Success is no accident. It is hard work, perseverance, learning, studying, sacrifice and most of all, love of what you are doing or learning to do. - Pele
The Grade 3 Honeymoon, a turf route for three year old fillies, is the featured race on Saturday's card in Arcadia. Hopefully when the Honeymoon is over I'll still be looking good, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 She's a Dime (Morning Line 7-2)
B’s
# 5 Eternal Endeavour (GB) (ML 8-5)
C's
# 1 Road Rager (ML 7-2)
# 2 Rather Nosy (ML 5-2)
# 3 Pink Scatillac (ML 5-1)
As can be seen above, this event did not draw well at all. Perhaps too many connections were put off by having their runners go seven furlongs this soon into the re-start of the meet. For the record, note that none of these five starters are in for the $40k tag.
She's a Dime ran well in her only prior try over this main track. Eternal Endeavour (GB) should improve with the return to one turn racing.
Rather Nosy is one you definitely want to use in your intra-race exotics. But in my opinion Rather Nosy has had enough chances to prove that she can win at this level. So if Rather Nosy beats me Saturday, she beats me; but I'll be using Rather Nosy as a backup "C" Selection, along with the rest of the field.
RACE 7 - (F) The Honeymoon (Grade 3) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A's
# 5 Laura's Light (ML 5-2)
B's
# 8 Parkour (ML 7-2)
# 9 Stela Star (Ire) (ML 2-1)
C's
# 1 Guitty (Fr) (ML 8-1)
# 2 K P Dreamin (ML 12-1)
# 3 Fashion Royalty (GB) (ML 30-1)
# 4 Croughavouke (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 7 Red Lark (Ire) (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 6 Little Bird (Ire) (ML 15-1)
Laura's Light is a perfect two-for-two over this turf course; and, based upon her breeding, Laura's Light should be okay with the increase in real estate.
Parkour projects to be the pacesetter, and her breeding suggests that Parkour could be the one they'll have to catch to win as the field nears the wire. Stela Star (Ire) took the Place in the China Doll over this turf course last time out; and Stela Star could be the one running best late. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) [S] Md $50k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Rain Diva (ML 5-1)
B's
# 4 Awesome Alessandra (ML 6-1)
C's
# 2 Queensbeccaandjane (ML 15-1)
# 3 Rational (ML 10-1)
# 6 Tiz a Unicorn (ML 4-1)
# 8 Casillalater (ML15-1)
# 9 Lucky Daughter (ML 12-1)
# 10 Sweet Honor (ML 15-1)
# 11 La Sabalera (ML 20-1)
# 12 Keep It Classy (ML 12-1)
# 13 Capital Heat (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 1 Apache Pass (No Line) and # 5 Traffic Stopper (ML 7-2)
Rain Diva drops in for a tag for the first time; and her work over this main track on the 10th suggests that Rain Diva should do well getting off the grass. Awesome Alessandra took the place against open (not state bred restricted) Maiden Claimers back in March. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 9 - MSW - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 11 Canadian Luck (ML 12-1)
B's
# 1 Frassard (GB) (ML 10-1)
# 2 Capital Call (ML 6-1)
# 3 Whirl Candy (ML 5-1)
# 4 Reprobate (ML 6-1)
# 5 Premier League (ML 15-1)
# 6 Tallien (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 7 Cosmo (ML 6-1)
# 8 Rio Ocho (Ire) (ML 7-2)
# 9 Infatuate (ML 50-1)
# 10 Unusually Handsome (ML 8-1)
C's
None
The major concern when punching the "ALL" button is that when the gates open you'll sit back and watch the Favorite romp to an easy victory. And that certainly could happen in this contest; as the Morning Line Favorite, Rio Ocho (Ire) ran quite well in his debut in his native Ireland last time out; and Rio Ocho is getting the benefit Saturday of Southern California's leading turf rider, Flavien Prat.
But Rio Ocho's debut was on synthetic, not turf. And Rio Ocho will have to travel an additional quarter mile Saturday compared to his initial start. Will those two things prevent Rio Ocho from getting his photo taken when the race is over? Perhaps; perhaps not. I lean towards perhaps; which is why I made Canadian Luck, a son of Distorted Humor, my top pick.
But, quite frankly, I would have been comfortable making any one of eight or nine runners in this field my "A" Selection; as I truly believe that this contest is incredibly wide open. So it's everybody into the pool, as I'm going "ALL" in for this leg.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 5 with 7 with 11 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,5 with 5,8,9 with 4,7 with ALL $66.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3 with 5 with 7 with 11 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 1,2,3,4,7 with 7 with 11 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 5 with 2,3,6,8,9,10,11,12,13 with 11 $4.50
Total: $75.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:06 EDT / 3:06 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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