Sunday, September 30, 2012

9/30/12 SA - Preview

Not much time for details; so here goes with some opinions on the Late Pick Four at Santa Anita:

RACE 7

# 6 Cherokee Heaven (Morning Line 6-1) has done well on this surface in the past; and was victorious his last time out against this level of competition; the question is how sharp he'll be in this, his second off the layoff.  # 10 Off the Wall (ML 6-1) gets some class relief, and could steal this one on the front end.  #12 El Vino (ML 8-1) was doing quite well on this surface earlier in the year; for whatever reason, he hasn't raced on the grass since April.  Tough call but I'm going to go with the hot hand; specifically Jockey Joe Talamo, who is having a superb day so far; as he'll be riding Off the Wall, that's where I'll place my bets.

RACE 8

# 8 Big Tiz (ML 5-2) dominated from a class perspective; but trainer intent is key, and this could be just a warm-up where she runs wide without giving all out effort.  # 9 Double Ante (ML 6-1) look tempting, but it's one thing to come from the clouds on synthetics; to do that again on this dirt track may require more talent than she has.  Playing it safe here with the Baffert / Bejarano combo, # 5 Distracting (ML 9-5).

RACE 9

# 6 Turbo Compressor (ML 5-2) invades from the east, bringing jockey Joe Bravo with him; look for him early, and see if he can hold on.  # 9 Bourbon Bay (ML 3-1) loves this track but not this distance.  I'll be looking for # 8 Slim Shadey (GB) (ML 4-1) to repeat his performance in the Grade 2 San Marcos is February.

RACE 10

No firm opinion at this time, as there are a whole host of entrants making the big drop; but here are the four I think you should use in your multis: # 3 King Maya (ML 5-1); # 4 Currahee (ML 6-1); # 7 Symphonic Cat (ML 8-1); and # 10 Bipartisan (ML 15-1)

If you single Distracting, you can play a $0.50 Pick Four for $18 as follows:

R7: 6, 10, 12

R8: 5

R9: 6, 8, 9

R10: 3, 4, 7, 10

Add another $0.50 Pick Four for $2:

R7: 10

R8: 5

R9: 8

R10: 3, 4, 7, 10

Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

No comments: