"You have brains in your head. You have feet in your shoes. You can steer yourself in any direction you choose. You're on your own, and you know what you know. And you are the guy who'll decide where to go." - Dr. Seuss
Once upon a time, the running of the Preakness was scheduled to be held on Saturday, May 16, 2020. And while that is obviously not happening, Saturday is still a very bright day for horse racing; as, for the first time in a couple of months, there are enough venues operating that I feel as if I have legitimate choices regarding where I will wager. Ultimately I landed on Santa Anita; not so much because I feel that I have a greater expectation of cashing by playing the Arcadia racetrack; but mainly because playing Santa Anita has a "comfort food" type feeling for me. So with that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 62.5k/N2X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Desert Oasis (GB) (Morning Line 4-1)
B’s
# 1 Don't Blame Judy (ML 6-1)
# 2 She's Our Charm (ML 4-1)
# 3 Strike At Dawn (ML 3-1)
# 4 Sold It (ML 10-1)
# 6 Out of Balance (ML 8-1)
# 7 Dogtag (ML 5-2)
C's
None
Were I so inclined, I could narrow it down to where I was using five runners in this leg on the main ticket. But if the best you can do is only toss two in a seven horse field, then you just have to admit that you really don't have a handle on the race. So it's everybody into the pool, as I go "ALL" in to kick off the sequence.
RACE 8 - (F) [S] The Evening Jewel $150k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Bulletproof One (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Smiling Shirlee (ML 10-1)
# 2 Bella Vita (ML 6-1)
# 3 Been Studying Her (ML 7-2)
# 4 Dim Lights (ML 15-1)
# 6 Speedy Gigi (ML 12-1)
# 7 Warrior's Moon (ML 12-1)
# 8 Florentine Diamond (ML 20-1)
# 9 Warren's Showtime (ML 3-1)
# 10 Homehome (ML 15-1)
Seven of the ten runners in this field competed on a surface other than dirt their last time out; just one more factor making this contest a challenge to handicap. Like the initial leg in this sequence, going deep on the main ticket would be understandable. But ultimately I decided to single here with Bulletproof One. Bulletproof One was dominate in each of her last two contests, both run over the synthetic surface at Golden Gate Fields. As Bulletproof One has won previously on Fast dirt tracks, I suspect that she will perform just fine Saturday.
Been Studying Her is a three time winner on the dirt, albeit for a different barn; and the barn change was the deciding factor in my decision not to used Been Studying Her on the main ticket.
Warren's Showtime looks classiest here; and Warren's Showtime would probably be a big ticket single if this contest was being run over the turf course. In addition, Warren's Showtime is probably better suited to a longer distance. So while it's a real tough toss, I'm going to relegate Warren's Showtime to backup "C" Selection status, along with Been Studying Her and the rest of the field.
RACE 9 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Heywoods Beach (ML 7-2)
B's
# 6 Lemonade Stand (ML 6-1)
# 8 Capital Call (ML 8-1)
# 9 Dominant Soul (ML 8-1)
C's
# 2 Eastern Ocean (ML 8-1)
# 3 No Slo Mo (ML 20-1)
# 4 Leprino (ML 5-1)
# 5 Port Saint Joe (ML 12-1)
# 7 Perseverance (ML 20-1)
# 10 Istanbul (ML 6-1)
# 11 Fire Polish (ML 12-1)
# 12 Summer Invasion (ML 12-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles; # 13 Frasard (GB) (ML 4-1) and # 14 I'm Leaving You (ML 20-1)
Heywoods Beach missed graduation by just a neck at this class level last time out. Lemonade Stand is a debut runner for Trainer Tim Yakteen, who has been doing well with first time starters on the turf.
Capital Call's one race experiment with blinkers on is over, and I suspect that Capital Call will run better without the hood. Dominant Soul took the Show at this class level last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 10 - [S] Md $50k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Handsome Cat (ML 6-1)
B's
# 5 Sorriso (ML 7-2)
# 6 War Maker (ML 8-1)
# 11 Desert Swarm (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Hoop Dream (ML 8-1)
# 2 Bodega (ML 15-1)
# 3 Street Demand (ML 8-1)
# 7 El Chapin (ML 50-1)
# 8 Hapi Hapi (ML 20-1)
# 9 U. S. Danger (ML 15-1)
# 10 With Due Cause (ML 8-1)
# 12 Jungle Roar (ML 8-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles; # 13 Mobjack (No Line) and # 14 Endless Tale (NL)
Note that this contest is for California sired as well as Cal bred; which is why the Texas bred Street Demand, son of Street Life, is eligible to compete here.
Handsome Cat, one of several in this field dropping in for a tag for the first time, ran well the last time that he competed on a Fast dirt track. Sorriso and Desert Swarm were just noses apart at the wire against non-Claiming State Bred Maidens on the turf last time out as they fought for the Show.
War Maker took the Show at this class level in his debut last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 5 with 1 with 4 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 with 5 with 1,6,8,9 with 4,5,6,11 $56.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 5 with 1,2,3,4,6,7,8,9,10 with 1 with 4 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 5 with 2,3,4,5,7,10,11,12 with 4 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 5 with 1 with 1,2,3,7,8,9,10,12 $4.00
Total: $69.50
Post Time for Race 7 is 6:37 EDT / 3:37 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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