"Every single moment of your life you must choose from a number of alternatives.
What you choose determines where you will end up." - Shall Sinha
Saturday's card at Santa Anita features a pair of Listed Stakes: the $100k Thor's Echo (Race 6) and the $75k Angels Flight (Race 8). Unfortunately, those two races only drew five starters each.
Five each.
The total number of runners entered in Saturday's Late Pick Four sequence at Santa Anita is twenty-four. Quite frankly, there's just no fun in handicapping a Late Pick Four sequence that has only twenty-four entrants. So for that reason I've decided to turn my attention upstate, and take a run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $40k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 5 Qafilah (Ire) (Morning Line 9-5)
B’s
# 1 Never Be Enough (GB) (ML 5-2)
C's
# 2 Reginella (ML 4-1)
# 3 Lasting Light (ML 15-1)
# 4 Blazing Beauty (ML 12-1)
# 6 Creative Romance (ML 10-1)
# 7 Mybluebell (Fr) (ML 6-1)
# 8 Northwest Factor (ML 15-1)
Qafilah (Ire) and Never Be Enough (Ire) filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 9 - [S] MSW - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 10 Auburn Streak (ML 20-1)
B's
# 1 Runkerry (ML 6-1)
# 3 Insaniamania (ML 9-2)
# 5 Descartes (ML 5-2)
# 9 Beaudacious (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Galopin Gourmet (ML 20-1)
# 4 Bona Fortuna (ML 8-1)
# 6 Sargent Lenzi (ML 15-1)
# 7 Dubronsky (ML 8-1)
# 8 Wire to Wire Tigah (ML 20-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles; # 11 Malakai Moxie (ML 2-1) and # 12 Betito (ML 3-1)
Auburn Streak and Betito both grabbed the early lead in their respect debuts last time out before running out of gas prior to reaching the Finish Line. To be honest, I'm not really seeing why one would be 20-1 on the Morning Line while the other is 3-1; especially since Auburn Streak was facing open company, while Betito was competing against Cal breds. Anyway, since Betito didn't draw in off the Also Eligible list we'll never know the betting public would have sorted out the two runners; but, all things considered, I really like Auburn Streak's chances here.
Runkerry has taken the Show at this class level in each of his last two starts. Insaniamania took the Show at this class level in his debut two starts back.
Descartes doesn't really look quick enough for this short a distance; but the breeding suggests that Descartes should run just fine in sprints; so perhaps it's just a matter of getting mind and body on the same page.
Beaudacious ran well in his debut last time out once he figured out that there was a race going on and he was in it. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 10 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 2 Drinkin and Dialin (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 3 Diction (ML 6-1)
# 6 Reverend Al (ML 9-2)
C's
# 1 Winter Fog (ML 15-1)
# 4 Sayin Grace (ML 7-2)
# 5 Fuzzy Dolphin (ML 15-1)
# 8 Roman Rush (ML 10-1)
# 9 Punaluu (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 7 Sizzlin Jamie (ML 4-1)
Drinkin and Dialin took the Show against classier competition last time, and Drinkin and Dialin can be expected to improve going second off the extended layoff. Diction fits quite well at this class level.
Reverend Al took the Place at this class level last time out; though it does seem that Reverend Al settles for too many minor awards. Sizzlin Jamie could move up with the (long overdue) drop in class. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 11 - Clm $6.25k - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 Lifeline (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 5 Mo Bob (Ire) (ML 9-2)
# 6 When Jesus Walked (ML 50-1)
# 9 Jimmy D (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Rockandahardplace (ML 10-1)
# 2 Iz Invincible (ML 6-1)
# 3 Sooner Better (ML 15-1)
# 4 Arch Anthem (ML 8-1)
# 8 Big Sky Logan (ML 10-1)
# 10 Kid Arcade (ML 20-1)
If I was in a more courageous mood I would make Lifeline a single here, as Lifeline was victorious at this class level last last time out, and Trainer Andy Mathis tends to do well when attempting to get his winners in the claiming ranks to do it again. But I tend to be a little cautious regarding claimers who aren't moved up the class ladder after a Win; so I'm going to spread a bit here.
Mo Bob (Ire) could move up with the drop in class. When Jesus Walked showed some nice early foot last time out; perhaps a sign that When Jesus Walked is ready to rise up.
Jimmy D moves to the barn of Trainer Jonathan Wong, and thus can be expected to improve. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 10 with 2 with 7 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,5 with 1,3,5,9,10 with 2,3,6 with 5,6,7,9 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,3,4,6,7,8 with 10 with 2 with 7 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 2,4,6,7,8 with 2 with 7 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 10 with 1,4,5,8,9 with 7 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 10 with 2 with 1,2,3,4,8,10 $3.00
Total: $72.00
Post Time for Race 8 is 6:50 EDT / 3:50 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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