4/23/22 Woodbine Late Pick Four - Preview

“The distance is nothing; it's only the first step that is difficult.” - Marquise du Deffand

It's week two of the Toronto area meeting, and the distances for all of Saturday's contests are, as they were last week, sprints only, so as to help the majority of the runners on the grounds race themselves into shape.  Note also that there are nine events on Saturday's program; and because of that there are two Pick Fours on the card, with the final one ending with the nightcap.  So with all that as prelude let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Woodbine.

RACE 6 - Hcp 20000s - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 9 Reconfigure (Morning Line 2-1)

B’s

# 2 Western Trouble (ML 6-1)

# 5 Souper Success (ML 5-1)

# 6 Alacritous (ML 7-2)

C's

# 1 Elektronic (ML 20-1)

# 3 Maximus Momentus (ML 8-1)
# 4 Fielder (ML 10-1)

# 7 Dynamite Karma (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 8 Lord of Legends (ML 12-1) and # 10 Salvator Mundi (ML 15-1)

Conditions for this contest restrict entrance to runners that have started for a claiming price of $20k or less either this year or last AND made at least on start at Woodbine in 2021.

Reconfigure took the Place in each of his last two races, both at Gulfstream Park on their synthetic track, under similar conditions.  Western Trouble has been very popular at the claim box over the past couple of years; a pretty good endorsement for any runner.  An even bigger endorsement is Western Trouble's connections entering him here, where Western Trouble is not subject to being claimed.

Souper Success has run well in the past off just works.  Alacritous, victorious in four of his last five starts, all at Mahoning Valley, appears to be in top form.  Alacritous is also a multi-time winner at Woodbine.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 7 - OC 62.5k B - Five Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Millennium Force (ML 2-1)

B's

# 2 Dancing Doll (ML 6-1)

# 3 Sparkle Sammy (ML 15-1)

# 5 Dirty Dangle (ML 4-1)

C's

# 1 Spanish Ballerina (ML 3-1)

# 6 Roman d'Oro (ML 5-1)
# 7 Owen's Tour Guide (ML 12-1)

For the most part, this is just an OC $62.5k/N2X, but with one added restriction in the conditions requiring that runners have no victories over the previous 365 days in order to avoid being eligible to be claimed.  Note for the record that Dancing Doll and Sparkle Sammy are the two entrants in this field that are in for the $62.5k tag.

Millennium Force should benefit from the class relief.  Dancing Doll seems to always run well over this main track.  Sparkle Sammy had a sharp workout over this track on the 15th.  Dirty Dangle could improve going second off the layoff.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 8 - (F) ALW N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 3 Starlight Ridge (ML 7-2)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Join the Dance (ML 9-5)

# 2 Silver Magnatized (ML4-1)

# 4 Hai Bobbi (ML 8-1)

# 5 Luz de La Luna (ML 15-1)

# 6 Bayou Belle (ML 5-2)

I can't recall the last time I singled a runner on the big ticket that wasn't the Morning Line Favorite; but Starlight Ridge has demonstrated a proficiency for today's distance and a fondness for this main track.  So this is the leg where I roll the dice, with Starlight Ridge going solo on my main ticket, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.

RACE 9 - (F) Clm $7.5k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 9 Royal City Reign (ML 8-1)

B’s

# 1 Speedy Fire (ML 20-1)

# 2 Stunning Rivers (ML 6-1)

# 3 Cora (ML 3-1)

# 4 Lacougra (ML 20-1)
# 5 High Society Girl (ML 5-2)

# 6 Shishka (ML 20-1)

# 7 Flawless Pink (ML 12-1)

# 8 Let's Have Fun (ML 20-1)

# 11 Palio Siena (ML 15-1)

# 12 Malicosa (ML 20-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 10 Mi Tormenta (ML 8-1), who graduated in last week's Race 3

So I go from a big ticket single right into a big ticket "ALL".   Yeah, I just couldn't figure this one out.  So if by the grace of The Almighty I'm still alive heading into the nightcap, I'm guaranteed to cash.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 9 with 4 with 3 with 9 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P4: 2,5,6,9 with 2,3,4,5 with 3 with ALL $35.20

A's with One C

$0.20 P4: 1,3,4,7 with 4 with 3 with 9 $0.80

$0.20 P4: 9 with 1,6,7 with 3 with 9 $0.60

$0.20 P4: 9 with 4 with 1,2,4,5,6 with 9 $1.00

Total: $38.60

Post Time for Race 6 is 3:46 EDT / 12:46 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo