The San Diego Handicap and the San Clemente are the two Graded Stakes which grace Saturday's card; and while the San Diego belongs to the early portion of the program, I will be taking a look at the San Clemente below, as well as a pair of juvenile maiden contests, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 7 - [S] MSW - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 One Fast Bro (ML 5-1)
B's
# 1 Vegan (Morning Line 5-2)
# 4 Side Street Dave (ML 2-1)
C's
# 2 Fantasy Game (ML 10-1)
# 5 Cleveland Cat (ML 8-1)
# 6 Big Returns (ML 6-1)
# 7 Club Aspen (ML 6-1)
One Fast Bro, trained by Shelbe Ruiz, looks best of the first timers, and shows a nice gate work on the 15th. Vegan and Side Street Dave are the two experienced runners in this field. Vegan has finished in the Trifecta in each of her (yes, her) three career starts; while Side Street Dave took the Place in his debut two starts back. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) The San Clemente (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A's
# 3 Mucho Unusual (ML 7-2)
B's
# 1 Keeper Ofthe Stars (ML 12-1)
# 6 Over Emphasize (ML 8-1)
# 8 Stillwater Cove (ML 5-2)
# 9 Maxim Rate (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Seranista (ML 8-1)
# 4 Devils Dance (ML 20-1)
# 5 Apache Princess (ML 8-1)
# 7 Harmless (ML 20-1)
# 10 Kalliniki (ML 20-1)
Mucho Unusual showed the ability to rate last time out, making herself a perfect two-for-two on the turf. Keeper Ofthe Stars, previously trained by Hall of Famer Jerry Hollendorfer, who has been kicked out of the game without even the pretense of due process, has yet to finish out of the Trifecta in her six race career. Expect Keeper Ofthe Stars to be speed on the rail in this turf contest.
Over Emphasize, Show finisher in the Grade 3 Honeymoon last time out, could improve with the cutback in distance. Stillwater Cove, the shipper from the east for Trainer Wesley Ward, is one that I was tempted to leave off the big ticket; but ultimately I decided that Stillwater Cove deserved another chance after the rough trip that she had last time out in the Grade 3 Soaring Softly, where she disappointed as the Post Time Favorite.
Maxim Rate, winner of the Grade 3 Senorita two starts back, may return to form off the freshening. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 9 - (F) MSW - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Save the Story (ML 5-2)
B's
# 7 Musically (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Gold Included (ML 12-1)
# 2 Hail On Hoofs (ML 20-1)
# 4 She's So Special (ML 4-1)
# 6 Pure Xena (ML 4-1)
# 8 Tacocat (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 3 Golden Melodie (ML 20-1) and # 9 Lazy Daisy (ML 5-1)
Save the Story and Musically both took the Place in separate contests in their respective debuts last time out. Pure Xena is a debut runner that you might want to consider giving more prominence in your play then I will in mine; as due to budget limits I will be using Pure Xena as a backup "C" Selection, along with the rest of the field.
RACE 10 - OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Ronald R (Ire) (ML 8-1)
B’s
# 1 Snazzy Dresser (ML 6-1)
# 4 Foray (ML 5-1)
# 9 Captivate (ML 8-1)
# 10 Overdue (ML 7-2)
C's
# 2 Factorial (ML 6-1)
# 5 Battle of Memphis (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 6 Cajun Treasure (ML 8-1)
# 7 Erotic (ML 10-1)
# 8 Inscom (ML 8-1)
Interesting to note that any runners in this Optional Claimer leaving the gate with a price tag on their head will be running for a purse $12k less than those not in for a tag. Anyway, that part of the condition is of no concern in this field, as none of these entrants are entered for a tag.
Ronald R (Ire) is returning from an extended vacation after being claimed last time out. If Ronald R is ready to roll, I expect that he will be the one running best late. Conversely, Snazzy Dresser looks to be speed on the rail, and may be the one that they'll have to catch to win.
Foray and Capitave are two more that can be expected to be up on the pace as soon as the gates open; another reason to like Ronald R at the top of the ticket. Overdue has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last two starts. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3 with 3 with 5 with 3 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,3,4 with 1,3,6,8,9 with 5,7 with 1,3,4,9,10 $75.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,5,6,7 with 3 with 5 with 3 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2,4,5,7,10 with 5 with 3 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 3 with 1,2,4,6,8 with 3 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 3 with 5 with 2,5,6,7,8 $2.50
Total: $85.50
Post Time for Race 7 is 8:07 EDT / 5:07 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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