Race 8 - # 1 Secret Keeper (Final Odds 10.60) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - The Shoemaker Mile - # 8 Raging Bull (Fr) (2.90) - "B" Selection
Race 10 - # 1 Studly Perfection (1.70*) - "C" Selection
Race 11 - The Gamely - # 11 Keeper Ofthe Stars (7.30) - "B" Selection
Congrats to Trainer Jonathan Wong, as Keeper Ofthe Stars, winner of the Grade 2 Buena Vista last time out and the Grade 3 Autumn Miss over this turf course last October, gives Wong his first Grade 1 winner in Monday's Gamely. As regards my play, I did well on the turf and not on the dirt, making Monday a day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 1 / 8 / 1 / 11 were rewarded with a payout of $686.90 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Monday, May 25, 2020
5/25/20 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
"I have never been able to think of the day as one of mourning; I have never quite been able to feel that half-masted flags were appropriate on Decoration [Memorial] Day. I have rather felt that the flag should be at the peak, because those whose dying we commemorate rejoiced in seeing it where their valor placed it. We honor them in a joyous, thankful, triumphant commemoration of what they did." - Benjamin Harrison
It's Memorial Day (formerly Decoration Day) in the USA; and, despite the circumstances which each of us are currently facing world wide, hopefully all of you have found at least some time to celebrate those who have given their lives in service to others, and to enjoy at least some time, in some way, doing that which you love with those for whom you care. For me, one of the things that I love to do is play the ponies; so with that, let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 8 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Buyer's Remorse (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 8 Via Angelica (ML 6-1)
# 9 Fierce for Sul (ML 9-5)
C's
# 1 Secret Keeper (ML 6-1)
# 3 Queen of Aces (ML 15-1)
# 4 With This Vow (ML 15-1)
# 5 Queen Verrazano (ML 12-1)
# 7 Frose (ML 30-1)
# 10 River Girl (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 6 Favorite Daughter (ML 12-1)
The Past Performances that I have give this contest as being written for three years old and upward; but all entrants here are three years old; which would be beyond coincidental if older fillies and mares were, in fact, eligible to run here.
Buyer's Remorse, trained by Doug O'Neill, is one of just two experienced runners in this field (Frose is the other, for those curious). Buyer's Remorse took the Place in her debut at Del Mar three starts back, the only other time that Buyer's Remorse has competed against fellow non-winners.
Via Angelica and Fierce for Sul are a pair of first time starters trained by Bob Baffert, who tends to do well with such. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 9 - The Shoemaker Mile (Grade 1) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A's
# 11 River Boyne (Ire) (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Without Parole (GB) (ML 4-1)
It's Memorial Day (formerly Decoration Day) in the USA; and, despite the circumstances which each of us are currently facing world wide, hopefully all of you have found at least some time to celebrate those who have given their lives in service to others, and to enjoy at least some time, in some way, doing that which you love with those for whom you care. For me, one of the things that I love to do is play the ponies; so with that, let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 8 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Buyer's Remorse (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 8 Via Angelica (ML 6-1)
# 9 Fierce for Sul (ML 9-5)
C's
# 1 Secret Keeper (ML 6-1)
# 3 Queen of Aces (ML 15-1)
# 4 With This Vow (ML 15-1)
# 5 Queen Verrazano (ML 12-1)
# 7 Frose (ML 30-1)
# 10 River Girl (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 6 Favorite Daughter (ML 12-1)
The Past Performances that I have give this contest as being written for three years old and upward; but all entrants here are three years old; which would be beyond coincidental if older fillies and mares were, in fact, eligible to run here.
Buyer's Remorse, trained by Doug O'Neill, is one of just two experienced runners in this field (Frose is the other, for those curious). Buyer's Remorse took the Place in her debut at Del Mar three starts back, the only other time that Buyer's Remorse has competed against fellow non-winners.
