"I want to deal with what's in front of me now to the best of my abilities, and sometimes that's not very good. But a lot of the days it is really great." - Ringo Starr
Cold and dry is the forecast for Saturday evening in Florence, Kentucky; and that's pretty much all I have for an introduction. So let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Turfway Park.
RACE 5 - (F) MSW - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 9 Estill (Morning Line 6-5)
B's
# 3 Lune Rousse (ML 12-1)
# 12 Madam Pie (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Finer Things (ML 15-1)
# 2 Complete (ML 10-1)
# 4 Kitten On Call (ML 5-1)
# 5 Lynda D (ML 30-1)
# 6 Lil Hitchhiker (ML 20-1)
# 7 Kreative Kisser (ML 30-1)
# 8 Just a Look (ML 8-1)
# 10 Athary (ML 20-1)
# 11 Grand Slam Getaway (ML 20-1)
Scratch the Also Eligible, # 13 Bird Key (ML 20-1)
Estill has taken the Place at this class level in each of her last two starts. Lune Rousse took the Show at this class level two starts back, and could move up going third off the layoff.
Madam Pie, stablemate of Estill under Trainer Tom Drury, could improve in her third career start. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 6 - Clm $5k B - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 Durrett Lane (ML 5-2)
B's
# 2 Willy I Am (ML 4-1)
# 9 Muny Me Too (ML 3-1)
C's
# 3 Kitten for Granny (ML 12-1)
# 4 Special Concoction (ML 20-1)
# 5 Double Deringer (ML 6-1)
# 6 Montezuma Express (ML 12-1)
# 7 On John (ML 15-1)
# 8 Let's Ride (ML 6-1)
This contest is restricted to runners which have either:
1) Not won three races since February 8, 2018; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
So as long as a runner has fewer than four career Wins, then he's eligible to run in this race. If a runner has four career Wins or more, then no more than two of those Wins could have come in the last twenty-four months. For the record Willy I Am, On John, Let's Ride, and Muny Met Too are the four runners in this field with fewer than four career Wins.
Durrett Lane enters this contest having won last time out at big odds. Willy I Am quit early last time out; perhaps Willy I Am just needed that race.
Muny I Am won by daylight last time out. Muny I Am is young and lightly raced enough that he could continue to improve. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - ALW N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 5 Going for Gold (ML 5-2)
B's
# 4 Bizzy Ride (ML 5-2)
# 7 Riverboat Gambler (ML 2-1)
C's
# 3 Boom Five Thousand (ML 15-1)
# 6 Equal Justice (ML 15-1)
# 9 Lea Ridge (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 1 Ammunition (ML 20-1), # 2 Attuck (ML 15-1), and # 8 Flatster (ML 15-1)
Going for Gold took the Show over classier competition last time out. Bizzy Ride graduated last time out while running with a price tag on his head; and while I would be very hesitant to use such in an N1X Allowance, this is an N2L; so Bizzy Ride just might be able to repeat.
Riverboat Gambler took the Place at this class level last time out. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $5k N2L - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 7 Promised Fame (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 1 Bivian B (ML 5-1)
# 3 Matzo Bella (ML 7-2)
# 10 Comecatchme (ML 15-1)
# 11 The Ash Factor (ML 6-1)
C's
# 2 She Got It (ML 50-1)
# 4 Gio's Cookie Star (ML 20-1)
# 5 Analyze This Cat (ML 6-1)
# 6 Run Like Rev (ML 15-1)
# 8 Cagey Lady (ML 30-1)
# 9 Princess Kiah (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 12 Fire Command (ML 6-1), but don't bring in either of the Also Eligibles, # 13 Marie's Mandate (ML 4-1) and # 14 Boomerang Baby (ML 15-1), because they're scratched too.
Promised Fame took the Place against more expensive stock last time out. Bivian B took the Show at this class level last time out while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite.
Matzo Bella disappointed as the Post Time Favorite at this class level last time out; perhaps the rider change will help. Comecatchme took the Place at this class level last time out, albeit while going around two turns.
The Ash Factor was in over head last time out, and should benefit from the drop into more realistic company. The Ash Factor could also improve going third off the layoff. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 9 with 1 with 5 with 7 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,9,12 with 1,2,9 with 4,5,7 with 1,3,7,10,11 $67.50
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,4,5,6,7,8,10,11 with 1 with 5 with 7 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 9 with 3,4,5,6,7,8 with 5 with 7 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 9 with 1 with 3,6,9 with 7 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 9 with 1 with 5 with 2,4,5,6,8,9 $3.00
Total: $80.50
Post Time for Race 5 is 8:12 EST / 5:12 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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