Thursday, July 4, 2019

7/4/19 Canterbury Park Late Pick Four - Preview

"We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness." - The Declaration of Independence

Happy Birthday USA!  Here's hoping that all Americans, as well as all freedom-loving people everywhere throughout the world, spend the day enjoying life and liberty while pursuing happiness; and an even greater hope that all those in search of freedom shall eventually find it.  So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Canterbury Park.

RACE 8 - (F) Md $25k - Five Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 5 Elsie's Kid (Morning Line 7-2)

B's

# 2 Extra Gorgeous (ML 3-1)
# 6 Paddy's Choice (ML 8-1)

C's

# 1 Frosty Flirt (ML 4-1)
# 3 Cam's Force (ML 15-1)
# 4 Turquoise Trail (ML 8-1)
# 7 B L Breezy (ML 6-1)
# 8 Tashiara (ML 5-1)

Elsie's Kid drops in for a tag for the first time after taking the Show against non-Claiming Maidens last time out.  Paddy's Choice took the Place at this class level in her debut two starts back.

Extra Gorgeous took the Place at this class level while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite in her debut last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 9 - [S] The Victor S Myers $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Dame Plata (ML 7-2)

B's

# 3 Mister Banjoman (ML 9-2)
# 6 El Tizar (ML 9-5)

C's

# 2 Son of Poseidon (ML 5-1)
# 4 Sax Zim Boss (ML 8-1)
# 7 Astronaut Oscar (ML 10-1)

Scratch # 5 Harry the Hitman (ML 6-1)

Dame Plata took the Show against state bred Allowance company last time out; and so far that has been the only time in Dame Plata's career where he didn't get his picture taken after the race was over.  Mister Banjoman didn't much care for the sloppy going last time out, anymore than he appreciated his one time try on the turf.  Cross out those two starts and Mister Banjoman is less than a length away from being a career four-for-four.

El Tizar ships in after winning his debut at Churchill Downs last time out by daylight.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 10 - OC 35k B - Five Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 It Makes Sense (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 4 Burgameister (ML 9-2)
# 6 Wings Locked Up (ML 5-1)

C's

# 1 Sonic Boom (ML 5-2)
# 2 P Club (ML 8-1)
# 5 She's No Drama (ML 12-1)
# 7 Izzy the Warrior (ML 6-1)

As I write this, # 8 Creative Art (ML 10-1), who was entered for the main track only, has yet to be scratched.  However, this play is written with the belief that Creative Art will not run today.  Should Creative Art run, that means that this contest was taken off the turf; in which case, not only should Creative Art be used in your play, he should also probably be a single.

The added condition which changes this contest from your typical OC 35k N4L is that runners who have yet to win two races in 2019 can be entered here without fear of being claimed.  Note for the record that, with the scratch of Creative Art, P Club is the only one in this field that will be running with a price tag on their head.

It Makes Sense enters today's contest with a two race winning streak, and It Makes Sense's breeding suggests that the surface switch should be no problem.  Burgameister and Wings Locked Up filled out the Exacta at this class level last time out.

I may later regret leaving Sonic Boom off the big ticket, as he is classiest here.  But Sonic Boom, making his first start of 2019, is most likely using this contest just to get back in racing shape; as five furlongs really isn't Sonic Boom's ideal distance.  Also of concern is that Sonic Boom hasn't visited the winner's circle since winning the Grade 3 American Derby back in July 2017.  So while Sonic Boom certainly has the talent to defeat these on his best day, I'm going to relegate him to being a backup "C" Selection, along with the rest of the field.

RACE 11 - Md $10k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Dreamin of Peace (ML 5-2)

B's

# 2 Seabeescando (ML 5-1)
# 3 Shanghai Go Go (ML 8-1)
# 7 Kiss Me Deadly (ML 7-2)

C's

# 1 Vivace (ML 6-1)
# 4 Chick Magnet (ML 10-1)
# 5 Proper Cross (ML 9-2)

Scratch # 8 Hunky Monkey (ML 12-1)

Dreamin of Peace is moving up in class off his last start; but Dreamin of Peace has taken the Place against more expensive stock in the past.  Seabeecando took the Place at this class level last time out.

Shanghai Go Go might be quickest here.  Kiss Me Deadly ships in from Florida and joins the barn of Trainer Robertino Diodoro, who tends to do well with such.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 5 with 1 with 3 with 6 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,5,6 with 1,3,6 with 3,4,6 with 2,3,6,7 $54.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,3,4,7,8 with 1 with 3 with 6 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 2,4,7 with 3 with 6 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 1 with 1,2,5,7 with 6 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 1 with 3 with 1,4,5 $1.50

Total: $62.50

Post Time for Race 8 is 8:40 EDT / 5:40 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

No comments: