10/17/20 Remington Park Primetime Pick Four - Preview

"Only by seeking challenges can we hope to find the best in ourselves." - Robert Rodriguez

We're less than twenty-four hours removed from the upset victory in the Oklahoma Classics Cup by Dont Tell Nobody.  The three year old gelding, trained by Federico Villafranco and ridden by Sophie Doyle paid $81.40 to Win, and was a major factor in Friday's Primetime Pick Four paying $3,028.70 for a fifty cent wager.  Hopefully you, unlike me, were among the fortunate few to profit from those results; and even more hopefully today will see this writer enjoy a share in a payout of equal amounts or greater, as I take a run at The Primetime Pick Four at Remington Park.

RACE 6 - (F) Clm $25k N3L - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 9 Sweet Carolina (Morning Line 4-1)

B’s

# 4 Girls a Bullet (ML 9-2)

# 5 First Alternate (ML 7-2)

C's

# 1 Fire of Gold (ML 8-1)
# 2 No Mas Tequila (ML 10-1)
# 3 Flattering Pose (ML 20-1)

# 6 Stalemate (ML 5-1)

# 7 Many Sweet Treats (ML 6-1)

# 8 Gotham City Queen (ML 8-1)

Sweet Carolina has run well in the past when only having to navigate one turn.  Girls a Bullet drops in for a tag for the first time in her career; coming as it does after a five month layoff, such a move could be viewed suspiciously.  However, Girls a Bullet has won in the past when coming off the bench, and the class drop should only help.

First Alternate is talented enough to win at this level, and Trainer Stetson Mitchell tends to do well when sending out runners first off a claim; however, First Alternate seems to settle for too many minor awards, which is why First Alternate is not my top selection here.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 8 Comic (ML 2-1)

B's

# 1 Triple Entendre (ML 12-1)

# 9 Sweet Linda (ML 4-1)

C's

# 2 Whynotdan (ML 20-1)
# 3 I'll Take That (ML 5-1)
# 4 Sip (ML 12-1)
# 5 Bubble Line (ML 6-1)
# 6 Kathys Cup of Joe (ML 10-1)
# 7 Healing Springs (ML 6-1)

Comic is clearly the most talented runner entered here; but it is a concern that Comic has failed in each of her last three contests as the Post Time Favorite.

Triple Entendre looked like a tired horse last time out; perhaps Triple Entendre will return to the form that she showed two starts back, when she took the Show at this class level, approximately a length behind Comic.

Sweet Linda took the Place at this class level last time out; though it is somewhat concerning that Sweet Linda has taken the Place in five of her seven career starts.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 8 - ALW NC - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A's

# 2 Extirpator (ML 10-1)

B's

# 5 Sunlit Song (ML 3-1)

# 8 Prospector Fever (ML 10-1)

# 9 Tut's Revenge (ML 7-2)

C's

# 1 Omen of Change (ML 12-1)

# 3 Brave Nation (ML 5-1)

# 4 Redatory (ML 6-1)

# 6 Leader of Men (ML 12-1)

# 7 Lookin At Lee (ML 8-1)

This is an Allowance Race with no conditions; so if you've got a horse and want to run him, you're free to enter him here.

Extirpator is the new shooter here, having won a no condition Allowance last time out over the turf course at Louisiana Downs.  Sunlit Song and Tut's Revenge filled out the Exacta last time out in the $60k Remington Green Stakes; and likewise (with finish order reversed) in a no condition Allowance two starts back.

Prospector Fever could be the one running best late.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 9 - Clm $7.5k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Starship (ML 3-1)

B’s

# 8 Drexel (ML 15-1)

# 9 Three Time Charmer (ML 4-1)

# 10 Fresh One (ML 5-1)

C's

# 1 Answer in the Wind (ML 20-1)

# 2 Malibu Mo (ML 20-1)

# 3 Goose (ML 20-1)

# 4 Medal Maker (ML 6-1)

# 6 Skyburst (ML 8-1)

# 11 Top of the Rock (ML 10-1)

Scratch # 7 Cheeseburger (ML 15-1) and # 12 Chargin Texan (ML 20-1)

Starship didn't show much last time out at Louisiana Downs, when he disappointed as the Post Time Favorite.  However, Starship, trained by Steve Asmussen, may simply have not cared for the off going; and running for a reduced price tag today should help the cause.

Drexel took the Place at this class level last time out.  In another contest at this class level, Three Time Charmer and Fresh One filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 9 with 8 with 2 with 5 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 4,5,9 with 1,8,9 with 2,5,8,9 with 5,8,9,10 $72.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,6,7,8 with 8 with 2 with 5 $3.00

$0.50 P4: 9 with 2,3,4,5,6,7 with 2 with 5 $3.00

$0.50 P4: 9 with 8 with 1,3,4,6,7 with 5 $2.50

$0.50 P4: 9 with 8 with 2 with 1,2,3,4,6,11 $3.00

Total: $84.50

Post Time for Race 6 is 10:27 EDT / 7:27 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo