It's Big 'Cap Day at Santa Anita today, with a card full of quality stakes. We'll be looking at three of them below, including The Big 'Cap itself, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 8 - (F) MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 Beach Patrol (ML 7-2)
# 11 Sixes (ML 4-1)
B's
# 3 Sunset Arch (ML 15-1)
# 9 Tristan's Trilogy (ML 12-1)
C's
# 2 Blyde River (ML 20-1)
# 12 Decisive Triumph (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 6 All the Marbles (ML 12-1) and # 13 Mr.Roary (ML 10-1). # 14 Prince of Arabia (ML 10-1) draws in off the Also Eligible List.
Beach Patrol transfers in from Louisiana to the barn of Trainer Phil D'Amato after having finished in the Trifecta in each of his other two career starts. Sixes took the Show charging down the hill in his career debut last time out. Note that Trainer Richard Baltas does quite well with runners making their second career start.
Sunset Arch is a first time starter going for Trainer Simon Callaghan, who wins over a fifth of the time with such. Tristan's Trilogy missed graduation by just half a length two starts back at today's distance over this turf course.
Blyde River makes his second career start for Trainer John Sadler, who wins with nearly a quarter of such. Decisive Triumph took the Show at this class level last time out.
RACE 9 - The San Carlos (Grade 2) - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Kobe's Back (ML 2-1)
B's
# 3 Wild Dude (ML 5-2)
# 4 San Onofre (ML 6-1)
C's
# 2 Coastline (ML 12-1)
Kobe's Back looks to be the best in this eight horse field; but a concern is that there might not be enough pace for him to chase. Wild Dude may need a race, having not competed since finishing out of the money last Halloween in The Breeders' Cup Sprint; but Wild Dude definitely loves this main track, and the class edge that he holds over most of this field could be enough to get the job done.
If San Onofre can repeat his effort from two starts back when he won the Grade 3 Midnight Lute he just might get his picture taken today. Coastline has been showing steady improvement over his last several races. Perhaps the credit for that belongs to the shift to grass; but if Coastline can transfer that form back over to the main track, he could pull the upset today.
RACE 10 - The Santa Anita Handicap (Grade 1) - Ten Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Effinex (ML 2-1)
B's
# 3 Donworth (ML 3-1)
# 6 Cyrus Alexander (ML 20-1)
C's
None
Effinex ships in from the east for his first start since winning the Grade 1 Clark Handicap last November. Trainer Jimmy Jerkens does very well when bringing back runners from an extended layoff, and Effinex's bullet work on Tuesday shows he should handle this track just fine.
Donworth missed winning the Grade 2 San Antonio by just half a length last time out. Any forward movement off that effort could place him in the Winner's Circle today. Cyrus Alexander has been showing steady improvement over his last few races, and his last two workouts over this main track indicate that Cyrus Alexander is ready to give a peak performance.
RACE 11 - (F) The China Doll $75k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Kiss N Scat (ML 8-1)
# 7 Nodiac (Ire) (ML 9-2)
# 9 Pacific Heat (ML 5-2)
B's
# 2 Sutton's Smile (ML 6-1)
C's
# 3 Jeremy's Legacy (Ire)
# 4 Decked Out (ML 10-1)
# 11 Mirage (Ire) (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 6 Nine Point Nine (ML 30-1) and # 10 Sheeza Milky Way (ML 15-1)
Kiss N Scat won the California Oaks on the synthetic stuff upstate last time out; Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer tends to do well when moving his runners from the plastic to the grass. Nodiac (Ire) took the Place charging down the hill in The Sweet Life last time out. Pacific Heat won The California Cup Oaks over this turf course by as many as she wanted last time out.
Sutton's Smile, trained by Phil D'Amato, gets some class relief from the Graded Stakes company that she has been facing. Jeremy's Legacy (Ire) could improve with the return to the flat turf course.
Decked Out took the Show behind Nodiac in The Sweet Life last time out; perhaps Decked Out will improve with the move to the flat course. Mirage (Ire) seems to run well when the grass has some give to it, as it is expect to today.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 7,11 with 8 with 5 with 5,7,9 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,7,9,11 with 3,4,8 with 3,5,6 with 2,5,7,9 $72.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,12 with 8 with 5 with 5,7,9 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 7,11 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,9 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 7,11 with 8 with 5 with 3,4,11 $3.00
Total: $87.00
Post Time for Race 8 is 6:36 EST / 3:36 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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