“Have no fear of perfection - you'll never reach it.” - Salvador Dali
It's been exactly six months since I last handicapped a turf contest on this site; so it'll be interesting to see how I do with the pair of grass events contained within Saturday's sequence, including the featured Sunshine Forever Stakes. So with that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at Gulfstream Park.
RACE 9 - The Sunshine Forever $75k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Halladay (Morning Line 4-1)
B's
# 9 Social Paranoia (ML 3-1)
# 11 Admission Office (ML 5-2)
C's
# 2 Sand Dancer (ML 20-1)
# 3 El Tormenta (ML 12-1)
# 4 Aquaphobia (ML 10-1)
# 5 Cullum Road (ML 20-1)
# 7 Hawkish (ML 10-1)
# 10 Highland Sky (ML 15-1)
Scratch the Main Track Only entrant, # 1 Just Whistle (ML 8-1), as well as # 8 Regally Irish (ML 20-1), and # 12 War of Will (ML 10-1)
Those hoping to see War of Will compete Saturday will need to wait a little longer to watch him run, as Trainer Mark Casse has decided to point War of Will towards the Shoemaker Mile, scheduled to be held later this month at Santa Anita.
Halladay and Social Paranoia, both trained by Todd Pletcher, were each daylight winners last time out, and both appear to be entering Saturday's contest in top form. Admission Office should benefit from the drop in class, as well as the turn back in distance. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 10 - OC 25k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Battle of Blenheim (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 5 Harbour Master (GB) (ML 12-1)
C's
# 1 Counter Offer (ML 8-1)
# 2 Stealth (ML 15-1)
# 3 Sublime Appeal (ML 12-1)
# 7 Basha (ML 20-1)
# 8 Gray's Fable (ML 5-1)
# 9 Honey Won't (ML 4-1)
# 10 Strong One (ML 30-1)
# 11 Shootin the Breeze (ML 8-1)
# 12 Surf Shack (ML 30-1)
# 13 Urban Light (Ire) (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 4 Extra Extra (ML 20-1); # 14 Christopher (ML 15-1); along with the Main Track Only entrants, # 15 Jay's Way (ML 7-2) and # 16 War Giant (ML 4-1)
Battle of Blenheim took the Place at this approximate class level last time out while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite. Harbour Master (GB) could move up with the drop in class. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 11 - [S] OC 16k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 R Mercedes Boy (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 3 Tap It to Win (ML 5-1)
# 4 I'll Fight Dempsey (ML 3-1)
# 7 Hauntedbythemusic (ML 6-1)
# 8 Cryogenic (ML 10-1)
C's
# 1 Septemberten (ML 10-1)
# 9 Chinomadito (ML 30-1)
# 10 More Than Striking (ML 12-1)
# 11 Whiskey Sunrise (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 2 Unpublished (ML 20-1); # 6 Vincero (ML 12-1); and # 12 Game Boy Benny (ML 20-1)
R Mercedes Boy took the Place at this class level last time out. Tap It to Win and I'll Fight Dempsey could both move up with the drop in class.
Hauntedbythemusic won by as many as he wanted in his debut last time out against open company non-Claiming Maidens. Cryogenic has won at this class level on both turf and dirt; albeit while covering less ground. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 12 - Alw 8000s - OC 10k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Dexter Road (ML 8-1)
B’s
# 2 Trappezoid (ML 5-1)
# 3 Peppi the Hunter (ML 9-5)
# 6 The Queens Jules (ML 4-1)
# 8 Discreet Heat (ML 20-1)
C's
# 1 The Robert (ML 12-1)
# 4 Areyoutalkingtome (ML 20-1)
# 5 Il Faraone (ML 15-1)
# 7 Mr Chaplin (ML 20-1)
# 10 Starship Apollo (ML 8-1)
# 11 She Takes Heart (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 12 Mr. Creative (ML 20-1)
This contest is a Starter Optional Claimer; an Optional Claimer / Starter Allowance hybrid, if you will. Your horse is eligible to run here tag free if it is three years old or older and started for a claiming price of $8k or less in the past 366 days. That's the Starter Allowance provision. If your horse doesn't meet that condition, you can still run it here, but it will be eligible to be claimed for $10k. Note that # 8 Discreet Heat is the only entrant here running with a price tag on his head; though I'm not sure why, as Discreet Heat has definitely run for a claiming price under $8k in the past twelve months.
Dexter Road and Trappezoid filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. Peppi the Hunter and The Queens Jules are two that have recently defeated Dexter Road; but it's my opinion that Dexter Road's steadily improving form makes him a more probable winner Saturday than those two.
Discreet Heat tends to run well over a fast dirt track. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 6 with 5 with 9 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 6,9,11 with 5,6 with 3,4,5,7,8 with 2,3,6,8,9 $75.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,3,4,5,7,10 with 6 with 5 with 9 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 1,2,3,7,8,9,10,11,12,13 with 5 with 9 $5.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 6 with 1,9,10,11 with 9 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 6 with 5 with 1,4,5,7,10,11 $3.00
Total: $89.00
Post Time for Race 9 is 4:59 EDT / 1:59 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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