"Remember that guy that gave up? Neither does anyone else." - Anonymous
Welcome to October! I decided to finish the weekend where I began by keeping my action at Santa Anita; and why not? They've still got my money from yesterday! Anyway, the featured race on Sunday's card is the Grade 2 John Henry Turf Championship, to be run at a distance of ten furlongs on some California grass. I'll be looking at the contest below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - [S] MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Gringo Star (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 1 Raven Creek (ML 3-1)
# 4 My Boo (ML 5-2)
# 7 Powerful Thirst (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Mavericks (ML 8-1)
# 3 Rhettbutler (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 5 Prevail (ML 15-1)
Gringo Star and Powerful Thirst filled out the bottom two thirds of the Trifecta at this class level at Del Mar in early September, while My Boo and Raven Creek did likewise in mid-August. The "C" Selections are the two first time starters.
RACE 7 - The John Henry Turf Championship (Grade 2) - Ten Furlongs Turf
A's
# 8 Hunt (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Itsinthepost (ML 2-1)
# 4 Chicago Style (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 9 Win the Space (ML 12-1), who took the Show in Saturday's running of the Awesome Again
Hunt hit the wire a little less than a length in front of Itsinthepost last time out in the Grade 2 Del Mar Handicap. I anticipate that having to cover one fewer furlong today will benefit Hunt more than it does Itsinthepost.
Chicago Style has lost just once in six lifetime starts while steadily making his way up the class ladder. This is a pretty big step up in the quality of competition for Chicago Style; but it's not inconceivable that he could pull the upset, especially if the pacesetters burn themselves out early, as Chicago Style looks to be the one that will be running best late.
RACE 8 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Six and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Anonymity (ML 8-5)
B’s
# 6 Just a Little Hope (ML 8-1)
# 9 Dominating Woman (ML 5-2)
C's
None
Anonymity was a clear winner in her debut at Del Mar last time out, and looks to be lone speed on the rail today. Just a Little Hope could improve with the return to one turn racing. Dominating Woman won by as many as she wanted to over this main track in February, and seems to have been training well for her return to competition for Trainer Peter Miller.
RACE 9 - Clm $25k - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Sky Preacher (ML 7-2)
# 7 Rye Patch (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 1 Abbey Vale (Ire) (ML 4-1)
# 9 Ebadan (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 10 Malko (Ire) (ML 6-1)
C's
# 4 Kristi's Copilot (ML 8-1)
Scratch #12 Crown the Kitten (ML 8-1) who fails to draw in off the Also Eligible list
Sky Preacher took the Place in front of a next out winner last time out. Rye Patch won by daylight at this class level last time out.
Abbey Vale (Ire) could compete if he returns to the form the he showed in his last three races over this turf course. Ebadan (Ire) took the Show behind Abbey Vale and Rye Patch the last time he competed over this turf course, and could improve with the blinkers being put back on. Malko (Ire) has finished in the Trifecta in each of his last two starts at this class level, and could move up with the added distance. Kristi's Copilot could improve with the class drop coupled with the surface switch.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 8 with 1 with 5,7 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,4,6,7 with 8 with 1,6,9 with 1,5,7,9,10 $30.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,3 with 8 with 1 with 5,7 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 1,4 with 1 with 5,7 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 8 with 1 with 4 $0.50
Total: $36.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:00 EDT / 3:00 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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