Saturday, October 28, 2017

10/28/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

Saturday's featured race at Golden Gate Fields is the Pike Place Dancer, a mile turf route for two year old fillies.  I'll be looking at that contest below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 6 - (F) Alw 40000s N2L - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Red Car Mac (Morning Line 8-5)

B’s

# 2 Twice as Fast (ML 9-2)
# 5 Endless Mile (ML 5-1)
# 6 Looks Good N a Tux (ML 7-2)

C's

# 3 Smoke and Burn (ML 6-1)

Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and just one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less.  For the record, none of the runners in this field have visited the winner's circle more than once; so this contest is very much for non-winners of two lifetime.

Red Car Mac has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last two outings.  Twice as Fast had a rough go of it last time out, and could move up with a better trip today.  Endless Mile took the Show behind Red Car Mac last time out, and could be the one running best late.

Looks Good N a Tux could improve with the return to one turn racing.  Smoke and Burn took the Show at this class level last time out.

RACE 7 - (F) The Pike Place Dancer $75k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 4 Multiplayer (ML 5-2)

B's

# 1 Blessed Lady (ML 2-1)
# 7 Neon Gypsy (ML 9-2)

C's

# 3 Cash Cannon (ML 20-1)
# 9 Little Doe (ML 12-1)


Scratch # 5 Amers (ML 8-1)

Multiplayer and Cash Cannon are the only two runners here to have won on the turf; Cash Cannon's victory having come in her debut last time out in the maiden claiming ranks.  Multiplayer took the Show in the Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf two starts back.  Blessed Lady is a perfect two-for-two in her career, though both races were sprints on surfaces other than grass.

Neon Gypsy was a winner sprinting on the synthetic in her debut last time out.  Little Doe, victorious in the Wine Country Debutante at Santa Rosa two starts back, will be trying turf and two turn racing for the first time.

RACE 8 - (F) ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 9 Motutapu (ML 9-2)

B's

# 1 Mother of Dragons (ML 7-2)
# 5 Spring Heat (ML 5-1)


C's

# 6 Papaclem'smidnight (ML 6-1)
# 10 Hot in the City (ML 6-1)


Motutapu enters this contest with a two race winning streak and is clearly the horse for the course, having won four of her five races over this main track.  Mother of Dragons took the Show in an N1X Optional Claimer downstate last time out.  Spring Heat was a winner over the real dirt at Fresno at this class level last time out.

Papaclem'smidnight was a winner at this class level the last time that she competed over this main track.  Hot in the City ships in from downstate, and could move up with the change in scenery.

RACE 9 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2X - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Goliath's Girl (ML 3-1)
# 4 Irish Luck (ML 5-1)

B’s

# 6 Passionate Emotion (ML 7-2)

C's

# 3 Forest Wildflower (ML 8-1)
# 7 Cinzia (ML 8-1)
# 9 Swiss Script (ML 6-1)


Scratch # 11 Lirica Heat (Arg) (ML 8-1)

Goliath's Girl and Passionate Emotion filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta last time out, against somewhat classier company.  Irish Luck took the Show against $12.5 claimers sans conditions last time out; so this is a pretty significant class drop for Irish Luck.

Forest Wildflower could move up with the class drop.  Cinzia won by as many as she wanted to in her last start over this main track (albeit against lesser company) and could work out a nice stalking trip behind the leaders.  Swiss Script fits well here on class, though she's had trouble holding her form in her two prior tries over this main track.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1 with 4 with 9 with 2,4 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,2,5,6 with 1,4,7 with 1,5,9 with 2,4,6 $54.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 3 with 4 with 9 with 2,4 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 3,9 with 9 with 2,4 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4 with 6,10 with 2,4 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4 with 9 with 3,7,9 $1.50

Total: $62.50

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:35 EDT / 3:35 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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