RACE 6 - (F) Md $75k - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 8 Vow Me Over (Morning Line 3-1)
B's
# 2 Ivana Beat Yabad (ML 6-1)
C’s
# 10 Journeyonthemove (ML 8-1)
# 11 Katy Drama (ML 12-1)
The Also Eligibles, # 13 Miz Penelope (ML 8-1) and # 14 Mackenzies Moment, do not draw in, and get to watch the NCAA Tournament.
Vow Me Over and Ivana Beat Yabad are the only two runners in this contest with experience charging down the hill; indeed, the only two with any turf experience at all in this field. Vow Me Over took the Place at this class level last time, albeit on the main dirt track. Ivana Beat Yabad seems to have cycled up to her Beyer Speed Figures as a juvenile last year, and could take a big step forward today. Ivana Beat Yabad is dropping into the claiming ranks for the first time.
Journeyonthemove, one of two first time starters in this field for Trainer Mike Puype (who does quite well when debuting runners in Maiden Claiming events) appears to have the edge over her stablemate, # 5 Shandong Dj Dragon (ML 12-1), in terms of both breeding (as expressed by their respective Tomlinson Ratings) and their morning workouts. Katy Drama, trying the grass for the first time for Trainer Peter Miller, seems to be the quickest in the field.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Courageous Call (ML 4-1)
B's
# 9 Crushed Velvet ML (5-2)
C’s
None
Courageous Call has finished in the money at this approximate class level on this main track at today's approximate distance in each of her last three races, which includes a victory back in January. Crushed Velvet, who took the Show in the 2014 running of the Grade 2 Santa Ynez the last time that she competed, goes for trainer Bob Baffert, who wins nearly a third of the time with those coming back from an extended layoff.
RACE 8 - The San Luis Rey (Grade 2) - Twelve Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Finnegans Wake (ML 6-5)
B's
None
C’s
None
# 7 Fly Lexis Fly (ML 20-1) has been scratched.
Finnegans Wake enters this race in top form, coming into today's contest with a three race winning streak, all in Grade 2 events. Finnegans Wake is the clear class of this field, with over a million dollars in career purse earnings on turf. Finnegans Wake may not cross the wire first today; but I can't see making a reasonable case for any of the other runners in today's field beating him.
RACE 9 - Md $30k - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 14 Captain Carchy (ML 7-2)
B's
# 12 Bandido Too (ML 8-1)
C’s
# 1 Southeast Asia (ML 20-1)
# 5 Spin Forty (ML 4-1)
# 7 Rodeado (ML 6-1)
# 9 Captain G (ML 6-1)
# 11 He's Dreamy (ML 12-1)
# 4 Momma Tried (ML 12-1) and # 13 Sterling Wager (ML 6-1) have been scratched.
Captain Carchy has finished in the money at this class level in each of his last three races, missing victory by less than a length last time out. Bandido Too looks to be the quickest in this field. Bandido Too has also cycled back up to the Beyer Speed Figures that he had earned last year as a two year old.
Southeast Asia took the Show against more expensive two starts back, his most recent race on dirt. Spin Forty runs with a price tag on his head for the first time in his career. In addition, Spin Forty is sired by Hard Spun; I have no stats to back this up, but progeny of Hard Spun seem to do rather well at the seven furlong distance.
Rodeado took the Show at this class level last time out. Captain G took the Show against more expensive two starts back, his most recent race on a dry track. He's Dreamy, trained by Steve Miyadi, could be cycling up to a big number.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in a modified Crist fashion in which we eventually get all the runners onto a single ticket, we get:
All A Entries
$2.00 P4: 8 with 2 with 8 with 14 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,8 with 2,9 with 8 with 12,14 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries with All C Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,8,10,11 with 2,9 with 8 with 1,5,7,9,11,12,14 $28.00
Total: $38.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:57 EST / 2:57 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
No comments:
Post a Comment