"Of all the liars in the world, sometimes the worst are our own fears." - Rudyard Kipling
Happy Halloween all! Hopefully this weekend finds us all enjoying the holiday's festivities as we work our way towards next weekend's really big treat: The Breeders' Cup. So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Primetime Pick Four at Remington Park.
RACE 6 - ALW N2X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A's
# 5 Much Better (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 4 Changi (ML 6-1)
# 7 Valentine Street (ML 15-1)
# 9 Fred'stwirlincandy (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Sonny Smack (ML 10-1)
# 2 Omen of Change (ML 15-1)
# 3 Candizar (ML 12-1)
# 6 Kauai (ML 9-2)
# 8 Fine Mate (ML 8-1)
# 10 Rocktizway (ML 30-1)
Much Better has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last two starts, the most recent over this turf course, where Much Better missed victory by just a nose.
Changi should appreciate the class relief here, as well as the cutback in distance. Valentine Street is moving up on the class ladder; but if Valentine Street can rebound to his effort two starts back, then Valentine Street may be the one getting his picture taken when this contest is over.
Fred'stwirlincandy has been a perfect two-for-two over this turf course since shipping in, and Fred'stwirlincandy could make it three-for-three Saturday. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $5k B - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Curtseytothekitten (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Betty Jean (ML 10-1)
# 9 Shaharazed (ML 4-1)
C's
# 2 Behold That Word (ML 5-1)
# 3 Raging Gold Digger (ML 8-1)
# 4 Undivided (ML 20-1)
# 8 Hey Roxy (ML 15-1)
# 10 Weneedtotalk (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 5 Love and Lemons (ML 6-1) and # 7 Yankee Pride (ML 20-1)
This contest is restricted to fillies or mares which have either:
1) Not won two races in 2020; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
So as long as a filly or mare has fewer than four career Wins, then she's eligible to run in this race. If a filly or mare has four career Wins or more, then only one of those Wins could have come this year. For the record Curtseytothekitten and Weneedtotalk are the two entrants in this field with fewer than four career Wins. Finally, note that the claiming price for Oklahoma breds is $6.25K; or, rather, it would be, were there any Oklahoma breds running in this contest.
Curtseytothekitten won for fun over this main track last time out, and now goes first off the claim for Trainer Austin Gustafson, who tends to do well with such. Betty Jean took the Show at this class level last time out.
Shaharazed disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out against classier competition. Shaharazed could rebound back to his effort two starts back. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - Alw 10000s - OC 15k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Drc All Inclusive (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 1 He's Munnie (ML 8-1)
# 8 C Dub (ML 4-1)
C's
# 2 St. Louis Guy (ML 12-1)
# 3 Eyes On Red (ML 15-1)
# 5 Taruca (ML 8-1)
# 9 Broadway Ice (ML 9-2)
# 10 Miltontown (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 4 Street Shark (ML 20-1) and # 6 Imma Wild Bling (ML 20-1)
This contest is a Starter Optional Claimer; an Optional Claimer / Starter Allowance hybrid, if you will. Your horse is eligible to run here tag free if it is three years old or older and has started for a claiming price of $10k or less either this year or last. That's the Starter Allowance provision. If your horse doesn't meet that condition, you can still run it here, but it will be eligible to be claimed for $15k ($20k if it's an Oklahoma bred). Note that # 4 Street Shark is the only entrant here running with a price tag on his head; though I'm not sure why, as Street Shark has run for a claiming price under $10k multiple times in the past twenty-two months. EDIT - And now that Street Shark has been scratched, it's a moot point.
Drc All Inclusive and He's Munnie both took the Place last time out in separate contests while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite against classier competition. C Dub is getting significant class relief here, while returning to the barn of Trainer Robertino Diodoro. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 9 - (F) OC 40k/N2Y - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Fiddlers Tsunami (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 3 Our Lost Love (ML 4-1)
# 5 Best Kept Secret (ML 10-1)
C's
# 4 Brenda's an I Full (ML 10-1)
# 6 Tashiara (ML 5-1)
# 7 Cypress Point (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 1 Drip Brew (ML 3-1)
Fiddlers Tsunami could improve with a return to the turf. Our Lost Love could improve with the cutback in distance. Best Kept Secret has yet to finish out of the Exacta since joining the barn of Trainer Robert Cline. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 6 with 7 with 2 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,5,7,9 with 1,6,9 with 1,7,8 with 2,3,5 $54.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,6,8,10 with 6 with 7 with 2 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 2,3,4,8,10 with 7 with 2 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 6 with 2,3,5,9,10 with 2 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 6 with 7 with 4,6,7 $1.50
Total: $64.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 10:27 EDT / 7:27 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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