Sunday, February 20, 2022

2/20/22 Santa Anita Rainbow Pick Six - Preview

“Decision making, like coffee, needs a cooling process.” - George Washington

Sunday arrives smack in the middle of a Holiday weekend in the United States; President's Day, to be exact.  Sunday also brings with it a mandatory payout of the Jackpot Pick Six in Arcadia, California.  So with "free" money on the table, let me see if I can get myself a slice, as I take a run at The Rainbow Pick Six at The Great Race Place.

RACE 4 - [S] MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 10 Really Big News (Morning Line 4-1)

B's

# 1 Chipper (ML 8-1)
# 2 Thrive (ML 3-1)
# 7 Square Cat (ML 5-1)

C's

# 3 Ardie the Legend (ML 8-1)
# 4 Limited Heatwave (ML 8-1)
# 5 Area Code (ML 7-2)
# 6 Talkiesworkmore (ML 20-1)
# 8 Exclamation (ML 20-1)
# 9 Sawasdee (ML 20-1)

Really Big News finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last two starts; and it's reasonable to expect Really Big News to improve off his last race, as he will be going second off the layoff.

Chipper took the Place against open (non-statebred restricted) company last time out; and Chipper could be speed on the rail today.  Thrive has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of his four career starts; I wonder if that's a record?  But Thrive also finished in the Trifecta in all four of those starts, so I don't see how you can leave him off your ticket here.

Square Cat took the Show behind Really Big News last time out, and Square Cat can be expected to be prominent early.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 5 - (F) Clm $10k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 7 Rain Diva (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 1 Time for Ebby (ML 5-1)
# 4 Tiz Toffee (ML 4-1)
# 5 It's a Riddle (ML 5-1)

C's

# 2 Big Passion (ML 12-1)
# 3 Your Royal Coil (ML 3-1)
# 6 Island Life (ML 10-1)
# 8 Truly Fabulous (ML 12-1)

Rain Diva, three-for-five lifetime over this track, is getting some much needed class relief.  Time for Ebby, coming off a nine month layoff, probably needs a race.  But even if she's not at her best, Time for Ebby can win at this level with a less than stellar effort.

Tiz Toffee tends to run well at today's distance, and Tiz Toffee has run well in the past off works.  It's a Riddle could improve with the cut back in distance.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 6 - Md $62.5k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 2 Hollywoodhellraisr (ML 5-2)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Halfbarberbingie (ML 12-1)
# 3 Rosenquist (ML 4-1)
# 4 World Cruiser (ML 4-1)
# 5 Got Curly (ML 8-1)
# 6 Batukhan (Ire) (ML 4-1)
# 7 Hulk (ML 7-2)

If you're looking for my single, here it is.  Hollywoodhellraisr is dropping in for a tag for the first time for Trainer Phil D'Amato, and I see no reason to try to beat him.  So it's Hollywoodhellraisr solo on my main ticket, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.

RACE 7 - (F) [S] OC 20k/N1X - Seven Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Race Judicata (ML 8-1)

B’s

# 1 Mucha Woman (ML 6-1)
# 10 Smitten by Kitten (ML 5-2)

C's

# 3 Shanghai Sunrise (ML 8-1)
# 4 Delta Wind (ML 4-1)
# 5 Premiumonsaturday (ML 12-1)
# 7 All Dialed In (ML 5-1)
# 8 Blackjack Betty (ML 20-1)
# 9 Smoothlikebuttah (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 2 Omg It's Jessica (ML 15-1)

Race Judicata defeated open (non-statebred restricted) company last time; and Race Judicata has won in the past navigating just one turn.

Smitten by Kitten and Mucha Woman filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 8 - The San Simeon (Grade 3) - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf

A's

# 7 Bombard (ML 4-1)

B's

# 2 Commander (Fr) (ML 6-1)
# 4 Beer Can Man (ML 5-2)

C's

# 1 Chaos Theory (ML 10-1)
# 3 Barraza (ML 2-1)
# 5 Guildsman (Fr) (ML 20-1)
# 6 Bran (Fr) (ML 6-1)
# 8 Indian Peak (ML 15-1)

Bombard, making his 2022 debut, tends to run well over this turf course.  Commander (Fr) could be the one running best late.  Beer Can Man, Place finisher in the Grade 2 Joe Hernandez last time out, joins the barn of Trainer Phil D'Amato, who is having a very fine meeting.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 9 - (F) MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 7 Ruby Ray (ML 2-1)

B's

# 2 Countess Rosina (Ire) (ML 9-5)
# 4 Fluent (ML 15-1)

C's

# 1 Dear Beau (Ire) (ML 5-1)
# 3 Scenic Masterpiece (ML 10-1)
# 6 Angel Nadeshiko (ML 20-1)
# 8 Everystepoftheway (ML 15-1)
# 9 Glenall (Ire) (ML 5-1)

Scratch # 5 Snark (ML 6-1)

Ruby Ray took the Place at this class level last time out.  Countess Rosina (Ire) is making her North American debut today, and Countess Rosina appears to be well meant here.

Fluent got plenty of exercise last time out.  Fluent could improve with the return to one turn racing.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 10 with 7 with 2 with 6 with 7 with 7 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: 1,2,7,10 with 1,4,5,7 with 2 with 1,6,10 with 2,4,7 with 2,4,7 $86.40

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 3,4,5,6,8,9 with 7 with 2 with 6 with 7 with 7 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 10 with 2,3,6,8 with 2 with 6 with 7 with 7 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 10 with 7 with 1,3,4,5,6,7 with 6 with 7 with 7 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 10 with 7 with 2 with 3,4,5,7,8,9 with 7 with 7 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 10 with 7 with 2 with 6 with 1,3,5,6,8 with 7 $1.00
$0.20 P6: 10 with 7 with 2 with 6 with 7 with 1,3,6,8,9 $1.00

Total: $93.80

Post Time for Race 4 is 5:10 EST / 2:10 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

No comments: