Saturday, May 21, 2022

5/21/22 Pimlico Preakness Pick 4 - Preview

“As a middle child, I definitely considered the merits of getting trapped in a well just for the attention.” - Chris Schleicher

It's Preakness Day in Baltimore, the middle child of Horse Racing's Triple Crown, being simultaneously loved and neglected by many.  So with that let's just get to it, as I take a run at The Pick Four at Pimlico ending with the Preakness Stakes.

RACE 10 - The James W Murphy $100k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 5 Ready to Purrform (Morning Line 5-2)

B's

# 8 Shake Em Loose (ML 8-1)
# 10 Joe (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 Determined Kingdom (ML 15-1)
# 2 Local Motive (ML 8-1)
# 3 Uncaptured Spirit (ML 12-1)
# 6 Epic Luck (ML 30-1)
# 9 Crabs N Beer (ML 12-1)

Scratch # 4 Wow Whata Summer (ML 15-1); # 7 Riot House (ML 4-1); and # 11 World of Fools (ML 50-1)

Ready to Purrform is making his 2022 debut, and Ready to Purrform looks well meant here.  Shake Em Loose and Joe fit well here on class, having taken turns defeating each other in a pair of Listed Stakes on the dirt.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 11 - The Sir Barton $100k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Ethereal Road (ML 3-1)

B's

# 5 B Dawk (ML 5-2)
# 6 Mr Jefferson (ML 6-1)
# 8 Unikee (ML 4-1)

C's

# 2 Goldenize (ML 20-1)
# 3 Writeitontheice (ML 30-1)
# 7 Good Skate (ML 15-1)
# 10 Ruggs (ML 10-1)

Scratch # 4 The Addison Pour (ML 15-1) and # 9 Brooklyn Diamonds (ML 10-1)

Ethereal Road is the D. Wayne Lukas trained runner whose scratch from the Kentucky Derby opened the door for Rich Strike to compete and win.  Ethereal Road should do well with the lesser distance to be covered here.

B Dawk, trained by Doug O'Neill, was impressive while graduating last time out, and B Dawk should do well with the added distance.  Mr Jefferson could move up with the cutback in distance.  Unikee could be the one that they'll have to catch to win.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 12 - The Jim McKay Turf Sprint $100k - Five Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 9 Hollis (ML 6-1)

B's

# 2 Carotari (ML 9-5)

C's

# 1 Bank (ML 12-1)
# 3 Seven Scents (ML 4-1)
# 4 Arthur's Hope (ML 20-1)
# 5 Mr. Hustle (ML 10-1)
# 6 Smokin' Jay (ML 6-1)
# 7 Grateful Bred (ML 6-1)
# 8 The Wolfman (ML 30-1)

Scratch # 10 Concrete Glory (ML 30-1)

Hollis had a rough go of it in last year's running of this event; hopefully Hollis will get a cleaner trip Saturday.  Carotari, making his 2022 debut here, is a specialist at the five furlong distance.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 13 - The Preakness (Grade 1) - Nine and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Secret Oath (ML 9-2)

B's

# 5 Early Voting (ML 7-2)
# 8 Epicenter (ML 6-5)

C's

# 1 Simplification (ML 6-1)
# 2 Creative Minister (ML 10-1)
# 3 Fenwick (ML 50-1)
# 6 Happy Jack (ML 30-1)
# 7 Armagnac (ML 12-1)
# 9 Skippylongstocking (ML 20-1)

Secret Oath, the D. Wayne Lukas trained filly, could win here with a repeat of the effort that she gave while winning the Kentucky Oaks.  Early Voting projects to be the one that they'll have to catch in order to win.

Epicenter was the best runner in the Kentucky Derby not named Rich Strike.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 5 with 1 with 9 with 4 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 5,8,10 with 1,5,6,8 with 2,9 with 4,5,8 $36.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,6,9 with 1 with 9 with 4 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 2,3,7,10 with 9 with 4 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 1 with 1,3,4,5,6,7,8 with 4 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 1 with 9 with 1,2,3,6,7,9 $3.00

Total: $48.00

Post Time for Race 10 is 4:12 EDT / 1:12 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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