Taking our play back to SoCal Sunday as The Great Race Place features the twelfth running of The Santana Mile.
RACE 6 - (F) Md $30k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Sweet Silver (Morning Line 3-1)
# 3 Dixie Dame (ML 5-2)
B's
# 7 Powerful Girl (ML 4-1)
C’s
None
# 6 Silent Code (ML 12-1) has been scratched.
Sweet Silver took the Show at this class level last time out. The concern with Sweet Silver is that she really didn't move forward with the class drop, as she had taken the Show in her previous race against much move expensive while earning a nearly identical Beyer Speed Figure as in her last time out.
Dixie Dame took the Place at this class level last time out. Powerful Girl earned her career best Beyer Speed Figure four starts back at this class level over this main track at today's distance. Since that race Powerful Girl's connections have been trying to see if she could win at distances greater than six furlongs without much success. I suspect Powerful Girl will appreciate the turnback in distance.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 Circling (Ire) (ML 2-1)
# 11 Mangita (ML 8-1)
B's
# 3 Nickels Wild (ML 6-1)
C’s
None
# 1 Fresh Feline (NL) is a program scratch, which is why Mangita is running off the Also Eligible List.
Circling (Ire), trained by Neil Drysdale and ridden by Mike Smith, missed winning at this class level by less than a length last time out in his North American debut. Mangita won at this class level three starts back with today's rider (Aaron Gryder) aboard.
Nickels Wild turned in a solid effort at this class level charging down the hill last time out. Nickels Wild is trained by Gary Mandella, whose runners don't often move forward second off the layoff; but Nickels Wild's prior form suggests that she much prefers the flat going at today's distance, and therefore is worthy of consideration here.
RACE 8 - The Santana Mile $75k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Rousing Sermon (ML 4-1)
B's
# 2 Majestic City (ML 6-1)
# 3 Blue Tone (ML 6-1)
# 4 Appealing Tale (ML 4-1)
# 5 Storm Fighter (ML 12-1)
# 6 Galicado (Arg) (ML 3-1)
# 8 Ankeny Hill (ML 8-1)
# 10 Edge of Reality (ML 12-1)
C’s
None
# 1 Secretsatmidnight (ML 8-1) and # 7 You Know I Know (ML 10-1) have been scratched.
Rousing Sermon, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer and ridden by Rafael Bejarano, is the top career earner in this field with regards to results on a fast dirt track, and therefore gets the nod in this very competitive field. The B's are everyone else; again, this looks to me to be a very competitive field, and I expect the result will probably come down to whichever runner gets the best trip without burning itself out on the early pace.
RACE 9 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 10 Young and Hungry (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C’s
# 2 Tizzing (ML 5-1)
# 4 Foreverly (ML 8-1)
# 7 Top Floor (ML 6-1)
# 8 Best Two Minutes (ML 6-1)
# 9 Perfectly Majestic (ML 6-1)
Young and Hungry has taken the Place charging down the hill at this class level in each of his two prior races. On form he appears to be a standout; but he looked like a standout last time out as well, so it seems prudent to hedge a bit here.
Tizzing, Foreverly, Top Floor, and Best Two Minutes have all shown ability charging down the hill, and it would not surprise me for anyone of these to make a big move forward today. Perfectly Majestic, trained by Bob Hess and ridden by Mike Smith, is trying grass for the first time, If Perfectly Majestic takes to the surface switch, then he could be part of the mix at the wire.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in the abbreviated Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,3 with 7,11 with 9 with 10 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,7 with 3,7,11 with 2,3,4,5,6,8,9,10 with 10 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,3 with 7,11 with 9 with 2,4,7,8,9 $10.00
Total: $50.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:57 EST / 2:57 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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