Saturday, October 21, 2017

10/21/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Results

Race 6 - # 4 Shypen (GB) (Final Odds 19.20) - "C" Selection*
Race 7 - # 4 We're Just Sayin (1.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 4 Lovenseek (5.40) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 1 Coachwhip (2.50) - "C" Selection

* # 7 Alliford Bay (2.30*), "B" Selection, crossed under the wire first, but was disqualified and placed 4th

The disqualification in the opening leg in no way changes my bottom line, as a clean win by Alliford Bay still leaves me with all the winners in my play, but not all the winners on any one ticket.  The big disappointment was, of course, the failure of my big ticket single, # 1 Broken Up (2.00*) to reach the line first in the third leg, as he took the Place, over two lengths back of the winner.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of  4 / 4 / 4 / 1  were rewarded with a payout of $1,156.15 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

10/21/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

It's opening weekend at Golden Gate Fields, with today being the first Saturday of the Autumn Meet.  However, despite the meet still being in its infancy, the Golden Pick Six pool has already been scooped, with one lucky bettor collecting $7,765.62 Friday on their twenty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

So, with the Jackpot Pick Six carryover pool currently sitting at zero, I'm going to lighten my workload by focusing my attention on just the final four races on the card.  So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 6 - (F) ALW NC - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 2 Isa Firecracker (Morning Line 6-1)
# 5 Fast and Foxy (ML 9-2)

B's

# 1 Emmy and I (ML 6-1)
# 3 Deb's Wildcard (ML 8-1)
# 7 Alliford Bay (ML 5-2)
# 8 Princess Ashlyn (ML 2-1)

C's

# 4 Shypen (GB) (ML 20-1)
# 6 Propeppy (ML 20-1)

There are no conditions for this allowance race; so if you have a filly or mare, three years old or upward, and you wanted to run her here, you could have done so.

Isa Firecracker didn't show much in her recent journeys downstate, but she's a perfect three-for-three lifetime over this main track.  Fast and Foxy, who finished in the Trifecta in each of her last two starts on the California Fairgrounds circuit, should improve with the return to her preferred surface.

Emmy and I is another that could move up with the return to the synthetic.  Deb's Wildcard seems to be rounding into top form.  Alliford Bay has down little wrong in her four race career.  Princess Ashlyn defeated several of these last time out, albeit on real dirt.  A concern with Princess Ashlyn is that she is zero-for-three lifetime when competing on a synthetic surface.

Shypen (GB), making her North American debut, was a stakes winner on the synthetic overseas.  Propeppy is on my tickets because every other runner in this field is.

RACE 7 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 4 We're Just Sayin (ML 9-5)

B’s

# 5 Kittenmeister (ML 5-2)

C's

# 2 Whisky N Roses (ML 10-1)
# 6 Singaprayer (ML 12-1)
# 7 Reno Johnny (ML 12-1)
# 8 Max the Kitty (ML 10-1)

Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and just one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less.  For the record, # 8 Max the Kitty (ML 10-1) is the only runner in this field to have visited the winner's circle multiple times.

We're Just Sayin missed victory by just a neck last time out over this turf course at today's distance.  Kittenmeister could be the one running best late.

Whisky N Roses could move up going third off the layoff; but Whisky N Roses' oh-for-eight lifetime record on the grass is a concern.  Singaprayer has performed well in each of his prior turf starts.  Reno Johnny could be quickest here, and may be the one that they'll have to run down.  Max the Kitty, as mentioned above, is the only runner here with two career Wins, though neither victory came while competing on the grass.

RACE 8 - OC 32k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Broken Up (ML 5-2)

B’s

None

C's

# 4 Lovenseek (ML 7-2)
# 6 Sonneteer (ML 9-2)

# 7 Bronzino (Fr) (ML 10-1)

Broken Up, trained by John Martin, took the Show against classier competition last time out, albeit on the dirt at Sacramento.  Broken Up is a lifetime four-for-six over this main track, and looks to be very much the one to beat here.

Lovenseek, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, looks to be on the wrong surface, as all of Lovenseek's career Wins have come on the grass.  But Lovenseek can certainly win going around two turns, and he should at the least be an early pace presence.

Sonneteer took the Show in the Super Derby down in Louisiana two starts back.  Bronzino (Fr) could move up with the return to the synthetic.

RACE 9 - (F) MSW - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 4 Tiz My Love (ML 3-1)
# 5 Austria (ML 6-1)
# 8 A Lucky Carry (ML 5-2)

B's

# 2 C C Rocks (ML 10-1)
# 7 One Eyed Mama (ML 9-2)

# 9 Irish Streetsinger (ML 20-1)

C's

# 1 Coachwhip (ML 4-1)
# 3 Flir Power (ML 20-1)
# 6 Holladay Visit (ML 20-1)

Tiz My Love and A Lucky Carry, both trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, fit well here on class, and both could improve with their second try on the grass.  Austria took the Place at this class level last time out over this turf course, a half length in front of A Lucky Carry.

C C Rocks took the Show last time out in her first try on the turf, albeit with a price tag on her head.  One Eyed Mama could move up with the surface change and added real estate.  Irish Streetsinger is a first time start who looks well bred for the grass.

Flir Power, sired by Heatseeker (Ire), should improve with the move to the turf.  Coachwhip and Holladay Visit are on the ticket because, well, why not.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 2,5 with 4 with 1 with 4,5,8 $6.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,5,7,8 with 4,5 with 1 with 2,4,5,7,8,9 $36.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 4,6 with 4 with 1 with 4,5,8 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2,5 with 2,6,7,8 with 1 with 4,5,8 $12.00
$0.50 P4: 2,5 with 4 with 4,6,7 with 4,5,8 $9.00
$0.50 P4: 2,5 with 4 with 1 with 1,3,6 $3.00

Total: $69.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:18 EDT / 3:18 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Sunday, October 15, 2017

10/15/17 Fresno Gold Rush Pick Six - Results

Race 3 - # 2 Awhitesportscoat (Final Odds 1.00*) - "A" Selection
Race 4 - # 2 Bolt Up (0.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 5 - # 6 Two Steps of Glory (3.70) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 1 Ralph Jacobs (0.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - The Bull Dog - # 8 Seattle Serenade (7.30) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 7 Stocked (3.00) - "A" Selection

Seattle Serenade had finished well back of both # 7 Force (Ire) (1.90*) and # 5 G. G. Ryder (3.70) his previous time out in The Rolling Green.  But whatever Seattle Serenade had lacked that day he found today, crossing under the wire a head in front of # 3 Street Moxie (9.90) to win the Bull Dog Handicap.

For the record, here are the $0.20 Will Pays for the other three runners to which I would have cashed in the finale:

# 1 Thrilling Ron (17.70) - $792.94 Finish: 6th
# 3 Hedoesitinstyle (2.60) - $146.90 Finish: 3rd
# 4 Call the Boss (0.90*) - $73.58 Finish: 2nd

But that's what might have been.  What actually came to be was a correct Gold Rush Pick Six sequence of  2 / 2 / 6 / 1 / 8 / 7  which paid $169.12 for a twenty cent wager.  That makes for a profit of $112.72 on the initial $56.40 investment, or approximate odds of 2.00-1.  Considering the three winning Post Time Favorites were even money or less, that's not too shabby a payout.

I hope you all had it with me.  May God bless us as we spend our winnings.

Onto the next race!

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

10/15/17 Fresno Gold Rush Pick Six - Preview

Sunday is closing day, not just for Fresno, but for the entire 2017 California State Fair meet; and that means everything must go, including the Gold Rush Pick Six Jackpot (currently sitting at $19,985).  So with a mandatory payout as incentive let's get to it, as I take another run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at The Big Fresno Fair.

RACE 3 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Awhitesportscoat (Morning Line 8-5)

B's

# 3 Seau (ML 9-5)

C's

# 1 Dark and Dandy (ML 8-1)

Awhitesportscoat took the Place last time out against non-claiming maidens on the synthetic main track at Golden Gate.  Seau took the Show up at Emerald Downs while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite last time out.  Dark and Dandy is a first time starter who had a nice five furlong work over at Golden Gate back in early September, and could be well meant here (else why not just save him a few days to run at Golden Gate?).

RACE 4 - (F) Clm $5k N2X - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Bolt Up (ML 1-1)

B’s

None

C's

# 3 Cacica Dulima (ML 2-1)

Bolt Up, trained by Jonathan Wong, won by as many as she wanted to on Columbus Day, after having taken the Place at this class level two starts back.  Cacica Dulima, the "other" Wong, could improve with the turn back in distance.

RACE 5 - (F) Clm $3.2k N2X - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Two Steps of Glory (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 1 Misty Moni (ML 5-1)
# 2 Unwanted (ML 9-5)
# 4 Secret Agent Girl (ML 5-2)


C's

None

Two Steps of Glory took the Place at this class level last time out on Columbus Day.  Misty Moni graduated last time out over this main track after shipping in from downstate.  Misty Moni just might be the quickest in this field.

Unwanted has disappointed in each of her last two starts against more expensive stock, and could benefit from the class relief.  Secret Agent Girl could move up with the change in barn.

RACE 6 - Md $5k - Five Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Ralph Jacobs (ML 7-5)

B's

None

C's

# 5 Colony's Pepper (ML 8-1)
# 6 Mister Charmer (ML 3-1)

Ralph Jacobs took the Show against more expensive stock downstate last time out.  Ralph Jacobs will be going first time for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such.

Colony's Pepper is a first time starter from a dam who has produced three winners from four starters.  Mister Charmer took the Place at this class level last time out.

RACE 7 - The Bull Dog $50k - Nine Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 G. G. Ryder (ML 3-1)
# 7 Force (Ire) (ML 5-2)

B's

# 2 Point Piper (ML 5-1)
# 4 Street Lad (ML 9-2)
# 6 Dixie Pistol (ML 8-1)
# 8 Seattle Serenade (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Pass Due Payment (ML 20-1)
# 3 Street Moxie (ML 12-1)


G. G. Ryder, a stakes winner on the Santa Rosa turf two starts back, tries real dirt for the first time for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, who tend to do well when moving his runners between the two surfaces.  Force (Ire) won the Rolling Green on the Golden Gate turf last time out, over three lengths in front of G. G. Ryder.

Point Piper, Street Lad, and Seattle Serenade are the other three runners in this field trained by Jerry Hollendorfer.  Dixie Pistol, stepping up in class, could be the speed of the speed.  The "C" Selections are the rest of the field because, why not?

RACE 8 - Md $25k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Thrilling Ron (ML 12-1)
# 3 Hedoesitinstyle (ML 4-1)
# 4 Call the Boss (ML 9-5)
# 7 Stocked (ML 3-1)

B's

None

C's

None

Scratch # 6 Chief Barbara (ML 6-1)

Hedoesitinstyle took the Place against cheaper last time out, and should have enough early speed to handle the rise in class today.  Call the Boss, trained by John Martin, runs with a price tag on his head for the first time in his career.

Stocked has taken the Place in each of his two prior career starts, and could improve with the change in surface.  Thrilling Ron is a first time starter from a dam who has produced four runners from five starters.

OK, that's the analysis.  As mentioned above, it's a mandatory payout day, so there are no worries about pressing up a potential single winning combination ticket.  So, with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 2 with 2 with 6 with 1 with 5,7 with 1,3,4,7 $8.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: 2,3 with 2 with 1,2,4,6 with 1 with 2,4,5,6,7,8 with 1,3,4,7 $38.40

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 1 with 2 with 6 with 1 with 5,7 with 1,3,4,7 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 2 with 3 with 6 with 1 with 5,7 with 1,3,4,7 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 2 with 2 with 6 with 5,6 with 5,7 with 1,3,4,7 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 2 with 2 with 6 with 1 with 1,3 with 1,3,4,7 $1.60

Total: $56.40

Post Time for Race 3 is 4:45 EDT / 1:45 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Saturday, October 14, 2017

10/14/17 Fresno Gold Rush Pick Six - Results

Race 4 - # 3 Contessa B. (Final Odds 3.50) - "B" Selection
Race 5 - # 1 Frankie (1.20*) - "B" Selection
Race 6 - # 2 Gummy (1.20*) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 4 Kern Ridge (11.30) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 5 Carville (2.00*) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Wise Tale (0.50*) - "B" Selection

Kern Ridge, the longest shot on the board in Race 7, wired the field while being nowhere to be found on my tickets; a key reason why Saturday was a day for me to contribute instead of collect.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Gold Rush Pick Six sequence of  3 / 1 / 2 / 4 / 5 / 5  were rewarded with a payout of $148.46 for their twenty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

10/14/17 Fresno Gold Rush Pick Six - Preview

We've come to the final weekend of the 2017 California State Fair circuit, the last two days of thoroughbred racing on a real dirt track in Northern California until 2018.  So with that as backdrop let's get to it, as I take another run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at The Big Fresno Fair.

RACE 4 - (F) Clm $4k B - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Winter's Nest (Morning Line 2-1)

B's

# 2 Hallie Jae (ML 9-5)
# 3 Contessa B. (ML 7-2)
# 4 Bench Ruling (ML 6-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 1 Blooming Hannah (ML 9-2)

This contest is restricted to fillies and mares which have either:

1) Not won a race since August 1, 2017; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as a distaff runner has fewer than four career Wins, she's eligible to run in this race.  If a horse has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have come since the end of July (note that Claiming and Starter Races for $3.5k or less don't count when computing the Win totals).  For the record, # 1 Blooming Hannah (ML 9-2) and # 5 Winter's Nest (ML 2-1) are the two runners in this field with fewer than four career Wins.

Winter's Nest was victorious at this approximate class level last time out (higher price tag, but N2X) in front of a next out winner.  Hallie Jae, who has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of her last two races, is on the ticket because everyone else is.  Contessa B. defeated Winter's Nest at Sacramento back in July.  Bench Ruling has won two of her three career races over this track.

RACE 5 - (F) Md $5k - Five Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Sharemyway (ML 2-1)

B's

# 1 Frankie (ML 7-5)

C's

# 2 Gunny (ML 7-2)
# 4 Papa Said Ya (ML 10-1)


Sharemyway missed graduation by just a neck last time out at this class level.  Frankie took the Place at this class level two starts back.  Frankie has finished in the Trifecta in each of her two career starts on a Fast dirt track.

Gunny will be attempting to prove that the twenty-ninth's time is the charm.  She may very well be the most talented runner in this field; but Gunny has demonstrated a refusal on multiple occasions to be the first to cross under the wire.  Papa Said Ya is a first time starter in a field where the experienced runners aren't all that impressive.

RACE 6 - Clm $3.2k N2X - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Gummy (ML 9-5)
# 4 Whatahandsomecat (ML 2-1)

B’s

None

C's

# 1 The Gotham Year (ML 6-1)
# 5 Little Mustard (ML 3-1)

Gummy ships in from downstate and goes first time for the barn of Trainer Jonathan Wong, who tends to do well with such.  Whatahandsomecat took the Place just six days ago in his first career try over a Fast dirt track.

The Gotham Year could be the one running best late.  Little Mustard fits well here on class, though real dirt is not Little Mustard's preferred surface.

RACE 7 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Five Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Weyand (ML 2-1)

B’s

# 1 Prince Charmant (ML 5-2)

C's

# 5 Bargaining (ML 4-1)

Scratch # 3 Bunker Buster (ML 8-1)

Weyand has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last two starts.  Prince Charmant could be the one running best late.  Bargaining could be quick enough to contend even with the class rise.

RACE 8 - Clm $16k - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Freddies Dream (ML 5-1)
# 7 King Budrick (ML 4-1)

B’s

None

C's

# 2 Canada (ML 8-1)
# 3 Drouillard (ML 3-1)
# 5 Carville (ML 9-5)


Freddies Dream ships in from downstate after taking the Show last time out for this claiming price.  King Budrick could improve with the return from downstate and with the blinkers being put back on.

Canada has been showing steady improvement in each of his last three dirt starts.  Drouillard defeated more expensive last time out, but that was on the turf at Golden Gate.  Carville goes first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such.

RACE 9 - Clm $2.5k - Five Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Zoe's Cajun (ML 2-1)

B’s

# 5 Wise Tale (ML 8-5)

C's

# 1 Secret Lass (ML 12-1)
# 4 Eddie Could Go (ML 3-1)

Zoe's Cajun took the Show behind two next out winners last time out.  Wise Tale was victorious the last time Jockey Catalino Martinez was on his back.  Secret Lass could be speed on the rail.  Eddie Could Go took the Show at this class level last time out.

OK, that's the analysis.  While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket.  While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected.  I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up.  So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 5 with 5 with 2,4 with 2 with 4,7 with 6 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: ALL with 1,5 with 2,4 with 1,2 with 4,7 with 5,6 $25.60

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 5 with 2,4 with 2,4 with 2 with 4,7 with 6 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 5 with 5 with 1,5 with 2 with 4,7 with 6 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 5 with 5 with 2,4 with 5 with 4,7 with 6 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 5 with 5 with 2,4 with 2 with 2,3,5 with 6 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 5 with 5 with 2,4 with 2 with 4,7 with 1,4 $1.60

Total: $35.60

Post Time for Race 4 is 5:15 EDT / 2:15 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo