Sunday, January 22, 2017

1/22/17 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Results

Race 4 - # 6 Kronwall (Final Odds 3.10) - "B" Selection
Race 5 - # 4 Maz Kanata (0.80*) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 4 Call My Bluff (1.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 8 Stormy Endeavor (0.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Rye Patch (4.20) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 3 An Khe Pass (7.50) - "B" Selection

Two of the three winning Post Time Favorites were singles on our big ticket, which helps make up for the fact that we had to use half the field in leg three in order to get that third Post Time Favorite home.  And apologies for not being able to provide the Will Pays for the other runners to which we were alive in the nightcap, as such were not available online (at least, not at any of the locations that I checked).

But the above are just minor quibbles.  The most important thing is that we got our money back from yesterday with interest.  Mission Accomplished!

The correct Golden Pick Six sequence of  6 / 4 / 4 / 8 / 1 / 3  paid $344.84 for a twenty cent wager.  That makes for a profit of $290.84 on our $54 investment, or approximate odds of 5.386-1.

I hope you all had it with me.  May God bless us as we spend our winnings.

Onto the next race!

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

1/22/17 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Preview

Well of course we're playing Golden Gate again today; we have to try to get our money back from yesterday!  ðŸ˜Ž So with that let's get to it, as we take another run at The Golden Pick Six at the place where the Bay comes to play.

RACE 4 - Clm $6.25k B - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Cap Ferrat (Morning Line 4-1)
# 4 One More Roll (ML 9-5)

B's

# 6 Kronwall (ML 5-2)

C's

None

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won a race since November 1, 2016; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as a horse has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race.  If a horse has four career Wins or more, than none of those Wins could have been since 11/1/2016 in order for the horse to be entered here.  For the record, Condiment and Cap Ferrat are the only two runners here that have four or more career victories.

Cap Ferrat gets some class relief after failing as the Post Time Favorite against more expensive stock in three of his last four contests.  One More Roll fits the same pattern, having failed as the Post Time Favorite against more expensive in two of his last three races.  Kronwall moves up in price after taking the Place last time out; but that contest featured open (non-conditioned) claimers, so I would say that this is at worst a lateral move on the class ladder for Kronwall.

RACE 5 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2L - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Maz Kanata (ML 9-5)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Happy Issue (ML 9-2)
# 2 Cheers to You (ML 7-2)

Scratch # 6 Lucky N Rich (ML 2-1)

Note for the record that I added the N2L to reflect the actual records of entrants.  I don't know if that was a part of the actual conditions and simply left off when the Past Performances were printed; but each of the runners in this field of three year old fillies has exactly one career victory.

With the scratch of Lucky N Rich, Maz Kantana should have things all her own way in the early going, and probably right up to and past the wire.  If Maz Kantana is to be caught late, Happy Issue and Cheers to You appear to be the ones most likely to be running best at the end.

RACE 6 - (F) Clm $4k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Call My Bluff (ML 3-1)

B's

# 3 Sexy Code (ML 8-1)
# 6 Esperanza's Mobile (ML 6-1)
# 8 She'll Get'er Done (ML 6-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 5 Skeeter Davis (No Line)

Call My Bluff missed by less than a length at this class level last time out.  Sexy Code finished much closer to the rear in that same contest, but Sexy Code was the victim of a very rough ride.

Esperanza's Mobile appears to be still working her way back from an extended layoff; but despite this not being her ideal distance, Esperanza's Mobile's back class makes her a threat to upset the field here.  She'll Get're Done may move up going second off the layoff.

RACE 7 - (F) Md $12.5k - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 8 Stormy Endeavor (ML 6-5)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Lady Chardonnay (ML 12-1)
# 3 Keihl Crissia (ML 8-1)
# 5 Cocktail Lady (ML 15-1)

# 7 Mean Like My Momma (ML 20-1)
# 9 Seneca Sally (ML 10-1)

Stormy Endeavor returns to one turn racing on the synthetic, where she has twice taken the Place against more expensive stock.  Keihl Crissia made a nice move forward last time out with the class drop and the addition of blinkers; perhaps Keihl Crissia can move forward off that effort.

Lady Chardonnay, Cocktail Lady, and Mean Like My Momma are the three first time starters in this field.  Seneca Sally puts the blinkers back on after competing in her last four races without them.  There doesn't appear to be much early speed here; so if one of these four should show some early foot and break free from the pack, they just might steal this on one the front end.

RACE 8 - OC 62k/N2X - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Rye Patch (ML 3-1)
# 7 Unusual Taste (ML 7-2)
# 8 Unusually Green (ML 10-1)


B’s

# 9 Pepper Crown (ML 20-1)

C's

# 2 Goodwood Mirage (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 4 Its Allabout Jerry (ML 4-1)
# 6 Docs Legacy (Ire) (ML 10-1)

Rye Patch goes first off the claim for Trainer Doug O'Neill, who tends to do well with such.  Unusual Taste took the Place at this class level last time out, albeit on the grass.  Unusually Green finished well back in that contest; but Unusually Green should improve with the move to the main track, having won at this class level over this surface back in November.  Pepper Crown is another that could improve with the return to the main track.

Goodwill Mirage (Ire) and Docs Legacy (Ire), both trained by Manuel Badilla, fit well at this class level.  Its Allabout Jerry ships in from up north to try the synthetic for the first time.  If Its Allabout Jerry takes to the surface, then he'll be right in the mix here.

RACE 9 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Call the Boss (ML 8-5)

B's

# 3 An Khe Pass (ML 6-1)
# 4 Captain Ron (ML 3-1)
# 5 Caliente Shuffle (ML 15-1)

C's

None

Call the Boss took the Place over this main track last time out.  An Khe Pass returns from an extended layoff for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer.  An Khe Pass showed good early speed at this class level last time out.

Captain Ron, a first time starter for Trainer Doug O'Neill, shows a steady work pattern in preparation for this contest.  Caliente Shuffle showed good early speed in his debut last time out.

OK, that's the analysis.  While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket.  While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected.  I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up.  So with that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 2,4 with 4 with 4 with 8 with 1,7,8 with 1 $6.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: 2,4,6 with 4 with 3,4,6,8 with 8 with 1,7,8,9 with 1,3,4,5 $38.40

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 1,2 with 4 with 8 with 1,7,8 with 1 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 4 with 4 with 1,3,5,7,9 with 1,7,8 with 1 $6.00
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 4 with 4 with 8 with 2,4,6 with 1 $1.20

Total: $54.00

Post Time for Race 4 is 5:14 EDT / 2:14 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Saturday, January 21, 2017

1/21/17 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Results

Race 4 - # 3 Black Sheared Anvil (Final Odds 1.00*) - "C" Selection
Race 5 - # 2 Trelawny (3.80) - "C" Selection
Race 6 - # 1 Makaha Heat (0.80*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 7 Anyportinastorm (1.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The California Derby - # 4 So Conflated (3.10) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 4 I'm Tough (4.00) - "C" Selection

We played against the Favorite in the opening leg, leaving Black Sheared Anvil off our big ticket, only to see him win by daylight; so that when our "A" Selection in the next leg, # 7 Himalaya Star (3.20), tired before the wire, we found ourselves without any live tickets.  Overall, it was not one of our better days, as we only got two of our big ticket selections home, and those two were both Post Time Favorites.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Golden Pick Six sequence of  3 / 2 / 1 / 7 / 4 / 4  were rewarded with a payout of $612.96 for their twenty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

1/21/17 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Preview

It seems that there's just no escaping the rain this weekend; so with that in mind, I decided to play the track upstate, as I figure the wet weather will not affect the card as much as it will in Arcadia.  Besides, we'll have plenty of company from the SoCal circuit, as more than a few connections have made the trip north to be a part of the California Derby card.  So with that let's get to it, as we take a run at The Golden Pick Six at the place where the Bay comes to play.

RACE 4 - Md $5k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Blazing Image (Morning Line 2-1)

B's

# 4 Global Event (ML 5-1)
# 5 Forever the Chief (ML 3-1)

C's

# 3 Back Sheared Anvil (ML 8-5)

Blazing Image took the Place against more expensive stock last time out, and took the Show at this class level two starts back.  Global Event drops in for the cheapest price tag of his career.  Global Event also had a sharp work over this track last Thursday.

Forever the Chief took the Show against more expensive two starts back, albeit for different connections.  Black Sheared Anvil could be the one running best late.

RACE 5 - Clm $3.2k - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 7 Himalaya Star (ML 9-5)

B’s

# 6 Sokudo (ML 7-2)

C's

# 2 Trelawny (ML 3-1)

Scratch # 1 Six Votes (ML 15-1)

Himalaya Star makes what is basically a lateral move after his victory last time out; for while Himalaya Star is in for a lesser price, this contest is for open, rather than conditioned, claimers.  There was a temptation to make Himalaya Star a single here; but there is a concern that he may need a race coming off the nearly four month layoff.

Sokudo ran out of gas on the lead last time out.  I expect Sokudo's early speed to carry him further today.  Trelawny probably needed that last race off the layoff; toss that effort and Trelawny fits well with the contenders here.

RACE 6 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Makaha Heat (ML 9-5)

B’s

# 5 Tiz Deliteful (ML 5-2)

C's

# 2 Chocolate Goddess (ML 6-1)

Makaha Heat, Tiz Deliteful, and Chocolate Goddess filled out the Trifecta the last time out for each at this class level, and it looks as if they could do likewise today.  Note that Makaha Heat, despite winning at this level last time out, is not in for a tag today, getting what amounts to a pass thanks to her being a California bred.

RACE 7 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 J C's Nightcap (ML 5-2)
# 7 Anyportinastorm (ML 9-5)

B's

None

C's

# 2 Raindance Rules (ML 15-1)
# 3 Into Kings (ML 3-1)


J C's Nightcap missed graduation by less than a length at this class level last time out.  Anyportinastorm took the Place on the grass at this class level in his debut last time out.

Raindance Rules looked like he was learning how to rate last time out.  Into Kings is a first time starter for Trainer Doug O'Neill.  Into King's pedigree suggests that he may do well on the plastic.

RACE 8 - The California Derby $100k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 5 Vending Machine (ML 2-1)

B's

# 3 More Power to Him (ML 6-1)
# 6 Colonel Samsen (ML 9-2)

C's

# 7 Secret House (ML 3-1)

Scratch # 8 Aberdeen Island (ML 20-1)

Vending Machine, trained by Peter Miller, ships in from downstate after winning The Eddie Logan on the turf last time out.  More Power to Him has two Wins in three tries since moving to two turn racing.  Colonel Samsen is the only entrant in this field with a stakes victory on a synthetic surface.  Secret House, trained by Doug O'Neill, could get a nice trip pressing Vending Machine early.

RACE 9 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 White Rock Lake (ML 3-1)
# 2 Gust (ML 5-2)

B's

# 3 C J's Dream (ML 5-1)
# 6 Chapter Ten (ML 9-2)


C's

# 4 I'm Tough (ML 10-1)
# 5 Hawk's Journey (ML 8-1)
# 7 Exciting Dixie (ML 20-1)

# 8 Nothin But a Smile (ML 6-1)

White Rock Lake took the Show at this class level last time out, and could move up with the return to one turn racing.  Gust ships in from downstate, going first off the claim for Trainer Richard Baltas, who tends to do well with such.  C J's Dream missed graduation by just a head at this class level two starts back.

Chapter Ten took the Show at this class level last time out.  I'm Tough and Exciting Dixie are a pair of first time starters by trainers (Rene Amescua and Ricardo Perez, respectively) who have been known to get high priced debuters home.

Hawk's Journey could move up with the return to one turn racing.  Nothin But a Smile goes first time for Trainer Steve Miyadi, who tends to do well with such.

OK, that's the analysis.  While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket.  While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected.  I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up.  So with that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 2 with 7 with 1 with 4,7 with 5 with 1,2 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: 2,4,5 with 6,7 with 1,5 with 4,7 with 3,5,6 with 1,2,3,6 $57.60

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 3 with 7 with 1 with 4,7 with 5 with 1,2 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 2 with 2 with 1 with 4,7 with 5 with 1,2 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 2 with 7 with 2 with 4,7 with 5 with 1,2 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 2 with 7 with 1 with 2,3 with 5 with 1,2 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 2 with 7 with 1 with 4,7 with 7 with 1,2 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 2 with 7 with 1 with 4,7 with 5 with 4,5,7,8 $1.60

Total: $67.20

Post Time for Race 4 is 5:15 EDT / 2:15 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Monday, January 16, 2017

1/16/17 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results

Race 7 - The Megahertz - # 2 Prize Exhibit (GB) (Final Odds 3.40) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 9 Singleforareason (2.90) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 9 Ipray (1.80*) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 7 Swinging Star (12.90) - No Selection

Not one of our better days of handicapping.  Our single in the opening leg, # 6 Tiz a Kiss (2.10*), was the last runner to cross under the wire in the Grade 3 Megahertz.  We used more than half the field in the third leg, and we not only missed the winner, but we missed the Place finisher as well.  Likewise for the nightcap, where we had no part of either half of the Exacta.  Not much to say after a day like that except:

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of  2 / 9 / 9 / 7  were rewarded with a payout of $533.95 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

1/16/17 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

“Intelligence plus character; that is the goal of true education.” - Martin Luther King Jr.

And so we come to the final day of our holiday weekend, and Monday's card finds us gifted with the featured race as one of the final four contests on the program.  We'll be looking at that event, the Grade 3 Megahertz, below, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 7 - (F) The Megahertz (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 6 Tiz a Kiss (Morning Line 2-1)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Do the Dance (ML 6-1)
# 2 Prize Exhibit (GB) (ML 5-2)
# 5 Kenriya (Fr) (ML 5-1)
# 7 Into The Mystic (Ire) (ML 7-2)

Tiz a Kiss took the Place in the Grade 2 Goldikova over this turf course two starts back.  Do the Dance enters this contest with a two race winning streak, albeit against lesser company.  Do the Dance's best chance seems to be to sprint out on the rail and try to steal this one on the front end.

Prize Exhibit (GB) holds a huge class edge over most of this field, but it's been quite some time since she's shown her best form.  Kenriya (Fr) and Into The Mystic (Ire) have both won multiple Allowance races in France, and both seem well meant for this contest.

RACE 8 - (F) Md $40k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Aura Rose (ML 4-1)

B's

# 7 Sly Humor (ML 7-2)
# 9 Singleforareason (ML 3-1)

C's

# 6 Her Big Moment (ML 20-1)
# 8 Fried Egg (ML 20-1)
# 11 Munny Spunt (ML 10-1)

Scratch # 1 Tattooed Kitty (No Line)

Aura Rose took the Place against more expensive stock two starts back.  Sly Humor moves a step up the class ladder after taking the Place last time out, finishing well in front of the Show horse in that contest.

Singleforareason has shown good early speed in her three prior tries, all against non-claiming maidens.  Her Big Moment, Fried Egg, and Munny Spunt are a trio of fillies all dropping in for a tag for the first time.

RACE 9 - (F) Clm $8k - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 Sooner Time (ML 6-1)
# 4 Public House (ML 6-1)

B’s

# 1 Private Terrace (ML 8-1)
# 5 Frandontjudge (ML 4-1)
# 6 Papaslilprincess (ML 4-1)

C's

None

Public House and Sooner Time crossed the wire just a head apart last time out over this main track while filling out the Exacta against slightly more expensive.  Private Terrace filled out the Trifecta in that contest, as well as completing the Trifecta behind Papaslilprincess and Frandontjudge in the outing prior to that.  In my opinion you can throw a blanket over those five; I'm expecting them all to be close at the wire.

RACE 10 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf

A’s

# 8 Avalanche (ML 4-1)

B's

# 2 Kona Dreams (ML 7-2)
# 3 Kimbear (ML 4-1)
# 9 Calle Kingpin (ML 12-1)
# 12 Magical More (ML 20-1)
# 13 Cut (ML 5-1)

C's

# 11 Electro (ML 5-1)

Scratch # 10 Bourbonmademedoit (ML 20-1) and # 14 Eaglemaker (ML 8-1)

Avalanche missed graduation by less than a length in his debut charging down the hill at this class level two starts back.  Kona Dreams has twice finished in the Trifecta at this class level while showing good early speed routing on the flat turf course.  Kimbear has demonstrated the ability to lead ans to close in his brief four race career.

Calle Kingping took the Show at this class level last time out, albeit on the dirt.  However,  Calle Kingpin was sired by Street Boss, whose progeny tend to do well well trying the lawn for the first time.

Magical More is a first time starter sired by More Than Ready, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.  Cut has shown good early foot in his two starts routing on the flat turf course.  Electro is a first time starter sired by Ghostzapper and trained by Bob Baffert.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 6 with 5 with 3,4 with 8 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 6 with 5,7,9 with 1,3,4,5,6 with 2,3,8,9,12,13 $45.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,2,5,7 with 5 with 3,4 with 8 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 6,8,11 with 3,4 with 8 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 5 with 3,4 with 11 $1.00

Total: $55.00

Post Time for Race 7 is 5:59 EST / 2:59 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo