3/20/22 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

“Your setback is just a setup for a comeback.” - Steve Harvey

The $100k Sensational Star, a charge down the hill for California bred runners four years old and upward, is the featured race Sunday in Arcadia.  I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 5 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 8 Trainer Please (Morning Line 7-2)

B's

# 1 Mubtadaa (ML 4-1)

# 7 Admiral Halsey (ML 5-1)

C's

# 2 Naismith (ML 6-1)
# 3 Irish Prophet (ML 15-1)

# 4 Daniel's Magic (ML 15-1)

# 5 Famous Star (ML 5-1)

# 6 Take Action (ML 6-1)

# 9 The Giants Candy (ML 6-1)

Scratch the Also Eligible, # 10 Go Joe Won (ML 15-1)

Trainer Please has taken the Place three times at this class level in his five race career; which shows that Trainer Please has the talent to win at this level; now it's just a matter of Trainer Please displaying the desire to win.

Mubtadaa ships in from the east for some California grass.  Mubtabaa's works over the main track indicate that he is ready to roll off the layoff.

Admiral Halsey took the Show at this class level last time out and is worth another look.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 6 - (F) Md $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Dorita's Happy (ML 5-1)

B's

# 4 Boisterously Irish (ML 3-1)

# 6 For Love Not Money (ML 5-2)

# 8 Circle of Stars (ML 6-1)

# 9 Melgito (ML 12-1)

C's

# 1 Machtenhaironfire (ML 6-1)

# 2 Belle My Belle (ML 20-1)

# 7 Talkingnonstop (ML 15-1)

Scratch # 3 Cayton Kid (ML 6-1)

Dorita's Happy took the Show at this class level last time, and Dorita's Happy could move up going third off the layoff.  Boisterously Irish and Melgito are a pair of first time starters who seem capable of defeating this field of non-overwhelming experienced runners.

For Love Not Money took the Place at this class level last time out while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite.  Circle of Stars drops in for a tag for the first time after showing very little in her debut last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 7 - [S] The Sensational Star $100k - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf

A’s

# 1 Indian Peak (ML 5-2)

B's

# 2 Brickyard Ride (ML 8-5)

C's

# 3 Sacred Rider (ML 20-1)
# 4 Jetovator (ML 6-1)

# 5 Riding With Dino (ML 5-1)

# 6 Big Fish (ML 15-1)
# 7 Whooping Jay (ML 15-1)
# 8 Fashionably Fast (ML 5-1)

As you can see, I'm not expecting this leg of the sequence to produce any surprises.  I'm just using the two most talented runners, as they stand apart from the rest of the field.  So hopefully this will be a very formful event, and I catch a price in one of the other legs.  As always, the rest of the field will be used as backup "C" Selections.

RACE 8 - (F) OC 80k/N2X - Nine Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 1 Moonlight d'Oro (ML 4-1)

B’s

# 2 New Heat (ML 30-1)

# 4 Shore Break (Ire) (ML 12-1)

# 9 Hogans Holiday (ML 12-1)

C's

# 5 Bubbles On Ice (Ire) (ML 7-2)

# 6 California Kook (ML 6-1)

# 7 Moraz (ML 4-1)

# 10 Park Avenue (ML 12-1)

# 11 Stella Noir (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 3 Rocking Redhead (ML 6-1) and # 8 Velvet Slippers (ML 15-1)

For those who note such things, Hogans Holiday is the only entrant in this field that is in for a tag.

Moonlight d'Oro looks classiest here, and if not for this being her first try on the turf, a strong case could be made that Moonlight d'Oro should be a big ticket single.  New Heat owns a victory at today's distance, and New Heat could be the one running best late.

Shore Break (Ire) made a nice move forward last time out, and Shore Break could improve going third off the layoff.  Hogans Holiday missed at this class level and today's distance by just neck two starts back.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 8 with 5 with 1 with 1 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,7,8 with 4,5,6,8,9 with 1,2 with 1,2,4,9 $60.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,3,4,5,6,9 with 5 with 1 with 1 $3.00

$0.50 P4: 8 with 1,2,7 with 1 with 1 $1.50

$0.50 P4: 8 with 5 with 3,4,5,6,7,8 with 1 $3.00

$0.50 P4: 8 with 5 with 1 with 5,6,7,10,11 $2.50

Total: $71.00

Post Time for Race 5 is 6:08 EDT / 3:08 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo