Following a Saturday card where seventy-five percent of the final four races were written for distaff runners, the ending quartet on Sunday's card will be of the all-male variety. And that's pretty much all I have by way of introduction; so let's just get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.
RACE 6 - Alw 8000s - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 Krsto Skye (Morning Line 7-5)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Soap Box (ML 3-1)
# 4 Thirty Pepperonis (ML 5-1)
# 5 You Play the Bench (ML 9-2)
# 6 Kochees (ML 7-2)
Note for future reference that this event has no lifetime Win restrictions for entry. So any runner that has started for a claiming price of $8k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.
Krsto Skye, a Listed Stakes winner sprinting over this turf course back in June, holds a clear class edge over the rest of this field. Soap Box took the Place behind a next out winner last time out. Soap Box could be the speed of the speed here, and find himself with a nice rail trip, leading the pack in the early going.
Thirty Pepperonis and You Play the Bench filled out the Exacta at Santa Rosa the last time they competed on some California grass. Kochees returns from an extended vacation, so it's possible that Trainer Blaine Wright may just want to give him a race on the softer surface before moving Kochees to the synthetic main track, where this runner has enjoyed most of his success. But if Kochees is ready he certainly fits well with the contenders here, and Kochees' back class could be a determining factor in this contest.
RACE 7 - Clm $10k - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 2 Holdthismiss (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 3 Next Speaker (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Reasonable Pride (ML 3-1)
# 5 Macho Marini (ML 9-2)
Holdthismiss returns from downstate, and should appreciate the class relief. The last time Next Speaker competed over this main track, he hit the wire a head in front of Holdthismiss. Reasonable Pride was victorious at this class level two starts back. Macho Marini won by as many as he wanted to last time out; Trainer John Martin tends to do well when placing his last out winners.
RACE 8 - Clm $12.5k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Eddie and the King (ML 12-1)
# 3 Pepper Crown (ML 7-2)
# 7 Abbey Vale (Ire) (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Solomon Bay (ML 4-1)
# 5 Awesome Return (ML 9-2)
C's
# 4 Belisarius (Ire) (ML 6-1)
Eddie and the King is the only runner in this field to have finished in the Trifecta last time out, and he could improve with a return to the lawn. Pepper Crown and Abbey Vale (Ire) are two that could improve with the drop in class.
Solomon Bay was victorious at this class level two starts back. Awesome Return was a winner in his only prior try over this turf course. Perhaps today is the day that Belisarius (Ire) finally overcomes his camera shyness and runs to his full ability.
RACE 9 - ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 9 Zarqa Star (ML 2-1)
B's
# 2 Stellar Sea (ML 8-1)
# 3 Sunset Dragunn (ML 15-1)
# 6 Fiddler Goldseeker (ML 12-1)
# 10 Hot Lightning (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 1 Oil (ML 4-1), # 4 Blue Ridge Storm (ML 20-1), and # 5 Skidoo (ML 20-1)
Zarqa Star ships in from downstate and should appreciate the class relief. Note that Zarqa was victorious in his only prior try over this main track. Stellar Sea took the Show at this class level last time out. Sunset Dragunn looks to be fast enough to handle the class jump; and if his early speed holds up, Sunset Dragunn just may be the one that they'll have to catch to cash.
Fiddler Goldseeker took the Place at this class level last time out; and while last time out for Fiddler Goldseeker was over a year ago, he seems to have been working well for his return. Hot Lightning has finished in the Exacta the last three times that he competed at this class level.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 7 with 2 with 1,3,7 with 9 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 7 with 2,3 with 1,2,3,5,7 with 2,3,6,9,10 $25.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,4,5,6 with 2 with 1,3,7 with 9 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 1,5 with 1,3,7 with 9 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 2 with 4 with 9 $0.50
Total: $37.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:35 EDT / 3:35 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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