Via Angelica and Fierce for Sul are a pair of first time starters trained by Bob Baffert, who tends to do well with such. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 9 - The Shoemaker Mile (Grade 1) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A's
# 11 River Boyne (Ire) (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Without Parole (GB) (ML 4-1)
# 3 Next Shares (ML 12-1)
# 8 Raging Bull (Fr) (ML 7-2)
# 9 March to the Arch (ML 6-1)
C's
# 2 True Valour (Ire) (ML 20-1)
# 4 Voodoo Song (ML 12-1)
# 4 Voodoo Song (ML 12-1)
# 5 War of Will (ML 4-1)
# 6 Blitzkrieg (ML 20-1)
# 10 Neptune's Storm (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 7 Majestic Eagle (ML 20-1)
River Boyne (Ire) enters this contest having won each of his last two contests; both Graded Stakes; both over this turf course; and both at today's distance.
Without Parole (GB) took the Show in the Breeders' Cup Mile over this turf course back in November. Next Shares was just a neck behind River Boyne at the wire last time out in the Grade 1 Kilroe Mile.
Raging Bull (Fr) was roughed up pretty good in the Grade 1 Woodbine Mile last time out, and could do better with a cleaner trip. March to the Arch could be the one running best late.
I will not be using War of Will on my main ticket. God bless him and his connections if War of Will can be victorious here; because that would mean that War of Will is one of the best, if not the best, turf milers in the country. To be honest, I don't see that happening. In my opinion this event came up quite strong, even for a Grade 1; which means I don't think it's wise to waste a spot on the big ticket using a turf maiden. So in my play War of Will will be relegated to backup "C" Selection status, along with the rest of the field.
RACE 10 - Clm $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Camino de Estrella (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 4 Fire When Ready (ML 5-2)
# 9 Imagineiamfastest (ML 8-1)
C's
# 1 Studly Perfection (ML 5-1)
# 3 Will Dancer (ML 8-1)
# 5 Original Intent (ML 20-1)
# 5 Original Intent (ML 20-1)
# 6 Impression (ML 4-1)
# 7 Rockandahardplace (ML 15-1)
# 8 Wilshire Dude (ML 5-1)
Camino de Estrella was hitting the board against more expensive stock at Turf Paradise this past Winter and Fall; and while form gained in Arizona doesn't often hold up in Southern California, Camino de Estrella has made it into the Trifecta in the majority of his races over this main track, which suggests that he'll run just fine today.
Fire When Ready has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of his last four starts; not what you want to see when checking out a runner's resume. But Fire When Ready tends to do well at today's distance; and that, combined with the class drop, could propel Fire When Ready into the winner's circle.
Imagineiamfastest took the Show against more expensive stock the last time that he competed over this main track. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 11 - (F) The Gamely (Grade 1) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A's
# 3 Lady Prancealot (Ire) (ML 6-1)
B's
# 1 Etoile (Fr) (ML 5-2)
# 7 Beautiful Lover (ML 5-1)
# 11 Keeper ofthe Stars (ML 8-1)
C's
# 4 Giza Goddess (ML 20-1)
# 5 Mucho Unusual (ML 8-1)
# 6 Simply Breathless (GB) (ML 8-1)
# 8 Tiny Tina (ML 15-1)
# 9 Siberian Iris (Ire) (ML 15-1)
# 10 Bodhicitta (GB) (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 2 Ollie's Candy (ML 4-1)
Lady Prancealot (Ire) was two and a half lengths back of Keeper Ofthe Stars in the Grade 2 Buena Vista last time out. While I will be using both, I think that the added distance Saturday just might give Lady Prancealot the edge.
Etoile (Fr) is a Group Stakes winner in her native France. Beautiful Lover could be the one running best late. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2 with 11 with 2 with 3 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,8,9 with 1,3,8,9,11 with 2,4,9 with 1,3,7,11 $90.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,3,4,5,7,10 with 11 with 2 with 3 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 2,4,5,6,10 with 2 with 3 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 2 with 11 with 1,3,5,6,7,8 with 3 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 11 with 2 with 4,5,6,8,9,10 $3.00
Total: $102.50
Post Time for Race 8 is 7:07 EDT / 4:07 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, May 23, 2020
5/23/20 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 6 Diamond of Value (Final Odds 3.10) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 4 Biddy Duke (5.20) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - The Charles Whittingham - # 5 United (1.20) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 4 My Journey (3.10) - "B" Selection
As he was the ultimate winner, it could indeed be said that I should have singled United on the big ticket in the Charles Whittingham, as I mentioned in the preview that I was tempted to do. Still, it's not easy to say just how much that would have lowered the cost of my play; as singling in the third leg would have undoubtedly led to me going wider in the other contests; which, as can be seen, would have been unnecessary, despite the fact that none of the four winners was a Post Time Favorite.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other three runners to which I would have cashed in the nightcap:
# 2 Vodka Twist (7.30) - $373.35 Finish: 4th
# 9 Dr. Hoffman (1.70*) - $136.80 Finish: 2nd
# 12 Salah (3.00) - $142.60 Finish: 6th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Late Pick Four sequence of 6 / 4 / 5 / 4 which paid $190.05 for a fifty cent wager. That makes for a profit of $115.05 on my initial $75.00 investment; or approximate odds of 1.53-1.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 4 Biddy Duke (5.20) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - The Charles Whittingham - # 5 United (1.20) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 4 My Journey (3.10) - "B" Selection
As he was the ultimate winner, it could indeed be said that I should have singled United on the big ticket in the Charles Whittingham, as I mentioned in the preview that I was tempted to do. Still, it's not easy to say just how much that would have lowered the cost of my play; as singling in the third leg would have undoubtedly led to me going wider in the other contests; which, as can be seen, would have been unnecessary, despite the fact that none of the four winners was a Post Time Favorite.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other three runners to which I would have cashed in the nightcap:
# 2 Vodka Twist (7.30) - $373.35 Finish: 4th
# 9 Dr. Hoffman (1.70*) - $136.80 Finish: 2nd
# 12 Salah (3.00) - $142.60 Finish: 6th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Late Pick Four sequence of 6 / 4 / 5 / 4 which paid $190.05 for a fifty cent wager. That makes for a profit of $115.05 on my initial $75.00 investment; or approximate odds of 1.53-1.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
5/23/20 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
"You will never do anything in this world without courage.” - Aristotle
Saturday kicks off a three day holiday weekend in the US, and the card at Santa Anita certainly seems worthy of the occasion, featuring as it does a pair of Graded Stakes; the Daytona and the Charles Whittingham. I'll be taking a look at the latter of those two contests below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Way too Sweet (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Sybil's Kitty (ML 7-2)
# 3 Real Good Deal (ML 5-2)
# 6 Diamond of Value (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Midnight Garden (ML 7-2)
# 5 At the Margin (ML 30-1)
# 7 Drop the Mic (ML 6-1)
Way too Sweet was way outclassed last time out (though she still managed to grab the early lead) and should move up with the class drop. Real Good Deal and Sybil's Kitty filled out the bottom two rungs of the Superfecta at this class level last time out.
Diamond of Value could improve with the return to one turn racing. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 7 - (F) Alw 50000s - OC 40k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Vegan (ML 12-1)
B’s
# 2 Rstars and Stripes (ML 12-1)
# 4 Biddy Duke (ML 4-1)
# 7 Lovely Lilia (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Sugar Pickel (ML 6-1)
# 3 Bluegrass Sky (ML 12-1)
# 6 Too Much Heaven (ML 4-1)
# 8 Galwalksintoabar (ML 8-1)
# 9 Samurai Charm (ML 6-1)
This contest is a Starter Optional Claimer; an Optional Claimer / Starter Allowance hybrid, if you will. A three year old filly is eligible to run here tag free if she has ever started for a claiming price of $50k or less. That's the Starter Allowance provision, which must be met in order to enter. The Optional Claiming piece of the conditions is that runners with fewer than two lifetime Wins can run without fear of being claimed. Those fillies with multiple career victories are competing with a $40k price tag on their heads. Note for future reference that the runners in this field that are eligible to be claimed are: # 4 Biddy Duke; # 5 Vegan; # 6 Too Much Heaven; and # 7 Lovely Lilia.
Vegan took the Show last time out against much classier competition; albeit on the turf in a short field. But Vegan defeated classier competition three starts back; and Trainer Bill Spawr tends to do well when moving his runners from turf to dirt.
Rstars and Stripes could improve with the reduction in real estate; besides, who wants to be defeated by Rstars and Stripes on Memorial Day weekend? Biddy Duke has been staying in shape by sprinting at Los Alamitos; before that, Biddy Duke took the Place against classier competition over this main track back in March.
Lovely Lilia could improve going second off the layoff. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - The Charles Whittingham (Grade 2) - Ten Furlongs Turf
A's
# 5 United (ML 6-5)
B's
# 7 Rockemperor (Ire) (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Desert Stone (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 2 Multiplier (ML 10-1)
# 4 Synthesis (ML 30-1)
# 6 Originaire (Ire) (ML 5-2)
Scratch # 3 Bold Endeavor (ML 20-1)
United and Rockemperor (Ire) look to be the two clear best here. I give the edge to United as Rockemperor has yet to find the winner's circle against Graded (or Group) Stakes competition. Indeed, I was very tempted to make United a big ticket single here; and not doing so may prove to be a decision that I will later regret. But Rockemperor is trained by Chad Brown, who does quite well when shipping his runners to the West Coast; so it's two deep in this leg, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 9 - Md $20k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 12 Salah (ML 3-1)
B's
# 2 Vodka Twist (ML 5-1)
# 4 My Journey (ML 4-1)
# 9 Dr. Hoffman (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Meadway (ML 30-1)
# 3 Fabio (ML 20-1)
# 5 Papa Lorenzo (ML 50-1)
# 6 Sharp Speaker (ML 20-1)
# 7 Mongolian Wind (ML 12-1)
# 8 Posty (ML 5-1)
# 10 Starship Chewy (ML 30-1)
# 13 Ziyanair (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 11 Beaumont Beaux (No Line) and # 14 Royally Big (ML 20-1)
Salah took the Show against more expensive stock last time out; albeit in a small field. Vodka Twist could improve dropping in for a tag for the first time, as well as moving from turf to dirt.
My Journey has taken the Show at this class level in each of his last two starts. Dr. Hoffman could move up with the drop in class. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 5 with 5 with 12 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,4,6 with 2,4,5,7 with 5,7 with 2,4,9,12 $64.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,5,7 with 5 with 5 with 12 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 1,3,6,8,9 with 5 with 12 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 5 with 1,2,4,6 with 12 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 5 with 5 with 1,3,5,6,7,8,10,13 $4.00
Total: $75.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:12 EDT / 3:12 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday kicks off a three day holiday weekend in the US, and the card at Santa Anita certainly seems worthy of the occasion, featuring as it does a pair of Graded Stakes; the Daytona and the Charles Whittingham. I'll be taking a look at the latter of those two contests below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Way too Sweet (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Sybil's Kitty (ML 7-2)
# 3 Real Good Deal (ML 5-2)
# 6 Diamond of Value (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Midnight Garden (ML 7-2)
# 5 At the Margin (ML 30-1)
# 7 Drop the Mic (ML 6-1)
Way too Sweet was way outclassed last time out (though she still managed to grab the early lead) and should move up with the class drop. Real Good Deal and Sybil's Kitty filled out the bottom two rungs of the Superfecta at this class level last time out.
Diamond of Value could improve with the return to one turn racing. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 7 - (F) Alw 50000s - OC 40k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Vegan (ML 12-1)
B’s
# 2 Rstars and Stripes (ML 12-1)
# 4 Biddy Duke (ML 4-1)
# 7 Lovely Lilia (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Sugar Pickel (ML 6-1)
# 3 Bluegrass Sky (ML 12-1)
# 6 Too Much Heaven (ML 4-1)
# 8 Galwalksintoabar (ML 8-1)
# 9 Samurai Charm (ML 6-1)
This contest is a Starter Optional Claimer; an Optional Claimer / Starter Allowance hybrid, if you will. A three year old filly is eligible to run here tag free if she has ever started for a claiming price of $50k or less. That's the Starter Allowance provision, which must be met in order to enter. The Optional Claiming piece of the conditions is that runners with fewer than two lifetime Wins can run without fear of being claimed. Those fillies with multiple career victories are competing with a $40k price tag on their heads. Note for future reference that the runners in this field that are eligible to be claimed are: # 4 Biddy Duke; # 5 Vegan; # 6 Too Much Heaven; and # 7 Lovely Lilia.
Vegan took the Show last time out against much classier competition; albeit on the turf in a short field. But Vegan defeated classier competition three starts back; and Trainer Bill Spawr tends to do well when moving his runners from turf to dirt.
Rstars and Stripes could improve with the reduction in real estate; besides, who wants to be defeated by Rstars and Stripes on Memorial Day weekend? Biddy Duke has been staying in shape by sprinting at Los Alamitos; before that, Biddy Duke took the Place against classier competition over this main track back in March.
Lovely Lilia could improve going second off the layoff. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - The Charles Whittingham (Grade 2) - Ten Furlongs Turf
A's
# 5 United (ML 6-5)
B's
# 7 Rockemperor (Ire) (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Desert Stone (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 2 Multiplier (ML 10-1)
# 4 Synthesis (ML 30-1)
# 6 Originaire (Ire) (ML 5-2)
Scratch # 3 Bold Endeavor (ML 20-1)
United and Rockemperor (Ire) look to be the two clear best here. I give the edge to United as Rockemperor has yet to find the winner's circle against Graded (or Group) Stakes competition. Indeed, I was very tempted to make United a big ticket single here; and not doing so may prove to be a decision that I will later regret. But Rockemperor is trained by Chad Brown, who does quite well when shipping his runners to the West Coast; so it's two deep in this leg, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 9 - Md $20k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 12 Salah (ML 3-1)
B's
# 2 Vodka Twist (ML 5-1)
# 4 My Journey (ML 4-1)
# 9 Dr. Hoffman (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Meadway (ML 30-1)
# 3 Fabio (ML 20-1)
# 5 Papa Lorenzo (ML 50-1)
# 6 Sharp Speaker (ML 20-1)
# 7 Mongolian Wind (ML 12-1)
# 8 Posty (ML 5-1)
# 10 Starship Chewy (ML 30-1)
# 13 Ziyanair (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 11 Beaumont Beaux (No Line) and # 14 Royally Big (ML 20-1)
Salah took the Show against more expensive stock last time out; albeit in a small field. Vodka Twist could improve dropping in for a tag for the first time, as well as moving from turf to dirt.
My Journey has taken the Show at this class level in each of his last two starts. Dr. Hoffman could move up with the drop in class. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 5 with 5 with 12 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,4,6 with 2,4,5,7 with 5,7 with 2,4,9,12 $64.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,5,7 with 5 with 5 with 12 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 1,3,6,8,9 with 5 with 12 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 5 with 1,2,4,6 with 12 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 5 with 5 with 1,3,5,6,7,8,10,13 $4.00
Total: $75.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:12 EDT / 3:12 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, May 16, 2020
5/16/20 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results
Race 7 - # 7 Dogtag (Final Odds 2.70) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - The Evening Jewel - # 1 Smiling Shirlee (3.80) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 1 Heywoods Beach (2.30*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - # 5 Sorriso (1.20*) - "B" Selection
My main ticket single, # 5 Bulletproof One (1.80*) in the Evening Jewel, broke in front and was leading the field heading into the stretch; but Bulletproof One didn't have enough left for the drive, and finished well out of it in sixth. Still, one could say that singling Bulletproof One was the right move, as I would not have been on the eventual winner even if I had gone three deep. So the main ticket winds up with three out of four winners; and we all know what that pays.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 7 / 1 / 1 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $153.70 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 8 - The Evening Jewel - # 1 Smiling Shirlee (3.80) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 1 Heywoods Beach (2.30*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - # 5 Sorriso (1.20*) - "B" Selection
My main ticket single, # 5 Bulletproof One (1.80*) in the Evening Jewel, broke in front and was leading the field heading into the stretch; but Bulletproof One didn't have enough left for the drive, and finished well out of it in sixth. Still, one could say that singling Bulletproof One was the right move, as I would not have been on the eventual winner even if I had gone three deep. So the main ticket winds up with three out of four winners; and we all know what that pays.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 7 / 1 / 1 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $153.70 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
5/16/20 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
"You have brains in your head. You have feet in your shoes. You can steer yourself in any direction you choose. You're on your own, and you know what you know. And you are the guy who'll decide where to go." - Dr. Seuss
Once upon a time, the running of the Preakness was scheduled to be held on Saturday, May 16, 2020. And while that is obviously not happening, Saturday is still a very bright day for horse racing; as, for the first time in a couple of months, there are enough venues operating that I feel as if I have legitimate choices regarding where I will wager. Ultimately I landed on Santa Anita; not so much because I feel that I have a greater expectation of cashing by playing the Arcadia racetrack; but mainly because playing Santa Anita has a "comfort food" type feeling for me. So with that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 62.5k/N2X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Desert Oasis (GB) (Morning Line 4-1)
B’s
# 1 Don't Blame Judy (ML 6-1)
# 2 She's Our Charm (ML 4-1)
# 3 Strike At Dawn (ML 3-1)
# 4 Sold It (ML 10-1)
# 6 Out of Balance (ML 8-1)
# 7 Dogtag (ML 5-2)
C's
None
Were I so inclined, I could narrow it down to where I was using five runners in this leg on the main ticket. But if the best you can do is only toss two in a seven horse field, then you just have to admit that you really don't have a handle on the race. So it's everybody into the pool, as I go "ALL" in to kick off the sequence.
RACE 8 - (F) [S] The Evening Jewel $150k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Bulletproof One (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Smiling Shirlee (ML 10-1)
# 2 Bella Vita (ML 6-1)
# 3 Been Studying Her (ML 7-2)
# 4 Dim Lights (ML 15-1)
# 6 Speedy Gigi (ML 12-1)
# 7 Warrior's Moon (ML 12-1)
# 8 Florentine Diamond (ML 20-1)
# 9 Warren's Showtime (ML 3-1)
# 10 Homehome (ML 15-1)
Seven of the ten runners in this field competed on a surface other than dirt their last time out; just one more factor making this contest a challenge to handicap. Like the initial leg in this sequence, going deep on the main ticket would be understandable. But ultimately I decided to single here with Bulletproof One. Bulletproof One was dominate in each of her last two contests, both run over the synthetic surface at Golden Gate Fields. As Bulletproof One has won previously on Fast dirt tracks, I suspect that she will perform just fine Saturday.
Been Studying Her is a three time winner on the dirt, albeit for a different barn; and the barn change was the deciding factor in my decision not to used Been Studying Her on the main ticket.
Warren's Showtime looks classiest here; and Warren's Showtime would probably be a big ticket single if this contest was being run over the turf course. In addition, Warren's Showtime is probably better suited to a longer distance. So while it's a real tough toss, I'm going to relegate Warren's Showtime to backup "C" Selection status, along with Been Studying Her and the rest of the field.
