Saturday, June 27, 2020

6/27/20 Pleasanton Late Pick Four - Preview

"For the first half of your life, people tell you what you should do; for the second half, they tell you what you should have done." - Richard J. Needham

As can be read in much more detail here, while the COVID-19 pandemic has caused the cancellation of the Alameda County Fair, there will be live horse racing this summer at the Pleasanton fairgrounds.  The meet, which began on June 19, is scheduled to run on Fridays, Saturdays, and Sundays through July 26.  So with that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at Pleasanton.

RACE 6 - (F) Clm $6.25k - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Indian Dancer (Morning Line 5-2)

B’s

# 3 She Began Again (ML 5-1)
# 4 Crimson Cloud (ML 9-2)

C's

# 6 Missionelle (ML 5-1)
# 7 Lizzy's Inthegame (ML 15-1)


Scratch # 1 Miss Indefatigable (ML 3-1) and # 5 C I M Sweet (ML 6-1)

Indian Dancer looks to be quickest here, especially with the scratches of Miss Indefatigable and C I M Sweet.  The scratch of Miss Indefatigable also means that Indian Dancer inherits the rail, which should be good for the cause.

She Began Again and Crimson Cloud are both prior winners over this track.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 7 - Md $12.5k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Lord Vader (ML 3-1)

B's

# 3 Known (ML 5-1)
# 5 Look At My Hooves (ML 8-1)
# 9 Hula King (ML 9-2)

C's

# 1 Lono (ML 20-1)
# 6 Live a Good Life (ML 4-1)
# 7 Swift Channel (ML 10-1)

# 10 Mulzoff (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 2 Gregs City Zip (ML 20-1) and # 8 Olympic Silver (ML 6-1)

Lord Vader and Hula King filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta, both less than a length from the winner, at this class level earlier this month at Golden Gate Fields.  Known, who was the Post Time Favorite in that contest, completed the Superfecta.

Look At My Hooves, making his 2020 debut, took the Show against more expensive stock two starts back.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 8 - (F) Alw 50000s N2X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Augure (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 3 Willing to Burn (ML 5-2)
# 6 Mulhima (Ire) (ML 2-1)

C's

# 1 Billy'sgotasingle (ML 15-1)
# 2 Breakfast Ball (ML 9-2)
# 4 Jaimi James (ML 12-1)
# 7 Callmejessiejames (ML 8-1)

Note for future reference that this contest is for runners which have not won two races in their career; with one exception: one win for $20k or less will not be considered.  For the record, Billy'sgotasingle, Breakfast Ball, and Willing to Burn have only been to the Winner's Circle once apiece.  The rest of the field has two Wins each.

First things first: here's hoping that Track Announcer Chris Griffin doesn't get tripped up with the presence of Jaimi James and Callmejessiejames in the same field.

Augure may have needed that last race, and Augure's breeding suggests that she should do well on real dirt.  Willing to Burn has taken the Place at this class level in each of her last two starts.

Mulhima (Ire) has finished in the money in each of her last two starts at this class level; but both of those starts were on the turf, and it is a concern that Mulhima was never less than a dozen lengths behind the winner at the wire in any of her four prior starts on a Fast dirt track.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 9 - Clm $3.2k N1Y - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 8 Sunny Spot (ML 5-1)

B’s

# 7 Monsajem Pervade (ML 5-2)
# 9 Mad Luther (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 Kid Arcade (ML 15-1)
# 2 Aigle (ML 10-1)
# 3 Papa Pegosa (ML 15-1)
# 4 Dynamite Ride (ML 8-1)

# 6 Munnycantbuymelove (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 5 The Ref (ML 4-1)

This contest is for runners three year olds and upward that have not won a race in 2020, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming and Starter contests for $2.5k or less.

Sunny Spot showed good early speed against classier competition last time out.  Sunny Spot is also making his second start for Trainer Reid France, who tends to do well with such.

Monsajem Pervade has finished in the Trifecta in more than half of his nine career starts on a Fast dirt track.  Mad Luther won by daylight the last time that he competed on real dirt.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 2 with 4 with 5 with 8 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,3,4 with 3,4,5,9 with 3,5,6 with 7,8,9 $54.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 6,7 with 4 with 5 with 8 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 1,6,7,10 with 5 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 4 with 1,2,4,7 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 4 with 5 with 1,2,3,4,6 $2.50

Total: $62.50

Post Time for Race 6 is 8:15 EDT / 5:15 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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