Saturday, January 7, 2017

1/7/17 Turf Paradise Pick Five - Results

Race 4 - # 7 Blazonry's Song (Final Odds 6.30) - No Selection
Race 5 - # 1 Barn Party (2.60) - "B" Selection
Race 6 - # 3 Bullicious (1.70) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 8 Shrewd Move (2.70) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 9 Dance Floor Maniac (3.00*) - No Selection

We had the right idea in the opening leg, as we played against the odds-on Favorite, # 5 Inexcess Time (0.80*), by leaving him off our big ticket.  Unfortunately, we played against him with the wrong selections, as we had no part of the winner in that contest.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Five sequence of  7 / 1 / 3 / 8 / 9  were rewarded with a payout of $1,069.70 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

1/7/17 Turf Paradise Pick Five - Preview

It's a big day of racing at Santa Anita Saturday, with three Graded Stakes.  Unfortunately, the rains have made a mess of the track, making playing the card in Arcadia unappealing (at least, to me).  So for that reason we're going to shift our Saturday action to the east; but not too far east, as we take a run at The Pick Five at Turf Paradise.

RACE 4 - Clm $4k - Five Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Boozin Time (Morning Line 3-1)

B’s

# 8 No Ez Money (ML 6-1)

C's

# 4 Cozy Bar (ML 4-1)
# 5 Inexcess Time (ML 8-5)

Boozin Time was within a length of the winner at the wire at this class level last time out, and could benefit from the reduction in real estate.  No Ez Money has shown good early speed on the fake stuff in his last two races; that early speed should transfer well to a real dirt track.

Cozy Bar will be going for his third win in a row; and while he's in top form, it's fair to question how Cozy Bar will handle the stretchout combined with the move up in class.  Inexcess Time has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of his last three races, and his form seems to be declining as he makes his way down the class ladder in search of victory.  Still, Inexcess Time cannot be totally dismissed, as a return to the form that he showed in the Fall would make him a top contender here.

RACE 5 - (F) Clm $5k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Wild Fibs (ML 9-5)

B’s

# 1 Barn Party (ML 5-2)

C's

# 6 Champion Risk (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 4 Copy Begone (ML 10-1)

Wild Fibs has finished in the Trifecta nine of the previous ten times that she has competed over this main track.  Barn Party was victorious at this class level last time out.  Champion Risk could move up on the class drop.

RACE 6 - (F) ALW N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A's

# 3 Bullicious (ML 5-2)

B's

# 9 Don't Tell Judy (ML 2-1)

C's

# 5 Entitled Star (ML 3-1)
# 8 Formal Choice (ML 10-1)

Scratch # 6 Starry Cielo (ML 20-1) and # 7 Bottle Dance (ML 6-1)

Bullicious has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last two starts.  Don't Tell Judy tries winners for the first time after graduating by daylight last time out in her Turf Paradise debut.

Entitled Star could move forward in her return to one turn racing coupled with her first start on a Fast dirt track.  Formal Choice could improve in her second start off the freshening.

RACE 7 - ALW NC - Five Furlongs Dirt

A's

# 3 Rockin Home (ML 2-1)
# 4 Castletown (ML 3-1)

B's

None

C's

# 2 Alpine Luck (ML 5-2)
# 6 Mr Wild Kitty (ML 30-1)

# 8 Shrewd Move (ML 4-1)

Over at Turf Paradise's website it is noted that this contest is referred to as The Tom Metzen Classic Sprint Memorial.  It is named in honor of the late President of the Arizona Horsemen’s Benevolent and Protective Association (HBPA), who also served in a similar HBPA capacity at Canterbury Park.

Rockin Home has finished in the Exacta against stakes competition in each of his last two starts.  Castletown has won three of the four times that he has competed over this main track, and Trainer Robertino Diodoro tends to do well with runners returning from an extended vacation.

Alpine Luck, as trained by Diodoro, is a perfect three-for-three over this main track.  Mr Wild Kitty could be the one running best late.  Shrewd Move, shipping in from Kentucky, has done well in the past over this main track, and the sharp work on 12/17 suggests that he may be ready to do so again.

RACE 8 - Clm $6.25k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Luz Atticus (ML 15-1)

B’s

# 4 Marv (ML 20-1)
# 5 Timber Faller (ML 15-1)
# 8 Northern Contract (ML 5-1)

C's

# 3 Compete Everyday (ML 6-1)
# 12 Corsa Di Cavalli (ML 9-2)

Scratch # 10 Coastal Breeze (ML 4-1)

Luz Atticus took the Show against more expensive two starts back.  Marv gets some much needed class relief.  Timber Faller was a winner against more expensive up at Emerald Downs the last time that he competed on real dirt.

Northern Contract was within a length of the winner at the wire against more expensive last time out; but the added real estate Northern Contract has to cover today is a concern.

Compete Everyday was a winner at this class level last time out, albeit on the grass.  Corsa Di Cavalli could move up in his second start off the layoff.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P5: 1 with 5 with 3 with 3,4 with 1 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P5: 1,8 with 1,5 with 3,9 with 3,4 with 1,4,5,8 $32.00

A's with One C 

$0.50 P5: 4,5 with 5 with 3 with 3,4 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 1 with 6 with 3 with 3,4 with 1 $1.00
$0.50 P5: 1 with 5 with 5,8 with 3,4 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 1 with 5 with 3 with 2,6,8 with 1 $1.50
$0.50 P5: 1 with 5 with 3 with 3,4 with 3,12 $2.00

Total: $42.50

Post Time for Race 4 is 4:09 EST / 1:09 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Monday, January 2, 2017

1/2/17 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results

Race 6 - # 8 Jimmy the Juice (Final Odds 9.50) - "C" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Matriculate (3.70) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 3 Gustnado (19.70) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 4 Tribal Again (11.40) - No Selection

Our big ticket managed to go oh-for-four, as we failed to get home a single "A" or "B" Selection Monday.  Well, if you're going to have a bad day, you might as well go all out; because miss one or miss 'em all, it's all the same to your bottom line.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of  8 / 6 / 3 / 4  were rewarded with a payout of $9,994.55 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

1/2/17 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

So we come to the second day of 2017, a holiday in the US courtesy of the first of the year having fallen on a Sunday.  As such, there's a holiday card for us to enjoy at Santa Anita.  And while the exact condition of the track as I type this is unknown, a check of the overnight weather and current conditions tell me that the track should be in much better shape than it was the first two days of this weekend.  So with that let's get to it, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 10 Curly Road (Morning Line 6-1)

B's

# 3 Carulli (ML 15-1)
# 7 And Then Some (ML 10-1)
# 12 True Ranger (ML 6-1)

C's

# 2 Keeping the Faith (ML 15-1)
# 4 Redneck Crazy (ML 5-1)
# 8 Jimmy the Juice (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 1 Dr. Crabby (ML 12-1) and # 6 Big Champion (ML 5-2)

Curly Road took the Place against more expensive last time out.  Two starts back, Curly Road was within a length of the winner at the wire at today's class level.

Carulli missed victory by a nose at this class level two starts back.  And Them Some moves up in class after having finished in the Exacta in six of his last seven starts.  If And Then Some's early speed holds up at this class level, he could proved tough to catch.

True Ranger took the Place against more expensive last time out, with Keeping the Faith taking the Show behind him.  Redneck Crazy has proven to be competitive at this class level; the concern is that he seems to settle for too many minor awards.  Jimmy the Juice gets some much needed class relief.

RACE 7 - [S] OC 20k/N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Well Measured (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 3 Pray Hard (ML 3-1)

C's

# 4 Eddie's First (ML 4-1)
# 6 Matriculate (ML 9-2)

# 8 Jonny's Choice (ML 5-1)

Scratch # 2 Lambo Luxx (ML 12-1); # 5 Boy Howdy (ML 10-1); # 7 Kenny Benny (ML 20-1); and # 9 Touching Rainbows (No Line)

All the scratches have turned this contest into a field of five; and we'll be using all five, in some shape or form.

Well Measured took the Place in the state bred restricted Harris Farms Stakes two starts back.  Pray Hard defeated open company (non-state bred restricted) OC 25/N1X competition the last time that he competed on real dirt.

Eddie's First took the Place at this approximate class level last time out.  Matriculate took the Show at this class level last time out.  Jonny's Choice misses by just a neck of entering this contest with three Wins in his last four starts, all against open company.

RACE 8 - OC 62k/N2X - Nine Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 1 Royal Albert Hall (GB) (ML 7-2)
# 2 Curlin Rules (ML 6-1)

B’s

# 8 McHeat (ML 4-1)

C's

# 4 Sky Preacher (ML 8-1)
# 7 Ward 'n Jerry (ML 4-1)
# 9 Gangster (ML 6-1)

Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 11 Patriots Rule (ML 9-2); # 12 Crown the Kitten (ML 5-1); and # 13 Sawyer's Hill

Royal Albert Hall (GB) took the Show at this class level two starts back.  Curlin Rules took the Place a this class level as the Post Time Favorite two starts back, and could have things all his own way through the early going.

McHeat ran well at this class level last time out, and could move up off the freshening.  Sky Preacher moves up in class while showing a steadily improving form since adding blinkers.  Ward 'n Jerry enters this contest with a three race winning streak, albeit all against lesser company.  Gangster moves up in class after winning his turf debut last time out.

RACE 9 - Clm $8k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 9 Door's Open (ML 3-1)

B’s

# 2 Pat the Bear (ML 6-1)
# 3 Prohibition Repeal (ML 6-1)
# 8 Malibu Mogul (ML 4-1)

C's

# 12 Changing Karma (ML 12-1)
# 13 Aikau (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 1 Outthink'em (ML 12-1)

Door's Open takes a big drop down the class ladder while coming back from an extended vacation; generally, those two traits combined constitute a huge red flag.  Still, even if Door's Open is less than one hundred percent, he should still triumph here.

Pat the Bear took the Show at this class level two starts back.  Prohibition Repeal was a winner the last time that he ran with a price tag on his head.  Malibu Mogul is another in here taking a significant drop in class.

Changing Karma took the Show against more expensive two starts back.  Aikau moves up in class after winning his last two starts by daylight.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 10 with 1 with 1,2 with 9 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,7,10,12 with 1,3 with 1,2,8 with 2,3,8,9 $48.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,4,8 with 1 with 1,2 with 9 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 4,6,8 with 1,2 with 9 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 1 with 4,7,9 with 9 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 10 with 1 with 1,2 with 12,13 $2.00

Total: $59.50

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:00 EST / 3:00 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Sunday, January 1, 2017

1/1/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Results

Race 6 - # 5 Midnight Rambler (Final Odds 0.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 An Unusual Group (2.40) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Luvuryan (10.40) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 7 Gold Finga (9.00) - "C" Selection

In the preview we said that Race 8 was a wide open affair; and we were proven correct when Luvuryan picked up her second career victory in her twenty-eighth start.  Unfortunately for us we had no part of Luvuryan on our tickets, which is one of the reasons why today was a day for us to contribute instead of collect.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of  5 / 6 / 1 / 7  were rewarded with a payout of $255.20 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

1/1/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

Happy New Year everyone!  Here’s wishing you all all the best in the coming year.  May The Almighty grant each of you all your heart’s desires, along with a steady stream of signers.

Arrogate was scheduled to run Sunday in the Grade 2 San Pasqual at Santa Anita, but his connections did not like the condition of the main track; and to be quite honest, neither did I.  So for that reason we're going to move our action upstate today to Golden Gate Fields, as we take a run at The Late Pick Four at the place where the Bay comes to play.

RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 5 Midnight Rambler (Morning Line 8-5)

B’s

None

C's

# 1 Spot N the Line (ML 9-2)
# 2 Land of Oz (ML 4-1)
# 4 My Son John (ML 6-1)


This is Midnight Rambler's first time in for a tag, so it's fair to wonder just how badly hurt he may have been when he was bumped last time out.  It's also possible that Midnight Rambler's prior effort two starts back, when he took the Place against first level Allowance company two starts back over this main track, may have been too much for him.  After all, the last time Midnight Rambler ran a number that big he found himself on the shelf for a year.  But I'm going to presume that, even if he's not one hundred percent, Midnight Rambler is still clearly the one to beat here, and that the rest of the field will have a tough time catching him in the stretch.

Spot N the Line crossed the wire first at this class level two starts back only to have his number taken down.  Spot N the Line could also improve over his last effort with the blinkers being put back on.

Land of Oz drops in for a tag for the first time.  My Son John moves in from down state and runs first time for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such.

RACE 7 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A's

# 1 Tiz a Tommy Town (ML 7-2)

B's

# 5 Optimism And Hope (Ire) (ML 3-1)
# 6 An Unusual Group (ML 5-2)
# 8 Hal's Buddy (ML 9-2)

C's

# 2 Doris Johnson (ML 6-1)
# 3 Close the Show Lo (ML 10-1)

Scratch # 4 Papaclem'smidnight (ML 15-1) and # 7 Roianna (ML 20-1)

Tiz a Tommy Town missed victory by just a head at this class level two stars back, the last time that she was on some California grass.  Optimism and Hope (Ire), like My Son John in the prior contest, moves in from down state and runs first time for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such.

An Unusual Group has been in the Trifecta five of the six times that she has competed on this turf course.  Hal's Buddy could be the one running best late, while Doris Johnson and Close the Show Lo will be trying to steal this one early, provided that one can shake free from the other.

RACE 8 - (F) Clm $4k N2L - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Sexy Code (ML 6-1)

B’s

# 4 Sundar Creek (ML 7-2)
# 7 Heart's Melody (ML 5-1)
# 8 She'll Get'er Done (ML 4-1)
# 9 Call My Bluff (ML 9-2)
# 11 Azure Dream (ML 10-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 5 Diablo's Angel (No Line)

As you can tell, I think this contest is pretty wide open, and would not blame anybody for choosing to punch the "ALL" button for this leg.

Sexy Code took the Place at this class level last time out, a length in front of the Post Time Favorite in that contest, Azure Dream.  Sundar Creek is a solid contender here if she can carry her dirt form over onto the fake stuff.  

Heart's Melody missed victory by less than a length last time out against more expensive stock.  Call My Bluff tries winners for the first time after pacing herself last time out instead of trying to run on the lead.

RACE 9 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2L - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Esperanza's Mobile (ML 4-1)
# 9 Pray Anyway (ML 15-1)

B's

# 4 Tricked Again (ML 6-1)
# 6 Better in Leather (ML 5-2)
# 8 Padawon (ML 7-2)

C's

# 5 Deep Thought (ML 20-1)
# 7 Gold Finga (ML 5-1)

Esperanza's Mobile took the Show at this class level last time out.  The concern is that "last time out" was over a year ago; but if Esperanza's Mobile is ready to go, then she could get her picture taken today.

Pray Anyway took the Place at this class level last time out, and will try to smoke the grass and steal this one on the front end.  Tricked Again, Better in Leather, and Padawon were all within a length and a quarter of the winner at the wire at this class level last time out (albeit on a contest that had been taken off the grass); though Padawon did have to settle for a lower placing due to a DQ.

Deep Thought returns to the grass, which seems to be her preferred surface.  Gold Finga will be trying grass for the first time; Trainer Frank Lucarelli has had some success with such.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 5 with 1 with 2 with 3,9 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 5 with 1,5,6,8 with 2,4,7,8,9,11 with 3,4,6,8,9 $60.00

A's with One C

$0.50 pick P4: 1,2,4 with 1 with 2 with 3,9 $3.00
$0.50 pick P4: 5 with 2,3 with 2 with 3,9 $2.00
$0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1 with 2 with 5,7 $1.00

Total: $68.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:15 EST / 3:15 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo