Sunday, June 26, 2022

6/26/22 Woodbine Late Pick Four - Preview

“Take the attitude of a student, never be too big to ask questions, never know too much to learn something new.” —Augustine Og Mandino

The $100k Ballade, a main track sprint for Ontario bred distaff runners, is Sunday's featured race in Toronto.  I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take another un at The Late Pick Four at Woodbine.

RACE 7 - (F) [S] The Ballade $100k - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 November Fog (Morning Line 6-1)

B's

# 6 Golden Vision (ML 4-1)
# 7 Silent Causeway (ML 12-1)
# 9 Artie's Princess (ML 3-1)
# 13 Spanish Ballerina (ML 8-1)

C's

# 2 Red Equinox (ML 15-1)
# 3 Jilli Marie (ML 15-1)
# 4 Hello Friends (ML 20-1)
# 8 Ishiyaya (ML 20-1)
# 10 Lorena (ML 5-1)
# 11 Souper Pecan (ML 30-1)
# 12 Trading Bay (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 5 Mrs. Del (ML 30-1)

Among the places where the wandering mind will travel is the consideration that the [S] designation should perhaps be replaced with a [P] when referencing races in Canada.  But as with all such things, consistency wins out.  Anyway, if it's not already clear, all runners in this contest are Ontario bred.

November Fog, making her third start off the layoff, should benefit from the cutback in distance.  Spanish Ballerina and Golden Vision filled out the Exacta against open OC N2X company last time out over this main track.

Silent Causeway got under the wire a couple of lengths ahead of November Fog in the $100k La Prevoyante back in December.  Artie's Princess has shown an affinity for this main track in the past, and Artie's Princess is getting some significant class relief today.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 8 - OC 50k B - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 8 Maclean's Posse (ML 5-2)

B's

# 1 Solidify (ML 4-1)
# 2 Lucky Score (ML 10-1)

C's

# 3 Circle of Friends (ML 6-1)
# 4 Sir Seamus (ML 12-1)
# 5 Hicksy (ML 8-1)
# 7 Malibu Secret (ML 15-1)
# 9 Tycoon (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 6 Real Money (ML 7-2)

For those who note such things, Solidify and Circle of Friends are the only two runners in this field that will be leaving the gate with the $50k price tag on their heads.

The Josie Carroll trained Maclean's Posse, a four year old colt making just his fourth career start, could be the real deal; in which case I'll look kinda foolish later today for having gone three deep in this leg.  But as I expect Maclean's Posse to face a more contentious pace Sunday than he has in his prior contests, I thought it prudent to have some backup.

Solidify and Lucky Score are both making a move down the class ladder, providing them both with an excellent opportunity to improve.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 9 - Clm $25k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 7 Rocket Joe Copper (ML 6-1)

B’s

# 3 Seguimi (ML 3-1)
# 6 Hyperfocus (ML 7-2)

C's

# 1 Mnemba Island (ML 5-2)
# 2 Ari Gold Speedwagn (ML 8-1)
# 4 Selfmade (ML 15-1)
# 5 Coleyville (ML 10-1)
# 8 Lion's Goldenheart (ML 20-1)

Rocket Joe Copper took the Show at this class level earlier this month, albeit for another barn.  Seguimi makes a move up the class ladder after winning by daylight against cheaper last time out.  Hyperfocus took the Place behind Seguimi last time out; perhaps the move from the inner turf to the outer course will aid Hyperfocus in what will almost certainly be another come from behind bid.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 10 - Md $15k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 13 Dr Chrome (ML 3-1)

B's

# 3 Win the Draw (ML 10-1)
# 5 Bodie (ML 9-2)
# 6 Wicked Crazy (ML 20-1)

C's

# 1 Take Charge Sousi (ML 15-1)
# 2 Trebuchet (ML 10-1)
# 4 Stormin' Humor (ML 12-1)
# 8 Luv to Win (ML 6-1)
# 9 Mystic Point (ML 15-1)
# 10 The Coachman (ML 20-1)
# 11 Determined Friend (ML 15-1) 
# 14 View From Egbert (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 7 Painting the Moon (ML 15-1)

EDIT # 12 Northern Conquest (ML 12-1) has also been scratched

Dr Chrome took the Place at this class level last time out.  Win the Draw took the Show at this class level in his debut last time out.  Bodie and Wicked Crazy are two that could benefit from the move down the class ladder.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1 with 8 with 7 with 13 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P4: 1,6,7,9,13 with 1,2,8 with 3,6,7 with 3,5,6,13 $36.00

A's with One C

$0.20 P4: 2,3,4,8,10,11,12 with 8 with 7 with 13 $1.40
$0.20 P4: 1 with 3,4,5,7,9 with 7 with 13 $1.00
$0.20 P4: 1 with 8 with 1,2,4,5,8 with 13 $1.00
$0.20 P4: 1 with 8 with 7 with 1,2,4,8,9,10,11,14 $1.60

Total: $42.00

Post Time for Race 7 is 4:27 EDT / 1:27 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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