Sunday, November 28, 2021

11/28/21 Del Mar Rainbow Pick Six - Preview

"Success doesn't come to you, you go to it." - Marva Collins

Along with being the final day of the Thanksgiving holiday weekend in the USA, Sunday is also the final day of the Fall Meeting at Del Mar, thus making it a mandatory payout day for the Jackpot Pick Six.  So with that let's just get to it, as I take a run at The Rainbow Pick Six at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 4 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 7 Godsend (Morning Line 5-1)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Sense of Dominance (ML 4-1)
# 2 Mo Them Down (ML 3-1)
# 3 Got Thunder (ML 5-2)
# 4 Blue Dog (ML 20-1)
# 5 Newgrange (ML 3-1)
# 6 Moment of Peace (ML 10-1)

These are juveniles, and Godsend is the lone entrant with experience.  Godsend broke well in his debut last time out, and Godsend's workout on November 7 over this main track suggests that Godsend came out of that race well.

And that's it for this leg.  If you're going to single, might as well do it in the opening leg.  So I'm going one deep here, with the backup "C" Selections being everyone else.

RACE 5 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Shut Up Michael (Ire) (ML 4-1)

B's

# 1 Dancing Rinca (ML 4-1)
# 11 Breakfast Ride (ML 7-2)

C's

# 2 Wall Street Trader (ML 15-1)
# 4 Sundown Warren (ML 15-1)
# 5 Yogi Boy (ML 15-1)
# 6 Lookout Point (ML 12-1)
# 7 Handy Dandy (ML 15-1)
# 8 Crosby Beach (ML 8-1)
# 9 Torajiro (ML 20-1)
# 10 Facetious (ML 5-1)
# 12 Malibu Mayhem (ML 20-1)

Scratch the Also Eligibles, # 13 La'och Aloysius (ML 6-1) and # 14 Egomania (ML 12-1)

Like the previous contest, these are juveniles; however, there is only one entrant in this field, Torajiro, who is making his debut.

Shut Up Michael (Ire) took the Show in his debut overseas last time out.  Shut Up Michael is out of a Nayef mare, so I doubt that today's distance will create any problems for him.

Dancing Rinca took the Show at this class level last time out while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite.  Breakfast Ride likewise took the Show at this class level last time out, albeit while competing on the dirt.  As Breakfast Ride was sired by Distorted Humor, I expect him to do well on the turf.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 6 - Alw 50000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Big Scott Daddy (ML 3-1)

B’s

# 3 Cosmo (ML 5-2)
# 4 No Hang Charlie (ML 5-1)

C's

# 1 Me B Bubba T (ML 8-1)
# 2 Solo Animo (ML 4-1)
# 6 Perfecto Amor (ML 6-1)
# 7 Holden the Lute (ML 6-1)

Note for future reference that this contest is for runners which have won fewer than two races in their career; no exceptions.  For some reason, that information is often not including in the running lines of the Past Performances.

Big Scott Daddy took the Show at this class level last time out while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite.  Cosmo goes first off the claim for Trainer Doug O'Neill, who tends to do well with such.

No Hang Charlie graduated last time out by a wide enough margin to suggest that he can handle the class jump.  In addition, No Hang Charlie is trained by Richard Baltas, who tends to do well when placing his last out maiden winners.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 7 - (F) The Matriarch (Grade 1) - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Viadera (GB) (ML 5-2)

B's

# 1 Princess Grace (ML 8-5)
# 5 Zofelle (Ire) (ML 5-1)
# 6 Regal Glory (ML 9-5)

C's

# 2 Bodhicitta (GB) (ML 12-1)
# 4 Fast Jet Court (Brz) (ML 20-1)

Viadera (GB) and Regal Glory are the Chad Brown trained entrants.  I give the edge to Viadera as she is the defending champ, having won the 2020 running of this event.  

Zofelle (Ire) and Princess Grace filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta in the Grade 2 Goldikova last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 8 - [S] Md $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Fowler Blue (ML 2-1)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Vanisky (ML 15-1)
# 3 Mr Bug Z (ML 15-1)
# 5 Dadstar (ML 12-1)
# 6 Heaven's Music (ML 5-2)
# 8 Indio Mo Mo (ML 5-1)
# 9 Tribute to Afleet (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 2 Eye Candy Randy (ML 20-1) and # 7 Blessed Brother (ML 6-1)

More juveniles!  Though, with the scratch of Blessed Brother, all runners that will be leaving the gate in this contest have done so before.

Fowler Blue drops in for a tag for the first time, and Fowler Blue should benefit from the return to one turn racing.  And that's it for me in this leg. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 9 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Nine Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 7 Tony Ann (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 2 Hollywood Girl (ML 6-1)
# 5 Zydeco Mama (ML 6-1)
# 8 Kleen Karma (ML 10-1)
# 10 So Much Happy (ML 8-1)
# 11 Rose's Crystal (ML 8-1)
# 13 Unicorn (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Met in Miami  (ML 8-1)
# 3 Charges Dropped (ML 6-1)
# 6 Frose (ML 30-1)
# 9 Resarcio (ML 30-1)
# 12 Jimmyssmokedcarrot (ML 12-1)

Scratch # 4 Lady Noguez (ML 30-1)

For those curious, Unicorn, who drew in off the Also Eligible List, will be the only runner leaving the gate in this field with a price tag on her head.

Tony Ann competes against winners for the first time in her career; but Tony Ann graduated in a convincing manner last time out, and Trainer Phil D'Amato tends to do well when placing his last out maiden winners.

Hollywood Girl missed the winner's circle by just a nose the last time that she competed at today's distance at this class level.  Kleen Karma missed victory by just a neck at this approximate class level last time out, with Zydeco Mama taking the Show just a half length behind her.

So Much Happy goes first off the claim for Trainer Howey Quinn, who tends to do well with such.  Expect So Much Happy to be prominent early.

Rose's Crystal took the Show at this class level last time out.  Unicorn was a winner at this class level two starts back.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 7 with 3 with 5 with 3 with 4 with 7 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: 7 with 1,3,11 with 3,4,5 with 1,3,5,6 with 4 with 2,5,7,8,10,11,13 $50.40

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 1,2,3,4,5,6 with 3 with 5 with 3 with 4 with 7 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 7 with 2,4,5,6,7,8,9.10,12 with 5 with 3 with 4 with 7 $1.80
$0.20 P6: 7 with 3 with 1,2,6,7 with 3 with 4 with 7 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 7 with 3 with 5 with 2,4 with 4 with 7 $0.40
$0.20 P6: 7 with 3 with 5 with 3 with 1,3,5,6,8,9 with 7 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 7 with 3 with 5 with 3 with 4 with 1,3,6,9,12 $1.00

Total: $57.80

Post Time for Race 4 is 5:02 EST / 2:02 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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