Saturday, December 12, 2020

12/12/20 Remington Park Primetime Pick Four - Preview

"People often remark that I’m pretty lucky. Luck is only important in so far as getting the chance to sell yourself at the right moment. After that, you’ve got to have talent and know how to use it." - Frank Sinatra

Allow me to begin with a programming note of sorts: next Friday is Springboard Mile Day in Oklahoma City, and my goal is to forsake my usual Saturday play in favor of the Friday card next week.  I would state that playing next Friday is an absolute certainty; but, for reasons unknown, Remington Park has chosen to move its Post Time for Friday up two hours; so time constraints may prevent me from following through on that plan.  But be sure to check this space Friday evening, and good Lord willing there will be a Pick Four play in place that will include the Springboard Mile.  So with that let's return to the here and now, as I take another run at The Primetime Pick Four at Remington Park.

RACE 6 - Md $20.5k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 7 Welcome West (Morning Line 3-1)

B's

# 2 Funandfunny (ML 5-1)

C's

# 1 Papa Star (ML 6-1)
# 3 Keetoowah Thunder (ML 10-1)
# 4 Prairie Native (ML 15-1)
# 5 Oso Negro (ML 5-2)
# 6 Cascade King (ML 4-1)

These are older maidens; specifically, three, four, and five year olds.  There are two debut runners in the field: Keetoowah Thunder and Prairie Native.

Welcome West is dropping in for a tag for the first time, in this his fourth career start.  Welcome West had troubled trips in each of his last two contests.  In his debut, Welcome West took the Show against non-Claiming maidens.

Funandfunny took the Show at this class level last time out, and Funandfunny could benefit from the cutback in distance.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 7 - Clm $15k B - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Please the Court (ML 5-2)

B's

None

C's

# 3 Daaher's Success (ML 5-1)
# 4 Bourbon Cowboy (ML 6-1)
# 5 Astounding (ML 9-2)
# 6 Day Dreamer (ML 7-2)

Scratch # 1 Rumpole (ML 4-1)

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won a race in 2020; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as an entrant has fewer than four career Wins, then they're eligible to run in this race.  If a runner has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have come this year.  For the record Please the Court, Daaher's Success, and Day Dreamer are the three entrants in this field with fewer than four career Wins.  Finally, note that the claiming price for Oklahoma breds is $20k; so if you're thinking about purchasing Daaher's Success at the claiming box, it'll cost you an extra five grand.

Please the Court was a winner at this approximate class level back in September over this main track.  Since then Please the Court has been competing against Allowance company, finishing in the Trifecta in two of those three contests.  With the return to the Claiming ranks I expect Please the Court to be tough to beat; so much so that I'm going just one deep in this leg, with Please the Court as a single on the main ticket, and all others relegated to being backup "C" Selections.

RACE 8 - (F) ALW N2X - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A's

# 1 Texas Rain (ML 5-2)

B's

# 2 Breeze Rider (ML 2-1)
# 6 Alternative Slew (ML 4-1)

C's

# 3 Cosmic Code (ML 9-2)
# 4 Lady Lex (ML 10-1)
# 5 No Mas Tequila (ML 10-1)
# 7 Dicey (ML 10-1)

Texas Rain missed by just a head last time out of not qualifying for this event, after having captured a first level Allowance victory two starts back.  Breeze Rider was a first level Allowance winner last time out; and while that contest was on the grass, Breeze Rider is two-for-four in her career when competing over this main track.

Alternative Slew is another that always seems to run well over this main track, so Alternative Slew could move up going from turf to dirt.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 9 - Clm $5k B - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 8 Towering Oak (ML 4-1)

B's

# 1 Earnednevergiven (ML 5-2)
# 2 Cash Kitten (ML 7-2)
# 3 Trustworthy (ML 3-1)
# 9 One Son of a Chief (ML 20-1)

C's

# 4 Albireo (ML 20-1)
# 6 Anotherdayatthelake (ML 12-1)
# 7 Crazy Ivan (ML 30-1)
# 10 Plumbago (ML 20-1)
# 11 South Texas Drawl (ML 30-1)
# 12 Way Out West (ML 30-1)

Scratch # 5 John Allen (ML 50-1)

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won two races at a mile or over in 2020; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as an entrant has fewer than four career Wins, then they're eligible to run in this race.  If a runner has four career Wins or more, then no more than one of those Wins could have come this year at a distance of eight furlongs or more.  For the record Trustworthy, Albireo, John Allen, Anotherdayatthelake, and Crazy Ivan are the five entrants in this field with fewer than four career Wins.  Finally, note that the claiming price for Oklahoma breds is $6.25k; or, rather, it would be if there were any Oklahoma breds in this field.

Earnednevergiven, Towering Oak, Cash Kitten, and Trustworthy filled out the Superfecta at this class level over this main track last time out.  Of the three, I give Towering Oak the edge today, as I think today's pace shape favors Towering Oak's running style.

Speaking of pace, One Son of a Chief could steal this one on the front end at a very nice price.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 7 with 2 with 1 with 8 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,7 with 2 with 1,2,6 with 1,2,3,8,9 $15.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,3,4,5,6 with 2 with 1 with 8 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 7 with 3,4,5,6 with 1 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 2 with 3,4,5,7 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 2 with 1 with 4,6,7,10,11,12 $3.00

Total: $25.50

Post Time for Race 6 is 10:27 EST / 7:27 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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