Sunday, December 15, 2019

12/15/19 Remington Park All-Stakes Pick Four - Preview

You never know what you’re going to get, and children have their own personalities immediately. I was watching little kids on a carousel, some kids were jumping on the horses, some kids were afraid of the horses, and some kids were betting on the horses. - Rita Rudner

And so we come to the final day of the 2019 Remington Park meet, and the good people in Oklahoma City have put together an incredible card featuring a half dozen stakes, all grouped together as the final six contests on the program, primary among them being the $400k Springboard Mile for juveniles.  I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take a run at The All-Stakes Pick Four at Remington Park.

RACE 10 - (F) [S] The Useeit $70k - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 Lady Orchid (Morning Line 6-5)

B's

# 4 Country Daisy (ML 4-1)
# 9 Alternative Slew (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 Our Musical Moment (ML 15-1)
# 2 Shobiz Superstar (ML 50-1)
# 5 She's Shiney (ML 8-1)
# 6 Stormieis Blue (ML 20-1)
# 7 Dicey (ML 15-1)
# 8 Runaround Rosey (ML 30-1)

# 10 Eutychia (ML 30-1)
# 12 Miss Orienta (ML 30-1)

Scratch # 11 Northern Dynasty (ML 30-1)

Lady Orchid disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out in her first try at going beyond seven furlongs; perhaps the shortened distance will help today.  Country Daisy will be routing for the first time Sunday; Trainer Ray Ashford Jr tends to do well with such.

Alternative Slew has finished in the Trifecta in each of her last eight starts, which represents the totality of her career excepting her debut.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 11 - [S] The Jim Thorpe $70k - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Gospel Musketeer (ML 15-1)

B's

# 5 Fast Breakin' Cash (ML 9-5)
# 8 D Toz (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 Sedaris (ML 20-1)
# 2 Last I Knew (ML 20-1)

# 3 Dance to My Song (ML 9-2)
# 6 Dobbins G (ML 5-1)
# 7 Eurowest (ML 30-1)

# 9 Fearless Weill (ML 20-1)
# 10 Dak Da Man (ML 15-1)

# 11 Cowboy Mischief (ML 12-1)
# 12 Kwik (ML 50-1)


Gospel Musketeer has shown steady improvement in each of his four career starts, and has yet to finish out of the Trifecta.  Fast Breakin' Cash could romp if he can handle the distance; though it's fair to wonder if this grandson of Forestry will handle the distance.  D Toz looks to be forwardly placed early.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 12 - The Springboard Mile $400k - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Answer In (ML 5-2)

B's

# 3 Rowdy Yates (ML 7-2)
# 8 Embolden (ML 9-2)
# 9 Shoplifted (ML 5-1)

C's

# 2 Alternate Time (ML 20-1)
# 5 Jungle Runner (ML 15-1)
# 6 Shipman's Song (ML 30-1)

# 7 Southgate (ML 30-1)
# 10 Maximiliano (ML 5-1)
# 11 Kirkcules (ML 30-1)
# 12 Slew Tang Clan (ML 50-1)


Scratch # 1 Piece of Work (ML 12-1)

Answer In, trained by Brad Cox, graduated last time out by over five lengths versus a next out winner at Churchill Downs.  Rowdy Yates is Graded Stakes Placed, and enters this contest with a two race winning streak, both in state bred stakes over this main track.

Embolden took the Show in the Grade 3 Futurity at Belmont Park two starts back.  Shoplifted took the Place in the Grade 1 Hopeful at Saratoga back in September.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 13 - The Jeffrey A. Hawk Memorial $100k - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 9 Sleepy Eyes Todd (ML 7-2)

B's

# 3 Timeline (ML 15-1)
# 11 Popularity (ML 3-1)
# 12 Shotgun Kowboy (ML 5-2)

C's

# 1 United Patriot (ML 20-1)
# 2 Net Gain (ML 20-1)
# 4 Pinson (ML 15-1)
# 5 Lookin At lee (ML 15-1)

# 6 D' Rapper (ML 15-1)
# 7 Catdaddy (ML 20-1)
# 10 Chris and Dave (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 8 Quality Rocket (ML 30-1)

Sleepy Eyes Todd took the Place in the Grade 3 Oklahoma Derby last time out; and Sleepy Eyes Todd could move up with the reduction in real estate.  Timeline is making his third start of 2019; and if Timeline can return to the form that he showed in 2018, then he can win here.

Popularity took the Place in the $175k Governor's Cup the last time that he competed over this main track.  Shotgun Kowboy, four time winner of the Oklahoma Classics Cup, is the local hero, as he attempts to top one million dollars in earnings at Remington Park.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 3 with 4 with 4 with 9 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,4,9 with 4,5,8 with 3,4,8,9 with 3,9,11,12 $72.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,2,5,6,7,8,10,12 with 4 with 4 with 9 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 1,2,3,6,7,9,10,11,12 with 4 with 9 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 4 with 2,5,6,7,10,11,12 with 9 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 4 with 4 with 1,2,4,5,6,7,10 $3.50

Total: $88.50

Post Time for Race 10 is 8:21 EST / 5:21 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

No comments: