Saturday is Cal Cup Day at Santa Anita, with an entire ten race card (including five stakes) restricted to California bred runners. So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 7 - [S] The California Cup Derby $200k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Play Chicken (Morning Line 4-1)
B's
# 6 None Above the Law (ML 15-1)
# 8 Warrens Candy Man (ML 10-1)
C's
# 2 Mischievous Path (ML 12-1)
# 3 Big Fish (ML 5-1)
# 3 Big Fish (ML 5-1)
# 4 Good With People (ML 7-2)
# 7 Positivity (ML 10-1)
# 9 Cozy Bear (ML 50-1)
Scratch # 1 The Chosen Vron (ML 8-5)
Needless to say, the scratch of Morning Line Favorite The Chosen Vron changes the entire complexion of this event; not to mention the makeup of my tickets.
King Glorious winner Play Chicken is the only runner in this field with a Win going around two turns over a Fast dirt track. Note also that Play Chicken won his debut going around two turns on the grass; so Play Chicken can certainly handle the distance.
Good With People is the Peter Miller trained runner that will undoubtedly receive solid backing. But I don't think Good With People is suited to today's distance. However, I do think the other Peter Miller, None Above the Law, could be a contender in his first try around two turns on the main track.
Warrens Candy Man, while still a Maiden, is another that in my opinion deserves consideration in his first try around two turns. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 8 - [S] The Turf Classic $200k - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Acclimate (ML 5-2)
B's
# 2 Ward 'n Jerry (ML 4-1)
# 5 Marckie's Water (ML 15-1)
# 6 North County Guy (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Brandothebartender (ML 6-1)
# 3 Fly to Mars (ML 15-1)
# 4 Indian Peak (ML 8-1)
# 4 Indian Peak (ML 8-1)
# 7 Heck Yeah (ML 12-1)
# 9 Tropical Terror (ML 30-1)
# 10 Margot's Boy (ML 8-1)
# 11 Cono (ML 15-1)
Acclimate and Ward 'n Jerry are two that could move up with the drop in class and the cutback in distance. Marckie's Water could be the one running best late.
North County Guy was victorious in a second level Optional Claimer over this turf course against open company two starts back. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 9 - [S] The California Cup Sprint $150k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Fashionably Fast (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Tigre Di Slugo (ML 5-1)
# 6 Loud Mouth (ML 3-1)
# 8 Brickyard Ride (ML 6-1)
C's
# 2 Royal Trump (ML 15-1)
# 4 Bettor Trip Nick (ML 20-1)
# 5 Psycho Dar (ML 12-1)
# 5 Psycho Dar (ML 12-1)
# 7 Club Aspen (ML 20-1)
# 9 Oliver (ML 20-1)
# 10 Jamming Eddy (ML 6-1)
# 11 Rookie Mistake (ML 15-1)
Fashionably Fast took the Place in the Grade 2 Triple Bend two starts back, and Fashionably Fast should appreciate the return to Santa Anita. Tigre Di Slugo could pull the upset with a repeat of his effort against open company last time out.
Loud Mouth enters this event with a two race winning streak, including a victory last time out in the state restricted $100k Cary Grant. Brickyard Ride could be the speed of the speed in this field. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 10 - (F) [S] MSW - Six Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Another Eddie (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Squared Shady (ML 5-1)
# 7 Omg It's Jessica (ML 7-2)
# 10 Annietown (ML 4-1)
C's
# 2 Pistachio Princess (ML 12-1)
# 3 Curious Inji (ML 10-1)
# 4 Warrior Lady (ML 30-1)
# 3 Curious Inji (ML 10-1)
# 4 Warrior Lady (ML 30-1)
# 5 Miss Baylee (ML 5-1)
# 8 Race Judicata (ML 20-1)
# 11 Galarina (ML 20-1)
# 12 Sugar Kisses (ML 20-1)
# 12 Sugar Kisses (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 9 Love the Dance (ML 30-1); but don't bring in either of the Also Eligibles, # 13 Big Clare (ML 5-1) nor # 14 Our Little Tiger (ML 5-1), because they're scratched too.
Omg It's Jessica and Another Eddie filled out the Exacta at this class level last time out; and while it was Omg It's Jessica in front of Another Eddie in that contest, I think the surface switch favors Another Eddie today.
Squared Shady finished in the Trifecta in each of her prior contests on the turf. Annietown looks to be best among the debut runners in this field. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 8 with 3 with 6 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5,6,8 with 2,5,6,8 with 1,3,6,8 with 1,6,7,10 $96.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,3,4,7,9 with 8 with 3 with 6 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 1,3,4,7,9,10,11 with 3 with 6 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 8 with 2,4,5,7,9,10,11 with 6 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 8 with 3 with 2,3,4,5,8,11,12 $3.50
Total: $110.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 6:05 EST / 3:05 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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