Back to the state fair circuit this weekend; Pleasanton, to be exact, for phase two of the 2017 Oak Tree meet. Since there's already over ten grand in the Jackpot Pick Six pool (thanks to all fairs (sans Santa Rosa) being counted as one meeting for carryover purposes this year) I figure I might as well dive right in myself; so with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 4 - Clm $2.5k - Eight and One Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Blazing Image (Morning Line 5-2)
# 5 Press Baron (GB) (ML 9-5)
B’s
None
C's
None
Blazing Image won by as many as he wanted last time out on the dirt at Ferndale at this approximate class level (higher price tag, but with conditions). Press Baron (GB) gets some much needed class relief here; though it's fair to wonder just how well Press Baron will run on real dirt.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $4k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 She Began Again (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 4 Dixie Spice (ML 3-1)
C's
# 3 Four Leaf (ML 5-2)
She Began Again could move up with the surface switch. Dixie Spice, now trained by Steve Sherman, appears to have been working well for this, her first start in sixteen months. Four Leaf took the Place at this class level last time out.
RACE 6 - Clm $8k N1Y - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Storm Fashion (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 1 Unusually Big (ML 7-2)
# 3 Lucky Views (ML 4-1)
# 4 Outdoorsman Gene (ML 15-1)
# 5 Canada (ML 9-2)
# 6 Nahem (ML 3-1)
C's
None
This contest is for runners three year olds and upward that have not won a race in 2017, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming and Starter contests for $6.25k or less.
Storm Fashion took the Place against classier competition in each of his last two starts on a Fast dirt track. Unusually Big has more Wins over a Fast dirt track than the rest of the field combined. Lucky Views closed well to win at seven furlongs last time out.
Outdoorsman Gene is on the ticket because everyone else is. Canada could improve with the turn back in distance. Nahem fits well here on class; but the lifetime zero-for-eight record when competing over a Fast dirt track is a concern.
RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Silken Queen (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Royal Lookin (ML 8-1)
# 3 Our Bold Princess (ML 6-1)
# 4 Perfect for Me (ML 8-1)
# 6 Admonition (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 8 She's an Eagle (ML 3-1)
These are juveniles, but all are experienced, as there are no first time starters in this field.
Silken Queen missed graduation by just half a length last time out in her debut at Golden Gate Fields. Royal Lookin took the Show at Santa Rosa behind a next out winner two starts back. Our Bold Princess ran well in her debut last time out, once she realized that there was a race going on and that she was in it.
Perfect for Me showed good early speed in her debut last time out. Admonition could improve with the surface switch.
RACE 8 - (F) OC 62k/N2X - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Mended (ML 9-5)
B’s
None
C's
# 3 Blushing Bug (ML 5-1)
# 4 Mon Petite (ML 9-2)
# 5 Fervent Femme (ML 5-2)
Mended has yet to lose since joining the barn of Trainer John Martin, and all seven victories have been by daylight. Blushing Bug was a winner in her only prior try over a Fast dirt track. Mon Petite missed victory by just a nose in the $50k Luther Burbank last time out. Fervent Femme, the "other" John Martin, was a winner at this class level over this track two starts back.
RACE 9 - Md $12.5k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Let's Havanuther (ML 6-1)
# 7 Meadowlark Thunder (ML 7-2)
B's
# 2 Stormin G A (ML 9-2)
# 3 Macandoo (ML 6-1)
C's
# 5 Woodford Surprise (ML 10-1)
# 6 Thisonesfordanny (ML 5-2)
Note that, while this race was carded for runners three years old and upward, all entrants are in fact three years old; none are upward. It's also worth noting that # 7 Meadowlark Thunder is the only runner in this field that is not a California bred.
Let's Havanuther and Meadowlark Thunder filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta last time out at Golden Gate Fields. Stormin G A could move forward with the class drop. Macandoo took the Place against more expensive last time out; but last time out was eleven months ago.
Woodford Surprise closed well in his debut last time out, and should be more forwardly placed today with the blinkers being added. Thisonesfordanny had stamina issues in his prior two starts; if he can last til the end, Thisonesfordanny could be the one getting his picture taken after this one is over.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 1,5 with 6 with 2 with 1 with 2 with 4,7 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 4,6 with ALL with 1 with 2 with 2,3,4,7 $19.20
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 3 with 2 with 1 with 2 with 4,7 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 6 with 2 with 2,3,4,6 with 2 with 4,7 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 6 with 2 with 1 with 3,4,5 with 4,7 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 6 with 2 with 1 with 2 with 5,6 $0.80
Total: $30.40
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:16 EDT / 3:16 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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