RACE 9 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Heywoods Beach (ML 7-2)
B's
# 6 Lemonade Stand (ML 6-1)
# 8 Capital Call (ML 8-1)
# 9 Dominant Soul (ML 8-1)
C's
# 2 Eastern Ocean (ML 8-1)
# 3 No Slo Mo (ML 20-1)
# 4 Leprino (ML 5-1)
# 5 Port Saint Joe (ML 12-1)
# 7 Perseverance (ML 20-1)
# 10 Istanbul (ML 6-1)
# 11 Fire Polish (ML 12-1)
# 12 Summer Invasion (ML 12-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles; # 13 Frasard (GB) (ML 4-1) and # 14 I'm Leaving You (ML 20-1)
Heywoods Beach missed graduation by just a neck at this class level last time out. Lemonade Stand is a debut runner for Trainer Tim Yakteen, who has been doing well with first time starters on the turf.
Capital Call's one race experiment with blinkers on is over, and I suspect that Capital Call will run better without the hood. Dominant Soul took the Show at this class level last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 10 - [S] Md $50k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Handsome Cat (ML 6-1)
B's
# 5 Sorriso (ML 7-2)
# 6 War Maker (ML 8-1)
# 11 Desert Swarm (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Hoop Dream (ML 8-1)
# 2 Bodega (ML 15-1)
# 3 Street Demand (ML 8-1)
# 7 El Chapin (ML 50-1)
# 8 Hapi Hapi (ML 20-1)
# 9 U. S. Danger (ML 15-1)
# 10 With Due Cause (ML 8-1)
# 12 Jungle Roar (ML 8-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles; # 13 Mobjack (No Line) and # 14 Endless Tale (NL)
Note that this contest is for California sired as well as Cal bred; which is why the Texas bred Street Demand, son of Street Life, is eligible to compete here.
Handsome Cat, one of several in this field dropping in for a tag for the first time, ran well the last time that he competed on a Fast dirt track. Sorriso and Desert Swarm were just noses apart at the wire against non-Claiming State Bred Maidens on the turf last time out as they fought for the Show.
War Maker took the Show at this class level in his debut last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 5 with 1 with 4 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 with 5 with 1,6,8,9 with 4,5,6,11 $56.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 5 with 1,2,3,4,6,7,8,9,10 with 1 with 4 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 5 with 2,3,4,5,7,10,11,12 with 4 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 5 with 1 with 1,2,3,7,8,9,10,12 $4.00
Total: $69.50
Post Time for Race 7 is 6:37 EDT / 3:37 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Once upon a time, the running of the Preakness was scheduled to be held on Saturday, May 16, 2020. And while that is obviously not happening, Saturday is still a very bright day for horse racing; as, for the first time in a couple of months, there are enough venues operating that I feel as if I have legitimate choices regarding where I will wager. Ultimately I landed on Santa Anita; not so much because I feel that I have a greater expectation of cashing by playing the Arcadia racetrack; but mainly because playing Santa Anita has a "comfort food" type feeling for me. So with that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 62.5k/N2X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Desert Oasis (GB) (Morning Line 4-1)
B’s
# 1 Don't Blame Judy (ML 6-1)
# 2 She's Our Charm (ML 4-1)
# 3 Strike At Dawn (ML 3-1)
# 4 Sold It (ML 10-1)
# 6 Out of Balance (ML 8-1)
# 7 Dogtag (ML 5-2)
C's
None
Were I so inclined, I could narrow it down to where I was using five runners in this leg on the main ticket. But if the best you can do is only toss two in a seven horse field, then you just have to admit that you really don't have a handle on the race. So it's everybody into the pool, as I go "ALL" in to kick off the sequence.
