9/11/22 Del Mar Rainbow Pick Six - Preview

"Bravery is when you walk into a battle you are not sure of winning." - Jeffrey Fry

It's closing day for the Summer Meet at Del Mar, which means mandatory payouts in all pools, including the Jackpot Pick Six.  So with that let's just get to it, as I take a run at The Rainbow Pick Six at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 6 - (F) MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 11 Doinitthehardway (Morning Line 9-5)

B's

None

C's

# 2 Princess Bettina (ML 10-1)

# 3 Spicybug (ML 7-2)

# 4 Firsttimeforever (ML 12-1)

# 5 Lily Poo (ML 15-1)
# 6 Blessed Touch (ML 6-1)

# 7 Divinely Bolt (ML 15-1)

# 8 Getthemoney (ML 5-1)

# 9 Fourth Street (ML 12-1)

# 10 Gila (ML 3-1)

Scratch # 1 Diamonds Danzing (ML 5-1); # 12 Half Nelson (ML 20-1); # 13 Three Strands (ML 7-2); and # 14 Muteki (ML 4-1)

Singling right in the very first leg; with, unfortunately, a runner that will be on virtually everyone else's tickets anyway.  Doinitthehardway, trained by Bob Baffert, took the Place at this class level in her debut last time out, after doing all the heavy lifting on the front end.  If you're of a mind to add another to your tickets, Getthemoney is one to consider, as Getthemoney disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in her debut last time out after showing good early foot.  But for me it's Doinitthehardway solo on the main ticket, with Getthemoney and all others being used as backup "C" Selections.

RACE 7 - [S] OC 20k/N1X - Five Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 1 Forgiving Spirit (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 9 Creative Peak (ML 6-1)

# 12 Atomic Drop (ML 4-1)

# 13 Evenerevenworse (ML 6-1)

C's

# 2 Square Cat (ML 12-1)

# 4 Brix (ML 12-1)
# 5 Essential Business (ML 12-1)

# 6 Who's Candy (ML 4-1)

# 7 Lil Richards Bello (ML 12-1)
# 8 Crosskirk (ML 20-1)
# 10 Head for Business (ML 15-1)

# 11 In Vronsky Style (ML 12-1)

Scratch # 3 Count Tolstoy (No Line) and # 14 Golden Image (ML 30-1)

For those who note such things, none of the runners in this field will be leaving the gate with the $20k price tag on their head.

Forgiving Spirit wanted no part of the main track last time out.  Look for Forgiving Spirit to improve with the return to turf.  Creative Peak will definitely be in the mix if he can bring his dirt form over to the grass.

Atomic Drop fits well at this class level, though it appears that Atomic Drop may be settling for too many minor awards.  Evenevenworse can win on any surface, and the outside draw should help Evenevenworse get a clean trip.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 8 - (F) MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 8 Princess Adaleigh (ML 7-2)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Angel Nadeshiko (ML 5-1)
# 2 Runninwiththeboyz (ML 10-1)

# 3 Classy (ML 15-1)
# 4 Karin With an I (ML 10-1)
# 5 Infinite Empire (ML 5-1)
# 6 Brocade (ML 10-1)

# 7 Censorship (ML 4-1)
# 9 Kura (ML 12-1)

# 10 Too Bossy (ML 6-1)

My second single on the big ticket, Princess Adaleigh, missed graduation by just a neck in her debut last time out.  A repeat of that effort puts Princess Adaleigh in the winner's circle today.

Those looking to expand in this leg can consider adding the Bob Baffert trained Censorship to their tickets, as it's reasonable to expect Censorship to improve with the return to one turn racing.  But for me it'll be Princess Adaleigh all by her lonesome on my main ticket, with Censorship and all others being used as backup "C" Selections.

