8/14/22 Woodbine Late Pick Four - Preview

“Successful people appreciate where they have come from, but they don’t let their past set the tone for their future.  Successful people are innovators.” - Steve Harvey

The oppressive heat in the Toronto area caused the cancellation of Woodbine's card last Sunday; but thank the good Lord all looks to be well this week, with a very fine program on tap.  Contests on the card include a pair of stakes; and I'll be taking a look at both of those events below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Woodbine.

RACE 8 - The Seagram Cup (Grade 3) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Frosted Over (Morning Line 2-1)

B's

# 2 War Bomber (Ire) (ML 10-1)

# 9 Tap It to Win (ML 9-2)

C's

# 1 Cash Dividend (ML 12-1)

# 5 Clayton (ML 12-1)

# 6 Artie's Storm (ML 5-2)

# 7 Carrothers (ML 15-1)

# 8 Special Forces (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 3 Haddassah (ML 8-1)

Frosted Over, winner of the Grade 3 Dominion Day the last time that he competed on a synthetic surface, should appreciate the return to the main track.  War Bomber (Ire) could be the one running best late.  Tap It to Win won last year's running of this event, and I'm always a sucker for the defending champ in a Graded Stakes.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 9 - (F) [S] The Bison City $250k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Sister Seagull (ML 7-5)

B's

# 1 Strega (ML 6-1)

C's

# 3 Lady Brew (ML 12-1)
# 4 Pioneer's Edge (ML 8-5)
# 5 Souper Flashy (ML 7-2)

These are all three year old Ontario bred fillies.  Were I thinking more clearly, I would probably make Sister Seagull, Place finisher in the $500k Woodbine Oaks last time out, a big ticket single in this contest.  But I like the possibility of Strega being loose on the lead, especially with the rail draw.  So it's two deep for me in this leg, with the rest of the runners being used as backup "C" Selections.

RACE 10 - Clm $25k - Seven Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Epilogue (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 3 Decimator (ML 8-1)

# 4 Maximus Momentus (ML 6-1)

# 5 Ikerrin Road (Ire) (ML 9-2)

# 6 Dotted Line (ML 3-1)

# 7 Timeskip (ML 12-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 1 Take a Chance (ML 5-2)

Nothing like the scratch of the Morning Line Favorite to make you have to redo all your prior work.  Epilogue looks best here, his last win having come at today's distance at this class level.  Maximus Momentus disappointed as the Post Time Favorite at this class level last time out.  Perhaps the cutback in distance will benefit Maximus Momentus today.

Ikerrin Road (Ire) is getting some much needed class relief here.  Dotted Line, despite not being all that quick, could be the one leading the field through the early going.  You know what?  This is too much work for a Sunday morning.  I'm just going to go "ALL" in this leg and move on.

RACE 11 - OC 32k/N1X - Seven Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 2 Nashtrick (ML 8-1)

B’s

# 1 Embrace My Uncle (ML 6-1)

# 4 Ron's Gizmo (ML 12-1)

# 5 Bohemian Boy (ML 3-1)

# 11 Big Executive (ML 15-1)

C's

# 3 Dragon's Brew (ML 15-1)

# 6 Downey Boy (ML 9-2)

# 8 Basketball Jones (ML 4-1)

# 9 Desolator (ML 20-1)
# 10 Workin Out (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 7 Wave Baby (ML 10-1)

For those who note such things, Dragon's Brew is the only entrant in this field that will be competing with the $32k price tag on his head.

Nashtrick took a bit of a step back last time out; but Nashtrick could improve today with the cutback in distance.  Embrace My Uncle was a daylight winner last time out (albeit for different connections), suggesting that Embrace My Uncle could handle the jump in class.

Ron's Gizmo regressed last time out; perhaps Ron's Gizmo will improve going third off the layoff.  Bohemian Boy missed the winner's circle by just a neck last time out at today's class level.

Big Executive disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out against more expensive stock.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 2 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P4: 2,4,9 with 1,2 with ALL with 1,2,4,5,11 $36.00

A's with One C

$0.20 P4: 1,5,6,7,8 with 2 with 2 with 2 $1.00

$0.20 P4: 4 with 3,4,5 with 2 with 2 $0.60

$0.20 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 3,6,8,9,10 $1.00

Total: $39.60

Post Time for Race 8 is 4:46 EDT / 1:46 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo