Back to the California Fairgrounds circuit to kick off the three day weekend; but I begin with the notice that it's not a three day weekend for me, as I will be back at my paying job Monday. So be forewarned that there will not be any selections here for Columbus Day, so you'll have to seek your amusement elsewhere.
Returning back to Saturday's action, the featured race in Northern California is the Harris Farms stakes, for California bred or California sired three years old and upward. I'll be looking at that contest below, as well as the other final half dozen races on the card, as I take a run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at The Big Fresno Fair.
RACE 4 - Alw 4000s - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Sir Vronski (Morning Line 9-5)
# 2 Prince Charmant (ML 7-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 5 Omdurman (ML 9-2)
Note for future reference that this event has no lifetime Win restrictions for entry. So any runner that has started for a claiming price of $4k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.
Sir Vronski looks to benefit from the class drop as well as the turn back in distance. Prince Charmant is a re-claim returning to the barn of Trainer John Martin, with whom he has enjoyed prior success. Omdurman was victorious at this class level last time out.
RACE 5 - Clm $4k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Gone With It (ML 2-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Ptolemy (ML 4-1)
# 3 Redneck Crazy (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 4 Song for the Crowd (ML 7-2)
Gone With It ships in from downstate after taking the Place against more expensive stock. Hopefully Jockey Aaron Gryder can get Gone with it across the wire before he has the chance to hang. Ptolemy, trained by Bob Hess, Sr, could be the one running best late. Redneck Crazy sheds the blinkers and more sensitive equipment.
RACE 6 - Md $5k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Lucky With You (ML 2-1)
B's
# 2 Stormin Cowboy (ML 5-2)
# 3 El Sundar (ML 6-1)
# 6 Manning (ML 3-1)
C's
# 7 Tailored (ML 10-1)
Lucky With You, trained by Doug O'Neill, gets a ton of class relief after failing as the Post Time Favorite in each of his last three starts. Stormin Cowboy, trained by Marty Jones, is another making the trip in from downstate in search of class relief. El Sundar exits a key race.
Manning could be the one running best late. Tailored had a rough time of it last time out, after taking the Place at this class level two starts back.
RACE 7 - ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 3 Private Marini (ML 5-2)
# 6 Brownie Finale (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 1 All Star Parade (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 2 Skidoo
Private Marini looks to be quickest here; and Private Marini has a prior Win over this track. Brownie Finale has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last two starts, albeit on non-dirt surfaces. All Star Parade ships in from downstate, and seems to have been working well for this contest.
RACE 8 - [S] The Harris Farms $100k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Solid Wager (ML 4-1)
B's
# 3 Love My Bud (ML 12-1)
# 4 Algenon (ML 8-1)
C's
# 8 Chief of Staff (ML 10-1)
# 9 Prime Issue (ML 6-1)
# 10 Jimmy Bouncer (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 1 Mr. Hinx (ML 5-2)
Solid Wager, trained by Peter Miller, could return to the form that he was showing earlier this year with the class drop. Love My Bud looks to get first run at the pacesetters. Algenon may be on the wrong surface; but if Algenon can bring his speed from the Golden Gate synthetics to this track, he could be tough to catch.
Chief of Staff could move up with the class drop. Prime Issue is the "other" Peter Miller, and should be prominent early. Jimmy Bouncer is the only runner here with a Win over this track. Jimmy Bouncer should appreciate the surface switch.
RACE 9 - Clm $4k B - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Snappy Jack (ML 2-1)
# 5 Press Baron (GB) (ML 4-1)
B's
# 4 Mighty Marino (ML 5-1)
# 7 Sheila's Footsteps (GB) (ML 7-2)
C's
None
EDIT: # 1 Condiment (ML 15-1) has been scratched. The tickets below have been adjusted accordingly
This contest is restricted to runners which have either:
1) Not won a race since June 18, 2017; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
So as long as a runner has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race. If a horse has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have come since the middle of June (note that Claiming and Starter Races for $3.5k or less don't count when computing the Win totals). For the record, # 3 Snappy Jack (ML 2-1), # 4 Mighty Marino (ML 5-1), and # 7 Sheila's Footsteps (ML 7-2) are the three runners in this field with fewer than four career Wins.
Snappy Jack quit early last time out when he couldn't catch the pacesetter; expect Snappy Jack to get a better set up today. Press Baron (GB) is a last out winner going first off the claim for Trainer Jonathan Wong, who tends to do well with such. Condiment should appreciate the surface switch.
Mighty Marino and Sheila's Footsteps (GB) are the two in this field trying a Fast dirt track for the first time. Perhaps either or both will take to it well.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 1,2 with 1 with 5 with 3,6 with 5 with 3,5 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 1,2 with 1 with 2,3,5,6 with 3,6 with 3,4,5 with 3,4,5,7 $38.40
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 5 with 1 with 5 with 3,6 with 5 with 3,5 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 1,2 with 2,3 with 5 with 3,6 with 5 with 3,5 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 1,2 with 1 with 7 with 3,6 with 5 with 3,5 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 1,2 with 1 with 5 with 1 with 5 with 3,5 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 1,2 with 1 with 5 with 3,6 with 8,9,10 with 3,5 $4.80
Total: $57.60
Post Time for Race 4 is 5:16 EDT / 2:16 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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