It's opening weekend at Golden Gate Fields, with today being the first Saturday of the Autumn Meet. However, despite the meet still being in its infancy, the Golden Pick Six pool has already been scooped, with one lucky bettor collecting $7,765.62 Friday on their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
So, with the Jackpot Pick Six carryover pool currently sitting at zero, I'm going to lighten my workload by focusing my attention on just the final four races on the card. So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.
RACE 6 - (F) ALW NC - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 2 Isa Firecracker (Morning Line 6-1)
# 5 Fast and Foxy (ML 9-2)
B's
# 1 Emmy and I (ML 6-1)
# 3 Deb's Wildcard (ML 8-1)
# 7 Alliford Bay (ML 5-2)
# 8 Princess Ashlyn (ML 2-1)
C's
# 4 Shypen (GB) (ML 20-1)
# 6 Propeppy (ML 20-1)
There are no conditions for this allowance race; so if you have a filly or mare, three years old or upward, and you wanted to run her here, you could have done so.
Isa Firecracker didn't show much in her recent journeys downstate, but she's a perfect three-for-three lifetime over this main track. Fast and Foxy, who finished in the Trifecta in each of her last two starts on the California Fairgrounds circuit, should improve with the return to her preferred surface.
Emmy and I is another that could move up with the return to the synthetic. Deb's Wildcard seems to be rounding into top form. Alliford Bay has down little wrong in her four race career. Princess Ashlyn defeated several of these last time out, albeit on real dirt. A concern with Princess Ashlyn is that she is zero-for-three lifetime when competing on a synthetic surface.
Shypen (GB), making her North American debut, was a stakes winner on the synthetic overseas. Propeppy is on my tickets because every other runner in this field is.
RACE 7 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 We're Just Sayin (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 5 Kittenmeister (ML 5-2)
C's
# 2 Whisky N Roses (ML 10-1)
# 6 Singaprayer (ML 12-1)
# 7 Reno Johnny (ML 12-1)
# 8 Max the Kitty (ML 10-1)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and just one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 8 Max the Kitty (ML 10-1) is the only runner in this field to have visited the winner's circle multiple times.
We're Just Sayin missed victory by just a neck last time out over this turf course at today's distance. Kittenmeister could be the one running best late.
Whisky N Roses could move up going third off the layoff; but Whisky N Roses' oh-for-eight lifetime record on the grass is a concern. Singaprayer has performed well in each of his prior turf starts. Reno Johnny could be quickest here, and may be the one that they'll have to run down. Max the Kitty, as mentioned above, is the only runner here with two career Wins, though neither victory came while competing on the grass.
RACE 8 - OC 32k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 Broken Up (ML 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 4 Lovenseek (ML 7-2)
# 6 Sonneteer (ML 9-2)
# 7 Bronzino (Fr) (ML 10-1)
Broken Up, trained by John Martin, took the Show against classier competition last time out, albeit on the dirt at Sacramento. Broken Up is a lifetime four-for-six over this main track, and looks to be very much the one to beat here.
Lovenseek, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, looks to be on the wrong surface, as all of Lovenseek's career Wins have come on the grass. But Lovenseek can certainly win going around two turns, and he should at the least be an early pace presence.
Sonneteer took the Show in the Super Derby down in Louisiana two starts back. Bronzino (Fr) could move up with the return to the synthetic.
RACE 9 - (F) MSW - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Tiz My Love (ML 3-1)
# 5 Austria (ML 6-1)
# 8 A Lucky Carry (ML 5-2)
B's
# 2 C C Rocks (ML 10-1)
# 7 One Eyed Mama (ML 9-2)
# 9 Irish Streetsinger (ML 20-1)
C's
# 1 Coachwhip (ML 4-1)
# 3 Flir Power (ML 20-1)
# 6 Holladay Visit (ML 20-1)
Tiz My Love and A Lucky Carry, both trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, fit well here on class, and both could improve with their second try on the grass. Austria took the Place at this class level last time out over this turf course, a half length in front of A Lucky Carry.
C C Rocks took the Show last time out in her first try on the turf, albeit with a price tag on her head. One Eyed Mama could move up with the surface change and added real estate. Irish Streetsinger is a first time start who looks well bred for the grass.
Flir Power, sired by Heatseeker (Ire), should improve with the move to the turf. Coachwhip and Holladay Visit are on the ticket because, well, why not.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,5 with 4 with 1 with 4,5,8 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,5,7,8 with 4,5 with 1 with 2,4,5,7,8,9 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,6 with 4 with 1 with 4,5,8 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2,5 with 2,6,7,8 with 1 with 4,5,8 $12.00
$0.50 P4: 2,5 with 4 with 4,6,7 with 4,5,8 $9.00
$0.50 P4: 2,5 with 4 with 1 with 1,3,6 $3.00
Total: $69.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:18 EDT / 3:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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