Sunday, August 16, 2015

8/16/15 Del Mar Pick Four - Results

Race 7 - # 9 Perfectly Majestic (Final Odds 1.40*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 8 My Dynamo (33.00) - No Selection
Race 9 - The Solana Beach - # 5 Chati's On Top (5.90) - "B" Selection
Race 10 - # 12 Sir Barclay (4.20) - "B" Selection

While we could blame our loss today on the racing luck that sometimes allows for a 33-1 shot to hit the wire first, that would be more than a little disingenuous on our part; as the fact is that we totally whiffed on the second leg of today's sequence, failing to find room on our tickets for any of the runners that filled out that contest's Superfecta.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of  9 / 8 / 5 / 12  were rewarded with a payout of $986.25 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

8/16/15 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview

Things got pretty wild in U.S. Horse Racing yesterday.  The two coasts saw nearly identical Pick Six carryovers, as today's Saratoga pool will have $97,404 brought into the game from Saturday, while Sunday's Del Mar pool will have $97,933 fed into it from yesterday's proceedings.  Meanwhile, in the middle of the county, The Arlington Million anchored a Pick Five that paid $20,180.15 for a fifty cent wager.  So we'll see today if there'll be order out of all that chaos, as we take yet another run at the Pick Four at the place where the turf meets the surf.

RACE 7 - ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A's

# 9 Perfectly Majestic (Morning Line 3-1)

B's

# 2 Somethings Unusual (ML 7-2)

C's

# 7 Dead Easy (ML 12-1)

# 3 Saint Dermot (ML 15-1) and # 8 Lucky Views (ML 4-1) have been scratched.

Perfectly Majestic missed by less than a length at this class level over this turf course last time out.  Somethings Unusual was just a little more than a length back of Perfectly Majestic at the wire in that same contest.  Dead Easy has finished in the Trifecta in four of his five career turf starts, though all five were charging down the Santa Anita hill.

RACE 8 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Oh Great Idea (ML 2-1)

B's

None

C's

# 10 Where's the D (ML 20-1)

Oh Great Idea took the Place at this class level in her debut last time out.  Note that Trainer Peter Miller wins over twenty percent of the time when sending out a maiden for a second career start.  Where's the D was sired by Blame, whose progeny have been doing rather well in their initial tries.

RACE 9 - [S] (F) The Solana Beach $150k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 2 Smoove It (ML 5-2)
# 8 Chaulk O Lattey (ML 5-1)

B's

# 4 Journey On (ML 12-1)
# 5 Chati's On Top (ML 7-2)
# 6 Heat Du Jour (ML 6-1)
# 7 Kathleen Rose (ML 6-1)

C's

# 10 She's Flush (ML 20-1)

# 9 Majestic Heat (ML 8-1) ran in The Del Mar Oaks yesterday, and therefore gets to rest today.

Smoove It missed winning the Grade 3 Wilshire by just a nose two starts back.  Chaulk O Lattey has finished in the Trifecta in all five of her career turf stars, the last two coming against open (non-state bred restricted) company.  Note also that all three of Chaulk O Lattey's career wins have come with today's rider, Rafael Bejarano, on her back.

Journey On returns from a nearly twelve month vacation; Trainer Richard Baltas wins with over thirty percent of those coming back from an extended holiday.  Chati's On Top took the Place in the state bred restricted Fran's Valentine last time out.  

Heat Du Jour won this contest last year.  Kathleen Rose missed by just a length of taking the Grade 3 Robert J Frankel two starts back.  She's Flush misses by just a nose of having won her last three turf contests.

RACE 10 - Clm $8k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 11 No Contingency (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 4 I Will Follow (ML 6-1)
# 12 Sir Barclay (ML 4-1)
# 13 Razorbill (ML 10-1)

C's

# 1 May Weather (ML 20-1)

# 2 Dashing Ash (No Line) and # 14 Znelle (NL) are program scratches.  # 5 Jovita's Tuffy (ML 5-1) has also been scratched.

No Contingency took the Show at this class level last time out, earning this field's best last out Beyer Speed Figure in the process.  I Will Follow drops in class after taking the Show against more expensive two starts back.  Sir Barclay took the Place at this class level last time out.  

Razorbill won by daylight the last time he competed over a non-sealed fast dirt track.  May Weather took the Show at this class level two starts back.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 9 with 6 with 2,8 with 11 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,9 with 6 with 2,4,5,6,7,8 with 4,11,12,13 $24.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 7 with 6 with 2,8 with 11 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 9 with 10 with 2,8 with 11 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 9 with 6 with 10 with 11 $0.50
$0.50 P4: 9 with 6 with 2,8 with 1 $1.00

Total: $29.50

Post Time for Race 7 is 8:10 EDT / 5:10 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Saturday, August 15, 2015

8/15/15 Del Mar Pick Four - Results

Race 7 - # 10 Run for Retts (Final Odds 27.60) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - The Del Mar Oaks - # 4 Sharla Rae (6.20) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 3 Melatonin (30.80) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 10 Artisticdifference (12.80) - "B" Selection

After the opening leg of the sequence I felt that we still had a chance.  After the second leg of the sequence I felt bad that I hadn't used Sharla Rae as an "A" Selection.  After the third leg of the sequence I no longer felt bad about not having Sharla Rae as an "A" Selection, because I wouldn't have bet on Melatonin with your money.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of  10 / 4 / 3 / 10  were rewarded with a payout of $43,784.55 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

8/15/15 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview

Looks like everybody is having fun on the grass today.  Chicago has The Arlington Million; NYRA is running The Fourstardave; and SoCal has the Del Mar Oaks.  The latter is Race 8 on the card, so we'll be taking a look at it as we take yet another shot at the Pick Four at the place where the turf meets the surf.

RACE 7 - [S] (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 Plane Lucky (Morning Line 5-2)

B's

# 1 Sharpest One (ML 5-1)

C's

# 7 Song for Jade (ML 12-1)
# 9 Mc Hottie (ML 8-1)
# 10 Run for Retts (ML 10-1)

Plane Lucky, one of the four experienced runners in this field of two year olds, took the Show after leading the pack for most of the going in her debut last time out, earning this group's best last out Beyer Speed Figure in the process.  Plane Lucky's trainer, Peter Miller, wins over twenty percent of the time that he sends a maiden out for a second career start.

Sharpest One, who has finished in the money each of the two times that she has competed at this class level, could be speed on the rail today, especially with the addition of blinkers.  Song for Jade and Run for Retts are a pair of first time starters from sires (Songandaprayer and Minsters Wild Cat, respectively) whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.  

Mc Hottie was up on the pace in her debut last time out before being forced to steady; perhaps the rider change today will help her improve off that effort.

RACE 8 - (F) The Del Mar Oaks (Grade 1) - Nine Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 6 Prize Exhibit (GB) (ML 5-2)

B's

# 4 Sharla Rae (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Majestic Heat (ML 15-1)
# 8 Sunset Glow (ML 3-1)

If Prize Exhibit (GB) repeats the form that she showed in winning the Grade 2 San Clemente last time out or the Grade 3 Senorita two starts back, then she will almost certainly make it three in a row today. 

Sharla Rae closed well last time out in the Grade 1 Belmont Oaks, but that could be explained by the fact that she did no running at all in the early going of that one.  Perhaps her rider that day, Jockey Joel Rosario, was suspect of Sharla Rae's ability to make ten furlongs.  Anyway, the last time Sharla Rae had only nine furlongs to deal with was back in May when she took the Place in the Grade 2 Honeymoon.  A repeat of that effort by Sharla Rae just might find her battling with Prize Exhibit at the wire today.

Majestic Heat is taking a huge jump up the class ladder today after defeating OC 80k/N1X company last Sunday over this turf course.  But Majestic Heat has shown incredible form in all but one of her career grass starts, and any decedent of Unusual Heat must be respected when stepping onto this turf course.

Count Sunset Glow among those who miss the synthetic surface at this race track.  Or maybe Sunset Glow just misses being a juvenile.  Anyway, Sunset Glow's three year old form has been that of a horse that's very good, but not quite good enough to win at this level.  To compound the problem Sunset Glow prefers to be up on the early lead; should Sunset Glow try to go to the front of the line today, she just may find # 2 Paulina's Love (ML 12-1) already there.  Still, Sunset Glow can't be totally ignored here, as a return to her two year old form just might be good enough for her to get her picture taken today.

RACE 9 - OC 40k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Rule He Will (ML 7-2)
# 4 Whine for Wine (ML 5-1)
# 8 Distinctive B (ML 5-1)

B’s

# 5 Allidoisdreamofyou (ML 8-1)
# 6 Unblunted (ML 15-1)

C's

None

# 1 Crimson Giant (ML 30-1) has been scratched.  Bring in # 13 Embellishing Bob (ML 10-1) off the Also Eligible List.

Rule He Will wired the field the last time that he competed on a fast dirt track, earning a Beyer Speed Figure in the process that fits well at this class level.  In addition, the scratch of Crimson Giant means that Rule He Will will be able to ride the rail today.

Whine for Wine proved to be competitive at this class level before going on the shelf in February.  Whine for Wine has been working well for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer leading up to this contest, and should appreciate that the one race "Blinkers On" experiment is over.

Distinctive B had to drop way down into the Md $20k ranks two starts back in order to graduate; but he did so by the length of the grandstand.  Last time out Distinctive B ran in an N2L Starter Allowance (and, by the way, don't strain your eyes looking for the N2L designation in the DRF Past Performances, 'cause it ain't there) and was well clear at the wire.

Now, if you're handicapping on class, then you're probably not looking to put Distinctive B on your tickets.  And because the victories in his last two starts came at such lower levels, you may also not think much of the Beyer Speed Figures that Distinctive B earned in those two wins, feeling that they must be discounted because Distinctive B was able to wire pretty weak company.

But look at those fractions that Distincitve B set in those two races.  Those numbers would fit right in at this class level.  Also look at the company lines.  The Place horse in that first victory, Soul Crusher, not only won his next time, but also the time after that, crossing the wire over two lengths in front of the rest of the field.  Maybe Distinctive B will be exposed as a pretender at this class level; but I'm betting that Distinctive B has the speed to make him live against this field, at what could be a very nice price.

Allidoisdreamofyou had a sharp work over this main track Wednesday, and runners tend to do well when switching to Trainer Ron Ellis' barn.  Unblunted took the Place at this class level two starts back, and goes third off the layoff for Trainer Michael McCarthy.

RACE 10 - (F) MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 2 Sweeter Thancandy (ML 6-1)
# 6 Illuminant (ML 7-2)

B's

# 3 Girl Downstairs (ML 12-1)
# 9 Redheads Rule (ML 3-1)
# 10 Artisticdifference (ML 6-1)

C's

# 8 Nashoba's County (ML 8-1)

# 13 Boat Drinks (ML 5-1) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List.  No word as to whether or not Boat Drinks will be spending the afternoon enjoying cocktails out on the yacht.

Sweeter Thancandy closed well at this class level last time out.  Illuminant took the Place at this class level in her only prior try on grass.

Girl Downstairs took the Place at this class level two starts back, going around two turns on the flats at Santa Anita.  Redheads Rule took the Show at this class level two starts back.  Artisticdifference closed well over this turf course in her last start.  Nashoba's County, a first time starter sired by Candy Ride (Arg), shows a steady workout pattern over the past two months leading into today's contest.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 3 with 6 with 2,4,8 with 2,6 $6.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,3 with 4,6 with 2,4,5,6,8 with 2,3,6,9,10 $50.00

A's with One C 

$0.50 P4: 7,9,10 with 6 with 2,4,8 with 2,6 $9.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 1,8 with 2,4,8 with 2,6 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 6 with 2,4,8 with 8 $1.50

Total: $72.50

Post Time for Race 7 is 8:10 EDT / 5:10 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Sunday, August 9, 2015

8/9/15 Del Mar Pick Four - Results

Race 6 - # 1 Majestic Heat (Final Odds 1.90*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 10 Surfside Tiara (2.30) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - The La Jolla - # 9 Prospect Park (2.00) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 7 Best in Class (2.00*) - "C" Selection

For the second Sunday in a row, we had 'em all, but not all on any one ticket.  We outsmarted the public in Race 7, as we had the winner without using the Post Time Favorite, # 7 Jade Princess (1.20*) on any of our tickets; but in the end the public outsmarted us, betting Best in Class down from her Morning Line odds of 5-1 and watching her romp home over five lengths ahead of the rest of the field in the finale.

For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the runners to which we were alive in the finale:

# 2 Rosewhitenblue (8.00) - $149.25 Finish: 2nd
# 3 Lazy Daisy May (16.80) - $525.95 Finish: 5th
# 4 Peppy Bolly (4.00) - $81.25 Finish: 4th
# 5 Rich in Tadition (37.30) - $578.45 Finish: 7th
# 9 It's Aine (8.80) - $164.95 Finish: 6th
# 11 Anima Perfect (10.40) - $198.45 Finish: 9th
# 12 Lil Cheyenne (6.20) - $152.80 Finish: 3rd

But such was not to be.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of  1 / 10 / 9 / 7  were rewarded with a payout of $110.45 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

8/9/15 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview

The Grade 3 La Jolla is the featured race today at Del Mar.  It's Race 8 on the card; thus making it part of the Pick Four that we'll be chasing at the place where the turf meets the surf.

RACE 8 - (F) OC 80k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 1 Majestic Heat (Morning Line 7-2)

B’s

None

C's

# 5 Miss Gifted (ML 3-1)
# 6 Causeway Carolyn (ML 6-1)
# 10 Holograeme (ML 6-1)

Majestic Heat closed well against state bred company last time out, earning this field's best last out Beyer Speed Figure in the process.  Miss Gifted won her debut last time out charging down the hill at Santa Anita, albeit with a price tag on her head.  In fact, Miss Gifted got claimed in that contest, and now runs for Trainer John Sadler, who does rather well with those who go first off the claim.

Causeway Carolyn graduated last time out against non-claiming maidens.  Holograeme moves from dirt to turf for Trainer Phil D'Amato, who shows a positive ROI with such.

RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Dreamy Art (ML 5-2)

B's

# 10 Surfside Tiara (ML 3-1)

C's

None

# 9 Treasuring (ML 9-2) has been scratched.

Dreamy Art took the Place in her debut last time out, crossing the wire over three lengths clear of the Show finisher.  Surfside Tiara took the Place in her debut last time out, when she disappointed as the Post Time Favorite.

RACE 8 - The La Jolla (Grade 3) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Om (ML 7-2)
# 6 Papacoolpapacool (ML 3-1)

B's

# 8 Pretentious (ML 20-1)
# 9 Prospect Park (ML 5-2)

C's

# 10 Royal Albert Hall (GB) (ML 10-1)

Om was a clear winner two starts back against OC 80k/N1X company; his only prior start on the grass.  Papacoolpapacool, trained by Phil D'Amato, is a two-time stakes winner on the turf.

Pretentious is much improved since putting the blinkers on.  Prospect Park will be tough to beat if his dirt form carries over to the grass.  Royal Albert Hall (GB) closed well last time out while taking the Show in The Oceanside.

RACE 9 - (F) Clm $8k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 Lazy Daisy May (ML 15-1)
# 4 Peppy Bolly (ML 4-1)
# 9 It's Aine (ML 6-1)
# 12 Lil Cheyenne (ML 6-1)

B’s

# 2 Rosewhitenblue (ML 6-1)
# 5 Rich in Tradition (ML 12-1)
# 11 Amina Perfect (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Smil'n From Above (ML 20-1)
# 6 Datwatdaddydo (ML 15-1)
# 7 Best in Class (ML 5-1)
# 8 Walloping Lula (ML 8-1)
# 10 Angel Be Quick (ML 30-1)

# 13 Lexie Arleen (ML 5-2) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List, so she'll get to watch the kick off of the NFL Hall of Fame game.

Lazy Daisy May took the Show at this class level last time out.  Lazy Daisy May is two-for-four lifetime at today's distance.  Peppy Bolly defeated more expensive earlier this year.  It's Aine has the best last out Beyer Speed Figure in this field.  Lil Cheyenne goes third off the layoff for Trainer Mark Glatt.

Rosewhitenblue has finished in the Exacta in five of her fourteen career starts on a fast dirt track.  Rich in Tradition won clear against conditioned claimers last time out.  Amina Perfect goes first off the claim for Trainer Steve Miyadi, who has a positive ROI with such.  The C's are everyone else. 

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1 with 4 with 3,6 with 3,4,9,12 $8.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1 with 4,10 with 3,6,8,9 with 2,3,4,5,9,11,12 $28.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 5,6,10 with 4 with 3,6 with 3,4,9,12 $12.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4 with 10 with 3,4,9,12 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4 with 3,6 with 1,6,7,8,10 $5.00

Total: $55.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 7:40 EDT / 4:40 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo