“She used to tell me that a full moon was when mysterious things happen and wishes come true.” - Shannon A. Thompson (November Snow)
Sunday is the final day of the Fall Meeting at Santa Anita, thus making it a mandatory payout day for the Jackpot Pick Six. And while trying to catch six out of six winners can be a bit scary, especially when half of the sequence is comprised of non-Winners of One, sometimes you just have to roll the old bones and see what happens. So with that let's just get to it, as I take a run at The Rainbow Pick Six at The Great Race Place.
RACE 5 - Alw 50000s N3L - Six Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 9 Mesut (Morning Line 7-2)
B’s
# 3 Silardi (ML 8-1)
C's
# 1 McWherter (ML 12-1)
# 2 Swiss Swoo (Ire) (ML 12-1)
# 4 Johnny Podres (ML 4-1)
# 5 Sly (ML 20-1)
# 6 Caerulean (ML 10-1)
# 7 Capo Mafioso (ML 12-1)
# 8 Ka'nah (ML 12-1)
# 10 Brix (ML 6-1)
# 11 Liar Liar (Ire) (ML 4-1)
Note for future reference that this contest is for runners which have won fewer than three races in their career; no exceptions. Also worth noting is that Swiss Swoo (Ire) and Capo Mafioso are both racing above their conditions, as Swiss Swoo and Capo Mafioso have both visited the winner's circle just once in their respective careers.
Mesut is getting significant class relief compared to his more recent outings, and because of that I expect Mesut to be closer to the pace in the early stages. Silardi fits well here on class; and Trainer Peter Miller tends to do well when moving his runners from the main track to the turf. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 6 - (F) Md $20k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 B'esame Me Mucho (ML 3-1)
B's
# 3 Dynamite Queen (ML 8-1)
# 10 Aristeia (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Slew South (ML 10-1)
# 2 Dual Reality (ML 20-1)
# 4 Backtoflash (ML 15-1)
# 5 Winter Star (ML 6-1)
# 6 Medusa's Gaze (ML 7-2)
# 7 Portugueseprincess (ML 20-1)
# 9 Queen of Love (ML 8-1)
B'esame Me Mucho took the Show sprinting at this class level last time out. Being a son of Mucho Macho Man, I expect B'esame Me Mucho should do well in her first try around two turns.
Dynamite Queen took the Show at this class level going around two turns last time out. Aristeia missed graduation by just a neck last time out while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 7 - (F) Md $50k - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Judy With Grace (ML 6-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Glory of Chrome (ML 30-1)
# 3 Momma Mocca (ML 4-1)
# 5 Mongolian Mission (ML 6-1)
# 6 Whistler's Style (ML 10-1)
# 3 Momma Mocca (ML 4-1)
# 5 Mongolian Mission (ML 6-1)
# 6 Whistler's Style (ML 10-1)
# 7 Witch Moon (ML 2-1)
Scratch # 4 Floral Essence (ML 9-5)
Few things in life will cause a late minute mad scramble than seeing that the runner you were planning on using as your big ticket single has been scratched. Such is the case with the removal of Floral Essence from this contest, as this was the leg where I was planning on going just one deep with the Jeff Mullins trainee.
Actually, to be honest, "mad scramble" my be overstating things a bit. I'll still be singling in this leg on the main ticket; just with a different runner: Judy With Grace, who took the Show at this class level last time out in her first try for Trainer Dan Blacker. So here's where I'll be making my stand, as Judy With Grace will be my big ticket single, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 8 - Md $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Town Boy (ML 4-1)
B's
# 5 Clampett (ML 6-1)
# 11 After the Candy (ML 20-1)
# 12 Handy Dandy (ML 7-2)
C's
# 3 Curly Esa (ML 12-1)
# 4 Missing Maurice (ML 20-1)
# 6 Commissioner David (ML 8-1)
# 4 Missing Maurice (ML 20-1)
# 6 Commissioner David (ML 8-1)
# 7 Mad Steven (ML 8-1)
# 9 Con On the Run (ML 4-1)
# 9 Con On the Run (ML 4-1)
Scratch # 1 Tribute to Afleet (ML 20-1); # 2 Chasing Alchemy (No Line); and # 10 Big Creek (ML 8-1)
Town Boy looks quickest here, and Town Boy will be going first off the claim for Trainer Doug O'Neill, who tends to do well with such. Clampett drops into the Maiden Claiming ranks for the first time; trainer Mark Glatt tends to be successful when making that move.
After the Candy is here as a hunch play because of his name. Handy Dandy is making his second career start for Trainer Peter Miller, who tends to do well with such. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 9 - ALW N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A's
# 8 Cotopaxi (Ire) (ML 6-1)
B's
# 1 C Falls (ML 4-1)
# 2 Vantastic (ML 7-2)
# 5 Snazzy Dresser (ML 20-1)
# 6 Mac Daddy Too (ML 3-1)
C's
# 3 Cumberland Avenue (ML 12-1)
# 4 Go On (ML 6-1)
# 7 Barraza (ML 5-1)
# 9 Bedrock (ML 15-1)
Cotopaxi (Ire) fits well here on class, and Cotopaxi looks as if he will benefit from the cutback in distance. C Falls projects to be a pace factor, and C Falls should be able to handle the rise in class.
Vantastic could do well off the freshening. Snazzy Dresser may be quickest here. Mac Daddy Too should do well off the class drop. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 10 - The Twilight Derby (Grade 2) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A's
# 5 None Above the Law (ML 6-1)
B's
# 2 Subconscious (ML 6-1)
# 8 Rock Your World (ML 5-2)
# 10 Beyond Brilliant (ML 15-1)
C's
# 1 Flashiest (ML 6-1)
# 3 Zoffarelli (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 4 Hudson Ridge (ML 5-1)
# 6 Wooton Asset (Fr) (ML 12-1)
# 7 Cathkin Peak (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 9 Jungle Cry (ML 12-1)
None Above the Law, winner of the Grade 2 Del Mar Derby last time out, seems quite capable of making it three wins in a row. Subconscious has shown steady improvement in each of his career starts.
Rock Your World is two-for-two lifetime over this turf course. Beyond Brilliant could be the one that they'll have to catch in order to win. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 9 with 8 with 1 with 8 with 8 with 5 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 3,9 with 3,8,10 with 1 with 5,8,11,12 with 1,2,5,6,8 with 2,5,8,10 $96.00
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,2,4,5,6,7,8,10,11 with 8 with 1 with 8 with 8 with 5 $1.80
$0.20 P6: 9 with 1,2,4,5,6,7,9 with 1 with 8 with 8 with 5 $1.40
$0.20 P6: 9 with 8 with 2,3,5,6,7 with 8 with 8 with 5 $1.00
$0.20 P6: 9 with 8 with 1 with 3,4,6,7,9 with 8 with 5 $1.00
$0.20 P6: 9 with 8 with 1 with 8 with 3,4,7,9 with 5 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 9 with 8 with 1 with 8 with 8 with 1,3,4,6,7,9 $1.20
Total: $104.20
Post Time for Race 5 is 5:33 EDT / 2:33 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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