-1) and # 7 Full Flask (ML 8-1)
Pepperino took the Place against more expensive stock two starts back. Acrimonious, Mon Camo, and Gold and Guns filled out the bottom three rungs of the Superfecta at this class level last time out.
Full Flask drops in for a tag for the first time. Soul Obsession took the Place in his debut last time out. Kona Breeze looks best on paper, but may be camera shy. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,4 with 1,2 with 3 with 9 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,4,7 with 1,2,4,5 with 3 with 2,3,6,8,9,10 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,5,6 with 1,2 with 3 with 9 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2,4 with 3 with 3 with 9 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 2,4 with 1,2 with 1,2,4,5 with 9 $8.00
$0.50 P4: 2,4 with 1,2 with 3 with 1,5 $4.00
Total: $68.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:15 EDT / 4:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Happy Birthday USA! Here's hoping that all Americans, as well as all freedom-loving people everywhere throughout the world, spend the day enjoying life and liberty while pursuing happiness. For me, the pursuit of happiness leads me to Wednesday's races at the Alameda County Fairgrounds, where the Oak Tree Sprint is the featured event on the card. So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 6 - Clm $3.2k N2X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Night's Watch (Morning Line 8-1)
# 4 Burger and Fries (Fr) (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Capes Hot Rocket (ML 10-1)
# 7 Sojurn (ML 9-2)
C's
# 3 Forever the Chief (ML 12-1)
# 5 At Ease (ML 4-1)
# 6 Special Season (GB) (ML 2-1)
Night's Watch has finished in the Trifecta six of the twelve times that he has raced over a Fast dirt track, and is the only entrant in the field with a victory while competing over real dirt. Burger and Fries (Fr) was within a length of the winner at the wire last time out over this main track.
Capes Hot Rocket and Sojurn appear on paper to be over matched; but these two are a combined three-for-eleven lifetime, demonstrating an ability to find the Winner's Circle in relatively few tries; unlike many others here that seem to go all out to avoid getting their picture taken. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - Clm $40k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Sir Vronski (ML 8-5)
# 2 Awhitesportscoat (ML 10-1)
B’s
# 4 Awesome Anywhere (ML 5-1)
# 5 Karma King (ML 8-1)
C's
# 3 Pure Comedy (ML 4-1)
Sir Vronski, winner of half of his eight career starts over a Fast Dirt track, misses by just a length of entering this contest with an eight race winning streak, going back to last Fall. Awhitesportscoat took the show in the $50k Albany last time out, and could move up with the change of surface.
Awesome Anywhere has finished in the Exacta all three times that he has competed on a Fast dirt track. Karma King, two lengths back of Sir Vronski at the wire last time out, goes first off the claim for Trainer Samuel Calvario, who tends to do well with such. Pure Comedy has been a notch below a couple of these of late; perhaps that will change with the surface switch.
RACE 8 - The Oak Tree Sprint $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 My Friend Emma (ML 8-5)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Annie's Candy (ML 3-1)
# 4 Tribal Storm (ML 7-2)
# 5 Run Away (ML 5-2)
My Friend Emma, winner of The Albany on the turf last time out, has run well in the past over this track. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else, as it's a very small field.
RACE 9 - Md $12.5k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Pepperino (ML 4-1)
B's
# 2 Gold and Guns (ML 30-1)
# 3 Mon Camo (ML 12-1)
# 6 Acrimonious (ML 9-2)
# 8 Soul Obsession (ML 6-1)
# 10 Kona Breeze (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Scene Enuf (ML 10-1)
# 5 El Nino Fable (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 4 Burn thewhiteflag (ML 8-1) and # 7 Full Flask (ML 8-1)
Pepperino took the Place against more expensive stock two starts back. Acrimonious, Mon Camo, and Gold and Guns filled out the bottom three rungs of the Superfecta at this class level last time out.
Full Flask drops in for a tag for the first time. Soul Obsession took the Place in his debut last time out. Kona Breeze looks best on paper, but may be camera shy. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,4 with 1,2 with 3 with 9 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,4,7 with 1,2,4,5 with 3 with 2,3,6,8,9,10 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,5,6 with 1,2 with 3 with 9 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2,4 with 3 with 3 with 9 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 2,4 with 1,2 with 1,2,4,5 with 9 $8.00
$0.50 P4: 2,4 with 1,2 with 3 with 1,5 $4.00
Total: $68.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:15 EDT / 4:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, July 1, 2018
7/1/18 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 1 The Spiral Jetter (Final Odds 2.90) - "C" Selection
Race 7 - # 2 Fullbridled Jet (7.70) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 3 Touched by Autism (3.80) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 4 Desert Express (2.80) - "A" Selection
And that's why you play backup tickets.
Actually, it might be more fitting to categorize today's victory as, "I'd rather be lucky than good." My big ticket single, # 6 Smiling Ann (2.10*) showed little in the opening leg and finished fifth; while I got my "A" Selection home in the second leg, a leg which had confounded me so much that I went "ALL" on the big ticket. Go figure.
For the record, here is the $0.50 Will Pay for the other runner to which I would have cashed in the nightcap (which was the Post Time Favorite due to my other "A" Selection, # 5 Moonlight Blue, being a late scratch):
# 7 Native Chieftain (2.30*) - $289.35 Finish: 4th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct very easy to remember Late Pick Four sequence of 1 / 2 / 3 / 4 which paid $355.50 for a fifty cent wager. That makes for a profit of $300.50 on my initial $55 investment, or approximate odds of 5.46-1.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 2 Fullbridled Jet (7.70) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 3 Touched by Autism (3.80) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 4 Desert Express (2.80) - "A" Selection
And that's why you play backup tickets.
Actually, it might be more fitting to categorize today's victory as, "I'd rather be lucky than good." My big ticket single, # 6 Smiling Ann (2.10*) showed little in the opening leg and finished fifth; while I got my "A" Selection home in the second leg, a leg which had confounded me so much that I went "ALL" on the big ticket. Go figure.
For the record, here is the $0.50 Will Pay for the other runner to which I would have cashed in the nightcap (which was the Post Time Favorite due to my other "A" Selection, # 5 Moonlight Blue, being a late scratch):
# 7 Native Chieftain (2.30*) - $289.35 Finish: 4th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct very easy to remember Late Pick Four sequence of 1 / 2 / 3 / 4 which paid $355.50 for a fifty cent wager. That makes for a profit of $300.50 on my initial $55 investment, or approximate odds of 5.46-1.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/1/18 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Late Pick Four - Preview
It's Sunday at the Alameda County Fairgrounds; and that's pretty much all I have today by way of introduction. So let's just get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 6 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 6 Smiling Ann (Morning Line 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 1 The Spiral Jetter (ML 7-2)
# 2 Tizno's Dilemma (ML 8-1)
# 3 Hal's Buddy (ML 5-1)
# 4 Reginella (ML 9-2)
# 7 Madam Sophia (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 5 Ragazza Di Vola (ML 6-1)
Smiling Ann won by enough last time out to suggest that she can handle the rise is class. The Spiral Jetter fits well at this class level, and ran reasonably well last summer on the dirt at Del Mar. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else, as this field (typical of most first level Allowance races) contains more than a few runners who consistently hit the board at this class level while managing to avoid the Winner's Circle; suggesting that they have the talent to win, but often not the desire.
RACE 7 - (F) Md $8k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Fullbridled Jet (ML 9-2)
B's
# 1 Meet Ya in Ky (ML 15-1)
# 3 A Brides Song (ML 3-1)
# 4 Dayjur Bold (ML 15-1)
# 5 She's an Eagle (ML 5-2)
# 6 American Sheriff (ML 6-1)
# 7 Filina (ML 10-1)
# 8 She Perfect (ML 12-1)
# 9 She's Over the Top (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Fullbridled Jet could be the speed of the speed here. Also note in the running lines how Fullbridled Jet's early speed has allowed her to be in front closer and closer to the wire in each successive race. The "B" Selections are everyone else, as I go "ALL" on the big ticket for this leg.
RACE 8 - OC 62.5k/N2X - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Touched by Autism (ML 5-1)
# 5 Kitten's Royal (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Saxon Lord (ML 4-1)
# 6 More Power to Him (ML 9-2)
C's
# 1 Crazy Prophet (ML 2-1)
# 4 Sunset Dragunn (ML 8-1)
Touched by Autism and Kitten's Royal, the only two last out winners in this field, both ran well enough to suggest that they can repeat. Note also that Kitten's Royal is a career two-for-two over this track.
Saxon Lord, one-for-two in his career over this track, appears to be in top form. More Power to Him has run well in the past over a Fast dirt track. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 9 - Clm $20k N2X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Desert Express (ML 9-2)
# 5 Moonlight Blue (ML 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 6 Full Access (ML 6-1)
# 7 Native Chieftain (ML 3-1)
# 8 Manila Mischief (ML 5-1)
Desert Express has run well over Fast dirt tracks in the past, including a Win in his only prior try over this track. Moonlight Blue goes first off the claim for Trainer Billy Morey, who tends to do well with such.
Full Access ran well enough in victory last time out to suggest that he can handle the class rise. Manila Mischief and Native Chieftain filled out the Exacta last time out while crossing under the wire just a nose apart.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 2 with 3,5 with 4,5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 6 with ALL with 2,3,5,6 with 4,5 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,4,7 with 2 with 3,5 with 4,5 $10.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 2 with 1,4 with 4,5 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 2 with 3,5 with 6,7,8 $3.00
Total: $55.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:15 EDT / 4:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 6 Smiling Ann (Morning Line 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 1 The Spiral Jetter (ML 7-2)
# 2 Tizno's Dilemma (ML 8-1)
# 3 Hal's Buddy (ML 5-1)
# 4 Reginella (ML 9-2)
# 7 Madam Sophia (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 5 Ragazza Di Vola (ML 6-1)
Smiling Ann won by enough last time out to suggest that she can handle the rise is class. The Spiral Jetter fits well at this class level, and ran reasonably well last summer on the dirt at Del Mar. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else, as this field (typical of most first level Allowance races) contains more than a few runners who consistently hit the board at this class level while managing to avoid the Winner's Circle; suggesting that they have the talent to win, but often not the desire.
RACE 7 - (F) Md $8k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Fullbridled Jet (ML 9-2)
B's
# 1 Meet Ya in Ky (ML 15-1)
# 3 A Brides Song (ML 3-1)
# 4 Dayjur Bold (ML 15-1)
# 5 She's an Eagle (ML 5-2)
# 6 American Sheriff (ML 6-1)
# 7 Filina (ML 10-1)
# 8 She Perfect (ML 12-1)
# 9 She's Over the Top (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Fullbridled Jet could be the speed of the speed here. Also note in the running lines how Fullbridled Jet's early speed has allowed her to be in front closer and closer to the wire in each successive race. The "B" Selections are everyone else, as I go "ALL" on the big ticket for this leg.
RACE 8 - OC 62.5k/N2X - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Touched by Autism (ML 5-1)
# 5 Kitten's Royal (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Saxon Lord (ML 4-1)
# 6 More Power to Him (ML 9-2)
C's
# 1 Crazy Prophet (ML 2-1)
# 4 Sunset Dragunn (ML 8-1)
Touched by Autism and Kitten's Royal, the only two last out winners in this field, both ran well enough to suggest that they can repeat. Note also that Kitten's Royal is a career two-for-two over this track.
Saxon Lord, one-for-two in his career over this track, appears to be in top form. More Power to Him has run well in the past over a Fast dirt track. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 9 - Clm $20k N2X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Desert Express (ML 9-2)
# 5 Moonlight Blue (ML 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 6 Full Access (ML 6-1)
# 7 Native Chieftain (ML 3-1)
# 8 Manila Mischief (ML 5-1)
Desert Express has run well over Fast dirt tracks in the past, including a Win in his only prior try over this track. Moonlight Blue goes first off the claim for Trainer Billy Morey, who tends to do well with such.
Full Access ran well enough in victory last time out to suggest that he can handle the class rise. Manila Mischief and Native Chieftain filled out the Exacta last time out while crossing under the wire just a nose apart.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 2 with 3,5 with 4,5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 6 with ALL with 2,3,5,6 with 4,5 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,4,7 with 2 with 3,5 with 4,5 $10.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 2 with 1,4 with 4,5 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 2 with 3,5 with 6,7,8 $3.00
Total: $55.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:15 EDT / 4:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, June 30, 2018
6/30/18 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 4 Tough Timber (Final Odds 4.10) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Son of the South (8.80) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 6 Midnight Ming (6.00) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 2 Know Pepper (3.50) - "C" Selection
Those who employ the light bulb handicapping angle (that is, betting a horse that broke its maiden last time out after having failed to graduate quite a few times previously) were no doubt all over Son of the South in the second leg; and congrats to them, as they were well rewarded. For myself, I had seen that Son of the South had hit the board only once in his prior ten tries on a Fast dirt track, and thought therefore that it was safe to exclude him from my play. I was mistaken.
Of course, whiffing on Son of the South was not the only error in my analysis Saturday. Indeed, none of my four "A" Selections were able to find their way into the Exacta, let alone the Winner's Circle. Still, I take some solace in the fact that the wagering public did not fare much better than I with the sequence; as not only did all four Post Time Favorites fail to win, only one, # 7 Tune to Win (1.90*) in the second leg, was able to gain the Place.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 4 / 6 / 6 / 2 were rewarded with a payout of $1,038.20 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 6 Son of the South (8.80) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 6 Midnight Ming (6.00) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 2 Know Pepper (3.50) - "C" Selection
Those who employ the light bulb handicapping angle (that is, betting a horse that broke its maiden last time out after having failed to graduate quite a few times previously) were no doubt all over Son of the South in the second leg; and congrats to them, as they were well rewarded. For myself, I had seen that Son of the South had hit the board only once in his prior ten tries on a Fast dirt track, and thought therefore that it was safe to exclude him from my play. I was mistaken.
Of course, whiffing on Son of the South was not the only error in my analysis Saturday. Indeed, none of my four "A" Selections were able to find their way into the Exacta, let alone the Winner's Circle. Still, I take some solace in the fact that the wagering public did not fare much better than I with the sequence; as not only did all four Post Time Favorites fail to win, only one, # 7 Tune to Win (1.90*) in the second leg, was able to gain the Place.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 4 / 6 / 6 / 2 were rewarded with a payout of $1,038.20 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
6/30/18 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Late Pick Four - Preview
The Juan Gonzalez Memorial Stakes is the featured race Saturday at the Alameda County Fairgrounds. That event is carded for the first half of the program, and therefore (unfortunately) will not be a part of the analysis below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Flash Henry (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 1 Aberdeen Island (ML 9-2)
# 2 Candy's Martini (ML 8-1)
# 4 Tough Timber (ML 5-1)
C's
# 5 The Common Man (ML 6-1)
# 6 Simply Charming (ML 7-2)
# 7 Looks Good N a Tux (ML 4-1)
Flash Henry, a two time winner over a Fast dirt track, took the Place at this approximate class level (lower claiming price, but no conditions) last time out. Aberdeen Island could improve with a return to dirt.
Candy's Martini could benefit from the cutback in distance. Tough Timber has finished in the Exacta five of the six times that he has competed over a Fast dirt track. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Zippy Groom (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Robs Lucky Spirit (ML 8-1)
C's
# 2 Playing Through (ML 5-1)
# 7 Tune to Win (ML 7-2)
Note for future reference that this contest is for runners which have not won two races in their career; no exceptions. No entrant in this field has more than one career Win.
Zippy Groom is the only entrant in this field whose solo victory came over a Fast dirt track. Robs Lucky Spirit could move up with the surface switch. Playing Through took the Show at this class level last time out, albeit on some California grass. Tune to Win has run well in the past when competing on real dirt.
RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 Southern Thunder (ML 3-1)
B's
# 3 Crystal Dome (GB) (ML 10-1)
# 4 Drouillard (ML 4-1)
# 9 Sweet River Baines (ML 5-1)
C's
# 5 It's The Ice (GB) (ML 10-1)
# 7 Gabo's Macondo (ML 8-1)
Southern Thunder could improve with the return to dirt. Crystal Dome (GB) may move up trying a different surface for the first time. Drouillard has finished in the Exacta in each of his last three races. Sweet River Baines missed victory by just a nose at this class level last time out, albeit while sprinting on the synthetic.
It's The Ice (GB) took the Show at this class level on the turf last time out. Gabo's Macondo fits well here on class, though Gabo's Macondo didn't show much in his only previous race on dirt.
RACE 9 - (F) Md $5k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Gal Factor (ML 2-1)
B's
# 1 Angel Tears (ML 20-1)
# 9 Out Trump'd Her (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Know Pepper (ML 7-2)
# 4 Shadow Affair (ML 20-1)
# 5 Astorian Queen (ML 8-1)
# 6 Misleading (ML 15-1)
Gal Factor goes first off the claim for Trainer Ari Herbertson, who tends to do well with such. Angel Tears took the Show against more expensive stock last time out (albeit over the synthetic) and could move up with the change of barn.
Know Pepper, Shadow Affair, and Out Trump'd Her have each finished in the Trifecta in common races of late at this class level. I moved Out Trump'd Her to the main ticket because she'll be trying a Fast dirt track for the first time, and she may take to the surface.
Astorian Queen is a first time starter for Trainer Steve Sherman that has shown absolutely nothing in her morning workouts over the synthetic track at Golden Gate Fields; maybe she'll go faster on real dirt. Misleading may improve with her first try over a Fast dirt track.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3 with 8 with 2 with 8 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,4 with 1,8 with 2,3,4,9 with 1,8,9 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 5,6,7 with 8 with 2 with 8 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2,7 with 2 with 8 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 8 with 5,7 with 8 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 8 with 2 with 2,4,5,6 $2.00
Total: $54.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:15 EDT / 4:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Flash Henry (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 1 Aberdeen Island (ML 9-2)
# 2 Candy's Martini (ML 8-1)
# 4 Tough Timber (ML 5-1)
C's
# 5 The Common Man (ML 6-1)
# 6 Simply Charming (ML 7-2)
# 7 Looks Good N a Tux (ML 4-1)
Flash Henry, a two time winner over a Fast dirt track, took the Place at this approximate class level (lower claiming price, but no conditions) last time out. Aberdeen Island could improve with a return to dirt.
Candy's Martini could benefit from the cutback in distance. Tough Timber has finished in the Exacta five of the six times that he has competed over a Fast dirt track. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Zippy Groom (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Robs Lucky Spirit (ML 8-1)
C's
# 2 Playing Through (ML 5-1)
# 7 Tune to Win (ML 7-2)
Note for future reference that this contest is for runners which have not won two races in their career; no exceptions. No entrant in this field has more than one career Win.
Zippy Groom is the only entrant in this field whose solo victory came over a Fast dirt track. Robs Lucky Spirit could move up with the surface switch. Playing Through took the Show at this class level last time out, albeit on some California grass. Tune to Win has run well in the past when competing on real dirt.
RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 Southern Thunder (ML 3-1)
B's
# 3 Crystal Dome (GB) (ML 10-1)
# 4 Drouillard (ML 4-1)
# 9 Sweet River Baines (ML 5-1)
C's
# 5 It's The Ice (GB) (ML 10-1)
# 7 Gabo's Macondo (ML 8-1)
Southern Thunder could improve with the return to dirt. Crystal Dome (GB) may move up trying a different surface for the first time. Drouillard has finished in the Exacta in each of his last three races. Sweet River Baines missed victory by just a nose at this class level last time out, albeit while sprinting on the synthetic.
It's The Ice (GB) took the Show at this class level on the turf last time out. Gabo's Macondo fits well here on class, though Gabo's Macondo didn't show much in his only previous race on dirt.
RACE 9 - (F) Md $5k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Gal Factor (ML 2-1)
B's
# 1 Angel Tears (ML 20-1)
# 9 Out Trump'd Her (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Know Pepper (ML 7-2)
# 4 Shadow Affair (ML 20-1)
# 5 Astorian Queen (ML 8-1)
# 6 Misleading (ML 15-1)
Gal Factor goes first off the claim for Trainer Ari Herbertson, who tends to do well with such. Angel Tears took the Show against more expensive stock last time out (albeit over the synthetic) and could move up with the change of barn.
Know Pepper, Shadow Affair, and Out Trump'd Her have each finished in the Trifecta in common races of late at this class level. I moved Out Trump'd Her to the main ticket because she'll be trying a Fast dirt track for the first time, and she may take to the surface.
Astorian Queen is a first time starter for Trainer Steve Sherman that has shown absolutely nothing in her morning workouts over the synthetic track at Golden Gate Fields; maybe she'll go faster on real dirt. Misleading may improve with her first try over a Fast dirt track.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3 with 8 with 2 with 8 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,4 with 1,8 with 2,3,4,9 with 1,8,9 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 5,6,7 with 8 with 2 with 8 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2,7 with 2 with 8 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 8 with 5,7 with 8 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 8 with 2 with 2,4,5,6 $2.00
Total: $54.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:15 EDT / 4:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Friday, June 29, 2018
6/29/18 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Late Pick Four - Results
Race 5 - # 4 Daddy Duke (Final Odds 3.50) - "C" Selection
Race 6 - # 1 Spicy Feline (1.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 2 A Little Bit Cocky (5.70) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 5 Puriano (7.40) - "C" Selection
I'm just going to say that I needed one over the track, and that I hope to improve next time out.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 4 / 1 / 2 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $828.45 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 6 - # 1 Spicy Feline (1.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 2 A Little Bit Cocky (5.70) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 5 Puriano (7.40) - "C" Selection
I'm just going to say that I needed one over the track, and that I hope to improve next time out.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 4 / 1 / 2 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $828.45 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
6/29/18 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Late Pick Four - Preview
Getting a head start on the weekend by taking a swing at Friday's card at Alameda County Fairgrounds. I've moved my action upstate because, as can be read here, Los Alamitos has decided to double the minimum wager for The Late Pick Four. Needless to say, I have no intention of doubling my wagering budget; nor do I intend to start randomly tossing out runners that I think have legitimate chances to win. So having been priced out of the game at Los Al, I've decided to spend my wagering dollars outside of Southern California; at least until Del Mar opens. So with all that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 5 - Clm $4k N2Y - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Tiz Titus (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Union Wine (ML 10-1)
# 3 Danas Best (Aus) (ML 5-1)
# 6 Gurnick (ML 4-1)
# 7 Lucky Views (ML 6-1)
C's
# 4 Daddy Duke (ML 3-1)
# 5 A P Phantom (ML 8-1)
This contest is for runners three year olds and upward that have not won two races in 2018.
Tiz Titus has finished in the Trifecta against classier foes in each of his last three races, and has finished in the money in half of his dirt starts. Union Wine has run well in the past over Fast dirt tracks. Danas Best (Aus) and Lucky Views are two last out winners who have previously run well over this main track.
Gurnick has finished in the Trifecta in all four of his previous starts on a Fast dirt track. Grunick could also move up with the drop in class. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 6 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Spicy Feline (ML 3-1)
# 8 Stellarium (ML 6-1)
B's
# 4 Little Moo (ML 9-2)
# 9 Ron's Cat (ML 8-1)
C's
# 5 Breaking the Code (ML 4-1)
# 6 Zahra (ML 10-1)
These are juvenile fillies, and man oh man, the temptation is great to just punch the "ALL" button. I decided to make a few eliminations; but those who are faint of heart and long in bankroll are encouraged to just buy this leg and move on.
Spicy Feline took the Place in her debut last time out over the synthetic main track at Golden Gate. Stellarium and Breaking the Code are two first time starters trained by Greg James. I give the edge to Stellarium, purchased at auction as a yearling for $32k, because Stellarium's sire, Jimmy Creed, has done well with regard to making debut winners; while Stellarium's dam, Stellaluna, has already produced two winners from three starters.
Little Moo and Ron's Cat filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta last time out over this main track. Zahra was sired by two time Graded Stakes winner Daaher, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.
RACE 7 - Md $16k - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 I'm an Eight (ML 5-2)
B's
# 4 Imalocomotive (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 A Little Bit Cocky (ML 9-2)
# 5 Bryan Habana (Arg) (ML 12-1)
# 7 Senja (ML 6-1)
I'm an Eight has finished in the Trifecta in each of his last six starts, without being the Post Time Favorite in any of them, suggesting that he has consistently run better than expected. Imalocomotive could move up with the stretch out in distance.
A Little Bit Cocky has been a consistent money burning, disappointing as the Post Time Favorite in five of his nine career starts. But perhaps the move to a Fast dirt track will change things up for A Little Bit Cocky.
Bryan Habana (Arg), shipping in from downstate, could improve with the change of scenery. Senja has taken the Show in two of his last three starts, albeit on the turf.
RACE 8 - Clm $20k N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Paynes Prairie (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 3 Jimmy the Juice (ML 12-1)
C's
RACE 5 - Clm $4k N2Y - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Tiz Titus (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Union Wine (ML 10-1)
# 3 Danas Best (Aus) (ML 5-1)
# 6 Gurnick (ML 4-1)
# 7 Lucky Views (ML 6-1)
C's
# 4 Daddy Duke (ML 3-1)
# 5 A P Phantom (ML 8-1)
This contest is for runners three year olds and upward that have not won two races in 2018.
Tiz Titus has finished in the Trifecta against classier foes in each of his last three races, and has finished in the money in half of his dirt starts. Union Wine has run well in the past over Fast dirt tracks. Danas Best (Aus) and Lucky Views are two last out winners who have previously run well over this main track.
Gurnick has finished in the Trifecta in all four of his previous starts on a Fast dirt track. Grunick could also move up with the drop in class. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 6 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Spicy Feline (ML 3-1)
# 8 Stellarium (ML 6-1)
B's
# 4 Little Moo (ML 9-2)
# 9 Ron's Cat (ML 8-1)
C's
# 5 Breaking the Code (ML 4-1)
# 6 Zahra (ML 10-1)
These are juvenile fillies, and man oh man, the temptation is great to just punch the "ALL" button. I decided to make a few eliminations; but those who are faint of heart and long in bankroll are encouraged to just buy this leg and move on.
Spicy Feline took the Place in her debut last time out over the synthetic main track at Golden Gate. Stellarium and Breaking the Code are two first time starters trained by Greg James. I give the edge to Stellarium, purchased at auction as a yearling for $32k, because Stellarium's sire, Jimmy Creed, has done well with regard to making debut winners; while Stellarium's dam, Stellaluna, has already produced two winners from three starters.
Little Moo and Ron's Cat filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta last time out over this main track. Zahra was sired by two time Graded Stakes winner Daaher, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.
RACE 7 - Md $16k - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 I'm an Eight (ML 5-2)
B's
# 4 Imalocomotive (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 A Little Bit Cocky (ML 9-2)
# 5 Bryan Habana (Arg) (ML 12-1)
# 7 Senja (ML 6-1)
I'm an Eight has finished in the Trifecta in each of his last six starts, without being the Post Time Favorite in any of them, suggesting that he has consistently run better than expected. Imalocomotive could move up with the stretch out in distance.
