Sunday, March 20, 2016

3/20/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

"If we had no winter, the spring would not be so pleasant; if we did not sometimes taste of adversity, prosperity would not be so welcome." - Anne Bradstreet

There are a pair of stakes on the program today at Santa Anita.  The Grade 3 Las Flores is carded as Race 3; so it won't be a part of our play.  But we will be looking below at The San Pedro, a dirt sprint for three year olds, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 6 - OC 62k/N2X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 1 De Treville (GB) (Morning Line 5-2)
# 3 Boozer (ML 4-1)

B’s

# 5 Perfectly Majestic (ML 7-2)

C's

# 6 Yes Yes Yes (ML 10-1)
# 9 McHeat (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 8 Alfa Bird (15-1); but neither Also Eligible, # 11 Slim Shady (GB) (ML 5-1) nor # 12 Tribal Tribute (ML 5-1), draw in.

De Treville (GB) is Group Stakes placed in France, so he should fit well here on class.  De Treville has shown good early speed in his races in Europe; those who do tend to adjust well to the American style of running.  Boozer took the Place at this class level the last time that he competed at today's distance over this turf course.

Perfectly Majestic certainly fits with the contenders at this class level; the concern is that Perfectly Majestic tends to settle for minor awards.  Yes Yes Yes looked sharp taking the Place against cheaper stock two starts back.  McHeat seems to prefer charging down the hill to racing on the flats; but McHeat did find the Winner's Circle earlier this meet while competing at today's distance.

RACE 7 - Md $75k - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Latest Craze (ML 7-2)

B's

# 1 Pete's Play Call (ML 6-1)
# 4 Fashionly Handsome (ML 3-1)
# 5 Trinitas Soldier (ML 6-1)
# 8 Opportunistic (ML 7-2)

C's

# 3 It's Just Bob (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 7 Quality Line (ML 12-1)

Latest Craze, trained by Bob Baffert, makes his second career start after showing good early speed in his debut against non-claiming maidens.  Fashionly Handsome and Pete's Play Call raced each other around the track last time out before settling for the Place and Show, respectively.  Trinitas Soldier removers the hood while dropping in for a tag for the first time; Trainer Jorge Periban tends to do well with runners making those moves.

Opportunistic, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, took a nice step forward last time out in his first contest around two turns.  It's Just Bob demonstrated an ability to rate two starts back; that's a trait that may prove helpful today, as this contest looks to have exceeded its quota of early speed.

RACE 8 - The San Pedro $75k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Denman's Call (ML 2-1)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Mt. Veeder (ML 4-1)
# 3 Iron Rob (ML 5-1)

Scratch # 6 Toews On Ice (ML 5-2)

Denman's Call, vanquisher of Rebel Stakes winner Cupid two starts back, took the Show in the Grade 2 San Vicente last time out, and should improve with the cutback in distance.  Mt. Veeder, trained by Bob Baffert, could be the quickest in this field.  Iron Rob had to be vanned off after winning the off-the-turf Baffle last time out; but Iron Rob has worked since that contest, and should be ready to run today.

RACE 9 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 4 Fishel (ML 3-1)
# 8 Village Kitten (ML 12-1)

B’s

# 1 Larry Birdstone (ML 4-1)
# 2 Seedsandstemsagain (ML 5-1)
# 3 Aren Vaugh (ML 5-1)
# 9 Bronzino (Fr) (ML 5-1)

C's

# 7 Broken Up (ML 8-1)

None of the Also Eligibles (# 11 Visitation (ML 12-1); # 12 All Star Parade (No Line); # 13 Dynamite Ride (NL); # 14 Madikwe (ML 20-1)) draw in.

Note for future reference that this one is for horses that have never won two races (N2L), as that information won't be found in the running lines of future DRF Past Performances (at least not until they finally fix that flaw).

Fishel has finished in the Trifecta in each of his last two starts on the turf at this class level.  Village Kitten took the Place at this class level two starts back, and may have just needed that last race off the layoff.

Larry Birdstone, Seedsandstemsagain, and Aren Vaugh all graduated by daylight last time out.  Bronzino (Fr) showed good early speed while competing in his native France; such horses tend to adjust well to the American style of racing.  Broken Up could improve with the reduction in real estate that he needs to cover.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 4,8 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,3,5 with 1,4,5,6,8 with 5 with 1,2,3,4,8,9 $45.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 6,9 with 6 with 5 with 4,8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1,3 with 3 with 5 with 4,8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1,3 with 6 with 1,3 with 4,8 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 7 $1.00

Total: $58.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:09 EDT / 3:09 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

No comments: