Saturday, April 24, 2021

4/24/21 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

“It’s simple… go the extra mile and you will stand out from the crowd.” - Robin Crow

It San Francisco Mile Day at Golden Gate, with the Grade 3 turf event kicking off a final four of all stakes races.  So let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 9 - The San Francisco Mile (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 6 Border Town (Morning Line 7-2)

B's

# 3 Whisper Not (GB) (ML 3-1)
# 5 Ohio (Brz) (ML 6-1)
# 7 Brown Storm (Chi) (ML 9-2)

C's

# 1 Kiwi's Dreams (Aus) (ML 5-1)
# 2 Keeper Ofthe Stars (ML 6-1)
# 4 Diamond Blitz (ML 30-1)
# 8 Restrainedvengence (ML 6-1)

Border Town and Brown Storm (Chi) ship in from Santa Anita, where last time out they filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta in a $100k Optional Claimer.  Whisper Not (GB), another downstate shipper, could prove to be quickest in this field, and the one that they'll have to catch if they want to win.  Conversely, Ohio (Brz) could be the one running best late.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 10 - (F) The California Oaks $75k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Risen Lady (ML 6-1)

B's

# 2 Joymaker (ML 20-1)
# 6 Liam's Secret (ML 12-1)
# 7 Pizzazz (ML 3-1)
# 11 Freedom Flyer (ML 7-2)

C's

# 3 A Real Hero (ML 12-1)
# 4 Styledome (Ire) (ML 4-1)
# 5 Ida Claire (ML 8-1)
# 8 Miss Peaky Blinder (ML 10-1)
# 9 Empire House (ML 10-1)
# 10 Misty Cat (ML 50-1)

Risen Lady, Freedom Flyer, and Liam's Secret all exit the same $50k Optional Claimer where they filled out the Trifecta.  Just two starts back, Joymaker was only a neck behind Risen Lady at the line in a contest over this main track at today's distance.

Pizzazz should appreciate the class relief that she is getting here, and Pizzazz has been working well leading up to this contest.  The only question with Pizzazz is how she will handle the surface.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 11 - (F) The Camilla Urso $75k - Five Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 10 Acting Out (ML 4-1)

B's

# 7 Dynasty of Her Own (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 Square Peggy (ML 20-1)
# 2 Storming Lady (ML 8-1)
# 3 Red Livy (Ire) (ML 50-1)
# 4 Sadie Bluegrass (ML 9-2)
# 5 Gypsy Spirit (GB) (ML 15-1)
# 6 Nardini (ML 8-1)
# 8 Bohemian Bourbon (ML 7-2)
# 9 Gotham Desire (ML 12-1)

Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 11 Habobanero (ML 30-1); # 12 Gayles Evening (ML 30-1); # 13 Five Pics Please (ML 4-1); # 14 Lotsa Pepper (ML 20-1)

Acting Out should benefit from the cutback in distance, as well as the return to the turf.  Dynasty of Her Own enters this contest with a two race winning streak, and Dynasty of Her Own seems well meant here.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 12 - The Lost in the Fog $75k - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 6 Baja Sur (ML 3-1)

B's

# 1 Thanks Mr. Eidson (ML 8-1)
# 7 Anyportinastorm (ML 6-1)
# 8 Jamming Eddy (ML 6-1)

C's

# 2 Sunset Dragunn (ML 12-1)
# 3 Silent Movies (ML 30-1)
# 4 Bettor Trip Nick (ML 4-1)
# 5 El Chavo Del Ocho (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 9 Landeskog (ML 5-2)

Baja Sur is a two time stakes winner over this main track.  Baja Sur may have needed that last race off the layoff, where he took the Place while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite.  With the scratch of Morning Line Favorite Landeskog, Thanks Mr. Eidson could be quickest here, and the rail draw certainly doesn't hurt Mr. Eidson's chances.

Anyportinastorm won this event two years back, and Anyportinastorm may still have enough left in the tank to compete here.  Jamming Eddy, Place finisher in the Sensational Star last time out, has been working well at Santa Anita.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 6 with 1 with 10 with 6 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,5,6,7 with 1,2,6,7,11 with 7,10 with 1,6,7,8 $80.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,2,4,8 with 1 with 10 with 6 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 3,4,5,8,9,10 with 10 with 6 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 1 with 1,2,3,4,5,6,8,9 with 6 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 1 with 10 with 2,3,4,5 $2.00

Total: $92.00

Post Time for Race 9 is 8:07 EDT / 5:07 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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