Saturday, April 3, 2021

4/3/21 Santa Anita Rainbow Pick Six - Preview

“It’s only by being bold that you get anywhere.” - Richard Branson

Saturday is a mandatory payout day for the Jackpot Pick Six in Arcadia; and while increasing the degree of difficulty during a dry spell may not be the wisest of moves, sometimes you just have to roll the dice and see what happens.  So this Santa Anita Derby Day I'm going all in, as I take a run at The Rainbow Pick Six at The Great Race Place.

RACE 7 - ALW N1X - Nine Furlongs Turf

A's

# 7 Rip City (Morning Line 8-5)

B's

# 8 Coast of Roan (ML 7-2)

C's

# 1 Liberal (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 2 Club Aspen (ML 8-1)
# 3 Storm the Bastille (Fr) (ML 5-1)
# 4 Motown Music (ML 4-1)
# 5 Gauguin (Ger) (ML 20-1)
# 6 Unilateral (ML 15-1)

Rip City has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last two starts.  Coast of Roan could move up going third off the layoff and stretching out in distance.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 8 - The Santa Anita Derby (Grade 1) - Nine Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 7 Medina Spirit (ML 5-2)

B's

# 3 Rock Your World (ML 4-1)

C's

# 2 Dream Shake (ML 7-2)
# 4 Parnelli (ML 20-1)
# 5 Back Ring Luck (ML 20-1)
# 6 Ottothelegend (ML 12-1)
# 8 Law Professor (ML 10-1)
# 9 The Great One (ML 8-1)
# 10 Defunded (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 1 Roman Centurian (ML 8-1)

With Life is Good on the shelf, Medina Spirit looks to be the best three year old competing on the West Coast.  Rock Your World, a daylight winner is both of his career starts on the turf, is trying dirt for the first time.  Rock Your World has had some solid morning workouts over the main track; Rock Your World is sired by Candy Ride (Arg) out of an Empire Maker mare; Rock Your World is trained by John Sadler, who tends to do well when taking his runners off the grass; so, maybe.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 9 - (F) The Royal Heroine (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Charmaine's Mia (ML 8-5)

B's

# 1 Dogtag (ML 8-1)

C's

# 2 Tapwater (ML 6-1)
# 4 Warren's Showtime (ML 8-1)
# 5 Raymundos Secret (ML 4-1)
# 6 Laura's Light (ML 6-1)
# 7 Rideforthecause (ML 6-1)
# 8 Ippodamia's Girl (ML 15-1)

Charmaine's Mia, winner of a pair of Graded Stakes since joining the barn of Trainer Phil D'Amato, looks to be in top form.  Dogtag should improve with the return to turf.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 10 - (F) [S] The Evening Jewel $150k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Becca Taylor (ML 5-2)

B's

# 4 Maybe I Will (ML 6-1)
# 9 Pray for My Owner (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 Governor Goteven (ML 8-1)
# 2 I'm So Anna (ML 10-1)
# 3 Fi Fi Pharoah (ML 6-1)
# 6 Dylans Wild Cat (ML 10-1)
# 7 Big Clare (ML 12-1)
# 8 Pawnee (ML 8-1)

Becca Taylor is undefeated in three lifetime starts.  Maybe I Will was an easy winner against open (non-state bred restricted) company last time out.  

Pray for My Owner projects to be the one that they'll have to catch to win.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 11 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A's

# 10 Lavender (Ire) (ML 6-1)

B's

# 3 Cassie Belle (ML 8-1)
# 6 Applecross (Ire) (ML 5-1)
# 9 Nice Ice (ML 7-2)
# 11 Noble Hearted (ML 4-1)
# 12 Quiet Secretary (ML 15-1)

C's

# 1 Good On Paper (ML 8-1)
# 2 Almost a Factor (ML 10-1)
# 5 Arctic Roll (GB) (ML 20-1)
# 7 Cover Version (ML 20-1)
# 8 All Quality (ML 12-1)

Scratch # 4 A New Peace (ML 20-1)

Lavender (Ire) was a clear winner sprinting over this turf course last time out at this approximate class level, and Lavender should do well with the stretch out.  Cassie Belle missed victory by just a head the last time that she competed on the turf.

Applecross (Ire) took the Show at this class level last time out.  Nice Ice enters this contest with a two race winning streak, and Nice Ice projects to be the one that they'll have to run down to win.

Noble Hearted could move up with the cutback in distance, while Quiet Secretary could improve with the stretch out.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 12 - [S] The Echo Eddie $150k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 The Chosen Vron (ML 8-5)

B's

# 4 None Above the Law (ML 5-1)
# 7 Good With People (ML 6-1)
# 11 Mister Bold (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Sabuda (ML 30-1)
# 2 Letsgetlucky (ML 5-1)
# 5 Found My Ball (ML 8-1)
# 8 Big Flame (ML 20-1)
# 9 Cargo (ML 10-1)
# 10 Alpine Thunder (ML 30-1)

Scratch # 6 Top Harbor (No Line)

The Chosen Vron, Show finisher in the Grade 2 San Vicente, looks classiest here.  None Above the Law and Good With People are both trained by Peter Miller.  Look for Good With People early, while None Above the Law could be the one running best late.

Mister Bold could improve with the return to dirt.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 7 with 7 with 3 with 5 with 10 with 3 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: 7,8 with 3,7 with 1,3 with 4,5,9 with 3,6,9,10,11,12 with 3,4,7,11 $115.20

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 1,2,3,4,5,6 with 7 with 3 with 5 with 10 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 7 with 2,4,5,6,8,9,10 with 3 with 5 with 10 with 3 $1.40
$0.20 P6: 7 with 7 with 2,4,5,6,7,8 with 5 with 10 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 7 with 7 with 3 with 1,2,3,6,7,8 with 10 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 7 with 7 with 3 with 5 with 1,2,5,7,8 with 3 $1.00
$0.20 P6: 7 with 7 with 3 with 5 with 10 with 1,2,5,8,9,10 $1.20

Total: $123.40

Post Time for Race 7 is 6:32 EDT / 3:32 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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