Saturday kicks off Labor Day Weekend in the USA, and that's pretty much all I have by way of introduction. So let's just get to it, as I take another run at at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $25k - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 No More Twinkies (Morning Line 2-1)
# 7 Look Quickly (ML 9-5)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Elle Woods Too (ML 4-1)
# 4 Our Favorite City (ML 12-1)
No More Twinkies and Look Quickly were separated by less than a length at the wire when they filled out the Exacta at this class level over this turf course back in May. Elle Woods Too could be the speed of the speed here; but the lifetime oh-for-seven record on the grass is a concern. Our Favorite City could move up in this, her turf debut.
RACE 7 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 Midvale Magic (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 3 Crawford's Glove (ML 5-2)
# 5 Tribal Again (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 6 Weyand (ML 2-1)
My Past Performances tell me that this is officially an N2L (non-winners of two lifetime); but a read of the conditions make it clear that it's actually an N2X (non-winners of two lifetime other than etc., etc.). Note that all entrants in this field have two or more lifetime wins.
Midvale Magic defeated a next out winner last time out on the dirt at Sacramento, and seems to be well placed for a repeat victory. Crawford's Glove was a winner the last time that he competed over this main track. Tribal Again could be the one running best late.
RACE 8 - OC $62.5k/N2X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 A Red Tie Day (ML 9-5)
# 6 Anythingscookin (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Goodwood Mirage (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 3 Force (Ire) (ML 5-2)
C's
None
A Red Tie Day could improve going second off the layoff for Trainer Richard Baltas, who tends to do well with such. Anythingscookin was a winner at this class level two starts back, albeit on the dirt at Sacramento.
Goodwood Mirage (Ire) could improve with the reduction in real estate. Force (Ire) tends to do well when he ships in from downstate.
RACE 9 - (F) Clm $8k B - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 Tizfit (ML 7-2)
B's
# 5 Ballerina Headline (ML 2-1)
# 7 Pop Fizz Clink (ML 9-5)
C's
# 2 Dizzy Tizzy (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 3 Handful of Pearls (ML 15-1)
This contest is restricted to fillies and mares which have either:
1) Not won a race since June 1, 2017; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
So as long as a runner has fewer than four career Wins, she's eligible to run in this race. If a horse has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have come since the end of May (note that Claiming and Starter Races for $6.25k or less don't count when computing the Win totals). For the record, # 1 It Girl (ML 12-1), # 5 Ballerina Headline (ML 2-1), and # 6 Naughty Haughty (15-1) are the three runners in this field with fewer than four career Wins.
Tizfit was victorious each of the last three times that she competed over this main track. Ballerina Headline, ambitiously placed last time out, returns to a more realistic class level. Pop Fizz Clink fits well here on class, though she seems to settle for too many minor awards. Dizzy Tizzy could improve with the return to the synthetic surface.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 5,7 with 1 with 4,6 with 4 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5,7 with 1,3,5 with 1,3,4,6 with 4,5,7 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,4 with 1 with 4,6 with 4 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5,7 with 1 with 4,6 with 2 $2.00
Total: $44.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:15 EDT / 4:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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