"I'm a legend in this sport. If you don't believe me, ask me." - Bobby Heenan
Sunday marks the midway point of Part II of the California State Fair meet at Pleasanton, closing out as it does the first of two weekends here before the action moves on to Fresno. And that's really all I have by way of introduction; so let's get to it, as I take another run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 4 - (F) Md $5k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Evening Up (Morning Line 8-5)
# 4 Reva Bella (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Highland Rose (ML 6-1)
Note that, while this event was written for open company, all runners here are California bred.
Evening Up returns from an extended layoff; Trainer John Martin tends to do well with such. Reva Bella gets some much needed class relief. Highland Rose took the Show at this class level last time out, and just might prove that the third times ten time is the charm.
RACE 5 - (F) Alw 4000s - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Foreverinsummer (ML 5-2)
# 4 Exactamente (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 6 Contessa B. (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Roianna (ML 4-1)
Note for future reference that this event has no lifetime Win restrictions for entry. So any filly or mare that has started for a claiming price of $4k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.
Exactamente and Foreverinsummer filled out the Exacta at this class level last time out, with their order of finish being reversed when Exactamente was DQ'd. Contessa B. won by daylight each of the two prior times that she competed over a Fast dirt track. Roianna fits at this class level, and, like Exactamente, got to visit the Winner's Circle in her only previous contest over this track.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $25k B - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Rizzi's Honors (ML 9-5)
B's
# 1 Social Taboo (ML 4-1)
# 4 Maz Kanata (ML 6-1)
C's
# 7 Chocolate Goddess (ML 5-1)
This contest is restricted to fillies and mares three years old and upward which have never won three races OR fillies, three years old. So if your distaff runner is four years old or older, then she must have fewer than three wins in her career. However, if your filly is three years old, then she can have as many wins as she pleases. Note that there are no qualifiers for the win totals (that is, no exceptions for maiden victories, or wins where the purse was less than a certain dollar amount). For the record, # 4 Maz Kanata is the only runner here with more than two lifetime wins, having gotten her picture taken three times in her career. By the way, these conditions will also be used for the boys running in the nightcap below.
Rizzi's Honors ships in from downstate for Trainer Peter Miller, having been claimed from her last race at Del Mar, which she won by nearly a half dozen lengths. Miller tends to do quite well with runners going first off the claim; but it does seem rather curious that he would send Rizzi's Honors north to run on dirt rather than entering her at Los Alamitos.
Social Taboo is another shipping in from downstate, having taken the Place last time out at Los Alamitos at this approximate class level (lover claiming price, but no conditions). Maz Kanata could be the speed of the speed here, while Chocolate Goddess might be the one running best late.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 62k/N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Fast and Foxy (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 4 Princess Ashlyn (ML 5-2)
# 5 My Dynamo (ML 15-1)
# 8 Sky Forever (ML 8-1)
C's
# 2 Deb's Wildcard (ML 8-1)
# 7 Emmy and I (ML 4-1)
Fast and Foxy may be the speed of the speed here in a field that has a lot of fast runners. Princess Ashlyn was a half length behind Fast and Foxy at the wire two starts back in the $50k California Governor's Cup. My Dynamo, making her second start off an extended layoff, could be the one running best late. Sky Forever is three-for-four lifetime over this track.
Deb's Wildcard was Princess Ashlyn's virtual equal at the wire last time out; but that was on the synthetic track at Golden Gate. Emmy and I was victorious at this class level two starts back.
RACE 8 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Playing Through (ML 7-2)
B's
# 6 Ishi (ML 2-1)
C's
# 2 Power Times Two (ML 5-1)
# 4 Tortosa (ML 9-2)
# 5 Bold Charmant (ML 8-1)
These are juveniles, but all are experienced, as there are no first time starters in this field.
Playing Through ships in from downstate after a pair of troubled trips at Del Mar. Ishi dumped his rider in his debut last time out shortly after leaving the gate as the Post Time Favorite; the fact that Jockey Irving Orozco has chosen to ride Ishi again tells me that he thinks that this horse has talent.
Power Times Two flashed good early speed in his debut last time out. Tortosa took the Place at this class level last time out without ever threatening the winner of that contest. Bold Charmant ran well in his only prior try on a Fast dirt track.
RACE 9 - Clm $6.25k B - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Foolish to Deceive (ML 2-1)
# 3 Kern Ridge (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 5 Sizzling Eddie (ML 5-1)
# 6 Oil Change (ML 4-1)
Similar to Race 6 above, this contest is restricted to runners three years old and upward which have never won three races OR runners three years old. So if your runner is four years old or older, then he must have fewer than three wins in her career, per the conditions. However, if your runner is three years old, then she can have as many wins as she pleases. Note that there are no qualifiers for the win totals (that is, no exceptions for maiden victories, or wins where the purse was less than a certain dollar amount). For the record, # 1 Foolish to Deceive is the only runner here with more than two lifetime wins, having gotten his picture taken three times in his career. BUT FOOLISH TO DECEIVE IS FOUR YEARS OLD. So it looks like someone messed up somewhere.
Foolish to Deceive, in addition to having been slipped into this one past the stewards, won by daylight in each of his two prior races over a Fast dirt track (the last victory was a Dead Heat; maybe that's what caused the confusion?). Kern Ridge was victorious against open $10k claimers over the Sacramento dirt track two starts back.
Sizzling Eddie could move up with the turn back in distance. Oil Change is two-for-four lifetime when competing over a Fast dirt track.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 2,4 with 2,4 with 3 with 1 with 3 with 1,3 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,4,6 with 1,3,4 with 1,4,5,8 with 3,6 with 1,3 $57.60
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2,4 with 3 with 1 with 3 with 1,3 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 1 with 3 with 1 with 3 with 1,3 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,4 with 7 with 1 with 3 with 1,3 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,4 with 3 with 2,7 with 3 with 1,3 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,4 with 3 with 1 with 2,4,5 with 1,3 $4.80
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,4 with 3 with 1 with 3 with 5,6 $1.60
Total: $78.40
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:16 EDT / 3:16 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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