RACE 9 - The Del Mar Juvenile Turf (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 De la Luna (ML 12-1)

B's

# 1 Ah Jeez (ML 8-1)

# 2 Wound Up (ML 12-1)

# 6 Dandy Man Shines (Ire) (ML 4-1)

# 8 Ti Sento (Ire) (ML 6-1)

# 14 Valiancer (ML 20-1)

C's

# 4 Don'tthinkjustdoit (ML 5-1)
# 5 Syntactic (ML 20-1)
# 7 Stone Point (ML 20-1)

# 9 Packs a Wahlop (ML 8-1)
# 10 President Z (ML 20-1)
# 11 Park City (ML 5-1)
# 12 Mas Rapido (GB) (ML 15-1)

# 13 Tahoma (ML 8-1)

Scratch the Also Eligibles, # 15 Buffett (ML 20-1) and # 16 Taltariate (ML 12-1)

Two year olds on the grass.  I really don't have much to type here that would constitute solid analysis.  I put De la Luna in the top slot because my opinion is that, with a cleaner trip in his debut last time out, De la Luna wins easily and would probably be favored by the public today.  In addition, if this race is going to be as wide open as I suspect it will be, might as well shoot for a price.  So it's a half-dozen runners for me on my main ticket, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.

RACE 10 - The Del Mar Futurity (Grade 1) - Seven Furlongs Dirt

A's

# 8 Havnameltdown (ML 4-1)

B's

# 6 Newgate (ML 4-1)

# 7 Cave Rock (ML 6-5)

# 9 The Big Wam (ML 10-1)

C's

# 1 Classical Cat (ML 8-1)
# 2 Agency (ML 12-1)
# 3 Mixto (ML 20-1)

# 4 Skinner (ML 8-1)
# 5 Pop d'Oro (ML 50-1)

Havnameltdown, Newgate, and Cave Rock are the three entries from the barn of Trainer Bob Baffert.  Havnameltdown garners the top spot courtesy of his already being a Graded Stakes winner.

The Big Wam seems to have improved each time he was given more distance to conquer.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 11 - Alw 50000s N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Flint Stroll (ML 4-1)

B’s

# 4 Weegee (ML 5-1)

# 7 National Road (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 Calsson (ML 12-1)

# 2 The Key Is Unity (ML 15-1)

# 6 Barnfield (ML 12-1)

# 8 Uncle Jeff (ML 4-1)
# 9 Halfbarberbingle (ML 15-1)
# 10 Kant Beat the Rock (ML 12-1)
# 12 Canelo (ML 6-1)
# 13 Tuskegee Cat (ML 12-1)

Scratch # 5 Hoop Dream (No Line); # 11 El Joy (NL); and # 14 Jonas' Dream (NL)

Note for future reference that this contest is for runners which have won fewer than two races in their career; no exceptions.  For some reason, that information is often not including in the running lines of the Past Performances.

National Road and Flint Stroll filled out the bottom two rungs of the Superfecta at this class level last time out.  I give the edge to Flint Stroll today because I think the added real estate works to Flint Stroll's advantage.

Weegee goes first off the claim for Trainer Jeff Mullins, who tends to do well with such.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 11 with 1 with 8 with 3 with 8 with 3 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: 11 with 1,9,12,13 with 8 with 1,2,3,6,8,14 with 6,7,8,9 with 3,4,7 $57.60

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10 with 1 with 8 with 3 with 8 with 3 $1.80

$0.20 P6: 11 with 2,4,5,6,7,8,10,11 with 8 with 3 with 8 with 3 $1.60

$0.20 P6: 11 with 1 with 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,9,10 with 3 with 8 with 3 $1.80

$0.20 P6: 11 with 1 with 8 with 4,5,7,9,10,11,12,13 with 8 with 3 $1.60

$0.20 P6: 11 with 1 with 8 with 3 with 1,2,3,4,5 with 3 $1.00

$0.20 P6: 11 with 1 with 8 with 3 with 8 with 1,2,6,8,9,10,12,13 $1.60

Total: $68.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:30 EDT / 3:30 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo