The Grade 2 Buena Vista, a two turn turf contest for older fillies and mares, is Saturday's featured race in Arcadia. I'll be taking a look at that event below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Motown Music (Morning Line 9-5)
B’s
# 5 Gray Magician (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Mulberry Street (ML 7-2)
# 2 Go Daddy Go (ML 5-1)
# 3 Charlito (ML 5-2)
Motown Music missed by a neck at this class level over this main track last time out. Gray Magician is coming off a three month layoff, and is being priced to sell; typically not what you look for in a contender. But Gray Magician can certainly win at this level if healthy; and the pair of seven furlong works at San Luis Rey suggests that Gray Magician has been well prepped to handle two turns off the bench.
Go Daddy Go missed by a neck at this class level last time out, an angle which I typically play; but I decided to leave Go Daddy Go off my main ticket. Go Daddy Go tends to come from well off the pace; and while his last race was at Los Alamitos, the shorter stretch at Santa Anita will work against him Saturday. In addition, Go Daddy Go has had more than a half dozen tries at this class level without getting the job done. Perhaps in a larger field with another speedster or two I might toss Go Daddy Go onto the main ticket; but not today, as Go Daddy Go will be a backup "C" Selection, along with the others.
RACE 7 - (F) The Buena Vista (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Mucho Unusual (ML 7-2)
B's
# 3 Warren's Showtime (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Bohemian Bourbon (ML 20-1)
# 5 Red Lark (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 6 Sedamar (ML 8-1)
# 7 Going to Vegas (ML 6-1)
# 8 Charmaine's Mia (ML 3-1)
# 9 Sloan Garden (GB) (ML 12-1)
# 10 Heathers Grey (ML 20-1)
# 10 Heathers Grey (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 4 Nasty (ML 6-1)
Mucho Unusual has won three of her last four Graded Stakes, which not so coincidentally were her last three races over this turf course. Warren's Showtime could be the one running best late.
Charmaine's Mia, winner of the Grade 3 Las Cienegas over this turf course last time out, certainly fits well here on class. But I don't think Charmaine's Mia fits well at Saturday's distance of eight furlongs. So in a move that I probably don't do often enough, I'm leaving the Morning Line Favorite off my main ticket, as Charmaine's Mia gets relegated to being a backup "C" Selection, along with the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) Md $30k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Made in Karoo (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Paynter's Love (ML 8-1)
# 3 Varoma (ML 3-1)
# 9 Backtoflash (ML 12-1)
# 10 Simmer Down (ML 2-1)
C's
# 2 Here Comes Ralphie (ML 12-1)
# 5 Copper Wings (ML 50-1)
# 6 Malibu Jewel (ML 12-1)
# 7 Brewed Big (ML 50-1)
# 8 Hatshepsut (ML 12-1)
Made in Karoo took the Show at this approximate class level last time out, while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite. Paynter's Love is a first time starter for Trainer David Hofmans, who tends to do well when sending out debut runners in the Maiden Claiming ranks.
Varoma took the Show at this approximate class level the last time that she competed over a Fast dirt track. Backtoflash took the Place at this approximate class level last time out.
Simmer Down finished several lengths in front of Made in Karoo while taking the Place at this class level last time out. But Simmer Down was speed on the rail in that contest; and I think that drawing the furthest outside post will disadvantage Simmer Down Saturday. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 9 - ALW N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Turf
A's
# 2 Coast of Roan (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Cruel Intention (ML 5-2)
# 3 Best Chance (ML 6-1)
# 8 Symphonic (ML 8-1)
# 10 Psycho Dar (ML 6-1)
C's
# 4 Fantastic Day (ML 30-1)
# 5 Golden Star Rocker (ML 30-1)
# 6 Southern Horse (Arg) (ML 6-1)
# 7 Cool as Ever (ML 20-1)
# 5 Golden Star Rocker (ML 30-1)
# 6 Southern Horse (Arg) (ML 6-1)
# 7 Cool as Ever (ML 20-1)
# 9 I Got No Munny (ML 15-1)
# 11 Jetovator (ML 8-1)
Coast of Roan won by daylight over this turf course last time out; the third time in five tries that Coast of Roan was victorious over this turf course. Cruel Intention missed by just a nose at this class level last time out; though it is concerning that Cruel Intention has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in five of his last six races.
Best Chance won an Optional Claimer by daylight over this turf course last time out. Symphonic could improve going second off the layoff after taking the Show behind Cruel Intention last time out.
Psycho Dar has finished in the Exacta five of the eight times that he has competed over this turf course. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 2 with 4 with 2 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,5 with 2,3 with 1,3,4,9,10 with 1,2,3,8,10 $50.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3 with 2 with 4 with 2 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 1,5,6,7,8,9,10 with 4 with 2 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 2,5,6,7,8 with 2 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 4 with 4,5,6,7,9,11 $3.00
Total: $61.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:14 EST / 3:14 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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