The weather in Oklahoma City was wet Friday, resulting in a main track that was muddy and sealed, and all contests being moved off the turf. Looking at the forecast for Saturday I feel confident that the main track will be at worst Good for the races below; but I can make no prediction regarding whether the turf sprint scheduled for the penultimate race will remain on the grass. So with that caveat let's get to it, as I take another run at The Primetime Pick Four at Remington Park.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $5k B - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Undivided (Morning Line 5-1)
B's
# 3 Icy Dawn (ML 20-1)
# 12 Breezy Bee (ML 7-2)
C's
# 4 Gp's Amazing Grace (ML 20-1)
# 5 Betty Jean (ML 20-1)
# 6 River Deputy (ML 8-1)
# 7 Yankee Pride (ML 10-1)
# 8 Bold Legend (ML 15-1)
# 9 Raging Gold Digger (ML 4-1)
# 11 Tic Toc Toccet (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 2 Barbess (ML 6-1) and # 10 Ruby Does Sparkle (ML 12-1)
This contest is restricted to fillies or mares which have either:
1) Not won two races in 2020; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
So as long as a filly or mare has fewer than four career Wins, then she's eligible to run in this race. If a filly or mare has four career Wins or more, then only one of those Wins could have come this year. For the record Gp's Amazing Grace and Breezy Bee are the two entrants in this field with fewer than four career Wins. Finally, note that the claiming price for Oklahoma breds is $6.25k; so if you're looking to purchase Gp's Amazing Grace, River Deputy, or Tic Toc Toccet, you'll have to pony up an additional $1.25k.
Undivided took the Show at this class level two weeks ago on Halloween. Icy Dawn showed good early speed against classier competition last time out.
Breezy Bee, trained by Karl Broberg, is getting off the lawn; that may help, as Breezy Bee has run well on dirt tracks in the past. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 7 - OC 40k/N2MY - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Popularity (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Dont Tell Noobody (ML 6-1)
# 6 Vangilder (ML 5-1)
C's
# 2 Lamartine (Brz) (ML 5-2)
# 3 Westfest (ML 10-1)
# 5 Brave Nation (ML 6-1)
# 7 Chris and Dave (ML 9-2)
An Optional Claimer, where as long as a runner has not won two races at a mile or over since August 14, 2020, they can compete tag free. There's only one entrant in this field entered for the $40k sales price: Chris and Dave; which is rather puzzling, since, not only has Chris and Dave not won two races at a mile or over since August 14, 2020, Chris and Dave has not won ANY races, period, full stop, in that time frame, at any distance. So there's that. Also note for posterity's sake that, if Chris and Dave was an Oklahoma bred rather than a Kentucky bred, then he would cost an additional five grand at the claim box.
Popularity looks quickest here, and could lead the field all the way around the track. Dont Tell Noobody, upset winner of the $175k Oklahoma Classics Cup last time out, would almost certainly win today's event with a repeat of that effort.
Vangilder should benefit from the class drop. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - Clm $15k N3L - Five and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 His Giant (ML 9-2)
B’s
# 1 Tavner (ML 3-1)
# 6 Trevor's Call (ML 10-1)
C's
# 2 Collection (ML 12-1)
# 3 Kipper (ML 10-1)
# 4 Captive Kitten (ML 5-1)
# 5 Runaway Wind (ML 8-1)
# 3 Kipper (ML 10-1)
# 4 Captive Kitten (ML 5-1)
# 5 Runaway Wind (ML 8-1)
# 7 Pretty Special (ML 20-1)
# 10 Bell Ringer (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 9 Sermon by the Sea (ML 6-1)
Note that the claiming price for Oklahoma breds in this race is $20k; no if you wish to purchase Tavner, Kipper, or Pretty Special, it will cost you an extra $5k.
His Giant missed by a neck of not qualifying for this contest last time out. Tavner, trained by Karl Broberg, took the Show at this class level while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite two starts back.
California bred Trevor's Call looks to be rounding into form. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 9 - (F) [S] MSW - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 10 Love Ya Most (ML 15-1)
B's
# 2 Excetera (ML 7-2)
# 7 Tasmin (ML 10-1)
C's
# 1 Inspeightofme (ML 20-1)
# 3 Battleship Mary (ML 9-2)
# 4 Okie Beckaroo (ML 5-1)
# 5 No Letting Go (ML 6-1)
# 5 No Letting Go (ML 6-1)
# 6 I'm Excee (ML 8-1)
# 8 Quiet Surprise (ML 20-1)
# 9 Truly Classic (ML 20-1)
# 11 Saucy Time (ML 20-1)
# 12 Miss Coffeyville (ML 8-1)
Love Ya Most looks best here, presuming that she can carry her turf form onto the main track. Tasmin took the Place at this class level two starts back (albeit on the turf) and took the Show on the main track (also at this class level) three starts back.
Excetera seems capable of handling the rise in class, as none in this field appear to be super imposing. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 1 with 4 with 8 with 10 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,3,12 with 1,4,6 with 1,6,8 with 2,7,10 $40.50
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,5,6,7,8,9,11 with 4 with 8 with 10 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 2,3,5,7 with 8 with 10 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4 with 2,3,4,5,7,10 with 10 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4 with 8 with 1,3,4,5,6,8,9,11,12 $4.50
Total: $54.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 10:27 EST / 7:27 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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