A Little Bit Cocky has been a consistent money burning, disappointing as the Post Time Favorite in five of his nine career starts. But perhaps the move to a Fast dirt track will change things up for A Little Bit Cocky.
Bryan Habana (Arg), shipping in from downstate, could improve with the change of scenery. Senja has taken the Show in two of his last three starts, albeit on the turf.
RACE 8 - Clm $20k N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Paynes Prairie (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 3 Jimmy the Juice (ML 12-1)
C's
# 1 Country Road (ML 3-1)
# 2 John Paul's Bet (ML 9-2)
# 2 John Paul's Bet (ML 9-2)
# 5 Puriano (ML 8-1)
# 7 Cannonball Comin (ML 4-1)
# 8 Son of a Minister (ML 8-1)
# 8 Son of a Minister (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 4 Chanted (ML 5-1)
Paynes Prairie was a clear winner over the Fast dirt track at Fresno last time out, and Trainer Jonathan Wong tends to do well when bringing his runners back from an extended vacation. Jimmy the Juice tends to do well when competing over a real dirt track. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 1 with 1,8 with 3 with 6 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,6,7 with 1,4,8,9 with 3,4 with 3,6 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,5 with 1,8 with 3 with 6 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 3 with 6 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 1,8 with 2,5,7 with 6 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 1,8 with 3 with 1,2,5,7,8 $5.00
Total: $53.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 7:15 EDT / 4:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, September 24, 2017
9/24/17 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Gold Rush Pick Six - Preview
"I'm a legend in this sport. If you don't believe me, ask me." - Bobby Heenan
Sunday marks the midway point of Part II of the California State Fair meet at Pleasanton, closing out as it does the first of two weekends here before the action moves on to Fresno. And that's really all I have by way of introduction; so let's get to it, as I take another run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 4 - (F) Md $5k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Evening Up (Morning Line 8-5)
# 4 Reva Bella (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Highland Rose (ML 6-1)
Note that, while this event was written for open company, all runners here are California bred.
Evening Up returns from an extended layoff; Trainer John Martin tends to do well with such. Reva Bella gets some much needed class relief. Highland Rose took the Show at this class level last time out, and just might prove that the third times ten time is the charm.
RACE 5 - (F) Alw 4000s - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Foreverinsummer (ML 5-2)
# 4 Exactamente (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 6 Contessa B. (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Roianna (ML 4-1)
Note for future reference that this event has no lifetime Win restrictions for entry. So any filly or mare that has started for a claiming price of $4k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.
Exactamente and Foreverinsummer filled out the Exacta at this class level last time out, with their order of finish being reversed when Exactamente was DQ'd. Contessa B. won by daylight each of the two prior times that she competed over a Fast dirt track. Roianna fits at this class level, and, like Exactamente, got to visit the Winner's Circle in her only previous contest over this track.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $25k B - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Rizzi's Honors (ML 9-5)
B's
# 1 Social Taboo (ML 4-1)
# 4 Maz Kanata (ML 6-1)
C's
# 7 Chocolate Goddess (ML 5-1)
This contest is restricted to fillies and mares three years old and upward which have never won three races OR fillies, three years old. So if your distaff runner is four years old or older, then she must have fewer than three wins in her career. However, if your filly is three years old, then she can have as many wins as she pleases. Note that there are no qualifiers for the win totals (that is, no exceptions for maiden victories, or wins where the purse was less than a certain dollar amount). For the record, # 4 Maz Kanata is the only runner here with more than two lifetime wins, having gotten her picture taken three times in her career. By the way, these conditions will also be used for the boys running in the nightcap below.
Rizzi's Honors ships in from downstate for Trainer Peter Miller, having been claimed from her last race at Del Mar, which she won by nearly a half dozen lengths. Miller tends to do quite well with runners going first off the claim; but it does seem rather curious that he would send Rizzi's Honors north to run on dirt rather than entering her at Los Alamitos.
Social Taboo is another shipping in from downstate, having taken the Place last time out at Los Alamitos at this approximate class level (lover claiming price, but no conditions). Maz Kanata could be the speed of the speed here, while Chocolate Goddess might be the one running best late.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 62k/N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Fast and Foxy (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 4 Princess Ashlyn (ML 5-2)
# 5 My Dynamo (ML 15-1)
# 8 Sky Forever (ML 8-1)
C's
# 2 Deb's Wildcard (ML 8-1)
# 7 Emmy and I (ML 4-1)
Fast and Foxy may be the speed of the speed here in a field that has a lot of fast runners. Princess Ashlyn was a half length behind Fast and Foxy at the wire two starts back in the $50k California Governor's Cup. My Dynamo, making her second start off an extended layoff, could be the one running best late. Sky Forever is three-for-four lifetime over this track.
Deb's Wildcard was Princess Ashlyn's virtual equal at the wire last time out; but that was on the synthetic track at Golden Gate. Emmy and I was victorious at this class level two starts back.
RACE 8 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Playing Through (ML 7-2)
B's
# 6 Ishi (ML 2-1)
C's
# 2 Power Times Two (ML 5-1)
# 4 Tortosa (ML 9-2)
# 5 Bold Charmant (ML 8-1)
These are juveniles, but all are experienced, as there are no first time starters in this field.
Playing Through ships in from downstate after a pair of troubled trips at Del Mar. Ishi dumped his rider in his debut last time out shortly after leaving the gate as the Post Time Favorite; the fact that Jockey Irving Orozco has chosen to ride Ishi again tells me that he thinks that this horse has talent.
Power Times Two flashed good early speed in his debut last time out. Tortosa took the Place at this class level last time out without ever threatening the winner of that contest. Bold Charmant ran well in his only prior try on a Fast dirt track.
RACE 9 - Clm $6.25k B - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Foolish to Deceive (ML 2-1)
# 3 Kern Ridge (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 5 Sizzling Eddie (ML 5-1)
# 6 Oil Change (ML 4-1)
Similar to Race 6 above, this contest is restricted to runners three years old and upward which have never won three races OR runners three years old. So if your runner is four years old or older, then he must have fewer than three wins in her career, per the conditions. However, if your runner is three years old, then she can have as many wins as she pleases. Note that there are no qualifiers for the win totals (that is, no exceptions for maiden victories, or wins where the purse was less than a certain dollar amount). For the record, # 1 Foolish to Deceive is the only runner here with more than two lifetime wins, having gotten his picture taken three times in his career. BUT FOOLISH TO DECEIVE IS FOUR YEARS OLD. So it looks like someone messed up somewhere.
Foolish to Deceive, in addition to having been slipped into this one past the stewards, won by daylight in each of his two prior races over a Fast dirt track (the last victory was a Dead Heat; maybe that's what caused the confusion?). Kern Ridge was victorious against open $10k claimers over the Sacramento dirt track two starts back.
Sizzling Eddie could move up with the turn back in distance. Oil Change is two-for-four lifetime when competing over a Fast dirt track.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 2,4 with 2,4 with 3 with 1 with 3 with 1,3 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,4,6 with 1,3,4 with 1,4,5,8 with 3,6 with 1,3 $57.60
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2,4 with 3 with 1 with 3 with 1,3 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 1 with 3 with 1 with 3 with 1,3 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,4 with 7 with 1 with 3 with 1,3 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,4 with 3 with 2,7 with 3 with 1,3 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,4 with 3 with 1 with 2,4,5 with 1,3 $4.80
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,4 with 3 with 1 with 3 with 5,6 $1.60
Total: $78.40
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:16 EDT / 3:16 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday marks the midway point of Part II of the California State Fair meet at Pleasanton, closing out as it does the first of two weekends here before the action moves on to Fresno. And that's really all I have by way of introduction; so let's get to it, as I take another run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 4 - (F) Md $5k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Evening Up (Morning Line 8-5)
# 4 Reva Bella (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Highland Rose (ML 6-1)
Note that, while this event was written for open company, all runners here are California bred.
Evening Up returns from an extended layoff; Trainer John Martin tends to do well with such. Reva Bella gets some much needed class relief. Highland Rose took the Show at this class level last time out, and just might prove that the third times ten time is the charm.
RACE 5 - (F) Alw 4000s - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Foreverinsummer (ML 5-2)
# 4 Exactamente (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 6 Contessa B. (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Roianna (ML 4-1)
Note for future reference that this event has no lifetime Win restrictions for entry. So any filly or mare that has started for a claiming price of $4k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.
Exactamente and Foreverinsummer filled out the Exacta at this class level last time out, with their order of finish being reversed when Exactamente was DQ'd. Contessa B. won by daylight each of the two prior times that she competed over a Fast dirt track. Roianna fits at this class level, and, like Exactamente, got to visit the Winner's Circle in her only previous contest over this track.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $25k B - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Rizzi's Honors (ML 9-5)
B's
# 1 Social Taboo (ML 4-1)
# 4 Maz Kanata (ML 6-1)
C's
# 7 Chocolate Goddess (ML 5-1)
This contest is restricted to fillies and mares three years old and upward which have never won three races OR fillies, three years old. So if your distaff runner is four years old or older, then she must have fewer than three wins in her career. However, if your filly is three years old, then she can have as many wins as she pleases. Note that there are no qualifiers for the win totals (that is, no exceptions for maiden victories, or wins where the purse was less than a certain dollar amount). For the record, # 4 Maz Kanata is the only runner here with more than two lifetime wins, having gotten her picture taken three times in her career. By the way, these conditions will also be used for the boys running in the nightcap below.
Rizzi's Honors ships in from downstate for Trainer Peter Miller, having been claimed from her last race at Del Mar, which she won by nearly a half dozen lengths. Miller tends to do quite well with runners going first off the claim; but it does seem rather curious that he would send Rizzi's Honors north to run on dirt rather than entering her at Los Alamitos.
Social Taboo is another shipping in from downstate, having taken the Place last time out at Los Alamitos at this approximate class level (lover claiming price, but no conditions). Maz Kanata could be the speed of the speed here, while Chocolate Goddess might be the one running best late.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 62k/N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Fast and Foxy (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 4 Princess Ashlyn (ML 5-2)
# 5 My Dynamo (ML 15-1)
# 8 Sky Forever (ML 8-1)
C's
# 2 Deb's Wildcard (ML 8-1)
# 7 Emmy and I (ML 4-1)
Fast and Foxy may be the speed of the speed here in a field that has a lot of fast runners. Princess Ashlyn was a half length behind Fast and Foxy at the wire two starts back in the $50k California Governor's Cup. My Dynamo, making her second start off an extended layoff, could be the one running best late. Sky Forever is three-for-four lifetime over this track.
Deb's Wildcard was Princess Ashlyn's virtual equal at the wire last time out; but that was on the synthetic track at Golden Gate. Emmy and I was victorious at this class level two starts back.
RACE 8 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Playing Through (ML 7-2)
B's
# 6 Ishi (ML 2-1)
C's
# 2 Power Times Two (ML 5-1)
# 4 Tortosa (ML 9-2)
# 5 Bold Charmant (ML 8-1)
These are juveniles, but all are experienced, as there are no first time starters in this field.
Playing Through ships in from downstate after a pair of troubled trips at Del Mar. Ishi dumped his rider in his debut last time out shortly after leaving the gate as the Post Time Favorite; the fact that Jockey Irving Orozco has chosen to ride Ishi again tells me that he thinks that this horse has talent.
Power Times Two flashed good early speed in his debut last time out. Tortosa took the Place at this class level last time out without ever threatening the winner of that contest. Bold Charmant ran well in his only prior try on a Fast dirt track.
RACE 9 - Clm $6.25k B - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Foolish to Deceive (ML 2-1)
# 3 Kern Ridge (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 5 Sizzling Eddie (ML 5-1)
# 6 Oil Change (ML 4-1)
Similar to Race 6 above, this contest is restricted to runners three years old and upward which have never won three races OR runners three years old. So if your runner is four years old or older, then he must have fewer than three wins in her career, per the conditions. However, if your runner is three years old, then she can have as many wins as she pleases. Note that there are no qualifiers for the win totals (that is, no exceptions for maiden victories, or wins where the purse was less than a certain dollar amount). For the record, # 1 Foolish to Deceive is the only runner here with more than two lifetime wins, having gotten his picture taken three times in his career. BUT FOOLISH TO DECEIVE IS FOUR YEARS OLD. So it looks like someone messed up somewhere.
Foolish to Deceive, in addition to having been slipped into this one past the stewards, won by daylight in each of his two prior races over a Fast dirt track (the last victory was a Dead Heat; maybe that's what caused the confusion?). Kern Ridge was victorious against open $10k claimers over the Sacramento dirt track two starts back.
Sizzling Eddie could move up with the turn back in distance. Oil Change is two-for-four lifetime when competing over a Fast dirt track.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 2,4 with 2,4 with 3 with 1 with 3 with 1,3 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,4,6 with 1,3,4 with 1,4,5,8 with 3,6 with 1,3 $57.60
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2,4 with 3 with 1 with 3 with 1,3 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 1 with 3 with 1 with 3 with 1,3 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,4 with 7 with 1 with 3 with 1,3 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,4 with 3 with 2,7 with 3 with 1,3 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,4 with 3 with 1 with 2,4,5 with 1,3 $4.80
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,4 with 3 with 1 with 3 with 5,6 $1.60
Total: $78.40
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:16 EDT / 3:16 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, September 23, 2017
9/23/17 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Gold Rush Pick Six - Results
Race 4 - # 5 Press Baron (Final Odds 1.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 5 - # 3 Four Leaf (2.00) - "C" Selection
Race 6 - # 2 Storm Fashion (1.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 4 Perfect for Me (5.50) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 2 Mended (0.90*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 7 Meadowlark (1.60*) - "A" Selection
You all already know how this song goes: had 'em all, but not all on any one ticket. Four Leaf is now two-for-two lifetime competing on the Pleasanton oval, each of those two races marking the only two times in Four Leaf's career that she was able to grab the lead at first call in a one turn race. Meanwhile, the early speed that Perfect for Me had flashed in her debut carried her all the way to the line Saturday in her second career effort, as she crossed under the wire a full length in front of # 3 Our Bold Princess (4.90), whom Perfect for Me had finished over a dozen lengths behind in that prior effort.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Gold Rush Pick Six sequence of 5 / 3 / 2 / 4 / 2 / 7 were rewarded with a payout of $152.14 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 5 - # 3 Four Leaf (2.00) - "C" Selection
Race 6 - # 2 Storm Fashion (1.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 4 Perfect for Me (5.50) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 2 Mended (0.90*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 7 Meadowlark (1.60*) - "A" Selection
You all already know how this song goes: had 'em all, but not all on any one ticket. Four Leaf is now two-for-two lifetime competing on the Pleasanton oval, each of those two races marking the only two times in Four Leaf's career that she was able to grab the lead at first call in a one turn race. Meanwhile, the early speed that Perfect for Me had flashed in her debut carried her all the way to the line Saturday in her second career effort, as she crossed under the wire a full length in front of # 3 Our Bold Princess (4.90), whom Perfect for Me had finished over a dozen lengths behind in that prior effort.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Gold Rush Pick Six sequence of 5 / 3 / 2 / 4 / 2 / 7 were rewarded with a payout of $152.14 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
9/23/17 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Gold Rush Pick Six - Preview
Back to the state fair circuit this weekend; Pleasanton, to be exact, for phase two of the 2017 Oak Tree meet. Since there's already over ten grand in the Jackpot Pick Six pool (thanks to all fairs (sans Santa Rosa) being counted as one meeting for carryover purposes this year) I figure I might as well dive right in myself; so with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 4 - Clm $2.5k - Eight and One Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Blazing Image (Morning Line 5-2)
# 5 Press Baron (GB) (ML 9-5)
B’s
None
C's
None
Blazing Image won by as many as he wanted last time out on the dirt at Ferndale at this approximate class level (higher price tag, but with conditions). Press Baron (GB) gets some much needed class relief here; though it's fair to wonder just how well Press Baron will run on real dirt.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $4k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 She Began Again (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 4 Dixie Spice (ML 3-1)
C's
# 3 Four Leaf (ML 5-2)
She Began Again could move up with the surface switch. Dixie Spice, now trained by Steve Sherman, appears to have been working well for this, her first start in sixteen months. Four Leaf took the Place at this class level last time out.
RACE 6 - Clm $8k N1Y - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Storm Fashion (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 1 Unusually Big (ML 7-2)
# 3 Lucky Views (ML 4-1)
# 4 Outdoorsman Gene (ML 15-1)
# 5 Canada (ML 9-2)
# 6 Nahem (ML 3-1)
C's
None
This contest is for runners three year olds and upward that have not won a race in 2017, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming and Starter contests for $6.25k or less.
Storm Fashion took the Place against classier competition in each of his last two starts on a Fast dirt track. Unusually Big has more Wins over a Fast dirt track than the rest of the field combined. Lucky Views closed well to win at seven furlongs last time out.
Outdoorsman Gene is on the ticket because everyone else is. Canada could improve with the turn back in distance. Nahem fits well here on class; but the lifetime zero-for-eight record when competing over a Fast dirt track is a concern.
RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Silken Queen (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Royal Lookin (ML 8-1)
# 3 Our Bold Princess (ML 6-1)
# 4 Perfect for Me (ML 8-1)
# 6 Admonition (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 8 She's an Eagle (ML 3-1)
These are juveniles, but all are experienced, as there are no first time starters in this field.
Silken Queen missed graduation by just half a length last time out in her debut at Golden Gate Fields. Royal Lookin took the Show at Santa Rosa behind a next out winner two starts back. Our Bold Princess ran well in her debut last time out, once she realized that there was a race going on and that she was in it.
Perfect for Me showed good early speed in her debut last time out. Admonition could improve with the surface switch.
RACE 8 - (F) OC 62k/N2X - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Mended (ML 9-5)
B’s
None
C's
# 3 Blushing Bug (ML 5-1)
# 4 Mon Petite (ML 9-2)
# 5 Fervent Femme (ML 5-2)
Mended has yet to lose since joining the barn of Trainer John Martin, and all seven victories have been by daylight. Blushing Bug was a winner in her only prior try over a Fast dirt track. Mon Petite missed victory by just a nose in the $50k Luther Burbank last time out. Fervent Femme, the "other" John Martin, was a winner at this class level over this track two starts back.
RACE 9 - Md $12.5k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Let's Havanuther (ML 6-1)
# 7 Meadowlark Thunder (ML 7-2)
B's
# 2 Stormin G A (ML 9-2)
# 3 Macandoo (ML 6-1)
C's
# 5 Woodford Surprise (ML 10-1)
# 6 Thisonesfordanny (ML 5-2)
Note that, while this race was carded for runners three years old and upward, all entrants are in fact three years old; none are upward. It's also worth noting that # 7 Meadowlark Thunder is the only runner in this field that is not a California bred.
Let's Havanuther and Meadowlark Thunder filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta last time out at Golden Gate Fields. Stormin G A could move forward with the class drop. Macandoo took the Place against more expensive last time out; but last time out was eleven months ago.
Woodford Surprise closed well in his debut last time out, and should be more forwardly placed today with the blinkers being added. Thisonesfordanny had stamina issues in his prior two starts; if he can last til the end, Thisonesfordanny could be the one getting his picture taken after this one is over.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 1,5 with 6 with 2 with 1 with 2 with 4,7 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 4,6 with ALL with 1 with 2 with 2,3,4,7 $19.20
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 3 with 2 with 1 with 2 with 4,7 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 6 with 2 with 2,3,4,6 with 2 with 4,7 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 6 with 2 with 1 with 3,4,5 with 4,7 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 6 with 2 with 1 with 2 with 5,6 $0.80
Total: $30.40
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:16 EDT / 3:16 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 4 - Clm $2.5k - Eight and One Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Blazing Image (Morning Line 5-2)
# 5 Press Baron (GB) (ML 9-5)
B’s
None
C's
None
Blazing Image won by as many as he wanted last time out on the dirt at Ferndale at this approximate class level (higher price tag, but with conditions). Press Baron (GB) gets some much needed class relief here; though it's fair to wonder just how well Press Baron will run on real dirt.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $4k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 She Began Again (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 4 Dixie Spice (ML 3-1)
C's
# 3 Four Leaf (ML 5-2)
She Began Again could move up with the surface switch. Dixie Spice, now trained by Steve Sherman, appears to have been working well for this, her first start in sixteen months. Four Leaf took the Place at this class level last time out.
RACE 6 - Clm $8k N1Y - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Storm Fashion (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 1 Unusually Big (ML 7-2)
# 3 Lucky Views (ML 4-1)
# 4 Outdoorsman Gene (ML 15-1)
# 5 Canada (ML 9-2)
# 6 Nahem (ML 3-1)
C's
None
This contest is for runners three year olds and upward that have not won a race in 2017, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming and Starter contests for $6.25k or less.
Storm Fashion took the Place against classier competition in each of his last two starts on a Fast dirt track. Unusually Big has more Wins over a Fast dirt track than the rest of the field combined. Lucky Views closed well to win at seven furlongs last time out.
Outdoorsman Gene is on the ticket because everyone else is. Canada could improve with the turn back in distance. Nahem fits well here on class; but the lifetime zero-for-eight record when competing over a Fast dirt track is a concern.
RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Silken Queen (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Royal Lookin (ML 8-1)
# 3 Our Bold Princess (ML 6-1)
# 4 Perfect for Me (ML 8-1)
# 6 Admonition (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 8 She's an Eagle (ML 3-1)
These are juveniles, but all are experienced, as there are no first time starters in this field.
Silken Queen missed graduation by just half a length last time out in her debut at Golden Gate Fields. Royal Lookin took the Show at Santa Rosa behind a next out winner two starts back. Our Bold Princess ran well in her debut last time out, once she realized that there was a race going on and that she was in it.
Perfect for Me showed good early speed in her debut last time out. Admonition could improve with the surface switch.
RACE 8 - (F) OC 62k/N2X - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Mended (ML 9-5)
B’s
None
C's
# 3 Blushing Bug (ML 5-1)
# 4 Mon Petite (ML 9-2)
# 5 Fervent Femme (ML 5-2)
Mended has yet to lose since joining the barn of Trainer John Martin, and all seven victories have been by daylight. Blushing Bug was a winner in her only prior try over a Fast dirt track. Mon Petite missed victory by just a nose in the $50k Luther Burbank last time out. Fervent Femme, the "other" John Martin, was a winner at this class level over this track two starts back.
RACE 9 - Md $12.5k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Let's Havanuther (ML 6-1)
# 7 Meadowlark Thunder (ML 7-2)
B's
# 2 Stormin G A (ML 9-2)
# 3 Macandoo (ML 6-1)
C's
# 5 Woodford Surprise (ML 10-1)
# 6 Thisonesfordanny (ML 5-2)
Note that, while this race was carded for runners three years old and upward, all entrants are in fact three years old; none are upward. It's also worth noting that # 7 Meadowlark Thunder is the only runner in this field that is not a California bred.
Let's Havanuther and Meadowlark Thunder filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta last time out at Golden Gate Fields. Stormin G A could move forward with the class drop. Macandoo took the Place against more expensive last time out; but last time out was eleven months ago.
Woodford Surprise closed well in his debut last time out, and should be more forwardly placed today with the blinkers being added. Thisonesfordanny had stamina issues in his prior two starts; if he can last til the end, Thisonesfordanny could be the one getting his picture taken after this one is over.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 1,5 with 6 with 2 with 1 with 2 with 4,7 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 4,6 with ALL with 1 with 2 with 2,3,4,7 $19.20
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 3 with 2 with 1 with 2 with 4,7 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 6 with 2 with 2,3,4,6 with 2 with 4,7 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 6 with 2 with 1 with 3,4,5 with 4,7 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 6 with 2 with 1 with 2 with 5,6 $0.80
Total: $30.40
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:16 EDT / 3:16 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, July 9, 2017
7/9/17 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Gold Rush Pick Six - Results
Race 4 - # 4 Elle Woods Too (Final Odds 5.10) - "C" Selection
Race 5 - # 6 Miekallon (9.20) - No Selection
Race 6 - # 5 Ultimate Game (1.60*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 5 Loma Cat (6.60) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 4 Saxon Lord (8.00) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 8 I'm Focused (13.10) - No Selection
Sort of a mixed bag Sunday. Having a $15.20 winner as an "A" Selection is a beautiful thing to behold; but having over half the winners absent from your big ticket suggests that your handicapping wasn't all that it could be. Anyway, this being a wager that requires a hit on every leg means that a mixed bag day is just another way of saying that I contributed Sunday and did not collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Gold Rush Pick Six sequence of 4 / 6 / 5 / 5 / 4 / 8 were non-existent. Nobody picked six on Sunday. Those who picked five out of six were rewarded with a payout of $646.26 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 5 - # 6 Miekallon (9.20) - No Selection
Race 6 - # 5 Ultimate Game (1.60*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 5 Loma Cat (6.60) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 4 Saxon Lord (8.00) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 8 I'm Focused (13.10) - No Selection
Sort of a mixed bag Sunday. Having a $15.20 winner as an "A" Selection is a beautiful thing to behold; but having over half the winners absent from your big ticket suggests that your handicapping wasn't all that it could be. Anyway, this being a wager that requires a hit on every leg means that a mixed bag day is just another way of saying that I contributed Sunday and did not collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Gold Rush Pick Six sequence of 4 / 6 / 5 / 5 / 4 / 8 were non-existent. Nobody picked six on Sunday. Those who picked five out of six were rewarded with a payout of $646.26 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/9/17 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Gold Rush Pick Six - Preview
And so we come to the final day of racing at the Alameda County Fairgrounds; at least until Autumn. Now keep in mind that, even though this is the final day of the meet, there is no mandatory payout today for the jackpot pool. The jackpot will carryover to the State Fair at Sacramento; provided, of course, that it doesn't get scooped. So with all that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 4 - (F) Clm $20k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Inside Scoop (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Marynetta (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Classy Lady (ML 6-1)
# 4 Elle Woods Too (ML 9-2)
Inside Scoop could improve with the surface switch, and looks to be the one that will be running best late. Marynetta may be the speed of the speed here, and could improve with the freshening. Classy Lady has finished in the Trifecta both times that she has competed on a Fast dirt track. Elle Woods Too was a winner at this class level last time out; but Elle Woods Too probably won't get the easy early lead today that she had in that contest.
RACE 5 - Md $16k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Zachian (ML 3-1)
B's
# 1 Out At Eight (ML 6-1)
# 3 Ron Again (ML 8-1)
# 4 Sheer Prince (ML 4-1)
C's
# 5 Kaluha (ML 5-1)
# 8 El Alteno (ML 9-2)
Zachian could improve with the reduction in real estate that he needs to cover today. Out At Eight and Ron Again are a pair of first time starters in a field where none of the experienced runners has shown themselves to be consistently competitive.
Sheer Prince could improve going second off the layoff. Kaluha's bullet work on June 29 would suggest that whatever was effecting him in his last outing is no longer an issue. El Alteno flashed brief early foot in his debut last time out.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $4k 2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Ultimate Game (ML5-2)
B’s
# 2 Im Your Pulpet (ML 9-2)
# 7 Dollemma (ML 20-1)
C's
# 4 Uncle Steve's Girl (ML 5-1)
# 6 Millennium Brew (ML 12-1)
Ultimate Game showed good early speed against more expensive stock last time out. Im Your Pulpet graduated by daylight last time out; and while last time out was eleven months ago for Im Your Pulpet, Trainer Cliff DeLima tends to do well when bringing runners back from an extended leave.
Dollemma took the Show against classier stock downstate two starts back. Uncle Steve's Girl has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last three starts.
Millennium Brew is the only runner in this field who has visited the Winner's Circle twice; which is odd, since neither the conditions printed with the Past Performances, nor the conditions printed in the track program state any exemptions to the Non-Winners of Two condition (for example, for a Win when the purse was less than $X). I presume that this was an unfortunate omission when these items were printed; and while I don't have a great deal of faith in Millennium Brew's chances today, I do believe that having such an advantage over the rest of the field warrants her inclusion as a backup "C" Selection.
RACE 7 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight and One Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Loma Cat (ML 5-1)
# 7 Baroque (ML 7-2)
# 8 Savrola (ML 4-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 4 Lil' Chieftain (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 2 Onefortheteam (ML 9-2)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and only one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 7 Baroque and # 8 Savrola are the only two runners in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle twice in their career.
Savrola, Loma Cat, and Baroque filled out the Trifecta (in that order) at this class level last time out, all three crossing under the wire within a length of each other. Lil' Chieftain graduated by daylight last time out; perhaps Lil' Chieftain finally figured out what this racing stuff was all about; or maybe he just really likes this surface.
RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 9 Mr. Shook (ML 3-1)
B's
# 6 Donji (ML 5-1)
C's
# 3 Harvest a Storm (ML 9-2)
# 4 Saxon Lord (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 2 Cackle the Cuda (ML 6-1)
Mr. Shook, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, was within two lengths of the winner at the wire at this class level last time. Mr. Shook's breeding suggests that he should do well today in his first try at two turn racing.
Donji has finished in the Trifecta all three times that he has competed over this track. Harvest a Storm took the Show at this class level last time out, albeit on the grass. Saxon Lord could improve with the change of surface.
RACE 9 - Md $8k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 This's How We Roll (ML 4-1)
B's
# 5 Atila's War (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Genuwine Wine (ML 10-1)
# 2 Atsina Warrior (ML 8-1)
# 4 Plum Lucky (ML 15-1)
# 9 D G Man (ML 7-2)
This's How We Roll took the Show against more expensive last time out. Atila's War showed good early speed against classier foes last time out.
Genuwine Wine has proven competitive at this class level. Atsina Warrior returns from an extended vacation; as stated above, Trainer Cliff DeLima tends to do well with such.
Plum Lucky may have needed that last race. D G Man flashed some good early speed in his debut last time out.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 2,3 with 1,2,3,4 with 2,5,7 with 5,7,8 with 6,9 with 3,5 $57.60
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,4 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 5,8 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 4,6 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 9 with 3 $0.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 3,4 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 1,2,4,9 $2.40
Total: $68.00
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:15 EDT / 3:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 4 - (F) Clm $20k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Inside Scoop (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Marynetta (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Classy Lady (ML 6-1)
# 4 Elle Woods Too (ML 9-2)
Inside Scoop could improve with the surface switch, and looks to be the one that will be running best late. Marynetta may be the speed of the speed here, and could improve with the freshening. Classy Lady has finished in the Trifecta both times that she has competed on a Fast dirt track. Elle Woods Too was a winner at this class level last time out; but Elle Woods Too probably won't get the easy early lead today that she had in that contest.
RACE 5 - Md $16k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Zachian (ML 3-1)
B's
# 1 Out At Eight (ML 6-1)
# 3 Ron Again (ML 8-1)
# 4 Sheer Prince (ML 4-1)
C's
# 5 Kaluha (ML 5-1)
# 8 El Alteno (ML 9-2)
Zachian could improve with the reduction in real estate that he needs to cover today. Out At Eight and Ron Again are a pair of first time starters in a field where none of the experienced runners has shown themselves to be consistently competitive.
Sheer Prince could improve going second off the layoff. Kaluha's bullet work on June 29 would suggest that whatever was effecting him in his last outing is no longer an issue. El Alteno flashed brief early foot in his debut last time out.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $4k 2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Ultimate Game (ML5-2)
B’s
# 2 Im Your Pulpet (ML 9-2)
# 7 Dollemma (ML 20-1)
C's
# 4 Uncle Steve's Girl (ML 5-1)
# 6 Millennium Brew (ML 12-1)
Ultimate Game showed good early speed against more expensive stock last time out. Im Your Pulpet graduated by daylight last time out; and while last time out was eleven months ago for Im Your Pulpet, Trainer Cliff DeLima tends to do well when bringing runners back from an extended leave.
Dollemma took the Show against classier stock downstate two starts back. Uncle Steve's Girl has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last three starts.
Millennium Brew is the only runner in this field who has visited the Winner's Circle twice; which is odd, since neither the conditions printed with the Past Performances, nor the conditions printed in the track program state any exemptions to the Non-Winners of Two condition (for example, for a Win when the purse was less than $X). I presume that this was an unfortunate omission when these items were printed; and while I don't have a great deal of faith in Millennium Brew's chances today, I do believe that having such an advantage over the rest of the field warrants her inclusion as a backup "C" Selection.
RACE 7 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight and One Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Loma Cat (ML 5-1)
# 7 Baroque (ML 7-2)
# 8 Savrola (ML 4-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 4 Lil' Chieftain (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 2 Onefortheteam (ML 9-2)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and only one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 7 Baroque and # 8 Savrola are the only two runners in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle twice in their career.
Savrola, Loma Cat, and Baroque filled out the Trifecta (in that order) at this class level last time out, all three crossing under the wire within a length of each other. Lil' Chieftain graduated by daylight last time out; perhaps Lil' Chieftain finally figured out what this racing stuff was all about; or maybe he just really likes this surface.
RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 9 Mr. Shook (ML 3-1)
B's
# 6 Donji (ML 5-1)
C's
# 3 Harvest a Storm (ML 9-2)
# 4 Saxon Lord (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 2 Cackle the Cuda (ML 6-1)
Mr. Shook, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, was within two lengths of the winner at the wire at this class level last time. Mr. Shook's breeding suggests that he should do well today in his first try at two turn racing.
Donji has finished in the Trifecta all three times that he has competed over this track. Harvest a Storm took the Show at this class level last time out, albeit on the grass. Saxon Lord could improve with the change of surface.
RACE 9 - Md $8k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 This's How We Roll (ML 4-1)
B's
# 5 Atila's War (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Genuwine Wine (ML 10-1)
# 2 Atsina Warrior (ML 8-1)
# 4 Plum Lucky (ML 15-1)
# 9 D G Man (ML 7-2)
This's How We Roll took the Show against more expensive last time out. Atila's War showed good early speed against classier foes last time out.
Genuwine Wine has proven competitive at this class level. Atsina Warrior returns from an extended vacation; as stated above, Trainer Cliff DeLima tends to do well with such.
Plum Lucky may have needed that last race. D G Man flashed some good early speed in his debut last time out.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 2,3 with 1,2,3,4 with 2,5,7 with 5,7,8 with 6,9 with 3,5 $57.60
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,4 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 5,8 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 4,6 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 9 with 3 $0.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 3,4 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 1,2,4,9 $2.40
Total: $68.00
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:15 EDT / 3:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, July 8, 2017
7/8/17 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Gold Rush Pick Six - Results
Race 5 - # 5 Contessa B. (Final Odds 0.70*) - "C" Selection
Race 6 - # 2 Omdurman (2.40) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 3 Little Doe (3.60) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Everett Nevin - # 4 Kimberlea K (0.90*) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Lucky Patrick (2.30) - "C" Selection
Race 10 - # 4 Blushing Bug (6.90) - "B" Selection
It's never a good idea to have a single on your big ticket in which you don't have full confidence; and Saturday was a good example of that. As I mentioned in the preview, my big ticket single, # 6 Knoll (2.80) in the opening leg, was a lifetime two-for-twenty-nine going into Saturday's contest. Such a runner should not be a single on any ticket, excepting the rarest of circumstances. But more importantly, the fact that I was expressing such doubts about Knoll's win chances in the preview should have been a clear signal that she was not the single that I was looking for, and I should have adjusted my play accordingly.
However, with that said, had I moved Contessa B from backup to the big ticket, I most likely still would not have collected Saturday. I certainly wouldn't have doubled the cost of my big ticket, which simply adding Contessa B while making no other adjustments would have done. And while I will never know exactly how the play would have gone down, I feel confident that I still would have had Kimberlea K and Blushing Bug on the big ticket. But Lucky Patrick almost certainly would have remained a backup "C" Selection, which would have doomed all tickets to the trash bin anyway.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Gold Rush Pick Six sequence of 5 / 2 / 3 / 4 / 5 / 4 were rewarded with a payout of $528.96 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 6 - # 2 Omdurman (2.40) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 3 Little Doe (3.60) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Everett Nevin - # 4 Kimberlea K (0.90*) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Lucky Patrick (2.30) - "C" Selection
Race 10 - # 4 Blushing Bug (6.90) - "B" Selection
It's never a good idea to have a single on your big ticket in which you don't have full confidence; and Saturday was a good example of that. As I mentioned in the preview, my big ticket single, # 6 Knoll (2.80) in the opening leg, was a lifetime two-for-twenty-nine going into Saturday's contest. Such a runner should not be a single on any ticket, excepting the rarest of circumstances. But more importantly, the fact that I was expressing such doubts about Knoll's win chances in the preview should have been a clear signal that she was not the single that I was looking for, and I should have adjusted my play accordingly.
However, with that said, had I moved Contessa B from backup to the big ticket, I most likely still would not have collected Saturday. I certainly wouldn't have doubled the cost of my big ticket, which simply adding Contessa B while making no other adjustments would have done. And while I will never know exactly how the play would have gone down, I feel confident that I still would have had Kimberlea K and Blushing Bug on the big ticket. But Lucky Patrick almost certainly would have remained a backup "C" Selection, which would have doomed all tickets to the trash bin anyway.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Gold Rush Pick Six sequence of 5 / 2 / 3 / 4 / 5 / 4 were rewarded with a payout of $528.96 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/8/17 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Gold Rush Pick Six - Preview
"If no one ever took risks, Michelangelo would have painted the Sistine Floor." - Neil Simon
The Everett Nevin Stakes, a five and a half furlong sprint for California bred or California sired juveniles, is the featured race on Saturday's card at the Alameda County Fair. And telling you that is pretty much all I have by way of introduction; so let's get to it, as I take another run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $3.2k N1Y - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Knoll (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Tanned Mistress (ML 8-1)
# 2 Deep Thought (ML 10-1)
# 3 Raja's Rose (ML 5-1)
# 5 Contessa (ML 5-2)
Scratch # 4 Warrens Lil Margie (ML 2-1)
This contest is for fillies and mares three year olds and upward that have not won a race in 2017, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming, and Starter contests for $2.5k or less.
Knoll's lifetime record of two Wins in twenty-nine tries isn't exactly what you look for in a big ticket single. But, with the scratch of Warrens Lil Margie, Knoll is clearly (in my humble opinion) the most talented runner in this field, and a repeat of any of her most recent efforts should put her in the Winner's Circle today.
The "C" Selections are everyone else. As I said, two-for-twenty-nine doesn't inspire a lot of confidence. If Knoll fails to fire today, at least this play won't suffer a first round knockout.
RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Omdurman (ML 5-1)
# 6 Tremors Code (ML 4-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 3 Tough Timber (ML 7-2)
Omdurman took the Show at this class level last time out. Tremors Code took the Show against classier foes last time out. Tough Timber has finished in the Exacta in all three of his career starts on a Fast dirt track.
RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Little Doe (ML 5-1)
B's
# 4 Boot Scootin' Kid (ML 10-1)
# 5 Assemble (ML 3-1)
# 7 Angelofmontgomery (ML 2-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 2 Truth Matters (ML 7-2)
These are juveniles, with Little Doe and Boot Scootin' Kid being the only two runners in the field with any prior racing experience. Assemble and Angelofmontgomery are both trained by Blaine Wright, who tends to do reasonably well with first time starters.
RACE 8 - [S] The Everett Nevin $100k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Schulace (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Jacks Masterpiece (ML 7-2)
# 3 Walk On Water (ML 10-1)
# 4 Kimberlea (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Schulace was an easy winner in his debut at Santa Anita last time out. Jacks Masterpiece won by as many as he wanted over this track in his initial try last time out.
Walk on Water graduated while making the jump up in class from Maiden Claiming to Maiden Non-Claiming last time out in his first start after being claimed by Trainer Steve Miyadi. Kimberlea, the only filly in this field, was another that won in her debut last time out, and she just might be the quickest of the bunch.
RACE 9 - MSW - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Pavelski (ML 2-1)
# 2 Alleycat (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 5 Lucky Patrick (ML 3-1)
Pavelski could improve with the switch back to dirt. Alleycat took the Place at this class level last time out, albeit on the turf. Lucky Patrick could be quickest in a field that looks a little light on early speed.
RACE 10 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight and Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 3 Moscato Girl (ML 9-2)
B's
# 4 Blushing Bug (ML 10-1)
# 5 Hal's Buddy (ML 4-1)
# 7 Breakaway Dixie (ML 7-2)
# 9 Californiasunshine (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Moscato Girl fits well here on class, and has run well in the past on Fast dirt tracks. Blushing Bug appears to be in top form, but Blushing Bug may not have enough pace in this field to chase.
Hal's Buddy took the Place at this class level last time out, with Breakaway Dixie taking the Show behind her. Californiasunshine was a winner at this class level two starts back.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 6 with 2,6 with 3 with 8 with 1,2 with 3 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 6 with 2,6 with 3,4,5,7 with 1,3,4,8 with 1,2 with 3,4,5,7,9 $64.00
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,2,3,5 with 2,6 with 3 with 8 with 1,2 with 3 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 6 with 3 with 3 with 8 with 1,2 with 3 $0.40
$0.20 P6: 6 with 2,6 with 3 with 8 with 5 with 3 $0.40
Total: $72.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 6:46 EDT / 3:46 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
The Everett Nevin Stakes, a five and a half furlong sprint for California bred or California sired juveniles, is the featured race on Saturday's card at the Alameda County Fair. And telling you that is pretty much all I have by way of introduction; so let's get to it, as I take another run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $3.2k N1Y - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Knoll (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Tanned Mistress (ML 8-1)
# 2 Deep Thought (ML 10-1)
# 3 Raja's Rose (ML 5-1)
# 5 Contessa (ML 5-2)
Scratch # 4 Warrens Lil Margie (ML 2-1)
This contest is for fillies and mares three year olds and upward that have not won a race in 2017, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming, and Starter contests for $2.5k or less.
Knoll's lifetime record of two Wins in twenty-nine tries isn't exactly what you look for in a big ticket single. But, with the scratch of Warrens Lil Margie, Knoll is clearly (in my humble opinion) the most talented runner in this field, and a repeat of any of her most recent efforts should put her in the Winner's Circle today.
The "C" Selections are everyone else. As I said, two-for-twenty-nine doesn't inspire a lot of confidence. If Knoll fails to fire today, at least this play won't suffer a first round knockout.
RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Omdurman (ML 5-1)
# 6 Tremors Code (ML 4-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 3 Tough Timber (ML 7-2)
Omdurman took the Show at this class level last time out. Tremors Code took the Show against classier foes last time out. Tough Timber has finished in the Exacta in all three of his career starts on a Fast dirt track.
RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Little Doe (ML 5-1)
B's
# 4 Boot Scootin' Kid (ML 10-1)
# 5 Assemble (ML 3-1)
# 7 Angelofmontgomery (ML 2-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 2 Truth Matters (ML 7-2)
These are juveniles, with Little Doe and Boot Scootin' Kid being the only two runners in the field with any prior racing experience. Assemble and Angelofmontgomery are both trained by Blaine Wright, who tends to do reasonably well with first time starters.
RACE 8 - [S] The Everett Nevin $100k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Schulace (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Jacks Masterpiece (ML 7-2)
# 3 Walk On Water (ML 10-1)
# 4 Kimberlea (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Schulace was an easy winner in his debut at Santa Anita last time out. Jacks Masterpiece won by as many as he wanted over this track in his initial try last time out.
Walk on Water graduated while making the jump up in class from Maiden Claiming to Maiden Non-Claiming last time out in his first start after being claimed by Trainer Steve Miyadi. Kimberlea, the only filly in this field, was another that won in her debut last time out, and she just might be the quickest of the bunch.
RACE 9 - MSW - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Pavelski (ML 2-1)
# 2 Alleycat (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 5 Lucky Patrick (ML 3-1)
Pavelski could improve with the switch back to dirt. Alleycat took the Place at this class level last time out, albeit on the turf. Lucky Patrick could be quickest in a field that looks a little light on early speed.
RACE 10 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight and Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 3 Moscato Girl (ML 9-2)
B's
# 4 Blushing Bug (ML 10-1)
# 5 Hal's Buddy (ML 4-1)
# 7 Breakaway Dixie (ML 7-2)
# 9 Californiasunshine (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Moscato Girl fits well here on class, and has run well in the past on Fast dirt tracks. Blushing Bug appears to be in top form, but Blushing Bug may not have enough pace in this field to chase.
Hal's Buddy took the Place at this class level last time out, with Breakaway Dixie taking the Show behind her. Californiasunshine was a winner at this class level two starts back.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 6 with 2,6 with 3 with 8 with 1,2 with 3 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 6 with 2,6 with 3,4,5,7 with 1,3,4,8 with 1,2 with 3,4,5,7,9 $64.00
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,2,3,5 with 2,6 with 3 with 8 with 1,2 with 3 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 6 with 3 with 3 with 8 with 1,2 with 3 $0.40
$0.20 P6: 6 with 2,6 with 3 with 8 with 5 with 3 $0.40
Total: $72.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 6:46 EDT / 3:46 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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