RACE 8 - (F) [S] The Evening Jewel $150k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Bulletproof One (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Smiling Shirlee (ML 10-1)
# 2 Bella Vita (ML 6-1)
# 3 Been Studying Her (ML 7-2)
# 4 Dim Lights (ML 15-1)
# 6 Speedy Gigi (ML 12-1)
# 7 Warrior's Moon (ML 12-1)
# 8 Florentine Diamond (ML 20-1)
# 9 Warren's Showtime (ML 3-1)
# 10 Homehome (ML 15-1)
Seven of the ten runners in this field competed on a surface other than dirt their last time out; just one more factor making this contest a challenge to handicap. Like the initial leg in this sequence, going deep on the main ticket would be understandable. But ultimately I decided to single here with Bulletproof One. Bulletproof One was dominate in each of her last two contests, both run over the synthetic surface at Golden Gate Fields. As Bulletproof One has won previously on Fast dirt tracks, I suspect that she will perform just fine Saturday.
Been Studying Her is a three time winner on the dirt, albeit for a different barn; and the barn change was the deciding factor in my decision not to used Been Studying Her on the main ticket.
Warren's Showtime looks classiest here; and Warren's Showtime would probably be a big ticket single if this contest was being run over the turf course. In addition, Warren's Showtime is probably better suited to a longer distance. So while it's a real tough toss, I'm going to relegate Warren's Showtime to backup "C" Selection status, along with Been Studying Her and the rest of the field.
RACE 9 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Heywoods Beach (ML 7-2)
B's
# 6 Lemonade Stand (ML 6-1)
# 8 Capital Call (ML 8-1)
# 9 Dominant Soul (ML 8-1)
C's
# 2 Eastern Ocean (ML 8-1)
# 3 No Slo Mo (ML 20-1)
# 4 Leprino (ML 5-1)
# 5 Port Saint Joe (ML 12-1)
# 7 Perseverance (ML 20-1)
# 10 Istanbul (ML 6-1)
# 11 Fire Polish (ML 12-1)
# 12 Summer Invasion (ML 12-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles; # 13 Frasard (GB) (ML 4-1) and # 14 I'm Leaving You (ML 20-1)
Heywoods Beach missed graduation by just a neck at this class level last time out. Lemonade Stand is a debut runner for Trainer Tim Yakteen, who has been doing well with first time starters on the turf.
Capital Call's one race experiment with blinkers on is over, and I suspect that Capital Call will run better without the hood. Dominant Soul took the Show at this class level last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 10 - [S] Md $50k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Handsome Cat (ML 6-1)
B's
# 5 Sorriso (ML 7-2)
# 6 War Maker (ML 8-1)
# 11 Desert Swarm (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Hoop Dream (ML 8-1)
# 2 Bodega (ML 15-1)
# 3 Street Demand (ML 8-1)
# 7 El Chapin (ML 50-1)
# 8 Hapi Hapi (ML 20-1)
# 9 U. S. Danger (ML 15-1)
# 10 With Due Cause (ML 8-1)
# 12 Jungle Roar (ML 8-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles; # 13 Mobjack (No Line) and # 14 Endless Tale (NL)
Note that this contest is for California sired as well as Cal bred; which is why the Texas bred Street Demand, son of Street Life, is eligible to compete here.
Handsome Cat, one of several in this field dropping in for a tag for the first time, ran well the last time that he competed on a Fast dirt track. Sorriso and Desert Swarm were just noses apart at the wire against non-Claiming State Bred Maidens on the turf last time out as they fought for the Show.
War Maker took the Show at this class level in his debut last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 5 with 1 with 4 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 with 5 with 1,6,8,9 with 4,5,6,11 $56.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 5 with 1,2,3,4,6,7,8,9,10 with 1 with 4 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 5 with 2,3,4,5,7,10,11,12 with 4 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 5 with 1 with 1,2,3,7,8,9,10,12 $4.00
Total: $69.50
Post Time for Race 7 is 6:37 EDT / 3:37 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)