3/24/22 Turfway Park Late Pick Four - Preview

“To learn something new, you need to try new things and not be afraid to be wrong.” - Roy T. Bennett

I haven't gone back and checked, but I don't believe I've posted anything midweek that wasn't tied to a holiday in quite some time.  But this week I had some spare time on my hands, and I tend to enjoy the action in Florence, KY; so, I figured, why not change it up a bit?  So with that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at Turfway Park.

RACE 6 - Clm $30k N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Bejan Rum (Morning Line 4-1)

B’s

# 1 Altmeister (ML 4-1)

# 3 Thirsty Owl (ML 5-1)

# 4 Gun Lap (ML 9-2)

# 5 Captain Fantastic (ML 7-2)

# 7 Expensive Cut (ML 8-1)
# 8 Carmel Bay (ML 15-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 6 Notable Exception (ML 5-1)

Bejan Rum is trained by Steve Asmussen, whose runners are oh-for-thirty-seven this meet at Turfway Park.  That is beyond shocking.  Underlining the point is that, of those thirty-seven entrants, only two have taken the Place, while just five have gained the Show.  The bottom line is that, for whatever reason, Trainer Steve Asmussen's runners are very much underperforming this meet at Turfway Park.  So for that reason, even though Bejan Rum looks good enough to single off the class drop, it seemed best to me to spread in this leg.

Altima and Captain Fantastic finished in the Trifecta at this class level last time out in separate events.  Thirsty Owl appears to have an affinity for sprints over this track.  Gun Lap graduated last time out in a convincing enough manner to warrant consideration here.  You know what?  I'm just going to go "ALL" here and move onto the next leg.

RACE 7 - (F) Md $30k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Hey Babe (ML 7-2)

B's

# 7 Forgot Password (ML 8-1)

# 9 Daniella's Cause (ML 8-1)

C's

# 1 Courting War (ML 6-1)

# 3 Fonssagrives (ML 5-1)

# 4 Canary (ML 5-1)

# 6 Trick Hat (ML 15-1)

# 8 Sunflower Road (ML 15-1)

Scratch # 5 Harvey's Princess (ML 3-1)

Hey Babe took the Place at this class level last time out.  Forgot Password could improve with a ride that is closer to the rail than Forgot Password's more recent trips have been.

Daniella's Cause drops in for a tag for the first time in her career.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 8 - MSW - (F) Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 9 Spare Cash (ML 9-5)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Twirling Patti (ML 9-2)
# 2 Trouble Making (ML 10-1)

# 3 Take Joy (ML 30-1)
# 4 Mint Edition (ML 4-1)
# 5 Bella Conchita (ML 5-1)
# 6 Ballot Initiative (ML 15-1)

# 7 Capital Allocation (GB) (ML 10-1)

# 8 Ahh Mazing (ML 8-1)

If you want to try to beat Spare Cash, you can go right ahead.  There are certainly several candidates in this field for which you can make a legitimate case.  But as for me, I see the back to back races that the Brad Cox trained Spare Cash has run over this track, and I firmly believe that if she repeats either effort that Spare Cash gets her picture taken tonight.  So I'm using Spare Cash solo in this leg on the main ticket, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.

RACE 9 - (F) Md $7.5k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Solesofhershoes (ML 3-1)

B's

# 5 Leia Organa (ML 5-1)

# 6 After the Wire (ML 5-2)

# 7 This Masquerade (ML 8-1)

C's

# 3 Get Clear (ML 15-1)
# 4 Weekend Pass (ML 8-1)

# 9 Reina Del Bali (ML 30-1)

# 10 Peyote Peggy (ML 20-1)
# 11 She Takes Flight (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 1 Rubyinthestars (ML 20-1) and # 8 Wicked Kitty (ML 12-1)

Solesofhershoes and After the Wire filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out.  Leia Organa took the Place at this class level in a different event last time out.  This Masquerade could improve with the class drop.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 2 with 2 with 9 with 2 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: ALL with 2,7,9 with 9 with 2,5,6,7 $42.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2 with 1,3,4,6,8 with 9 with 2 $2.50

$0.50 P4: 2 with 2 with 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 with 2 $4.00

$0.50 P4: 2 with 2 with 9 with 3,4,9,10,11 $2.50

Total: $52.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 8:46 EDT / 5:46 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo