1/21/23 Turfway Park Late Pick Five - Preview

“If you don’t learn constantly, you don’t grow and you will wither.  Too many people wither on the vine.  Sure, it gets a little harder as you get older, but new experiences and new challenges keep it fresh.” - Iris Apfel

For a time Friday, it seemed highly probable that there would be a carryover of The Early Pick Five into Saturday's Late Pick Five.  Such turned out not to be; but, having enjoyed the challenge of playing The Late Pick Five Wednesday, coupled with getting paid thrice for having four out of five that night, I decided to stick with the quintet sequence.  No promises as to how long this phase will last, but for now join me as I take another run at The Late Pick Five at Turfway Park.

RACE 4 - (F) Clm $5k N3L - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 10 Eclipsed (Morning Line 7-2)

B’s

# 4 Blue Grass Anna (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 C V Thunder (ML 6-1)

# 6 Lady Jenneviere (ML 20-1)

# 11 Miracle Drug (Ire) (ML 5-2)+

Scratch # 2 Ain't She a Pistol (ML 12-1) and # 12 Five Roses Luna (ML 30-1)

As was the case Wednesday evening, I couldn't zero in on a big ticket single in this sequence.  And if there's one thing that will cause me to discontinue playing the Pick Five on a regular basis, it would be a regular inability to land a big ticket single.  While big ticket singles on a Pick Four play are nice but unnecessary, an optimal Pick Five play will have at least one big ticket single.

I didn't include the Morning Line Favorite Miracle Drug (Ire) on my main ticket.  Miracle Drug, like Eclipsed and Blue Grass Ana, is moving up the class ladder, all three having won at the $5k N2L Claiming level last time out.  Of those three, I am of the opinion that Eclipsed faced the toughest competition, while Blue Grass Anna earned the best Speed Figure according to the multiple Past Performances which I reviewed.  Factoring in my inability to find a big ticket single in any of the subsequent legs, I decided that three deep was one too many deep for this leg; all the more so because these three will, in some order, be the three most bet runners in this field.  So for me it'll be two deep on my main ticket.

RACE 5 - (F) MSW - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 5 Shewillghostu (ML 6-1)

B's

# 4 Popnfizz (ML 8-1)

C's

# 1 I Had That One Too (ML 20-1)
# 2 Royal Words (ML 15-1)

# 3 Icy Stare (ML 15-1)+

# 7 Tammy Tap Tap Tap (ML 10-1)

# 8 Cash 'Em In (ML 7-2)

# 9 No Tappin Out (ML 8-1)
# 10 Opening Act (ML 3-1)

# 11 Varsity Blonde (ML 6-1)+

# 12 A Star for Cora (ML 30-1)

# 14 Lily's Home (ML 15-1)

Scratch # 6 Dona Witch (ML 20-1) and # 13 Will Virginia Dare (30-1)

All runners are being used in this leg; not so much because I believe all to be worthy, but because when I first sorted out my selections, I saw that there was only three entrants unassigned.  So for an extra buck-fifty, those three were added to the "C" Selections.

Trainers Brad Cox and Wesley Ward both have a first time starter in this field (Cash 'Em In for Cox; Opening Act for Ward).  I decided to effectively fade them both, as I think that the two experienced runners that I am using on my main ticket both ran well enough last time out that a repeat performance would allow them to graduate today.

RACE 6 - The Leonatus $125k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 3 Funtastic Again (ML 5-2)

B's

# 8 Raise Cain (ML 3-1)+

C's

# 1 Accident (ML 20-1)

# 2 American Speed (ML 10-1)+

# 4 Ironsides (ML 30-1)

# 5 Mendel's Secret (ML 5-1)+

# 6 Itzos (ML 9-2)

# 7 Hayes Strike (ML 9-2)

# 9 Saturn Boy (ML 20-1)

Unlike the previous leg, here I'm giving the Wesley Ward trainee, Funtastic Again, prominence in my selections.  Raise Cain, having finished in the money in two prior Listed Stakes, gets a spot on my main ticket as well as the plus sign.  This should be a good one to watch, as well as one to watch the winner going forward.

RACE 7 - ALW N3L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 7 Win the Day (ML 5-2)

B's

# 1 Ocean Atlantique (ML 7-2)

# 5 Cool Rags (ML 4-1)

C's

# 2 Mohaafeth (ML 15-1)

# 3 Gunton Roe (ML 8-1)
# 4 Rogue Element (ML 30-1)

# 6 Vivar (ML 15-1)
# 8 Kentucky Mist (ML 30-1)

# 9 Rupp N Ready (ML 6-1)+

# 10 Bullseye Bun (ML 5-1)+

No surprises here, as I expect this one to be pretty formful.  Ocean Atlantique was a borderline call for me, as Ocean Atlantique may have run out of chances at this class level, having settled for too many minor awards.  But Ocean Atlantiques fired bullets in his two most recent workouts over this main track; so onto my main ticket he goes.

RACE 8 - Clm $30k N3L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Military Force (ML 9-2)

B’s

# 5 Empire Builder (ML 4-1)+

# 6 Tuanis (ML 10-1)

# 7 Test Pilot (ML 6-1)+

# 9 Haig Point (ML 7-2)

C's

# 1 Nineties Country (ML 12-1)

# 4 Runaway Harry (ML 12-1)

# 8 Kunshan Bridge (ML 8-1)

# 10 Cheyenne's Colonel (ML 20-1)
# 11 Big Paper (ML 10-1)

# 12 Future Victory (ML 6-1)
# 13 My Boy Paddy (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 3 Papa's Lucky Seven (ML 20-1) and # 14 Artie's Lady (ML 20-1)

Haig Point was the borderline call in this leg; and, as in the prior leg with Ocean Atlantiques, Haig Point's two most recent workouts were the determining factor in squeezing him onto my main ticket.

Alright; here are the above selections in chart form:

And, with a hat tip to Steve Crist, here are the tickets that I'll be playing:

All A Entries

$1.00 P5: 10 with 5 with 3 with 7 with 2 $1.00

All A Entries with All B+ Entries

$1.00 P5: 10 with 5 with 3,8 with 7 with 2,5,7 $6.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P5: 4,10 with 4,5 with 3,8 with 1,5,7 with 2,5,7,6,9 $60.00

A's and B+'s with One C+

$0.50 P5: 11 with 5 with 3,8 with 7 with 2,5,7 $3.00

$0.50 P5: 10 with 3,11 with 3,8 with 7 with 2,5,7 $6.00

$0.50 P5: 10 with 5 with 2,5 with 7 with 2,5,7 $3.00

$0.50 P5: 10 with 5 with 3,8 with 9,10 with 2,5,7 $6.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P5: 1,6 with 5 with 3 with 7 with 2 $1.00

$0.50 P5: 10 with 1,2,7,8,9,10,12,14 with 3 with 7 with 2 $4.00

$0.50 P5: 10 with 5 with 1,4,6,7,9 with 7 with 2 $2.50

$0.50 P5: 10 with 5 with 3 with 2,3,4,6,8 with 2 $2.50

$0.50 P5: 10 with 5 with 3 with 7 with 1,4,8,10,11,12,13 $3.50

Total: $98.50

Post Time for Race 4 is 7:25 EST / 4:25 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo