Saturday, March 5, 2016

3/5/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

The big news at Santa Anita today is that Songbird is scheduled to have a workout over the main track sometime between Race 4 and Race 6.  We'll just be spectators for that event, as we focus out attention on taking another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 6 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Two Taps (Morning Line 3-1)
# 10 Swissarella (ML 5-1)

B’s

None

C's

# 8 Sheer Pleasure (ML 4-1)

Swissarella won last time out over this main track under these same conditions, with Two Taps taking the Show just a half length behind.  I see no reason why these two can't be that close together again at the wire ahead of the rest of the field.  Sheer Pleasure could improve with the stretchout to two turns.

RACE 7 - OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Dreaming of Gold (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 7 Royal Albert Hall (GB) (ML 3-1)
# 11 John's Success (ML 9-2)

C's

# 1 Seve's Road (ML 10-1)
# 8 Spring Up (ML 12-1)

# 10 Film Freak (No Line) is a program scratch.

Dreaming of Gold has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last two races, and should appreciate the cutback in real estate.  Royal Albert Hall (GB) has yet to find the Winner's Circle since coming to North America, but must be respected with the drop in class.  John's Success has been showing a steadily improving form, and could steal this one on the front end.

Seve's Road returns after being on vacation for over half a year; Trainer Phil D'Amato tends to do well with such.  Spring Up should improve with the drop in class and the return to grass.

RACE 8 - OC 62k/N2X - Seven Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 8 Seattle Serenade (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 2 Avanti Bello (ML 6-1)
# 9 Souper Knight (ML 6-1)
# 12 American Pride (ML 5-1)

C's

# 1 Songforjohnmichael (ML 8-1)
# 5 Glacken Too (ML 8-1)
# 10 Texas Two Step (ML 12-1)

Scratch # 7 Solid Wager (ML 12-1).  # 13 Whiskey Ticket (NL) was a program scratch.

The Jerry Hollendorfer trained Seattle Serenade has won his first two career starts, and the way Seattle Serenade has been working for this one suggests that he should collect his third victory coming off the three month freshening.  Avanti Bello has been showing a steadily improving form, and could move forward with the cutback to one turn racing.

Souper Knight took the Show at this class level last time out.  American Pride missed the Winner's Circle by just a half length at this class level last time out.

Songforjohnmichael returns from a seventeen month vacation; but if he can return to the form that he was displaying before going on the shelf, then he can contend here.  Glacken Too could improve with the return to real dirt.  Texas Two Step was within a length of the winner at the wire the last time that he competed at today's distance.

RACE 9 - Clm $12.5k N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 8 Lucky Shoes to Win (ML 3-1)

B’s

# 4 Zim N the Mailman (ML 6-1)
# 9 Ladies Man (ML 8-1)
# 10 Upbeat Tempo (ML 12-1)

C's

# 5 Yoked (ML 10-1)

# 11 Undergroundrailroad (NL) is a program scratch.

Lucky Shoes to Win missed victory by less than a length at this class level last time out.  Zim N the Mailman gets some much needed class relief, as does Ladies Man.  Upbeat Tempo graduated last time out; perhaps the light bulb finally clicked on.  Yoked drops into company against which he should be more competitive.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1,10 with 3 with 8 with 8 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,10 with 3,7,11 with 2,8,9,12 with 4,8,9,10 $48.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 8 with 3 with 8 with 8 $0.50
$0.50 P4: 1,10 with 1,8 with 8 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1,10 with 3 with 1,5,10 with 8 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 1,10 with 3 with 8 with 5 $1.00

Total: $56.50

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:17 EST / 3:17 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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